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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
01-07
$英伟达(NVDA)$
感觉像是强弩之末了[喷血] [喷血]
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
01-04
目前老黄最大的竞争压力是政治、谷歌等一批正在搞自己AI芯片的公司[开心]
市值31万亿元,AI泡沫难撼英伟达?
文/杨剑勇自英伟达在资本市场一路高歌猛进后,对AI泡沫争论不休,尤其市值突破4万亿美元后,AI泡沫的质疑声浪亦愈发汹涌。然而,2025年已经过去,英伟达的市值依然高达4.53万亿美元。显示出市场对英伟达的芯片需求旺盛。值得注意的是,科技巨头们也在寻求更加多元化的芯片供应,以此减少对英伟达的依赖,尤其瞄向定制化芯片。当然,仍然不能忽视AI泡沫的担忧。
市值31万亿元,AI泡沫难撼英伟达?
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-26
审查算个事儿吗[捂脸] [捂脸]
异动解读 | 特朗普媒体科技集团盘中大跌,因60亿美元核聚变合并案引发监管审查
特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)今日盘中大跌5.03%,市场反应强烈。消息面上,该公司此前同意与核聚变开发商TAE Technologies合并,但该交易正面临监管机构的审查,引发了利益冲突的担忧。TAE的投资者包括Alphabet(GOOGL)等大型科技公司,进一步加剧了市场的不确定性。此次合并案价值高达60亿美元,监管机构的审查可能导致交易延迟或受阻,从而影响特朗普媒体科技集团的未来发展计划。投资者对此反应敏感,导致股价大幅下跌。
异动解读 | 特朗普媒体科技集团盘中大跌,因60亿美元核聚变合并案引发监管审查
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-11
$英伟达(NVDA)$
左脚踩右脚[捂脸] 右脚断了[喷血] [喷血]
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-05
纯忽悠[捂脸] [捂脸]
英伟达黄仁勋:也许两三年内,世界上90%的知识可能会由AI生成
深度学习可以解决任何问题
英伟达黄仁勋:也许两三年内,世界上90%的知识可能会由AI生成
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-04
$英伟达(NVDA)$
如果解不开芯片贸易限制,这个扣儿就是无解[财迷]
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-04
逢高出货吧[捂脸] [捂脸]
报道:黄仁勋游说成功,美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案
英伟达的密集游说取得关键胜利,一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》,目前未被纳入美国年度国防法案。此举是黄仁勋亲赴华盛顿与白宫官员会面后出现的转折。他表示,该法案对美国的潜在危害巨大,国会的做法是“明智的”。
报道:黄仁勋游说成功,美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-04
业内人士其实都知道这个泡沫,只是不清楚大到什么程度了,什么时候能破罢了[捂脸] [捂脸]
AI泡沫论再现?传微软下修AI销售目标,隔夜股价跳水
微软下调部分AI新品的销售增长目标昨晚美股交易时段,微软股价受此消息影响一度下跌约 3%,收盘跌2.5%,显示资本市场对AI新品推进速度放缓的敏感反应。据微软Azure云业务的两名销售人员透露,多个部门已下调销售团队在今年度需实现的AI产品销售增速,因为上一个财年许多销售人员未达成增长目标。微软发言人回应称,公司层面的AI产品“整体销售配额并未下调”,但未直接评论部分产品的增长指标调整。
AI泡沫论再现?传微软下修AI销售目标,隔夜股价跳水
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-03
这是逢高出货的提示[捂脸] [捂脸]
英伟达“霸主地位”危矣?大摩力挺上调目标价:还能再涨38%!
英伟达的股价上个月下跌了9%,就连该公司第三季度的超亮眼“成绩单”也未能为其和更广泛的人工智能行业带来新的动力。但大摩分析师Joseph Moore本周反驳了悲观论调,并将该股的目标价从此前的235美元上调至250美元。这是当前华尔街最高的目标价之一,意味着该股还能较当前水平上涨约38%。事实上,关于英伟达在人工智能市场的主导地位可能受到威胁的猜测并不新鲜。不过,在大摩看来,其他芯片制造商不会对英伟达构成重大威胁。
英伟达“霸主地位”危矣?大摩力挺上调目标价:还能再涨38%!
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-11-24
$英伟达(NVDA)$
用脚投票[捂脸] [捂脸]
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","listText":"目前老黄最大的竞争压力是政治、谷歌等一批正在搞自己AI芯片的公司[开心] ","text":"目前老黄最大的竞争压力是政治、谷歌等一批正在搞自己AI芯片的公司[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/518328121660112","repostId":"2600304165","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2600304165","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1767511320,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2600304165?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-04 15:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市值31万亿元,AI泡沫难撼英伟达?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2600304165","media":"Ofweek光电信息网","summary":"文/杨剑勇自英伟达在资本市场一路高歌猛进后,对AI泡沫争论不休,尤其市值突破4万亿美元后,AI泡沫的质疑声浪亦愈发汹涌。然而,2025年已经过去,英伟达的市值依然高达4.53万亿美元。显示出市场对英伟达的芯片需求旺盛。值得注意的是,科技巨头们也在寻求更加多元化的芯片供应,以此减少对英伟达的依赖,尤其瞄向定制化芯片。当然,仍然不能忽视AI泡沫的担忧。","content":"<html><body><article><p>文/杨剑勇</p><p>自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>在资本市场一路高歌猛进后,对AI泡沫争论不休,尤其市值突破4万亿美元后,AI泡沫的质疑声浪亦愈发汹涌。黄仁勋更是感叹,业绩出色,被指助推人工智能泡沫,倘若业绩不佳,又证明AI泡沫破裂。</p><p>然而,2025年已经过去,英伟达的市值依然高达4.53万亿美元(约合人民币31.7万亿元)。</p><p>这一庞大市值规模,比日本、英国、法国等国家的GDP还要高,仅次于美、中、德,位居全球第四。</p><p>英伟达在资本市场狂飙,市值从2023年5月突破1万亿美元,到2025年一度跃升至5万亿美元,缔造了资本市场的空前奇迹,且这种奇迹在商业史上从未有过,是全球第一家市值突破5万亿美元的公司。</p><p>英伟达市值的飙升,在于在大模型时代,AI算力需求的爆发式增长,驱动营收以惊人的速度增长,更是全球最赚钱的科技企业之一。</p><p>截止2025年10月26日的第三季度,英伟达营收570亿美元,相比上一年同期的350.8亿美元增加约220亿美元,同比增长62%;<span>净利润</span>更是高达319亿美元,同比增长65%。</p><p>显示出市场对英伟达的芯片需求旺盛。其中,Blackwell系列销售火爆,成为驱动其营收持续攀升的核心引擎。</p><p>整体来说,AI大模型浪潮席卷全球的背景下,科技巨头们为提升自身的AI大模型竞争力,掀起新一轮AI竞赛,全球大型云服务商对AI基础设施建设资本开支延续扩张趋势。</p><p>仅<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>等巨头2025年人工智能方面的投入预计将达4000亿美元。另外,根据TrendForce预计,2026年云服务商仍将维持积极的投资节奏,合计资本支出将进一步推升至6000亿美元以上。</p><p>科技巨头们对AI基础设施建设,其中数以百亿美元竞相抢购英伟达高性能芯片,驱动营收持续快速增长,不仅成为全球最大芯片厂商,市值更是登顶全球榜首,也让赚的盆满钵满。</p><p>值得注意的是,科技巨头们也在寻求更加多元化的芯片供应,以此减少对英伟达的依赖,尤其瞄向定制化芯片。甚至<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>在与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌</a>洽谈,使用谷歌的TPU芯片,用于训练AI模型。</p><p>在定制芯片领域,最重要的玩家则是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>,客户主要包括谷歌、Meta和字节跳动等科技巨头,并透露一个新用户下达了100亿美元的新订单,外界普遍猜测是OpenAI。</p><p>由于定制化AI芯片市场的强劲增长势头,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600455\">博通</a>AI收入持续高速增长,陈福阳此前表示,定制AI芯片业务,有望在2027年带来600亿-900亿美元的收入,是英伟达最强劲的竞争对手。</p><p>在我国,因一直在封堵国内企业购买英伟达高性能芯片,从而使得我国芯片产业正在加速国产替代,旨在打破对高端芯片受制于人的局面。由此,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688795\">摩尔线程</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688802\">沐曦股份</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06082\">壁仞科技</a>等GPU厂商迎来黄金发展机遇,更是被视为中国版英伟达。</p><p>英伟达一家独大的AI芯片局面,有望得到改变。前有博通阻击,后有摩尔线程、沐曦股份等创新企业追赶。</p><p>不过,英伟达在GPU市场独领风骚,核心在于CUDA生态,形成了一套完整的开发工具链。对于本土GPU芯片厂商而言,仍需面对技术迭代、软硬生态、盈利及国际竞争等多重挑战。</p><p>最后,在大模型时代,全球半导体市场格局正在重塑,英伟达正在推动通用GPU计算向GPU加速计算转型。IDC预计,2025年全球半导体收入将达到8000亿美元。其中,半导体市场的计算部分将增长36%,达到3490亿美元。</p><p>英伟达无疑是这一波AI浪潮最大赢家,营收、净利润、市值等均实现了快速增长。当然,仍然不能忽视AI泡沫的担忧。</p><p>杨剑勇,福布斯中国撰稿人,表达观点仅代表个人。致力于深度解读AI大模型、人工智能、物联网、云计算和智能硬件等前沿科技。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市值31万亿元,AI泡沫难撼英伟达?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市值31万亿元,AI泡沫难撼英伟达?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-04 15:22 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260104153025a49a08b5&s=b><strong>Ofweek光电信息网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>文/杨剑勇自英伟达在资本市场一路高歌猛进后,对AI泡沫争论不休,尤其市值突破4万亿美元后,AI泡沫的质疑声浪亦愈发汹涌。黄仁勋更是感叹,业绩出色,被指助推人工智能泡沫,倘若业绩不佳,又证明AI泡沫破裂。然而,2025年已经过去,英伟达的市值依然高达4.53万亿美元(约合人民币31.7万亿元)。这一庞大市值规模,比日本、英国、法国等国家的GDP还要高,仅次于美、中、德,位居全球第四。英伟达在资本市场...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260104153025a49a08b5&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0107464264.USD":"abrdn SICAV I - GLOBAL INNOVATION EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1712237335.SGD":"Natixis Mirova Global Sustainable Equity H-R-NPF/A SGD","LU2361045086.USD":"WELLINGTON US QUALITY GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0868494617.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2272731865.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INTELLIGENT CITIES INCOME \"AM\" (HKD) INC","IE00BN29S564.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A3\" (USD) INC","LU2125154935.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX) WF GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"I\" (USD) INC","SGXZ31699556.SGD":"UGDP UNITED GLOBAL 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ACC"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260104153025a49a08b5&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2600304165","content_text":"文/杨剑勇自英伟达在资本市场一路高歌猛进后,对AI泡沫争论不休,尤其市值突破4万亿美元后,AI泡沫的质疑声浪亦愈发汹涌。黄仁勋更是感叹,业绩出色,被指助推人工智能泡沫,倘若业绩不佳,又证明AI泡沫破裂。然而,2025年已经过去,英伟达的市值依然高达4.53万亿美元(约合人民币31.7万亿元)。这一庞大市值规模,比日本、英国、法国等国家的GDP还要高,仅次于美、中、德,位居全球第四。英伟达在资本市场狂飙,市值从2023年5月突破1万亿美元,到2025年一度跃升至5万亿美元,缔造了资本市场的空前奇迹,且这种奇迹在商业史上从未有过,是全球第一家市值突破5万亿美元的公司。英伟达市值的飙升,在于在大模型时代,AI算力需求的爆发式增长,驱动营收以惊人的速度增长,更是全球最赚钱的科技企业之一。截止2025年10月26日的第三季度,英伟达营收570亿美元,相比上一年同期的350.8亿美元增加约220亿美元,同比增长62%;净利润更是高达319亿美元,同比增长65%。显示出市场对英伟达的芯片需求旺盛。其中,Blackwell系列销售火爆,成为驱动其营收持续攀升的核心引擎。整体来说,AI大模型浪潮席卷全球的背景下,科技巨头们为提升自身的AI大模型竞争力,掀起新一轮AI竞赛,全球大型云服务商对AI基础设施建设资本开支延续扩张趋势。仅微软、谷歌等巨头2025年人工智能方面的投入预计将达4000亿美元。另外,根据TrendForce预计,2026年云服务商仍将维持积极的投资节奏,合计资本支出将进一步推升至6000亿美元以上。科技巨头们对AI基础设施建设,其中数以百亿美元竞相抢购英伟达高性能芯片,驱动营收持续快速增长,不仅成为全球最大芯片厂商,市值更是登顶全球榜首,也让赚的盆满钵满。值得注意的是,科技巨头们也在寻求更加多元化的芯片供应,以此减少对英伟达的依赖,尤其瞄向定制化芯片。甚至Meta在与谷歌洽谈,使用谷歌的TPU芯片,用于训练AI模型。在定制芯片领域,最重要的玩家则是博通,客户主要包括谷歌、Meta和字节跳动等科技巨头,并透露一个新用户下达了100亿美元的新订单,外界普遍猜测是OpenAI。由于定制化AI芯片市场的强劲增长势头,博通AI收入持续高速增长,陈福阳此前表示,定制AI芯片业务,有望在2027年带来600亿-900亿美元的收入,是英伟达最强劲的竞争对手。在我国,因一直在封堵国内企业购买英伟达高性能芯片,从而使得我国芯片产业正在加速国产替代,旨在打破对高端芯片受制于人的局面。由此,摩尔线程、沐曦股份、壁仞科技等GPU厂商迎来黄金发展机遇,更是被视为中国版英伟达。英伟达一家独大的AI芯片局面,有望得到改变。前有博通阻击,后有摩尔线程、沐曦股份等创新企业追赶。不过,英伟达在GPU市场独领风骚,核心在于CUDA生态,形成了一套完整的开发工具链。对于本土GPU芯片厂商而言,仍需面对技术迭代、软硬生态、盈利及国际竞争等多重挑战。最后,在大模型时代,全球半导体市场格局正在重塑,英伟达正在推动通用GPU计算向GPU加速计算转型。IDC预计,2025年全球半导体收入将达到8000亿美元。其中,半导体市场的计算部分将增长36%,达到3490亿美元。英伟达无疑是这一波AI浪潮最大赢家,营收、净利润、市值等均实现了快速增长。当然,仍然不能忽视AI泡沫的担忧。杨剑勇,福布斯中国撰稿人,表达观点仅代表个人。致力于深度解读AI大模型、人工智能、物联网、云计算和智能硬件等前沿科技。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"2NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVDA":1.98,"NVDD":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"3NVD.UK":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":514902760841392,"gmtCreate":1766679824582,"gmtModify":1766679827302,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"审查算个事儿吗[捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"审查算个事儿吗[捂脸] [捂脸] ","text":"审查算个事儿吗[捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/514902760841392","repostId":"1129615568","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129615568","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"个股异动一手消息解读","home_visible":1,"media_name":"异动解读","id":"1092702339","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390"},"pubTimestamp":1766419362,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129615568?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-23 00:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"异动解读 | 特朗普媒体科技集团盘中大跌,因60亿美元核聚变合并案引发监管审查","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129615568","media":"异动解读","summary":"特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)今日盘中大跌5.03%,市场反应强烈。消息面上,该公司此前同意与核聚变开发商TAE Technologies合并,但该交易正面临监管机构的审查,引发了利益冲突的担忧。TAE的投资者包括Alphabet(GOOGL)等大型科技公司,进一步加剧了市场的不确定性。此次合并案价值高达60亿美元,监管机构的审查可能导致交易延迟或受阻,从而影响特朗普媒体科技集团的未来发展计划。投资者对此反应敏感,导致股价大幅下跌。","content":"<p>特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)今日盘中大跌5.03%,市场反应强烈。</p><p>消息面上,该公司此前同意与核聚变开发商TAE Technologies合并,但该交易正面临监管机构的审查,引发了利益冲突的担忧。TAE的投资者包括Alphabet(GOOGL)等大型科技公司,进一步加剧了市场的不确定性。</p><p>此次合并案价值高达60亿美元,监管机构的审查可能导致交易延迟或受阻,从而影响特朗普媒体科技集团的未来发展计划。投资者对此反应敏感,导致股价大幅下跌。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>异动解读 | 特朗普媒体科技集团盘中大跌,因60亿美元核聚变合并案引发监管审查</title>\n<style 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00:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)今日盘中大跌5.03%,市场反应强烈。</p><p>消息面上,该公司此前同意与核聚变开发商TAE Technologies合并,但该交易正面临监管机构的审查,引发了利益冲突的担忧。TAE的投资者包括Alphabet(GOOGL)等大型科技公司,进一步加剧了市场的不确定性。</p><p>此次合并案价值高达60亿美元,监管机构的审查可能导致交易延迟或受阻,从而影响特朗普媒体科技集团的未来发展计划。投资者对此反应敏感,导致股价大幅下跌。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DJT":"特朗普媒体科技集团"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129615568","content_text":"特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)今日盘中大跌5.03%,市场反应强烈。消息面上,该公司此前同意与核聚变开发商TAE Technologies合并,但该交易正面临监管机构的审查,引发了利益冲突的担忧。TAE的投资者包括Alphabet(GOOGL)等大型科技公司,进一步加剧了市场的不确定性。此次合并案价值高达60亿美元,监管机构的审查可能导致交易延迟或受阻,从而影响特朗普媒体科技集团的未来发展计划。投资者对此反应敏感,导致股价大幅下跌。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DJT":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":509657044087224,"gmtCreate":1765465931640,"gmtModify":1765465934033,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 左脚踩右脚[捂脸] 右脚断了[喷血] [喷血] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 左脚踩右脚[捂脸] 右脚断了[喷血] [喷血] ","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 左脚踩右脚[捂脸] 右脚断了[喷血] 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[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/507555601498392","repostId":"2589535899","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2589535899","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1764932374,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2589535899?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-05 18:59","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"英伟达黄仁勋:也许两三年内,世界上90%的知识可能会由AI生成","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2589535899","media":"格隆汇","summary":"深度学习可以解决任何问题","content":"<html><body><p>近日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>CEO黄仁勋做客美国第一播客乔·罗根(Joe Rogan),访谈全文要点如下:</p><p>• 宏观经济与增长的底层逻辑:“如果我们没有能源增长,我们就无法有工业增长。如果我们没有工业增长,我们就无法有就业增长。就这么简单。”</p><p>• AI生成内容的未来趋势:“在未来,也许两三年内,世界上90%的知识可能会由AI生成。”</p><p>• AI能源成本的通缩效应(反直觉观点):“在10年的时间里,大多数人使用人工智能所需的能量将是微不足道的,极其微不足道。……因为它不消耗那么多能量。”</p><p>• 深度学习的无限潜力(TAM市场规模):“深度学习可以解决任何问题,所有有趣的问题,只要我们有输入和输出。”</p><p>• 专注与通过细分市场取胜的策略:“与其为每一个3D图形应用制造3D图形芯片,我们决定只为一种应用制造3D图形芯片。我们孤注一掷在视频游戏上。”</p><p>• 在市场不理解时坚持投资(如CUDA):“如果你相信那个未来而不去做,你会后悔一辈子。……如果它真的非常难做,那就值得做。”</p><p>• 企业的危机意识与生存心态:“‘离倒闭只有30天’这句话我用了33年。……那种脆弱感、不确定感、不安全感。它不会离开你。”</p><p>• 领导者的纠错能力与转型:“如果你把自己放在超能力的位置上,我们就很难转型策略,因为我们本该一直是对的。……如果你总是对的,你怎么可能转型?因为转型要求你是错的。”</p><p>• 应对不确定性的方法论(第一性原理):“时刻从第一性原理推导事情,总是将事情分解为第一性原理,理解为什么会发生,不断重新评估。”</p><p><img src=\"https://img5.gelonghui.com/live/4f384-998a2494-be2e-4bb4-b16c-e94e725862a1.jpg?guru_height=903&guru_width=1719&guru_size=153142\"/></p></body></html>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达黄仁勋:也许两三年内,世界上90%的知识可能会由AI生成</title>\n<style 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[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/507279577362600","repostId":"2588073554","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2588073554","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1764808764,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2588073554?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-04 08:39","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"报道:黄仁勋游说成功,美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2588073554","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"英伟达的密集游说取得关键胜利,一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》,目前未被纳入美国年度国防法案。此举是黄仁勋亲赴华盛顿与白宫官员会面后出现的转折。他表示,该法案对美国的潜在危害巨大,国会的做法是“明智的”。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>的强力游说取得关键成果,一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售先进AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》,预计将不会被纳入美国年度国防法案。</p>\n<p>据媒体援引一位知情人士消息,<strong>《GAIN AI法案》的措施目前未被纳入将于周五公布的年度国防政策法案(NDAA)的最终文本中。该法案原计划要求英伟达和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>等芯片制造商,在向受限制国家出口其强大的AI芯片之前,必须优先满足美国客户的需求。</strong></p>\n<p>尽管该知情人士补充说情况仍有意外生变的可能性,但目前的进展对芯片行业而言无疑是一个积极信号。</p>\n<p>英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋随后将国会不将该法案纳入NDAA的决定形容为“明智的”,并表示《GAIN AI法案》对美国的潜在危害巨大。本周三,他曾亲赴华盛顿,与美国总统特朗普及多位关键议员会面。</p>\n<h2><strong>黄仁勋亲赴华盛顿斡旋</strong></h2>\n<p>黄仁勋的个人斡旋,被视为推动事态发展的关键一步。他于周三现身华盛顿,在国会与多名议员会面。在议长迈克·约翰逊的办公室外,黄仁勋告诉记者,他此行的目的是“回答有关AI的问题”。</p>\n<p>黄仁勋一直坚定地主张,允许美国公司服务全球市场最终对美国有利。他的观点显然在行政当局内部获得了共鸣。</p>\n<p>在国会做出初步决定后,黄仁勋公开表示,《GAIN AI法案》“对美国的危害甚至比《AI扩散规则》更大”。华尔街见闻提及,《AI扩散规则》政策由美国商务部于今年1月发布,它将英伟达等公司的芯片出口目的地分为三个大类国家进行监管,意图进一步限制AI芯片和技术的出口。</p>\n<h2><strong>激烈的游说战告一段落</strong></h2>\n<p>《GAIN AI法案》的搁置,为一场围绕AI技术出口管制的激烈游说战画上了句号。</p>\n<p>法案的支持者主要由对国家安全持强硬立场的议员和AI安全倡导人士构成,他们希望通过立法确保美国在国内的AI算力优势。</p>\n<p>而反对方法案的阵营则由英伟达和其他行业参与者组成,他们担心此类限制会扼杀全球竞争,并损害美国企业的市场地位。</p>\n<p>英伟达方面辩称,该法案并无必要性,因为公司不会以牺牲美国客户的供应为代价,同时限制性的贸易政策将阻碍创新。</p>\n<h2><strong>白宫或介入支持行业立场</strong></h2>\n<p>华尔街见闻写道,据媒体援引四位知情人士的报道,白宫在此次立法博弈中扮演了关键角色。报道称,白宫关键官员向国会山施压,要求议员们将《GAIN AI法案》排除在年度国防授权法案之外。</p>\n<p>据悉,此次行动由白宫“AI沙皇”David Sacks带头,并获得了白宫立法事务办公室的支持。他们直接致电众议院多数党领袖Steve Scalise等关键议员,明确表达了反对意见。</p>\n<p>知情人士称,在高层介入后,该限制性条款被纳入最终法案的可能性已降至“几乎为零”。这一干预凸显了行政当局内部对于在当前节点进一步收紧AI芯片出口政策的审慎态度。</p>\n<h2><strong>法案核心争议:优先满足美国客户与“受关注国家”</strong></h2>\n<p>引发争议的《GAIN AI法案》,其核心是重塑AI芯片的全球供应链分配逻辑,要求芯片公司在向“受关注国家”出口产品前,必须优先满足美国客户的订单。</p>\n<p>尽管该法案的修改版本曾获得<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>等云服务巨头的积极回应,但对于英伟达这类硬件制造商而言,该法案构成了直接的监管风险和收入威胁。</p>\n<p>因此,该法案未能进入NDAA的最终版本,对英伟达及其他半导体公司来说是好消息,这消除了市场对新一轮出口管制可能扰乱其全球收入来源的担忧。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>报道:黄仁勋游说成功,美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n报道:黄仁勋游说成功,美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-04 08:39 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760678><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>英伟达的强力游说取得关键成果,一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售先进AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》,预计将不会被纳入美国年度国防法案。\n据媒体援引一位知情人士消息,《GAIN AI法案》的措施目前未被纳入将于周五公布的年度国防政策法案(NDAA)的最终文本中。该法案原计划要求英伟达和AMD等芯片制造商,在向受限制国家出口其强大的AI芯片之前,必须优先满足美国客户的需求。\n尽管该知情人士补充说情况仍...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760678\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"LU1366333091.USD":"FIDELITY GLOBAL FOCUS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0124676726.USD":"AB SICAV I - SUSTAINABLE US THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU0965508806.USD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU0979878070.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE0004086264.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) 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ACC","07788":"南方两倍做多英伟达"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760678","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2588073554","content_text":"英伟达的强力游说取得关键成果,一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售先进AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》,预计将不会被纳入美国年度国防法案。\n据媒体援引一位知情人士消息,《GAIN AI法案》的措施目前未被纳入将于周五公布的年度国防政策法案(NDAA)的最终文本中。该法案原计划要求英伟达和AMD等芯片制造商,在向受限制国家出口其强大的AI芯片之前,必须优先满足美国客户的需求。\n尽管该知情人士补充说情况仍有意外生变的可能性,但目前的进展对芯片行业而言无疑是一个积极信号。\n英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋随后将国会不将该法案纳入NDAA的决定形容为“明智的”,并表示《GAIN AI法案》对美国的潜在危害巨大。本周三,他曾亲赴华盛顿,与美国总统特朗普及多位关键议员会面。\n黄仁勋亲赴华盛顿斡旋\n黄仁勋的个人斡旋,被视为推动事态发展的关键一步。他于周三现身华盛顿,在国会与多名议员会面。在议长迈克·约翰逊的办公室外,黄仁勋告诉记者,他此行的目的是“回答有关AI的问题”。\n黄仁勋一直坚定地主张,允许美国公司服务全球市场最终对美国有利。他的观点显然在行政当局内部获得了共鸣。\n在国会做出初步决定后,黄仁勋公开表示,《GAIN AI法案》“对美国的危害甚至比《AI扩散规则》更大”。华尔街见闻提及,《AI扩散规则》政策由美国商务部于今年1月发布,它将英伟达等公司的芯片出口目的地分为三个大类国家进行监管,意图进一步限制AI芯片和技术的出口。\n激烈的游说战告一段落\n《GAIN AI法案》的搁置,为一场围绕AI技术出口管制的激烈游说战画上了句号。\n法案的支持者主要由对国家安全持强硬立场的议员和AI安全倡导人士构成,他们希望通过立法确保美国在国内的AI算力优势。\n而反对方法案的阵营则由英伟达和其他行业参与者组成,他们担心此类限制会扼杀全球竞争,并损害美国企业的市场地位。\n英伟达方面辩称,该法案并无必要性,因为公司不会以牺牲美国客户的供应为代价,同时限制性的贸易政策将阻碍创新。\n白宫或介入支持行业立场\n华尔街见闻写道,据媒体援引四位知情人士的报道,白宫在此次立法博弈中扮演了关键角色。报道称,白宫关键官员向国会山施压,要求议员们将《GAIN AI法案》排除在年度国防授权法案之外。\n据悉,此次行动由白宫“AI沙皇”David Sacks带头,并获得了白宫立法事务办公室的支持。他们直接致电众议院多数党领袖Steve Scalise等关键议员,明确表达了反对意见。\n知情人士称,在高层介入后,该限制性条款被纳入最终法案的可能性已降至“几乎为零”。这一干预凸显了行政当局内部对于在当前节点进一步收紧AI芯片出口政策的审慎态度。\n法案核心争议:优先满足美国客户与“受关注国家”\n引发争议的《GAIN AI法案》,其核心是重塑AI芯片的全球供应链分配逻辑,要求芯片公司在向“受关注国家”出口产品前,必须优先满足美国客户的订单。\n尽管该法案的修改版本曾获得亚马逊和微软等云服务巨头的积极回应,但对于英伟达这类硬件制造商而言,该法案构成了直接的监管风险和收入威胁。\n因此,该法案未能进入NDAA的最终版本,对英伟达及其他半导体公司来说是好消息,这消除了市场对新一轮出口管制可能扰乱其全球收入来源的担忧。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDL":2,"07788":2,"NVDA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":507055988752464,"gmtCreate":1764823548287,"gmtModify":1764823550802,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"业内人士其实都知道这个泡沫,只是不清楚大到什么程度了,什么时候能破罢了[捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"业内人士其实都知道这个泡沫,只是不清楚大到什么程度了,什么时候能破罢了[捂脸] [捂脸] ","text":"业内人士其实都知道这个泡沫,只是不清楚大到什么程度了,什么时候能破罢了[捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/507055988752464","repostId":"1110971451","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110971451","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1764814503,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110971451?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-04 10:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"AI泡沫论再现?传微软下修AI销售目标,隔夜股价跳水","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110971451","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"微软下调部分AI新品的销售增长目标昨晚美股交易时段,微软股价受此消息影响一度下跌约 3%,收盘跌2.5%,显示资本市场对AI新品推进速度放缓的敏感反应。据微软Azure云业务的两名销售人员透露,多个部门已下调销售团队在今年度需实现的AI产品销售增速,因为上一个财年许多销售人员未达成增长目标。微软发言人回应称,公司层面的AI产品“整体销售配额并未下调”,但未直接评论部分产品的增长指标调整。","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3 id=\"id_2195826232\">微软下调部分AI新品的销售增长目标</h3><p>昨晚美股交易时段,微软股价受此消息影响一度下跌约 3%,收盘跌2.5%,显示资本市场对AI新品推进速度放缓的敏感反应。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20148859e8e3e4c97c6071afb7f6d2b9\" alt=\"\"/>2025年,微软及多家企业软件巨头曾高调宣称,人工智能将具备处理多步骤复杂任务的能力,例如根据企业销售数据自动生成管理仪表盘。然而临近年底,微软对市场推广进度降低了预期,并下调了多款新AI产品(即“AI Agent”代理式应用)的销售增长指标。</p><p>据微软Azure云业务的两名销售人员透露,多个部门已下调销售团队在今年度需实现的AI产品销售增速,因为上一个财年(截至6月)许多销售人员未达成增长目标。微软通常很少针对具体产品下调销售配额,因此这一调整颇为罕见。</p><p>这反映出微软正面临来自企业客户的现实阻力:企业对AI的新投入更为谨慎。过去一年里,不少公司抱怨难以衡量AI带来的节约效果,例如自动撰写客户报告、挖掘销售线索等场景;一些与财务或安全相关的任务更要求高准确性,AI稍有偏差就可能导致成本增加,进一步加大了企业采购顾虑。</p><p>尽管如此,AI仍显著拉动了微软整体业务增长,主要来源包括OpenAI等AI企业对微软云服务器的大量租用(预计今年OpenAI将向微软采购约150亿美元的云资源)以及微软自身的AI软件,如Microsoft 365 Copilot和GitHub Copilot。(出于会计规则,微软只能确认其中约70亿美元为收入。)</p><p>不过,要让传统企业大规模采用更复杂的AI应用,进展依然缓慢。</p><p>例如,私募股权集团凯雷(Carlyle)去年开始使用微软的Copilot Studio,这是一款可让企业通过“零代码”方式构建自动化AI代理,完成会议纪要总结、根据Excel生成财务模型等任务。但知情人士透露,凯雷在使用过程中发现,AI无法稳定获取来自其他软件(如Salesforce CRM)中的关键数据,导致某些自动化流程无法顺利运行。</p><p>因此今年秋季,凯雷削减了这类产品的使用投入。凯雷方面表示,其整体AI预算仍在提升,但会更聚焦于有效工具。</p><p><strong>微软发言人回应称,公司层面的AI产品“整体销售配额并未下调”,但未直接评论部分产品的增长指标调整。</strong></p><h3 id=\"id_1791762400\">部分业务销售目标为何下调?</h3><p>在Azure云业务内部,多支销售团队去年为AI产品设定了激进的增长目标,但由于完成率远低于预期,今年已普遍下调要求。</p><p>例如,一个面向美国市场的Azure团队,去年要求销售人员推动Foundry(帮助企业开发AI应用的平台)使用量同比提升50%,但最终只有不到20%的销售人员达标。今年该团队已将增长目标降至25%左右。另一支团队此前要求将Foundry销售翻倍,也在今年将增长目标下调至50%。</p><h3 id=\"id_1550106421\">多家科技公司都在降低AI收入预期</h3><p>微软并非唯一调整预期的大型软件厂商。</p><p><strong>OpenAI近期将未来五年AI代理业务的收入预测下调了260亿美元,并计划通过ChatGPT订阅收入、可能推出的广告业务等渠道补足</strong>。此外,CEO Sam Altman表示,公司将暂缓健康、购物等领域的AI代理开发,优先解决ChatGPT的稳定性问题。</p><p>相比之下,没有自建大型云基础设施的软件企业(如Salesforce 和 ServiceNow)承受的压力更大,只能通过打折促销吸引客户尝鲜。亚马逊AWS和Anthropic则投入大量资源,协助客户部署AI应用,类似传统咨询服务。</p><p>这样的调整并非首次,<strong>早在去年,谷歌和亚马逊也曾下调企业AI销售预期</strong>,因为企业付费导入新AI工具的速度远慢于科技公司想象。</p><h3 id=\"id_1673436913\">企业仍期待AI带来回报,但尚需时间</h3><p>尽管目前实现效果有限,一些企业仍在继续投入优化AI代理的落地流程。例如,网络安全公司Cohesity正在测试由Copilot Studio和Foundry提供的AI代理,尝试自动为销售团队撰写客户报告。公司正在开发新的代码接口,以便让AI更好地访问来自不同系统的数据。</p><p>Cohesity CIO Brian Spanswick表示:“再给我三个月,我就能向董事会展示实际回报。”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AI泡沫论再现?传微软下修AI销售目标,隔夜股价跳水</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAI泡沫论再现?传微软下修AI销售目标,隔夜股价跳水\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-12-04 10:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h3 id=\"id_2195826232\">微软下调部分AI新品的销售增长目标</h3><p>昨晚美股交易时段,微软股价受此消息影响一度下跌约 3%,收盘跌2.5%,显示资本市场对AI新品推进速度放缓的敏感反应。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20148859e8e3e4c97c6071afb7f6d2b9\" alt=\"\"/>2025年,微软及多家企业软件巨头曾高调宣称,人工智能将具备处理多步骤复杂任务的能力,例如根据企业销售数据自动生成管理仪表盘。然而临近年底,微软对市场推广进度降低了预期,并下调了多款新AI产品(即“AI Agent”代理式应用)的销售增长指标。</p><p>据微软Azure云业务的两名销售人员透露,多个部门已下调销售团队在今年度需实现的AI产品销售增速,因为上一个财年(截至6月)许多销售人员未达成增长目标。微软通常很少针对具体产品下调销售配额,因此这一调整颇为罕见。</p><p>这反映出微软正面临来自企业客户的现实阻力:企业对AI的新投入更为谨慎。过去一年里,不少公司抱怨难以衡量AI带来的节约效果,例如自动撰写客户报告、挖掘销售线索等场景;一些与财务或安全相关的任务更要求高准确性,AI稍有偏差就可能导致成本增加,进一步加大了企业采购顾虑。</p><p>尽管如此,AI仍显著拉动了微软整体业务增长,主要来源包括OpenAI等AI企业对微软云服务器的大量租用(预计今年OpenAI将向微软采购约150亿美元的云资源)以及微软自身的AI软件,如Microsoft 365 Copilot和GitHub Copilot。(出于会计规则,微软只能确认其中约70亿美元为收入。)</p><p>不过,要让传统企业大规模采用更复杂的AI应用,进展依然缓慢。</p><p>例如,私募股权集团凯雷(Carlyle)去年开始使用微软的Copilot Studio,这是一款可让企业通过“零代码”方式构建自动化AI代理,完成会议纪要总结、根据Excel生成财务模型等任务。但知情人士透露,凯雷在使用过程中发现,AI无法稳定获取来自其他软件(如Salesforce CRM)中的关键数据,导致某些自动化流程无法顺利运行。</p><p>因此今年秋季,凯雷削减了这类产品的使用投入。凯雷方面表示,其整体AI预算仍在提升,但会更聚焦于有效工具。</p><p><strong>微软发言人回应称,公司层面的AI产品“整体销售配额并未下调”,但未直接评论部分产品的增长指标调整。</strong></p><h3 id=\"id_1791762400\">部分业务销售目标为何下调?</h3><p>在Azure云业务内部,多支销售团队去年为AI产品设定了激进的增长目标,但由于完成率远低于预期,今年已普遍下调要求。</p><p>例如,一个面向美国市场的Azure团队,去年要求销售人员推动Foundry(帮助企业开发AI应用的平台)使用量同比提升50%,但最终只有不到20%的销售人员达标。今年该团队已将增长目标降至25%左右。另一支团队此前要求将Foundry销售翻倍,也在今年将增长目标下调至50%。</p><h3 id=\"id_1550106421\">多家科技公司都在降低AI收入预期</h3><p>微软并非唯一调整预期的大型软件厂商。</p><p><strong>OpenAI近期将未来五年AI代理业务的收入预测下调了260亿美元,并计划通过ChatGPT订阅收入、可能推出的广告业务等渠道补足</strong>。此外,CEO Sam Altman表示,公司将暂缓健康、购物等领域的AI代理开发,优先解决ChatGPT的稳定性问题。</p><p>相比之下,没有自建大型云基础设施的软件企业(如Salesforce 和 ServiceNow)承受的压力更大,只能通过打折促销吸引客户尝鲜。亚马逊AWS和Anthropic则投入大量资源,协助客户部署AI应用,类似传统咨询服务。</p><p>这样的调整并非首次,<strong>早在去年,谷歌和亚马逊也曾下调企业AI销售预期</strong>,因为企业付费导入新AI工具的速度远慢于科技公司想象。</p><h3 id=\"id_1673436913\">企业仍期待AI带来回报,但尚需时间</h3><p>尽管目前实现效果有限,一些企业仍在继续投入优化AI代理的落地流程。例如,网络安全公司Cohesity正在测试由Copilot Studio和Foundry提供的AI代理,尝试自动为销售团队撰写客户报告。公司正在开发新的代码接口,以便让AI更好地访问来自不同系统的数据。</p><p>Cohesity CIO Brian Spanswick表示:“再给我三个月,我就能向董事会展示实际回报。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/556acfb895c7cc721517dba494c0775b","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110971451","content_text":"微软下调部分AI新品的销售增长目标昨晚美股交易时段,微软股价受此消息影响一度下跌约 3%,收盘跌2.5%,显示资本市场对AI新品推进速度放缓的敏感反应。2025年,微软及多家企业软件巨头曾高调宣称,人工智能将具备处理多步骤复杂任务的能力,例如根据企业销售数据自动生成管理仪表盘。然而临近年底,微软对市场推广进度降低了预期,并下调了多款新AI产品(即“AI Agent”代理式应用)的销售增长指标。据微软Azure云业务的两名销售人员透露,多个部门已下调销售团队在今年度需实现的AI产品销售增速,因为上一个财年(截至6月)许多销售人员未达成增长目标。微软通常很少针对具体产品下调销售配额,因此这一调整颇为罕见。这反映出微软正面临来自企业客户的现实阻力:企业对AI的新投入更为谨慎。过去一年里,不少公司抱怨难以衡量AI带来的节约效果,例如自动撰写客户报告、挖掘销售线索等场景;一些与财务或安全相关的任务更要求高准确性,AI稍有偏差就可能导致成本增加,进一步加大了企业采购顾虑。尽管如此,AI仍显著拉动了微软整体业务增长,主要来源包括OpenAI等AI企业对微软云服务器的大量租用(预计今年OpenAI将向微软采购约150亿美元的云资源)以及微软自身的AI软件,如Microsoft 365 Copilot和GitHub Copilot。(出于会计规则,微软只能确认其中约70亿美元为收入。)不过,要让传统企业大规模采用更复杂的AI应用,进展依然缓慢。例如,私募股权集团凯雷(Carlyle)去年开始使用微软的Copilot Studio,这是一款可让企业通过“零代码”方式构建自动化AI代理,完成会议纪要总结、根据Excel生成财务模型等任务。但知情人士透露,凯雷在使用过程中发现,AI无法稳定获取来自其他软件(如Salesforce CRM)中的关键数据,导致某些自动化流程无法顺利运行。因此今年秋季,凯雷削减了这类产品的使用投入。凯雷方面表示,其整体AI预算仍在提升,但会更聚焦于有效工具。微软发言人回应称,公司层面的AI产品“整体销售配额并未下调”,但未直接评论部分产品的增长指标调整。部分业务销售目标为何下调?在Azure云业务内部,多支销售团队去年为AI产品设定了激进的增长目标,但由于完成率远低于预期,今年已普遍下调要求。例如,一个面向美国市场的Azure团队,去年要求销售人员推动Foundry(帮助企业开发AI应用的平台)使用量同比提升50%,但最终只有不到20%的销售人员达标。今年该团队已将增长目标降至25%左右。另一支团队此前要求将Foundry销售翻倍,也在今年将增长目标下调至50%。多家科技公司都在降低AI收入预期微软并非唯一调整预期的大型软件厂商。OpenAI近期将未来五年AI代理业务的收入预测下调了260亿美元,并计划通过ChatGPT订阅收入、可能推出的广告业务等渠道补足。此外,CEO Sam Altman表示,公司将暂缓健康、购物等领域的AI代理开发,优先解决ChatGPT的稳定性问题。相比之下,没有自建大型云基础设施的软件企业(如Salesforce 和 ServiceNow)承受的压力更大,只能通过打折促销吸引客户尝鲜。亚马逊AWS和Anthropic则投入大量资源,协助客户部署AI应用,类似传统咨询服务。这样的调整并非首次,早在去年,谷歌和亚马逊也曾下调企业AI销售预期,因为企业付费导入新AI工具的速度远慢于科技公司想象。企业仍期待AI带来回报,但尚需时间尽管目前实现效果有限,一些企业仍在继续投入优化AI代理的落地流程。例如,网络安全公司Cohesity正在测试由Copilot Studio和Foundry提供的AI代理,尝试自动为销售团队撰写客户报告。公司正在开发新的代码接口,以便让AI更好地访问来自不同系统的数据。Cohesity CIO Brian Spanswick表示:“再给我三个月,我就能向董事会展示实际回报。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":506856767176896,"gmtCreate":1764774919583,"gmtModify":1764774921957,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这是逢高出货的提示[捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"这是逢高出货的提示[捂脸] [捂脸] ","text":"这是逢高出货的提示[捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506856767176896","repostId":"2588658092","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2588658092","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1764738815,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2588658092?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-03 13:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"英伟达“霸主地位”危矣?大摩力挺上调目标价:还能再涨38%!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2588658092","media":"上海有色网","summary":"英伟达的股价上个月下跌了9%,就连该公司第三季度的超亮眼“成绩单”也未能为其和更广泛的人工智能行业带来新的动力。但大摩分析师Joseph Moore本周反驳了悲观论调,并将该股的目标价从此前的235美元上调至250美元。这是当前华尔街最高的目标价之一,意味着该股还能较当前水平上涨约38%。事实上,关于英伟达在人工智能市场的主导地位可能受到威胁的猜测并不新鲜。不过,在大摩看来,其他芯片制造商不会对英伟达构成重大威胁。","content":"<html><body><article><p>最近几周,炙手可热的人工智能(AI)交易似乎正面临着一次“重大洗牌”风险:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>杀出重围,风头盖过<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>。但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>(Morgan Stanley)最新安抚投资者称,目前还没有太多理由担心这家“AI霸主”。</p><p>英伟达的股价上个月下跌了9%,就连该公司第三季度的超亮眼“成绩单”也未能为其和更广泛的人工智能行业带来新的动力。日本首富、软银孙正义和亿万富翁彼得·蒂尔(Peter Thiel)等知名投资者相继清仓英伟达,一时间,对泡沫的担忧笼罩了市场。</p><p>但<strong>大摩分析师Joseph Moore本周反驳了悲观论调,并将该股的目标价从此前的235美元上调至250美元。</strong>这是当前华尔街最高的目标价之一,意味着该股还能较当前水平上涨约38%。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20251203131336375d1638mvh6ybk4u2\"/><p>他认为,<strong>这家人工智能领导者市场份额面临的威胁,特别是在亚洲市场的威胁,被夸大了。</strong></p><p>事实上,关于英伟达在人工智能市场的主导地位可能受到威胁的猜测并不新鲜。自从ChatGPT在2022年掀起AI热潮、英伟达成为独一无二的“宠儿”以来,投资者一直想知道它作为最大的人工智能硬件制造商的地位能保持多久。</p><p>而在ChatGPT发布近三年后的今天,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌</a>似有重塑AI芯片市场之势:随着Gemini 3的横空出世,其自研AI芯片TPU(张量处理单元)终于从幕后走到台前。眼看着自己GPU霸主地位被撼动,英伟达紧急发布声明强调,自家产品比ASIC拥有更高的性能、更强的通用性以及更好的可替代性。</p><p>不过,<strong>在大摩看来,其他芯片制造商不会对英伟达构成重大威胁。</strong>与此同时,这位分析师最近还访问了亚洲,并分享了他对英伟达为何不应担心来自东方的竞争的看法。</p><p>“尽管人们对亚洲的人工智能解决方案给予了很大的关注,但我们认为,它们在多个层面上都非常有限,包括集群规模和向外扩展技术,而且亚洲的软件仍然希望获得西方的解决方案。”他在报告中写道。</p><p>另一方面,黄仁勋在10月底的GTC大会上曾透露,英伟达在2025年到2026年日历年全年合计拥有高达5000亿美元的AI GPU算力基础设施订单,这些订单对应的是处于本轮全球布局人工智能大浪潮核心的该公司Blackwell架构以及2026年将推出的Rubin架构AI GPU算力集群。</p><p>对此,Moore表示,他的团队已“核实”了之一预期。</p><p>“在与亚洲和美国的几位联系人会面后,我们愿意上调预期,以使收入达到这一水平。”他补充道。</p><p>最后,<strong>虽然这位分析师也上调了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002835\">同为</a>芯片制造商的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>(Broadcom)的目标股价,但Moore表示,他仍认为英伟达是该行业的明显赢家。</strong></p><p>“我们预测,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600455\">博通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>的人工智能处理器收入在2026年的增长速度将略快于英伟达,但这主要反映了供应链的限制,所有关键产品在2026年都将受到供应限制。”他说。</p><p>整体而言,<strong>大摩相信,即使人工智能芯片市场的竞争加剧,英伟达仍将保持最佳的性价比,并能够比竞争对手获得更广泛的人工智能应用和工作负载。</strong></p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达“霸主地位”危矣?大摩力挺上调目标价:还能再涨38%!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ 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Stanley)最新安抚投资者称,目前还没有太多理由担心这家“AI霸主”。英伟达的股价上个月下跌了9%,就连该公司第三季度的超亮眼“成绩单”也未能为其和更广泛的人工智能行业带来新的动力。日本首富、软银孙正义和亿万富翁彼得·蒂尔(Peter Thiel)等知名投资者相继...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251203131342a720aeb2&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251203131342a720aeb2&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2588658092","content_text":"最近几周,炙手可热的人工智能(AI)交易似乎正面临着一次“重大洗牌”风险:谷歌杀出重围,风头盖过英伟达。但摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)最新安抚投资者称,目前还没有太多理由担心这家“AI霸主”。英伟达的股价上个月下跌了9%,就连该公司第三季度的超亮眼“成绩单”也未能为其和更广泛的人工智能行业带来新的动力。日本首富、软银孙正义和亿万富翁彼得·蒂尔(Peter Thiel)等知名投资者相继清仓英伟达,一时间,对泡沫的担忧笼罩了市场。但大摩分析师Joseph Moore本周反驳了悲观论调,并将该股的目标价从此前的235美元上调至250美元。这是当前华尔街最高的目标价之一,意味着该股还能较当前水平上涨约38%。他认为,这家人工智能领导者市场份额面临的威胁,特别是在亚洲市场的威胁,被夸大了。事实上,关于英伟达在人工智能市场的主导地位可能受到威胁的猜测并不新鲜。自从ChatGPT在2022年掀起AI热潮、英伟达成为独一无二的“宠儿”以来,投资者一直想知道它作为最大的人工智能硬件制造商的地位能保持多久。而在ChatGPT发布近三年后的今天,谷歌似有重塑AI芯片市场之势:随着Gemini 3的横空出世,其自研AI芯片TPU(张量处理单元)终于从幕后走到台前。眼看着自己GPU霸主地位被撼动,英伟达紧急发布声明强调,自家产品比ASIC拥有更高的性能、更强的通用性以及更好的可替代性。不过,在大摩看来,其他芯片制造商不会对英伟达构成重大威胁。与此同时,这位分析师最近还访问了亚洲,并分享了他对英伟达为何不应担心来自东方的竞争的看法。“尽管人们对亚洲的人工智能解决方案给予了很大的关注,但我们认为,它们在多个层面上都非常有限,包括集群规模和向外扩展技术,而且亚洲的软件仍然希望获得西方的解决方案。”他在报告中写道。另一方面,黄仁勋在10月底的GTC大会上曾透露,英伟达在2025年到2026年日历年全年合计拥有高达5000亿美元的AI GPU算力基础设施订单,这些订单对应的是处于本轮全球布局人工智能大浪潮核心的该公司Blackwell架构以及2026年将推出的Rubin架构AI GPU算力集群。对此,Moore表示,他的团队已“核实”了之一预期。“在与亚洲和美国的几位联系人会面后,我们愿意上调预期,以使收入达到这一水平。”他补充道。最后,虽然这位分析师也上调了同为芯片制造商的博通(Broadcom)的目标股价,但Moore表示,他仍认为英伟达是该行业的明显赢家。“我们预测,博通和AMD的人工智能处理器收入在2026年的增长速度将略快于英伟达,但这主要反映了供应链的限制,所有关键产品在2026年都将受到供应限制。”他说。整体而言,大摩相信,即使人工智能芯片市场的竞争加剧,英伟达仍将保持最佳的性价比,并能够比竞争对手获得更广泛的人工智能应用和工作负载。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":503463855038824,"gmtCreate":1763944654112,"gmtModify":1763944656010,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 用脚投票[捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"<a 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