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vision
vision
·
10-31
真厉害啊 英雄出少年
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编组 21备份 2
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vision
vision
·
10-28
关注谷歌很久了,一直想等他回调再上车,不给机会啊
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1,029
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1
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2
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vision
vision
·
10-27
Replying to
@积七西
:买了啥//
@积七西
:黑铁,买的时候连消息都不听。买完也懒得再看一眼,主打顺其自然吧。
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313
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vision
vision
·
10-27
Replying to
@石头
:太谦虚了[贱笑]//
@石头
:我是青铜,白银之间[得意]
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632
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1
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vision
vision
·
10-24
目前感觉还是黄金段位,在被市场教育
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396
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vision
vision
·
10-24
qwen吧 哈哈 主要我买了阿里
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876
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vision
vision
·
10-24
希望是
$苹果(AAPL)$
,不过感觉大象起舞有点难度,盲猜
$Snap Inc(SNAP)$
吧
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1,123
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1
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vision
vision
·
10-24
$英特尔(INTC)$
坚定持有
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787
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1
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vision
vision
·
10-22
估值的尽头,是业绩:为什么我看好老虎、拼多多和小米?
2025年的资本市场,最迷人的地方在于它的“悖论”。AI、降息、地缘、通胀——每一个话题都在推着市场上下震荡,但在喧嚣的全球行情里,最不被看好的地方,反而成了资金的避风港。年初到现在,中国股票的表现可谓亮眼:
$中国ETF-iShares MSCI(MCHI)$
涨幅已接近35%,不仅超过全球指数(
$MSCI全球ETF-iShares(ACWI)$
+19%),更稳稳压过美股大盘(
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
+14%)。这种走势并非偶然。过去几年,投资者追逐“高成长故事”,而忽略了“现金流与估值”这些老派指标。但在流动性趋紧、通胀高位、估值扩张难再延续的阶段,资金的方向往往会回归最基本的逻辑:谁能赚钱、谁更稳定、谁被错杀。中国企业在这三个维度上,恰恰重新具备吸引力。当市场回归理性,估值洼地开始浮出水面过去两年,市场最常见的叙事是“高成长”,无论是AI算力还是新能源革命,投资者更看重“远方的故事”,而忽略了脚下的现金流。可2025年开始,这种叙事正在反转。全球资金重新寻找有真实利润、有现金回报的标的,这恰好是中国市场的优势所在。很多企业经历了长达数年的估值压缩,如今盈利保持增长,负债水平稳定,现金储备充足,而估值却依然停留在底部区间。换句话说,风险早被定价,而收益空间尚未释放。市场越动荡,越显得“能稳住”的公司稀缺。于是,曾经被忽视的中国资产,正在被重新估值。三只值得关注的中概股观察这轮上涨,我们不难发现这并不只是一场纯粹的情绪修复,而是结构性复苏。金融、消费、智能制造等板块齐头并进,说明资金在回归基本面。而在这轮修复过程中,我仍看好
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估值的尽头,是业绩:为什么我看好老虎、拼多多和小米?
vision
vision
·
10-22
Replying to
@hsing
:这个成本真的牛//
@hsing
:
$苹果(AAPL)$
再创新高啦
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896
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英雄出少年","listText":"真厉害啊 英雄出少年","text":"真厉害啊 英雄出少年","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/495150552219688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":494061766217936,"gmtCreate":1761646938691,"gmtModify":1761646941386,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"关注谷歌很久了,一直想等他回调再上车,不给机会啊","listText":"关注谷歌很久了,一直想等他回调再上车,不给机会啊","text":"关注谷歌很久了,一直想等他回调再上车,不给机会啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/494061766217936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1029,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3459423007922612","authorId":"3459423007922612","name":"道家人","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/66be122152ef666c2a3564762b8d4933","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3459423007922612","authorIdStr":"3459423007922612"},"content":"我个人认为谷歌没有高估(相对其他巨头),可以适当配一些。我买了一点,但不多。","text":"我个人认为谷歌没有高估(相对其他巨头),可以适当配一些。我买了一点,但不多。","html":"我个人认为谷歌没有高估(相对其他巨头),可以适当配一些。我买了一点,但不多。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":493635038151088,"gmtCreate":1761537232302,"gmtModify":1761537235251,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/27455271833920\">@积七西</a>:买了啥//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/27455271833920\">@积七西</a>:黑铁,买的时候连消息都不听。买完也懒得再看一眼,主打顺其自然吧。","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/27455271833920\">@积七西</a>:买了啥//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/27455271833920\">@积七西</a>:黑铁,买的时候连消息都不听。买完也懒得再看一眼,主打顺其自然吧。","text":"Replying to @积七西:买了啥//@积七西:黑铁,买的时候连消息都不听。买完也懒得再看一眼,主打顺其自然吧。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/493635038151088","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":493634673652272,"gmtCreate":1761537144112,"gmtModify":1761537147119,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3516096698306373\">@石头</a>:太谦虚了[贱笑]//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3516096698306373\">@石头</a>:我是青铜,白银之间[得意]","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3516096698306373\">@石头</a>:太谦虚了[贱笑]//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3516096698306373\">@石头</a>:我是青铜,白银之间[得意]","text":"Replying to @石头:太谦虚了[贱笑]//@石头:我是青铜,白银之间[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/493634673652272","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492653193122304,"gmtCreate":1761297370650,"gmtModify":1761297373192,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"目前感觉还是黄金段位,在被市场教育","listText":"目前感觉还是黄金段位,在被市场教育","text":"目前感觉还是黄金段位,在被市场教育","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492653193122304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492643714036472,"gmtCreate":1761295186902,"gmtModify":1761295189385,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"qwen吧 哈哈 主要我买了阿里","listText":"qwen吧 哈哈 主要我买了阿里","text":"qwen吧 哈哈 主要我买了阿里","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492643714036472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492600858394720,"gmtCreate":1761285171179,"gmtModify":1761285173719,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"希望是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>,不过感觉大象起舞有点难度,盲猜<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">$Snap Inc(SNAP)$</a>吧","listText":"希望是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>,不过感觉大象起舞有点难度,盲猜<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">$Snap Inc(SNAP)$</a>吧","text":"希望是$苹果(AAPL)$,不过感觉大象起舞有点难度,盲猜$Snap Inc(SNAP)$吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492600858394720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492545912660520,"gmtCreate":1761271529845,"gmtModify":1761271532905,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a> 坚定持有","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$ </a> 坚定持有","text":"$英特尔(INTC)$ 坚定持有","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ee5fdc377cf320e98967ba74e793a19","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492545912660520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492025345904888,"gmtCreate":1761131393734,"gmtModify":1761131461732,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"title":"估值的尽头,是业绩:为什么我看好老虎、拼多多和小米?","htmlText":"2025年的资本市场,最迷人的地方在于它的“悖论”。AI、降息、地缘、通胀——每一个话题都在推着市场上下震荡,但在喧嚣的全球行情里,最不被看好的地方,反而成了资金的避风港。年初到现在,中国股票的表现可谓亮眼: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCHI\">$中国ETF-iShares MSCI(MCHI)$</a> 涨幅已接近35%,不仅超过全球指数( <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACWI\">$MSCI全球ETF-iShares(ACWI)$</a> +19%),更稳稳压过美股大盘( <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> +14%)。这种走势并非偶然。过去几年,投资者追逐“高成长故事”,而忽略了“现金流与估值”这些老派指标。但在流动性趋紧、通胀高位、估值扩张难再延续的阶段,资金的方向往往会回归最基本的逻辑:谁能赚钱、谁更稳定、谁被错杀。中国企业在这三个维度上,恰恰重新具备吸引力。当市场回归理性,估值洼地开始浮出水面过去两年,市场最常见的叙事是“高成长”,无论是AI算力还是新能源革命,投资者更看重“远方的故事”,而忽略了脚下的现金流。可2025年开始,这种叙事正在反转。全球资金重新寻找有真实利润、有现金回报的标的,这恰好是中国市场的优势所在。很多企业经历了长达数年的估值压缩,如今盈利保持增长,负债水平稳定,现金储备充足,而估值却依然停留在底部区间。换句话说,风险早被定价,而收益空间尚未释放。市场越动荡,越显得“能稳住”的公司稀缺。于是,曾经被忽视的中国资产,正在被重新估值。三只值得关注的中概股观察这轮上涨,我们不难发现这并不只是一场纯粹的情绪修复,而是结构性复苏。金融、消费、智能制造等板块齐头并进,说明资金在回归基本面。而在这轮修复过程中,我仍看好","listText":"2025年的资本市场,最迷人的地方在于它的“悖论”。AI、降息、地缘、通胀——每一个话题都在推着市场上下震荡,但在喧嚣的全球行情里,最不被看好的地方,反而成了资金的避风港。年初到现在,中国股票的表现可谓亮眼: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCHI\">$中国ETF-iShares MSCI(MCHI)$</a> 涨幅已接近35%,不仅超过全球指数( <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACWI\">$MSCI全球ETF-iShares(ACWI)$</a> +19%),更稳稳压过美股大盘( <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> +14%)。这种走势并非偶然。过去几年,投资者追逐“高成长故事”,而忽略了“现金流与估值”这些老派指标。但在流动性趋紧、通胀高位、估值扩张难再延续的阶段,资金的方向往往会回归最基本的逻辑:谁能赚钱、谁更稳定、谁被错杀。中国企业在这三个维度上,恰恰重新具备吸引力。当市场回归理性,估值洼地开始浮出水面过去两年,市场最常见的叙事是“高成长”,无论是AI算力还是新能源革命,投资者更看重“远方的故事”,而忽略了脚下的现金流。可2025年开始,这种叙事正在反转。全球资金重新寻找有真实利润、有现金回报的标的,这恰好是中国市场的优势所在。很多企业经历了长达数年的估值压缩,如今盈利保持增长,负债水平稳定,现金储备充足,而估值却依然停留在底部区间。换句话说,风险早被定价,而收益空间尚未释放。市场越动荡,越显得“能稳住”的公司稀缺。于是,曾经被忽视的中国资产,正在被重新估值。三只值得关注的中概股观察这轮上涨,我们不难发现这并不只是一场纯粹的情绪修复,而是结构性复苏。金融、消费、智能制造等板块齐头并进,说明资金在回归基本面。而在这轮修复过程中,我仍看好","text":"2025年的资本市场,最迷人的地方在于它的“悖论”。AI、降息、地缘、通胀——每一个话题都在推着市场上下震荡,但在喧嚣的全球行情里,最不被看好的地方,反而成了资金的避风港。年初到现在,中国股票的表现可谓亮眼: $中国ETF-iShares MSCI(MCHI)$ 涨幅已接近35%,不仅超过全球指数( $MSCI全球ETF-iShares(ACWI)$ +19%),更稳稳压过美股大盘( $标普500ETF(SPY)$ +14%)。这种走势并非偶然。过去几年,投资者追逐“高成长故事”,而忽略了“现金流与估值”这些老派指标。但在流动性趋紧、通胀高位、估值扩张难再延续的阶段,资金的方向往往会回归最基本的逻辑:谁能赚钱、谁更稳定、谁被错杀。中国企业在这三个维度上,恰恰重新具备吸引力。当市场回归理性,估值洼地开始浮出水面过去两年,市场最常见的叙事是“高成长”,无论是AI算力还是新能源革命,投资者更看重“远方的故事”,而忽略了脚下的现金流。可2025年开始,这种叙事正在反转。全球资金重新寻找有真实利润、有现金回报的标的,这恰好是中国市场的优势所在。很多企业经历了长达数年的估值压缩,如今盈利保持增长,负债水平稳定,现金储备充足,而估值却依然停留在底部区间。换句话说,风险早被定价,而收益空间尚未释放。市场越动荡,越显得“能稳住”的公司稀缺。于是,曾经被忽视的中国资产,正在被重新估值。三只值得关注的中概股观察这轮上涨,我们不难发现这并不只是一场纯粹的情绪修复,而是结构性复苏。金融、消费、智能制造等板块齐头并进,说明资金在回归基本面。而在这轮修复过程中,我仍看好","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c9a046790801d4b5e328c4a71c45e3","width":"1536","height":"1024"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113cee32fd0c43b514330ae69a2acab","width":"1180","height":"1048"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f00bbf3a8abf5500581390f8387c51d","width":"1174","height":"1236"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492025345904888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274816899540","authorId":"3479274816899540","name":"时空下流浪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e6f1bc4ba00f7dfeedf85c10b3e7cd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274816899540","authorIdStr":"3479274816899540"},"content":"很同意,业绩才是王道,慢慢回归基本面了","text":"很同意,业绩才是王道,慢慢回归基本面了","html":"很同意,业绩才是王道,慢慢回归基本面了"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":491938352509488,"gmtCreate":1761123003208,"gmtModify":1761123015794,"author":{"id":"5400656025182","authorId":"5400656025182","name":"vision","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67e47e5bb77491f2c37ae81c5386950","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"5400656025182","authorIdStr":"5400656025182"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3462271119540342\">@hsing</a>:这个成本真的牛//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3462271119540342\">@hsing</a>:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>再创新高啦","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3462271119540342\">@hsing</a>:这个成本真的牛//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3462271119540342\">@hsing</a>:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>再创新高啦","text":"Replying to @hsing:这个成本真的牛//@hsing:$苹果(AAPL)$再创新高啦","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b243c3c61502cb7e7c5c6463c54a25"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/491938352509488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}