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I守株待兔

全仓SPY

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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·05-28
  谢谢分享
  383 评论
  1
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·05-27
  ‌$标普500ETF(SPY)$ ‌‌$标普500ETF(SPY)$ ‌指标显示反弹看涨
  371 评论
  1
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·05-23
  $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 隐含波动率越来越高了，很多人在买入期权赌财报
  1,279 3
  3
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·05-19
  $GLD 20250528 310.0 CALL$
  344 评论
  1
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·05-12
  $老虎证券(TIGR)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 稳不稳
  1,056 1
  2
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·05-09
  mstr的运作模式如果不改变最终就是归零，迟早要爆发，发债买币，卖币还债，还要支付其他开支，时间越长损耗越大
  449 评论
  1
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·05-03
  $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 我是巴菲特追随者
  837 评论
  1
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·05-01
  ‌$标普500ETF(SPY)$ ‌‌三个副图指标一起，打遍天下无敌手
  359 评论
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·04-30
  这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
  美股“五月清仓”的古谚敲响警钟，今年会应验吗？
  数十年的历史表现为这一效应提供了支撑。
  美股“五月清仓”的古谚敲响警钟，今年会应验吗？
  375 评论
  1
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- I守株待兔I守株待兔
  ·04-29
  ‌$特斯拉(TSLA)$ ‌‌$标普500ETF(SPY)$ ‌‌$英特尔(INTC)$ ‌精准波段指标分享：直接复制
  1,018 1
  1
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&nbsp;</a>‌‌三个副图指标一起，打遍天下无敌手","listText":"‌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$ &nbsp;</a>‌‌三个副图指标一起，打遍天下无敌手","text":"‌$标普500ETF(SPY)$ ‌‌三个副图指标一起，打遍天下无敌手","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ddf3d8bda147303f1e06301fe54dac0","width":"200","height":"200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430414661866232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":430070724424576,"gmtCreate":1746019408454,"gmtModify":1746019410277,"author":{"id":"5166531553792","authorId":"5166531553792","name":"I守株待兔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3057aec1fb260cc536d5ec7bc945e926","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5166531553792","authorIdStr":"5166531553792"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430070724424576","repostId":"1140875923","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140875923","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1746012823,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140875923?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-04-30 19:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股“五月清仓”的古谚敲响警钟，今年会应验吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140875923","media":"智通财经网","summary":"数十年的历史表现为这一效应提供了支撑。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>一句古老的市场箴言正笼罩在美股反弹势头之上：“五月清仓，暂且离场”。这一谚语是最为人熟知的市场趋势之一，数十年的历史表现为这一效应提供了支撑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bespoke投资集团的分析显示，一只成立于1993年、追踪标普500指数的基金，在5月至10月期间的累计回报率为171%，而11月至次年4月的回报率则高达731%。这一规律在2023年11月至2024年10月期间依然有效。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管唐纳德·特朗普总统不可预测的关税政策动摇了投资者对许多曾经可靠指标的信心，季节性因素仍是投资者用以研判未来几周股市走势的众多参考因素之一。单从这句古老谚语来看，当前不宜追涨——标普500指数已从本月低点反弹12%，但今年以来仍累计下跌5.5% 。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Seven Report Research联合编辑泰勒·里奇表示：“今年天平明显向‘五月抛售者’倾斜。”他还补充道，标普500指数下月面临再次大幅下跌的风险。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1844cc7e2130fbf5432de3921f3ba93e\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"344\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从更长远的视角来看，“五月清仓”的理念体现得更为显著。《股票交易员年鉴》的分析显示，在过去74年里，投资标普500指数在5月至10月期间的累计回报率仅为35%，而在11月-4月的回报率则高达11657%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周，股市反弹将面临财报和市场数据的重重考验，而将于周五发布的美国非农就业报告将成为本周焦点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">部分指标已释放买入信号，包括本月早些时候投资者信心骤降，以及标普500指数收于5500点上方。这意味着该指数已收复从峰值到谷底跌幅的50%，一些图表分析师认为，这表明投资者已重新开始逢低买入。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>艰难开局年份或“更准”?</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，不容忽视的是季节性因素正传递出更为谨慎的信号。尽管这一规律并非绝对，但在股市开局不利的年份，标普500指数在5月至10月的表现往往更差。Bespoke的数据显示，在4月前累计回报率为负的年份，追踪标普500指数的基金在5月至10月平均下跌0.4%。截至周二，SPDR标普500交易型开放式指数基金(ETF)今年以来已累计下跌5.4% 。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">里奇还指出，在5月前市场波动性较高的年份，这一季节性规律尤为适用。尽管芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)已从本月早些时候创下的多年高点回落，但仍在25左右徘徊，高于约20的长期平均水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">年中可能出现的一个波动源是，特朗普对除中国以外几乎所有美国贸易伙伴的关税暂停措施将于7月到期。若关税重启，这可能进一步验证“五月清仓”趋势的有效性，同时也将再次证明，全球贸易战的风云变幻或许才是推动市场走势的关键因素。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Freedom资本市场首席全球策略师杰伊·伍兹表示：“如今我们身处关税主导的时代，相比任何季节性趋势，市场更多受制于特朗普的关税政策。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，多数市场观察人士认为，对普通投资者而言，长期持有往往比试图精准把握市场时机更为明智。Bespoke的分析发现，自1993年以来，单纯买入并持有SPDR标普500 ETF，回报率可达2100%。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股“五月清仓”的古谚敲响警钟，今年会应验吗？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股“五月清仓”的古谚敲响警钟，今年会应验吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-30 19:33 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1288543.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>一句古老的市场箴言正笼罩在美股反弹势头之上：“五月清仓，暂且离场”。这一谚语是最为人熟知的市场趋势之一，数十年的历史表现为这一效应提供了支撑。Bespoke投资集团的分析显示，一只成立于1993年、追踪标普500指数的基金，在5月至10月期间的累计回报率为171%，而11月至次年4月的回报率则高达731%。这一规律在2023年11月至2024年10月期间依然有效。尽管唐纳德·特朗普总统不可预测的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1288543.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a33c23f8e5a366189f532d19af270ed","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1288543.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1140875923","content_text":"一句古老的市场箴言正笼罩在美股反弹势头之上：“五月清仓，暂且离场”。这一谚语是最为人熟知的市场趋势之一，数十年的历史表现为这一效应提供了支撑。Bespoke投资集团的分析显示，一只成立于1993年、追踪标普500指数的基金，在5月至10月期间的累计回报率为171%，而11月至次年4月的回报率则高达731%。这一规律在2023年11月至2024年10月期间依然有效。尽管唐纳德·特朗普总统不可预测的关税政策动摇了投资者对许多曾经可靠指标的信心，季节性因素仍是投资者用以研判未来几周股市走势的众多参考因素之一。单从这句古老谚语来看，当前不宜追涨——标普500指数已从本月低点反弹12%，但今年以来仍累计下跌5.5% 。Seven Report Research联合编辑泰勒·里奇表示：“今年天平明显向‘五月抛售者’倾斜。”他还补充道，标普500指数下月面临再次大幅下跌的风险。从更长远的视角来看，“五月清仓”的理念体现得更为显著。《股票交易员年鉴》的分析显示，在过去74年里，投资标普500指数在5月至10月期间的累计回报率仅为35%，而在11月-4月的回报率则高达11657%。本周，股市反弹将面临财报和市场数据的重重考验，而将于周五发布的美国非农就业报告将成为本周焦点。部分指标已释放买入信号，包括本月早些时候投资者信心骤降，以及标普500指数收于5500点上方。这意味着该指数已收复从峰值到谷底跌幅的50%，一些图表分析师认为，这表明投资者已重新开始逢低买入。艰难开局年份或“更准”?与此同时，不容忽视的是季节性因素正传递出更为谨慎的信号。尽管这一规律并非绝对，但在股市开局不利的年份，标普500指数在5月至10月的表现往往更差。Bespoke的数据显示，在4月前累计回报率为负的年份，追踪标普500指数的基金在5月至10月平均下跌0.4%。截至周二，SPDR标普500交易型开放式指数基金(ETF)今年以来已累计下跌5.4% 。里奇还指出，在5月前市场波动性较高的年份，这一季节性规律尤为适用。尽管芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)已从本月早些时候创下的多年高点回落，但仍在25左右徘徊，高于约20的长期平均水平。年中可能出现的一个波动源是，特朗普对除中国以外几乎所有美国贸易伙伴的关税暂停措施将于7月到期。若关税重启，这可能进一步验证“五月清仓”趋势的有效性，同时也将再次证明，全球贸易战的风云变幻或许才是推动市场走势的关键因素。Freedom资本市场首席全球策略师杰伊·伍兹表示：“如今我们身处关税主导的时代，相比任何季节性趋势，市场更多受制于特朗普的关税政策。”与此同时，多数市场观察人士认为，对普通投资者而言，长期持有往往比试图精准把握市场时机更为明智。Bespoke的分析发现，自1993年以来，单纯买入并持有SPDR标普500 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&nbsp;</a>‌精准波段指标分享：直接复制","text":"‌$特斯拉(TSLA)$ ‌‌$标普500ETF(SPY)$ ‌‌$英特尔(INTC)$ ‌精准波段指标分享：直接复制","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c35dc26c7be269b256c6b22ee856b9d7","width":"200","height":"200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/429551008125208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"5166531553792","authorId":"5166531553792","name":"I守株待兔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3057aec1fb260cc536d5ec7bc945e926","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"5166531553792","authorIdStr":"5166531553792"},"content":"M1:20,DOTLINE; P1:80,DOTLINE; RSV:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,5))/(HHV(HIGH,5)-LLV(LOW,5))*100; FASTK:=SMA(RSV,3,1); K:=SMA(FASTK,2,1); D:=SMA(K,5,1); SJ3:WMA(3*K-2*D,3),COLOR0000FF,LINETHICK2; ZJ3:WMA(0.714*REF(SJ3,1)+0.286*SJ3,2),COLOR00FF00; DRAWTEXT(CROSS(SJ3,ZJ3) AND SJ3 DRAWTEXT(CROSS(ZJ3,SJ3) AND 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