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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-12-23
  有没有可能，美联储故意把明年的降息预期拉低，把指数拉低，给懂王上位留一点上涨空间，纳一个投名状。毕竟懂王最喜欢把股市上涨当做他的业绩了。
  1,572 评论
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-30
  明年吧，今年超越不了了
  2,242 评论
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-29
  TSLA 就是电车里的苹果，其他电车加一块都打不过它。不出十年，电车界一定重新洗牌，只会留下阿特，迪子和米子，拭目以待[吃瓜] [吃瓜] [吃瓜]
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-29
  Tiger 做碗，端上 COIN 这碗肉，盛上TSLA 这碗汤[开心]吃肉又喝汤[开心]
  1,798 评论
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-28
  今晚肯定不会上 340[开心]
  1,311 评论
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-28
  看好达子，年内必上 160
  1,860 评论
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-19
  为什么？
  Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility
  KEY POINTSNvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implie
  Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility
  2,097 评论
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-13
  马斯克，拉马斯瓦米，懂王这么喜欢马。感觉杰克马也得有一席之地啊[龇牙]
  4,278 评论
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-13
  如果全世界最有钱的人和全世界最有权的人都愿意疯狂一把，那我为什么不能疯狂一把？坚定看多特斯拉和 coin ！
  1,846 评论
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- 白巾牛刀白巾牛刀
  ·2024-11-09
  $TSLA 20241122 300.0 CALL$ 世界上最伟大的企业[财迷]
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就是电车里的苹果，其他电车加一块都打不过它。不出十年，电车界一定重新洗牌，只会留下阿特，迪子和米子，拭目以待[吃瓜]&nbsp;&nbsp;[吃瓜]&nbsp;&nbsp;[吃瓜]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"TSLA 就是电车里的苹果，其他电车加一块都打不过它。不出十年，电车界一定重新洗牌，只会留下阿特，迪子和米子，拭目以待[吃瓜]&nbsp;&nbsp;[吃瓜]&nbsp;&nbsp;[吃瓜]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"TSLA 就是电车里的苹果，其他电车加一块都打不过它。不出十年，电车界一定重新洗牌，只会留下阿特，迪子和米子，拭目以待[吃瓜] [吃瓜] [吃瓜]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376147961626712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4185342768207242","authorId":"4185342768207242","name":"苏苏喂苏苏","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4185342768207242","authorIdStr":"4185342768207242"},"content":"不用十年，3年内见分晓","text":"不用十年，3年内见分晓","html":"不用十年，3年内见分晓"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375999457681856,"gmtCreate":1732837970367,"gmtModify":1732837974881,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger 做碗，端上 COIN 这碗肉，盛上TSLA 这碗汤[开心]吃肉又喝汤[开心]","listText":"Tiger 做碗，端上 COIN 这碗肉，盛上TSLA 这碗汤[开心]吃肉又喝汤[开心]","text":"Tiger 做碗，端上 COIN 这碗肉，盛上TSLA 这碗汤[开心]吃肉又喝汤[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9018cdcb4c6fa4c15a014556efb6ac67"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375999457681856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375978672857368,"gmtCreate":1732796906627,"gmtModify":1732796908821,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今晚肯定不会上 340[开心]","listText":"今晚肯定不会上 340[开心]","text":"今晚肯定不会上 340[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375978672857368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375868584554880,"gmtCreate":1732770078368,"gmtModify":1732770080620,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"看好达子，年内必上 160","listText":"看好达子，年内必上 160","text":"看好达子，年内必上 160","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375868584554880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1860,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372651770916928,"gmtCreate":1732022070708,"gmtModify":1732022073666,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"为什么？","listText":"为什么？","text":"为什么？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372651770916928","repostId":"2484934264","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2484934264","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1731985472,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2484934264?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-19 11:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2484934264","media":"Benzinga","summary":"KEY POINTSNvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implie","content":"<html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Nvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&amp;P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.</p></li></ul><p>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.</p><p>If the options market is right, Nvidia&#39;s results could spark moves in the S&amp;P 500 index – as tracked by the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.</p><p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total returns and Bank of America&#39;s derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn&#39;t mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”</p><p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.</p><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">S&amp;P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3><p>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&amp;P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month&#39;s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.</p><p>“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.</p><p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.</p><p>“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.</p><p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.</p><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3><p>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.</p><p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.</p><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3><p>Data from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.</p><p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.</p><p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.</p><p>Here&#39;s a snapshot of the company&#39;s recent earnings performance:</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Fiscal Quarter</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Date Announced</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % EPS</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % Revenue</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move</strong></p></th></tr></tbody><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/28/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.73%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-6.38%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/22/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.86%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>9.32%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/21/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11.45%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>16.40%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/21/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>19.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>12.39%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-2.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/23/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>29.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>20.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.10%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/24/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>18.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10.31%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>24.37%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/22/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14.02%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-15.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-1.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/24/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-59.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-17.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.01%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/25/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.43%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.07%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.16%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.01%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-7.56%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/17/21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.00%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.25%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><em>Data: Benzinga Pro</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-19 11:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Nvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&amp;P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.</p></li></ul><p>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.</p><p>If the options market is right, Nvidia&#39;s results could spark moves in the S&amp;P 500 index – as tracked by the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.</p><p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total returns and Bank of America&#39;s derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn&#39;t mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”</p><p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.</p><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">S&amp;P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3><p>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&amp;P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month&#39;s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.</p><p>“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.</p><p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.</p><p>“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.</p><p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.</p><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3><p>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.</p><p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.</p><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3><p>Data from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.</p><p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.</p><p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.</p><p>Here&#39;s a snapshot of the company&#39;s recent earnings performance:</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Fiscal Quarter</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Date Announced</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % EPS</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % Revenue</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move</strong></p></th></tr></tbody><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/28/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.73%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-6.38%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/22/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.86%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>9.32%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/21/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11.45%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>16.40%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/21/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>19.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>12.39%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-2.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/23/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>29.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>20.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.10%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/24/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>18.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10.31%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>24.37%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/22/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14.02%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-15.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-1.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/24/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-59.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-17.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.01%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/25/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.43%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.07%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.16%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.01%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-7.56%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/17/21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.00%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.25%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><em>Data: Benzinga Pro</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-000013120.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2484934264","content_text":"KEY POINTSNvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.Investors and speculators are gearing up for Nvidia Corp.‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.If the options market is right, Nvidia's results could spark moves in the S&P 500 index – as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.Nvidia's dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&P 500's total returns and Bank of America's derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn't mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.S&P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs DataThe options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq ImpactFor traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the Invesco QQQ Trust. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.Historical Nvidia Earnings DataData from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.Here's a snapshot of the company's recent earnings performance:Fiscal QuarterDate AnnouncedSurprise % EPSSurprise % Revenue1-Day % NVDA MoveQ2-20258/28/246.25%4.73%-6.38%Q1-20255/22/242.86%5.66%9.32%Q4-20242/21/2411.45%7.19%16.40%Q3-202411/21/2319.64%12.39%-2.46%Q2-20248/23/2329.19%20.38%0.10%Q1-20245/24/2318.48%10.31%24.37%Q4-20232/22/238.64%0.68%14.02%Q3-202311/16/22-15.94%2.79%-1.46%Q2-20238/24/22-59.20%-17.23%4.01%Q1-20235/25/225.43%2.07%5.16%Q4-20222/16/228.20%3.01%-7.56%Q3-202211/17/216.36%4.00%8.25%Data: Benzinga Pro","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":1.1,"SPY":1,"VOO":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2097,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370649473396928,"gmtCreate":1731504396952,"gmtModify":1731504399001,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"马斯克，拉马斯瓦米，懂王这么喜欢马。感觉杰克马也得有一席之地啊[龇牙]","listText":"马斯克，拉马斯瓦米，懂王这么喜欢马。感觉杰克马也得有一席之地啊[龇牙]","text":"马斯克，拉马斯瓦米，懂王这么喜欢马。感觉杰克马也得有一席之地啊[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370649473396928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370595288490040,"gmtCreate":1731491167693,"gmtModify":1731491169880,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"如果全世界最有钱的人和全世界最有权的人都愿意疯狂一把，那我为什么不能疯狂一把？坚定看多特斯拉和 coin ！","listText":"如果全世界最有钱的人和全世界最有权的人都愿意疯狂一把，那我为什么不能疯狂一把？坚定看多特斯拉和 coin ！","text":"如果全世界最有钱的人和全世界最有权的人都愿意疯狂一把，那我为什么不能疯狂一把？坚定看多特斯拉和 coin ！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370595288490040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368959568961728,"gmtCreate":1731115596916,"gmtModify":1731292583404,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20241122 300.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 300.0 CALL$</a> 世界上最伟大的企业[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20241122 300.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 300.0 CALL$</a> 世界上最伟大的企业[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$TSLA 20241122 300.0 CALL$ 世界上最伟大的企业[财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/779c421e190183f43b3ef94755bac01d","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368959568961728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7904,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"20722186463466","authorId":"20722186463466","name":"爱发红包的虎妞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acf27be178fbc21279d1959ce5bec4e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"20722186463466","authorIdStr":"20722186463466"},"content":"老师您好，可以加虎妞微信聊聊投资吗？微信：itiger2014","text":"老师您好，可以加虎妞微信聊聊投资吗？微信：itiger2014","html":"老师您好，可以加虎妞微信聊聊投资吗？微信：itiger2014"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}