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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-09-03
  Fast fast shoot up ah!!
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-08-31
  Zoom down!!
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-08-27
  We need the technoking!!!
  Can Tesla Shares Hit $900 Again This Year?<blockquote>特斯拉股价今年能否再次触及900美元？</blockquote>
  Electric vehicle maker Tesla Motors' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling
  Can Tesla Shares Hit $900 Again This Year?<blockquote>特斯拉股价今年能否再次触及900美元？</blockquote>
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-07-29
  Ready player one!!
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  1,769 评论
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-07-10
  Not Gamestop or AMC? [Miser]
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-06-30
  How about salary spike?
  Here’s what inflation’s spike means for stocks now<blockquote>这就是通胀飙升对股市的意义</blockquote>
  Expectations about inflation’s short-term impact on growth- and value stocks have no historical basi
  Here’s what inflation’s spike means for stocks now<blockquote>这就是通胀飙升对股市的意义</blockquote>
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-06-29
  S&P 500-to-BTC? New ratio?
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-06-27
  No no, to the moon!!
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,525 评论
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-06-26
  Crypto winter…
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- HYYOONGHYYOONG
  ·2021-06-21
  Housing market as tight as my wallet?
  Tight U.S. Housing Market Uncoils With Sellers Ready to Cash Out<blockquote>美国房地产市场紧张，卖家准备套现</blockquote>
  (Bloomberg) -- Prospective home sellers who sat tight as U.S. prices climbed higher and faster than
  Tight U.S. Housing Market Uncoils With Sellers Ready to Cash Out<blockquote>美国房地产市场紧张，卖家准备套现</blockquote>
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fast shoot up ah!!","listText":"Fast fast shoot up ah!!","text":"Fast fast shoot up ah!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812704023","repostId":"1166895425","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818088767,"gmtCreate":1630366315359,"gmtModify":1704959057874,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Zoom down!!","listText":"Zoom down!!","text":"Zoom down!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818088767","repostId":"2163835648","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810728834,"gmtCreate":1630018110728,"gmtModify":1704954533692,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"We need the technoking!!!","listText":"We need the technoking!!!","text":"We need the technoking!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810728834","repostId":"1161561973","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161561973","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629991651,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161561973?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-26 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla Shares Hit $900 Again This Year?<blockquote>特斯拉股价今年能否再次触及900美元？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161561973","media":"investing.com","summary":"Electric vehicle maker Tesla Motors' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling","content":"<p>Electric vehicle maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a>' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling from a record high $900.40, hit intraday on Jan. 25, TSLA shares have gained 17% during the past three months, outperforming the benchmark&nbsp;NASDAQ 100&nbsp;Index.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股价再次上涨。在从1月25日盘中触及的900.40美元的历史新高下跌后，特斯拉股价在过去三个月内上涨了17%，跑赢了基准纳斯达克100指数。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest question Tesla bulls now have is, whether, on top of the current gains, can the EV manufacturer's stock push through back to the all-time high of $900 this year?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉多头现在面临的最大问题是，除了当前的涨幅之外，这家电动汽车制造商的股价今年能否回升至900美元的历史高点？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b9078f00190f208dd63b32c4f617c6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"708\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Tesla Weekly Chart.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉周线图。</blockquote></p><p> Given the highly volatile nature of the stock, it’s tough to predict whether the current Tesla rally has legs. But it’s important to note that the outlook for its car sales is becoming more uncertain than it was a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于该股的高度波动性，很难预测当前的特斯拉反弹是否持续。但值得注意的是，其汽车销售前景比一年前变得更加不确定。</blockquote></p><p> First, the global chip shortage continues to cast doubt on Tesla’s ambitious sales targets for 2021. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk highlighted challenges that come from the unpredictability of chip supplies and the hurdles he expects in ramping production at two new factories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, later this year.</p><p><blockquote>首先，全球芯片短缺继续让人们对特斯拉2021年雄心勃勃的销售目标产生怀疑。首席执行官埃隆·马斯克强调了芯片供应的不可预测性带来的挑战，以及他预计今年晚些时候在德克萨斯州奥斯汀和柏林的两家新工厂提高产量的障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla again delayed delivery of its semi-trailer truck—already two years late. The first trucks of this type are now slated for 2022. The company attributed the delay to supply-chain issues and limited battery-cell supply, as well as management trying to focus on getting new factories online. The company’s plans for its first pickup truck, once expected to go to customers as early as this year, are also being affected by parts issues.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次推迟了半挂卡车的交付——已经晚了两年。第一批这种类型的卡车预计于2022年上市。该公司将延迟归因于供应链问题和电池供应有限，以及管理层试图专注于让新工厂上线。该公司首款皮卡的计划一度预计最早将于今年交付给客户，但也受到零部件问题的影响。</blockquote></p><p> This is what Musk told analysts last month:</p><p><blockquote>这是马斯克上个月对分析师说的话：</blockquote></p><p>   “While we’re making cars at full speed, the global chip-shortage situation remains quite serious. For the rest of this year, our growth rate will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain.”  Regulatory Probe</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重。在今年剩下的时间里，我们的增长率将由供应链中最慢的部分决定。”监管探针</blockquote></p><p> Besides the risks to the market’s earnings consensus for this fiscal year, Tesla is facing a regulatory probe that could result in a massive recall.</p><p><blockquote>除了本财年市场盈利共识面临风险外，特斯拉还面临监管调查，可能导致大规模召回。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S.opened a formal investigation&nbsp;into Tesla’s Autopilot system last week after almost a dozen collisions involving first-responder vehicles. In the last seven years, Tesla has charged clients thousands of dollars for this feature.</p><p><blockquote>在发生了近十几起涉及急救车辆的碰撞事件后，美国上周对特斯拉的自动驾驶系统展开了正式调查。在过去的七年里，特斯拉为此向客户收取了数千美元的费用。</blockquote></p><p> The probe by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) covers an estimated 765,000 Tesla Model Y, X, S and 3 vehicles from the 2014 model year onward. The regulator—which has the power to deem cars defective and order recalls—said&nbsp;it launched the investigation after 11 crashes that resulted in 17 injuries and one fatality.</p><p><blockquote>美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)的调查涵盖了2014车型年起约765,000辆特斯拉Model Y、X、S和3辆汽车。该监管机构有权认定汽车有缺陷并下令召回，该监管机构表示，在发生11起导致17人受伤、1人死亡的事故后，它启动了调查。</blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg reported&nbsp;that Tesla has been criticized for years for labeling the system in a potentially misleading way. Since late 2016, it has marketed this higher-level functionality feature as Full Self-Driving Capability. In reality, Autopilot is a driver-assistance system that maintains vehicles’ speed and keeps them centered in lanes when engaged, though the driver is supposed to supervise at all times.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社报道称，特斯拉多年来一直因以可能误导的方式给该系统贴上标签而受到批评。自2016年底以来，它一直将这一更高级别的功能特性作为全自动驾驶功能进行营销。事实上，自动驾驶仪是一种驾驶员辅助系统，可以保持车辆的速度并在启动时使其保持在车道中央，尽管驾驶员应该始终进行监督。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla now sells that package of features—often referred to as FSD—for $10,000 or $199 a month.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉现在以每月10,000美元或199美元的价格出售该功能包（通常称为FSD）。</blockquote></p><p> After the NHTSA launched of the probe, two Democratic senators asked the Federal Trade Commission to also investigate Tesla over the company’s advertising of its Autopilot and FSD technology.</p><p><blockquote>NHTSA发起调查后，两名民主党参议员要求联邦贸易委员会也调查特斯拉公司宣传其Autopilot和FSD技术的行为。</blockquote></p><p> In a&nbsp;letter&nbsp;last Wednesday, Sen. Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut and Sen. Ed Markey of Massachusetts asked FTC Chair Lina Khan to examine whether Tesla used “potentially deceptive and unfair practices” in its marketing of those technologies.</p><p><blockquote>在上周三的一封信中，康涅狄格参议员Richard Blumenthal和麻萨诸塞州参议员Ed Markey要求FTC主席Lina Khan调查特斯拉在营销这些技术时是否使用了“潜在的欺骗性和不公平的做法”。</blockquote></p><p> “We fear that Tesla’s Autopilot and FSD features are not as mature and reliable as the company pitches to the public,” they wrote, pointing to comments from Musk, as well as a 2019 YouTube video entitled “Full Self-Driving” and has a link to Tesla’s site.</p><p><blockquote>“我们担心特斯拉的Autopilot和FSD功能并不像该公司向公众宣传的那样成熟和可靠，”他们写道，并指出了马斯克的评论，以及2019年YouTube上一段题为“全自动驾驶”的视频，并有一个指向特斯拉网站的链接。</blockquote></p><p> Highlighting these risks and how they could affect Tesla’s current stock price, however, shouldn’t hide the fact that there are many analysts who continue to remain bullish on TSLA. Piper Sandler reiterated its overweight rating on the stock and its price target of $1,200 this month.</p><p><blockquote>然而，强调这些风险以及它们如何影响特斯拉当前的股价不应掩盖这样一个事实：许多分析师继续看好特斯拉。Piper Sandler重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级以及本月1200美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> In a note, analysts Alexander Potter and Winnie Dong said:</p><p><blockquote>分析师Alexander Potter和Winnie Dong在一份报告中表示：</blockquote></p><p>   “Bottom line: We still really like this stock. Tesla is still the driving force behind higher [battery electric vehicle] penetration globally.”  <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote>“底线：我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。特斯拉仍然是全球[纯电动汽车]渗透率更高的驱动力。”<b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s difficult to predict the future course for Tesla stock given the huge amount of speculative interest in this name. But recent developments show that it will be quite hard for the EV automaker to exceed expectations in this tough manufacturing environment.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于人们对特斯拉股票的巨大投机兴趣，很难预测该股票的未来走势。但最近的事态发展表明，在这种严峻的制造环境下，这家电动汽车制造商很难超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should trade this name with caution.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应谨慎交易该名称。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1594375853987","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla Shares Hit $900 Again This Year?<blockquote>特斯拉股价今年能否再次触及900美元？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla Shares Hit $900 Again This Year?<blockquote>特斯拉股价今年能否再次触及900美元？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investing.com</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-26 23:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Electric vehicle maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a>' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling from a record high $900.40, hit intraday on Jan. 25, TSLA shares have gained 17% during the past three months, outperforming the benchmark&nbsp;NASDAQ 100&nbsp;Index.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>（纳斯达克：TSLA）股价再次上涨。在从1月25日盘中触及的900.40美元的历史新高下跌后，特斯拉股价在过去三个月内上涨了17%，跑赢了基准纳斯达克100指数。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest question Tesla bulls now have is, whether, on top of the current gains, can the EV manufacturer's stock push through back to the all-time high of $900 this year?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉多头现在面临的最大问题是，除了当前的涨幅之外，这家电动汽车制造商的股价今年能否回升至900美元的历史高点？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b9078f00190f208dd63b32c4f617c6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"708\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Tesla Weekly Chart.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉周线图。</blockquote></p><p> Given the highly volatile nature of the stock, it’s tough to predict whether the current Tesla rally has legs. But it’s important to note that the outlook for its car sales is becoming more uncertain than it was a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于该股的高度波动性，很难预测当前的特斯拉反弹是否持续。但值得注意的是，其汽车销售前景比一年前变得更加不确定。</blockquote></p><p> First, the global chip shortage continues to cast doubt on Tesla’s ambitious sales targets for 2021. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk highlighted challenges that come from the unpredictability of chip supplies and the hurdles he expects in ramping production at two new factories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, later this year.</p><p><blockquote>首先，全球芯片短缺继续让人们对特斯拉2021年雄心勃勃的销售目标产生怀疑。首席执行官埃隆·马斯克强调了芯片供应的不可预测性带来的挑战，以及他预计今年晚些时候在德克萨斯州奥斯汀和柏林的两家新工厂提高产量的障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla again delayed delivery of its semi-trailer truck—already two years late. The first trucks of this type are now slated for 2022. The company attributed the delay to supply-chain issues and limited battery-cell supply, as well as management trying to focus on getting new factories online. The company’s plans for its first pickup truck, once expected to go to customers as early as this year, are also being affected by parts issues.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次推迟了半挂卡车的交付——已经晚了两年。第一批这种类型的卡车预计于2022年上市。该公司将延迟归因于供应链问题和电池供应有限，以及管理层试图专注于让新工厂上线。该公司首款皮卡的计划一度预计最早将于今年交付给客户，但也受到零部件问题的影响。</blockquote></p><p> This is what Musk told analysts last month:</p><p><blockquote>这是马斯克上个月对分析师说的话：</blockquote></p><p>   “While we’re making cars at full speed, the global chip-shortage situation remains quite serious. For the rest of this year, our growth rate will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain.”  Regulatory Probe</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时，全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重。在今年剩下的时间里，我们的增长率将由供应链中最慢的部分决定。”监管探针</blockquote></p><p> Besides the risks to the market’s earnings consensus for this fiscal year, Tesla is facing a regulatory probe that could result in a massive recall.</p><p><blockquote>除了本财年市场盈利共识面临风险外，特斯拉还面临监管调查，可能导致大规模召回。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S.opened a formal investigation&nbsp;into Tesla’s Autopilot system last week after almost a dozen collisions involving first-responder vehicles. In the last seven years, Tesla has charged clients thousands of dollars for this feature.</p><p><blockquote>在发生了近十几起涉及急救车辆的碰撞事件后，美国上周对特斯拉的自动驾驶系统展开了正式调查。在过去的七年里，特斯拉为此向客户收取了数千美元的费用。</blockquote></p><p> The probe by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) covers an estimated 765,000 Tesla Model Y, X, S and 3 vehicles from the 2014 model year onward. The regulator—which has the power to deem cars defective and order recalls—said&nbsp;it launched the investigation after 11 crashes that resulted in 17 injuries and one fatality.</p><p><blockquote>美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)的调查涵盖了2014车型年起约765,000辆特斯拉Model Y、X、S和3辆汽车。该监管机构有权认定汽车有缺陷并下令召回，该监管机构表示，在发生11起导致17人受伤、1人死亡的事故后，它启动了调查。</blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg reported&nbsp;that Tesla has been criticized for years for labeling the system in a potentially misleading way. Since late 2016, it has marketed this higher-level functionality feature as Full Self-Driving Capability. In reality, Autopilot is a driver-assistance system that maintains vehicles’ speed and keeps them centered in lanes when engaged, though the driver is supposed to supervise at all times.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社报道称，特斯拉多年来一直因以可能误导的方式给该系统贴上标签而受到批评。自2016年底以来，它一直将这一更高级别的功能特性作为全自动驾驶功能进行营销。事实上，自动驾驶仪是一种驾驶员辅助系统，可以保持车辆的速度并在启动时使其保持在车道中央，尽管驾驶员应该始终进行监督。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla now sells that package of features—often referred to as FSD—for $10,000 or $199 a month.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉现在以每月10,000美元或199美元的价格出售该功能包（通常称为FSD）。</blockquote></p><p> After the NHTSA launched of the probe, two Democratic senators asked the Federal Trade Commission to also investigate Tesla over the company’s advertising of its Autopilot and FSD technology.</p><p><blockquote>NHTSA发起调查后，两名民主党参议员要求联邦贸易委员会也调查特斯拉公司宣传其Autopilot和FSD技术的行为。</blockquote></p><p> In a&nbsp;letter&nbsp;last Wednesday, Sen. Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut and Sen. Ed Markey of Massachusetts asked FTC Chair Lina Khan to examine whether Tesla used “potentially deceptive and unfair practices” in its marketing of those technologies.</p><p><blockquote>在上周三的一封信中，康涅狄格参议员Richard Blumenthal和麻萨诸塞州参议员Ed Markey要求FTC主席Lina Khan调查特斯拉在营销这些技术时是否使用了“潜在的欺骗性和不公平的做法”。</blockquote></p><p> “We fear that Tesla’s Autopilot and FSD features are not as mature and reliable as the company pitches to the public,” they wrote, pointing to comments from Musk, as well as a 2019 YouTube video entitled “Full Self-Driving” and has a link to Tesla’s site.</p><p><blockquote>“我们担心特斯拉的Autopilot和FSD功能并不像该公司向公众宣传的那样成熟和可靠，”他们写道，并指出了马斯克的评论，以及2019年YouTube上一段题为“全自动驾驶”的视频，并有一个指向特斯拉网站的链接。</blockquote></p><p> Highlighting these risks and how they could affect Tesla’s current stock price, however, shouldn’t hide the fact that there are many analysts who continue to remain bullish on TSLA. Piper Sandler reiterated its overweight rating on the stock and its price target of $1,200 this month.</p><p><blockquote>然而，强调这些风险以及它们如何影响特斯拉当前的股价不应掩盖这样一个事实：许多分析师继续看好特斯拉。Piper Sandler重申了跑赢大盘对该股的评级以及本月1200美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> In a note, analysts Alexander Potter and Winnie Dong said:</p><p><blockquote>分析师Alexander Potter和Winnie Dong在一份报告中表示：</blockquote></p><p>   “Bottom line: We still really like this stock. Tesla is still the driving force behind higher [battery electric vehicle] penetration globally.”  <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote>“底线：我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。特斯拉仍然是全球[纯电动汽车]渗透率更高的驱动力。”<b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s difficult to predict the future course for Tesla stock given the huge amount of speculative interest in this name. But recent developments show that it will be quite hard for the EV automaker to exceed expectations in this tough manufacturing environment.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于人们对特斯拉股票的巨大投机兴趣，很难预测该股票的未来走势。但最近的事态发展表明，在这种严峻的制造环境下，这家电动汽车制造商很难超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should trade this name with caution.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应谨慎交易该名称。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/can-tesla-shares-hit-900-again-this-year-200599999\">investing.com</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.investing.com/analysis/can-tesla-shares-hit-900-again-this-year-200599999","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161561973","content_text":"Electric vehicle maker Tesla Motors' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling from a record high $900.40, hit intraday on Jan. 25, TSLA shares have gained 17% during the past three months, outperforming the benchmark NASDAQ 100 Index.\nThe biggest question Tesla bulls now have is, whether, on top of the current gains, can the EV manufacturer's stock push through back to the all-time high of $900 this year?\nTesla Weekly Chart.\nGiven the highly volatile nature of the stock, it’s tough to predict whether the current Tesla rally has legs. But it’s important to note that the outlook for its car sales is becoming more uncertain than it was a year ago.\nFirst, the global chip shortage continues to cast doubt on Tesla’s ambitious sales targets for 2021. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk highlighted challenges that come from the unpredictability of chip supplies and the hurdles he expects in ramping production at two new factories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, later this year.\nTesla again delayed delivery of its semi-trailer truck—already two years late. The first trucks of this type are now slated for 2022. The company attributed the delay to supply-chain issues and limited battery-cell supply, as well as management trying to focus on getting new factories online. The company’s plans for its first pickup truck, once expected to go to customers as early as this year, are also being affected by parts issues.\nThis is what Musk told analysts last month:\n\n “While we’re making cars at full speed, the global chip-shortage situation remains quite serious. For the rest of this year, our growth rate will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain.”\n\nRegulatory Probe\nBesides the risks to the market’s earnings consensus for this fiscal year, Tesla is facing a regulatory probe that could result in a massive recall.\nThe U.S.opened a formal investigation into Tesla’s Autopilot system last week after almost a dozen collisions involving first-responder vehicles. In the last seven years, Tesla has charged clients thousands of dollars for this feature.\nThe probe by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) covers an estimated 765,000 Tesla Model Y, X, S and 3 vehicles from the 2014 model year onward. The regulator—which has the power to deem cars defective and order recalls—said it launched the investigation after 11 crashes that resulted in 17 injuries and one fatality.\nBloomberg reported that Tesla has been criticized for years for labeling the system in a potentially misleading way. Since late 2016, it has marketed this higher-level functionality feature as Full Self-Driving Capability. In reality, Autopilot is a driver-assistance system that maintains vehicles’ speed and keeps them centered in lanes when engaged, though the driver is supposed to supervise at all times.\nTesla now sells that package of features—often referred to as FSD—for $10,000 or $199 a month.\nAfter the NHTSA launched of the probe, two Democratic senators asked the Federal Trade Commission to also investigate Tesla over the company’s advertising of its Autopilot and FSD technology.\nIn a letter last Wednesday, Sen. Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut and Sen. Ed Markey of Massachusetts asked FTC Chair Lina Khan to examine whether Tesla used “potentially deceptive and unfair practices” in its marketing of those technologies.\n“We fear that Tesla’s Autopilot and FSD features are not as mature and reliable as the company pitches to the public,” they wrote, pointing to comments from Musk, as well as a 2019 YouTube video entitled “Full Self-Driving” and has a link to Tesla’s site.\nHighlighting these risks and how they could affect Tesla’s current stock price, however, shouldn’t hide the fact that there are many analysts who continue to remain bullish on TSLA. Piper Sandler reiterated its overweight rating on the stock and its price target of $1,200 this month.\nIn a note, analysts Alexander Potter and Winnie Dong said:\n\n “Bottom line: We still really like this stock. Tesla is still the driving force behind higher [battery electric vehicle] penetration globally.”\n\nBottom Line\nIt’s difficult to predict the future course for Tesla stock given the huge amount of speculative interest in this name. But recent developments show that it will be quite hard for the EV automaker to exceed expectations in this tough manufacturing environment.\nInvestors should trade this name with caution.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801694864,"gmtCreate":1627513933458,"gmtModify":1633764358314,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ready player one!!","listText":"Ready player one!!","text":"Ready player one!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801694864","repostId":"1171529765","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141707836,"gmtCreate":1625889808525,"gmtModify":1633936331842,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not Gamestop or AMC? [Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"Not Gamestop or AMC? [Miser]&nbsp;","text":"Not Gamestop or AMC? [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141707836","repostId":"1177397700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1095,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153970239,"gmtCreate":1625008066321,"gmtModify":1633946034706,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How about salary spike?","listText":"How about salary spike?","text":"How about salary spike?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153970239","repostId":"1180006824","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180006824","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624979545,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180006824?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 23:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s what inflation’s spike means for stocks now<blockquote>这就是通胀飙升对股市的意义</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180006824","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Expectations about inflation’s short-term impact on growth- and value stocks have no historical basi","content":"<p>Expectations about inflation’s short-term impact on growth- and value stocks have no historical basis</p><p><blockquote>关于通胀对成长股和价值股的短期影响的预期没有历史依据</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11ddc0063c90ff3e9f3bfe11e8ad739\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"850\"><span>AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Don’t look to the latest inflation figures to help you time the U.S. stock market’s near-term ups and downs.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望最新的通胀数据来帮助您把握美国股市近期涨跌的时机。</blockquote></p><p> That’s worth keeping in mind because, based on recent experience, you’d be excused for thinking that inflation plays a powerful role in the stock market’s shorter-term gyrations. During the inflation scare between mid-April and mid-May, for example, value stocks outperformed growth stocks — just as conventional wisdom would expect. Since mid-May, inflation worries have receded and value stocks have lagged.</p><p><blockquote>这一点值得记住，因为根据最近的经验，你可以情有可原地认为通货膨胀在股市的短期波动中发挥着重要作用。例如，在4月中旬至5月中旬的通胀恐慌期间，价值股的表现优于成长股——正如传统观点所预期的那样。5月中旬以来，通胀担忧消退，价值股表现落后。</blockquote></p><p> It doesn’t always work out this neatly. In fact, I could find no noteworthy historical relationship between inflation’s short-term trend and the performance of either the stock market as a whole or the relative performance of value- and growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>事情并不总是这么顺利。事实上，我找不到通胀的短期趋势与整个股市的表现或价值型和成长型股票的相对表现之间有任何值得注意的历史关系。</blockquote></p><p> To search for such correlations, I started by analyzing monthly inflation, interest rates and stock market data from Yale University finance professor Robert Shiller going back to 1871. I calculated the correlation coefficients between inflation and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;over different short-term periods extending from the trailing one month to trailing 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>为了寻找这种相关性，我首先分析了耶鲁大学金融学教授罗伯特·希勒(Robert Shiller)自1871年以来的每月通胀、利率和股市数据。我计算了从过去一个月到过去12个月的不同短期时期内通胀与标普500之间的相关系数。</blockquote></p><p> I largely came up empty. Consider the extent to which changes in the CPI explain or predict simultaneous changes in the S&amp;P 500 (as measured by a statistic known as r-squared). Regardless of the time horizon between one- and 12 months, the CPI (or its predecessor) since 1871 has been able to predict no more than 4% of the S&amp;P 500’s gyrations. (Note carefully that, when measuring these correlations, I focused on the S&amp;P 500’s inflation-adjusted total return so as not to bias my calculations.)</p><p><blockquote>我基本上一无所获。考虑CPI的变化在多大程度上解释或预测了标普500的同时变化（通过称为r平方的统计数据来衡量）。无论1个月到12个月之间的时间范围如何，自1871年以来，CPI（或其前身）能够预测的标普500波动不超过4%。（请注意，在衡量这些相关性时，我关注的是标普500经通胀调整后的总回报，以免影响我的计算。）</blockquote></p><p> One of the reasons for the absence of a strong correlation is that the stock market has a love-hate relationship with inflation. When investors are more worried about economic weakness, or even deflation, higher inflation is sometimes seen as a good thing. At other times inflation and stocks are inversely correlated.</p><p><blockquote>缺乏强相关性的原因之一是股市与通胀又爱又恨。当投资者更担心经济疲软，甚至通货紧缩时，更高的通胀有时被视为一件好事。在其他时候，通货膨胀和股票呈负相关。</blockquote></p><p> This fluctuating correlation is illustrated in the chart below, which tracks the correlation coefficient between the CPI and the S&amp;P 500’s inflation-adjusted total return over the trailing 12 months. Notice the absence of any consistent relationship.</p><p><blockquote>下图说明了这种波动的相关性，该图表跟踪了过去12个月CPI与标普500经通胀调整后的总回报之间的相关系数。注意没有任何一致的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12ac0cc9ed7a8d766f3308cbf6daeaf5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"882\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As a double-check on this surprising conclusion, I reran my analysis focusing on interest rates rather than the CPI. That’s revealing because interest rates reflect not only recent changes in inflation but also expected future inflation. The correlations between short-term movements in interest rates and the stock market were even weaker than when I focused on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>为了仔细检查这个令人惊讶的结论，我重新运行了我的分析，重点是利率而不是CPI。这很有启发性，因为利率不仅反映了近期通胀的变化，还反映了预期的未来通胀。短期利率变动与股市之间的相关性甚至比我关注通胀时还要弱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Value vs. growth when inflation and interest rates rise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通货膨胀和利率上升时的价值与增长</b></blockquote></p><p> What about value’s performance relative to growth? Surely it historically has followed the same pattern we’ve seen over the past couple of months?</p><p><blockquote>价值相对于增长的表现如何？从历史上看，它肯定遵循了我们在过去几个月中看到的相同模式吗？</blockquote></p><p> Not so. To reach that counterintuitive conclusion, I analyzed the monthly returns of U.S. value and growth stocks since 1926, courtesy of data from Dartmouth College finance professor Ken French. (Specifically, the value stock portfolio contained the 30% of the U.S. market with the lowest book/market ratios, while the growth stock portfolio contained the 30% with the highest such ratios.) When focusing on all trailing time periods from one- to 12 months, I found no statistically significant correlation between inflation and the relative performance of value and growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>不是这样的。为了得出这个违反直觉的结论，我分析了自1926年以来美国价值型和成长型股票的月回报率，数据来自达特茅斯学院金融学教授肯·弗伦奇。（具体来说，价值股投资组合包含美国市场账面/市值比率最低的30%，而成长股投资组合包含此类比率最高的30%。）当关注从1个月到12个月的所有跟踪时间段时，我发现通货膨胀与价值股和成长股的相对表现之间没有统计上显着的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> Even more surprising is what emerged when focusing on the relationship between interest rates and value’s performance relative to growth: I found an inverse correlation. That is just the opposite of what we saw over the past couple of months, and the opposite of what conventional wisdom teaches us about how value stocks should perform in a rising interest rate environment.</p><p><blockquote>更令人惊讶的是，当我关注利率和价值相对于增长的表现之间的关系时，我发现了负相关。这与我们过去几个月所看到的恰恰相反，也与传统智慧告诉我们的价值股在利率上升的环境中应该如何表现的观点相反。</blockquote></p><p> My analysis doesn’t suggest that investors should now do the opposite, betting on value when previously they bet on growth, or vice versa. The point of this analysis is that there’s an unsteady and often insignificant historical relationship between inflation and interest rates, on the one hand, and the stock market and value’s performance relative to growth, on the other.</p><p><blockquote>我的分析并不表明投资者现在应该反其道而行之，在之前押注增长时押注价值，反之亦然。这一分析的要点是，一方面，通货膨胀和利率与股票市场和价值相对于增长的表现之间存在不稳定且往往微不足道的历史关系。</blockquote></p><p> Short-term stock-market timers need to look elsewhere for stronger clues as to where the market is headed.</p><p><blockquote>短期股市计时器需要在其他地方寻找有关市场走向的更强有力的线索。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s what inflation’s spike means for stocks now<blockquote>这就是通胀飙升对股市的意义</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s what inflation’s spike means for stocks now<blockquote>这就是通胀飙升对股市的意义</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-29 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Expectations about inflation’s short-term impact on growth- and value stocks have no historical basis</p><p><blockquote>关于通胀对成长股和价值股的短期影响的预期没有历史依据</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11ddc0063c90ff3e9f3bfe11e8ad739\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"850\"><span>AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Don’t look to the latest inflation figures to help you time the U.S. stock market’s near-term ups and downs.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望最新的通胀数据来帮助您把握美国股市近期涨跌的时机。</blockquote></p><p> That’s worth keeping in mind because, based on recent experience, you’d be excused for thinking that inflation plays a powerful role in the stock market’s shorter-term gyrations. During the inflation scare between mid-April and mid-May, for example, value stocks outperformed growth stocks — just as conventional wisdom would expect. Since mid-May, inflation worries have receded and value stocks have lagged.</p><p><blockquote>这一点值得记住，因为根据最近的经验，你可以情有可原地认为通货膨胀在股市的短期波动中发挥着重要作用。例如，在4月中旬至5月中旬的通胀恐慌期间，价值股的表现优于成长股——正如传统观点所预期的那样。5月中旬以来，通胀担忧消退，价值股表现落后。</blockquote></p><p> It doesn’t always work out this neatly. In fact, I could find no noteworthy historical relationship between inflation’s short-term trend and the performance of either the stock market as a whole or the relative performance of value- and growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>事情并不总是这么顺利。事实上，我找不到通胀的短期趋势与整个股市的表现或价值型和成长型股票的相对表现之间有任何值得注意的历史关系。</blockquote></p><p> To search for such correlations, I started by analyzing monthly inflation, interest rates and stock market data from Yale University finance professor Robert Shiller going back to 1871. I calculated the correlation coefficients between inflation and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;over different short-term periods extending from the trailing one month to trailing 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>为了寻找这种相关性，我首先分析了耶鲁大学金融学教授罗伯特·希勒(Robert Shiller)自1871年以来的每月通胀、利率和股市数据。我计算了从过去一个月到过去12个月的不同短期时期内通胀与标普500之间的相关系数。</blockquote></p><p> I largely came up empty. Consider the extent to which changes in the CPI explain or predict simultaneous changes in the S&amp;P 500 (as measured by a statistic known as r-squared). Regardless of the time horizon between one- and 12 months, the CPI (or its predecessor) since 1871 has been able to predict no more than 4% of the S&amp;P 500’s gyrations. (Note carefully that, when measuring these correlations, I focused on the S&amp;P 500’s inflation-adjusted total return so as not to bias my calculations.)</p><p><blockquote>我基本上一无所获。考虑CPI的变化在多大程度上解释或预测了标普500的同时变化（通过称为r平方的统计数据来衡量）。无论1个月到12个月之间的时间范围如何，自1871年以来，CPI（或其前身）能够预测的标普500波动不超过4%。（请注意，在衡量这些相关性时，我关注的是标普500经通胀调整后的总回报，以免影响我的计算。）</blockquote></p><p> One of the reasons for the absence of a strong correlation is that the stock market has a love-hate relationship with inflation. When investors are more worried about economic weakness, or even deflation, higher inflation is sometimes seen as a good thing. At other times inflation and stocks are inversely correlated.</p><p><blockquote>缺乏强相关性的原因之一是股市与通胀又爱又恨。当投资者更担心经济疲软，甚至通货紧缩时，更高的通胀有时被视为一件好事。在其他时候，通货膨胀和股票呈负相关。</blockquote></p><p> This fluctuating correlation is illustrated in the chart below, which tracks the correlation coefficient between the CPI and the S&amp;P 500’s inflation-adjusted total return over the trailing 12 months. Notice the absence of any consistent relationship.</p><p><blockquote>下图说明了这种波动的相关性，该图表跟踪了过去12个月CPI与标普500经通胀调整后的总回报之间的相关系数。注意没有任何一致的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12ac0cc9ed7a8d766f3308cbf6daeaf5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"882\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As a double-check on this surprising conclusion, I reran my analysis focusing on interest rates rather than the CPI. That’s revealing because interest rates reflect not only recent changes in inflation but also expected future inflation. The correlations between short-term movements in interest rates and the stock market were even weaker than when I focused on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>为了仔细检查这个令人惊讶的结论，我重新运行了我的分析，重点是利率而不是CPI。这很有启发性，因为利率不仅反映了近期通胀的变化，还反映了预期的未来通胀。短期利率变动与股市之间的相关性甚至比我关注通胀时还要弱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Value vs. growth when inflation and interest rates rise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通货膨胀和利率上升时的价值与增长</b></blockquote></p><p> What about value’s performance relative to growth? Surely it historically has followed the same pattern we’ve seen over the past couple of months?</p><p><blockquote>价值相对于增长的表现如何？从历史上看，它肯定遵循了我们在过去几个月中看到的相同模式吗？</blockquote></p><p> Not so. To reach that counterintuitive conclusion, I analyzed the monthly returns of U.S. value and growth stocks since 1926, courtesy of data from Dartmouth College finance professor Ken French. (Specifically, the value stock portfolio contained the 30% of the U.S. market with the lowest book/market ratios, while the growth stock portfolio contained the 30% with the highest such ratios.) When focusing on all trailing time periods from one- to 12 months, I found no statistically significant correlation between inflation and the relative performance of value and growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>不是这样的。为了得出这个违反直觉的结论，我分析了自1926年以来美国价值型和成长型股票的月回报率，数据来自达特茅斯学院金融学教授肯·弗伦奇。（具体来说，价值股投资组合包含美国市场账面/市值比率最低的30%，而成长股投资组合包含此类比率最高的30%。）当关注从1个月到12个月的所有跟踪时间段时，我发现通货膨胀与价值股和成长股的相对表现之间没有统计上显着的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> Even more surprising is what emerged when focusing on the relationship between interest rates and value’s performance relative to growth: I found an inverse correlation. That is just the opposite of what we saw over the past couple of months, and the opposite of what conventional wisdom teaches us about how value stocks should perform in a rising interest rate environment.</p><p><blockquote>更令人惊讶的是，当我关注利率和价值相对于增长的表现之间的关系时，我发现了负相关。这与我们过去几个月所看到的恰恰相反，也与传统智慧告诉我们的价值股在利率上升的环境中应该如何表现的观点相反。</blockquote></p><p> My analysis doesn’t suggest that investors should now do the opposite, betting on value when previously they bet on growth, or vice versa. The point of this analysis is that there’s an unsteady and often insignificant historical relationship between inflation and interest rates, on the one hand, and the stock market and value’s performance relative to growth, on the other.</p><p><blockquote>我的分析并不表明投资者现在应该反其道而行之，在之前押注增长时押注价值，反之亦然。这一分析的要点是，一方面，通货膨胀和利率与股票市场和价值相对于增长的表现之间存在不稳定且往往微不足道的历史关系。</blockquote></p><p> Short-term stock-market timers need to look elsewhere for stronger clues as to where the market is headed.</p><p><blockquote>短期股市计时器需要在其他地方寻找有关市场走向的更强有力的线索。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-inflations-spike-means-for-stocks-now-11624928059?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-inflations-spike-means-for-stocks-now-11624928059?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180006824","content_text":"Expectations about inflation’s short-term impact on growth- and value stocks have no historical basis\nAGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES\nDon’t look to the latest inflation figures to help you time the U.S. stock market’s near-term ups and downs.\nThat’s worth keeping in mind because, based on recent experience, you’d be excused for thinking that inflation plays a powerful role in the stock market’s shorter-term gyrations. During the inflation scare between mid-April and mid-May, for example, value stocks outperformed growth stocks — just as conventional wisdom would expect. Since mid-May, inflation worries have receded and value stocks have lagged.\nIt doesn’t always work out this neatly. In fact, I could find no noteworthy historical relationship between inflation’s short-term trend and the performance of either the stock market as a whole or the relative performance of value- and growth stocks.\nTo search for such correlations, I started by analyzing monthly inflation, interest rates and stock market data from Yale University finance professor Robert Shiller going back to 1871. I calculated the correlation coefficients between inflation and the S&P 500 over different short-term periods extending from the trailing one month to trailing 12 months.\nI largely came up empty. Consider the extent to which changes in the CPI explain or predict simultaneous changes in the S&P 500 (as measured by a statistic known as r-squared). Regardless of the time horizon between one- and 12 months, the CPI (or its predecessor) since 1871 has been able to predict no more than 4% of the S&P 500’s gyrations. (Note carefully that, when measuring these correlations, I focused on the S&P 500’s inflation-adjusted total return so as not to bias my calculations.)\nOne of the reasons for the absence of a strong correlation is that the stock market has a love-hate relationship with inflation. When investors are more worried about economic weakness, or even deflation, higher inflation is sometimes seen as a good thing. At other times inflation and stocks are inversely correlated.\nThis fluctuating correlation is illustrated in the chart below, which tracks the correlation coefficient between the CPI and the S&P 500’s inflation-adjusted total return over the trailing 12 months. Notice the absence of any consistent relationship.\n\nAs a double-check on this surprising conclusion, I reran my analysis focusing on interest rates rather than the CPI. That’s revealing because interest rates reflect not only recent changes in inflation but also expected future inflation. The correlations between short-term movements in interest rates and the stock market were even weaker than when I focused on inflation.\nValue vs. growth when inflation and interest rates rise\nWhat about value’s performance relative to growth? Surely it historically has followed the same pattern we’ve seen over the past couple of months?\nNot so. To reach that counterintuitive conclusion, I analyzed the monthly returns of U.S. value and growth stocks since 1926, courtesy of data from Dartmouth College finance professor Ken French. (Specifically, the value stock portfolio contained the 30% of the U.S. market with the lowest book/market ratios, while the growth stock portfolio contained the 30% with the highest such ratios.) When focusing on all trailing time periods from one- to 12 months, I found no statistically significant correlation between inflation and the relative performance of value and growth stocks.\nEven more surprising is what emerged when focusing on the relationship between interest rates and value’s performance relative to growth: I found an inverse correlation. That is just the opposite of what we saw over the past couple of months, and the opposite of what conventional wisdom teaches us about how value stocks should perform in a rising interest rate environment.\nMy analysis doesn’t suggest that investors should now do the opposite, betting on value when previously they bet on growth, or vice versa. The point of this analysis is that there’s an unsteady and often insignificant historical relationship between inflation and interest rates, on the one hand, and the stock market and value’s performance relative to growth, on the other.\nShort-term stock-market timers need to look elsewhere for stronger clues as to where the market is headed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150583447,"gmtCreate":1624921659989,"gmtModify":1631884082173,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"S&amp;P 500-to-BTC? New ratio?","listText":"S&amp;P 500-to-BTC? New ratio?","text":"S&P 500-to-BTC? New ratio?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150583447","repostId":"1143737614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124897127,"gmtCreate":1624757595869,"gmtModify":1633949063230,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No no, to the moon!!","listText":"No no, to the moon!!","text":"No no, to the moon!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124897127","repostId":"1172737444","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125643971,"gmtCreate":1624672947193,"gmtModify":1633949787709,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crypto winter…","listText":"Crypto winter…","text":"Crypto winter…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125643971","repostId":"2146500392","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164556580,"gmtCreate":1624231220240,"gmtModify":1634009344239,"author":{"id":"3554924249585989","authorId":"3554924249585989","name":"HYYOONG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554924249585989","idStr":"3554924249585989"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Housing market as tight as my wallet?","listText":"Housing market as tight as my wallet?","text":"Housing market as tight as my wallet?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164556580","repostId":"1149451535","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149451535","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624021899,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149451535?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 21:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tight U.S. Housing Market Uncoils With Sellers Ready to Cash Out<blockquote>美国房地产市场紧张，卖家准备套现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149451535","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Prospective home sellers who sat tight as U.S. prices climbed higher and faster than ","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Prospective home sellers who sat tight as U.S. prices climbed higher and faster than ever during the pandemic are finally emerging to cash out, a step toward easing a dire shortage in the frenzied housing market.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——在大流行期间，随着美国房价比以往任何时候都更高、更快地攀升，那些按兵不动的潜在房屋卖家终于开始套现，这是缓解疯狂的房地产市场严重短缺的一步。</blockquote></p><p> The number of U.S. homes for sale climbed 6.7% in early June from the same weekly period in May, according to Haus, an investment platform for homebuyers. That was the biggest increase since Covid-19 lockdowns took hold last year. Listings rose in 54 of the 100 metropolitan areas measured, including the regions around Philadelphia, New York, Boston, Detroit, Denver and Seattle.</p><p><blockquote>根据购房者投资平台Haus的数据，6月初美国待售房屋数量较5月同期增长6.7%。这是自去年Covid-19封锁以来的最大增幅。在接受调查的100个大都市地区中，有54个地区的房源数量有所上升，包括费城、纽约、波士顿、底特律、丹佛和西雅图周边地区。</blockquote></p><p> “Sellers are saying, ‘it’s time, let’s make the money,’” said Julie Welter, an agent with EXP Realty in Pittsburgh, which had the biggest supply increase in Haus’s data. “With the world opening up again and the vast majority of people being vaccinated, it has given a new comfort level to people.”</p><p><blockquote>“卖家说，‘是时候了，让我们赚钱吧，’”匹兹堡EXP Realty的经纪人朱莉·韦尔特(Julie Welter)说，该公司的供应量增幅最大。“随着世界再次开放，绝大多数人都接种了疫苗，这给人们带来了新的舒适度。”</blockquote></p><p> The housing market is long way from normal, with inventory still down almost 38% from a year earlier and near historic lows. But with bidding wars erupting from coast to coast, any sign of increased supply is a welcome respite for buyers. More listings also may help ease a problem contributing to the scarcity: sellers staying put because it’s a struggle to find something else to purchase.</p><p><blockquote>房地产市场与正常情况相去甚远，库存仍较上年同期下降近38%，接近历史低点。但随着竞购战从东海岸到西海岸爆发，任何供应增加的迹象对买家来说都是一个受欢迎的喘息机会。更多的房源也可能有助于缓解导致稀缺的一个问题：卖家留在原地，因为很难找到其他东西来购买。</blockquote></p><p> Throughout the pandemic, homebuyers clamored to take advantage of record-low mortgage rates and job flexibility to move, only to find the scant homes available were quickly being swallowed up. The median U.S. existing-home price shot up 19% in April from a year earlier to a record $341,600, according to the National Association of Realtors, helping owners gain equity.</p><p><blockquote>在整个疫情，购房者吵着要利用创纪录的低抵押贷款利率和工作灵活性搬家，却发现稀缺的房屋很快就被吞没了。根据全国房地产经纪人协会的数据，4月份美国现房价格中位数同比飙升19%，达到创纪录的341,600美元，帮助业主获得了股权。</blockquote></p><p> The end of lockdowns also is bringing out sellers who were reluctant to have home shoppers traipsing through their kitchens and bedrooms. Some people also are eager to move closer to the families that Covid kept them away from for too long, said Ralph McLaughlin, chief economist at Haus.</p><p><blockquote>封锁的结束也让那些不愿意让家庭购物者在他们的厨房和卧室里闲逛的卖家走了出来。Haus首席经济学家拉尔夫·麦克劳克林(Ralph McLaughlin)表示，一些人还渴望搬到离新冠疫情让他们远离太久的家庭更近的地方。</blockquote></p><p> “People who were thinking about selling in two or three years may have accelerated their plans,” McLaughlin said. “They’re selling now to realize the 20% equity they’ve gained in the past year.”</p><p><blockquote>“那些考虑在两三年内出售的人可能已经加快了他们的计划，”麦克劳克林说。“他们现在正在出售，以实现去年获得的20%股权。”</blockquote></p><p> Shauna Pendleton, a Redfin agent in Boise, Idaho, said 35 sellers have talked to her this year about listing properties. That’s about twice as many as in the same time in 2020, she said. The area has seen some of the fastest price growth in the country, with home values up 42% in early June from a year earlier, according to Redfin.</p><p><blockquote>爱达荷州博伊西的Redfin经纪人Shauna Pendleton表示，今年已有35名卖家与她讨论过挂牌事宜。她说，这大约是2020年同期的两倍。根据Redfin的数据，该地区是全国房价增长最快的地区之一，6月初房价同比上涨42%。</blockquote></p><p> “These are mostly retirees,” Pendleton said of her new seller clients. “The lockdown has given people a whole new perspective about where they want to live. And they’re missing their family.”</p><p><blockquote>“这些人大多是退休人员，”彭德尔顿在谈到她的新卖家客户时说道。“封锁让人们对自己想要住在哪里有了全新的认识。而且他们想念家人。”</blockquote></p><p> The Allentown, Pennsylvania, region -- a hot market for New Yorkers and New Jerseyans looking for a more affordable area -- has seen listings climb 30% from extremely low levels in early May, according to Haus, which excluded homes that are under contract from its data.</p><p><blockquote>根据Haus的数据，宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦地区是纽约人和新泽西人寻找更实惠地区的热门市场，该地区的挂牌量从5月初的极低水平攀升了30%，该地区不包括合同中的房屋。其数据。</blockquote></p><p> With houses going for well over their asking price, many locals are now being tempted into selling and moving to cheaper spots elsewhere in the state, said Tim Tepes, president of the Greater Lehigh Valley Realtors group. Even as new listings are rising, homes are quickly finding buyers, he said.</p><p><blockquote>大利哈伊谷房地产经纪人集团（Greater Lehigh Valley Realtors group）总裁蒂姆·特佩斯（Tim Tepes）表示，由于房屋价格远高于要价，许多当地人现在都想卖掉房子，搬到该州其他地方更便宜的地方。他说，尽管新挂牌房源不断增加，但房屋很快就找到了买家。</blockquote></p><p> Cooling Prices</p><p><blockquote>降温价格</blockquote></p><p> McLaughlin said he expects U.S. home-price growth to slow to less than 10% by the end of the year. Demand may also cool as buyers are priced out, especially if borrowing costs start to rise, he said. Federal Reserve officials indicated this week that they expect two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought.</p><p><blockquote>麦克劳克林表示，他预计美国房价增长到今年年底将放缓至10%以下。他表示，随着买家定价过高，需求也可能降温，特别是在借贷成本开始上升的情况下。美联储官员本周表示，他们预计到2023年底将加息两次，比许多人想象的要早。</blockquote></p><p> “The same force leading to new supply may be the same force that reduces the ability of homebuyers to keep interested in buying the home,” McLaughlin said. “That’s mainly rising prices.”</p><p><blockquote>麦克劳克林说：“导致新供应的同一股力量可能也是降低购房者保持购房兴趣的能力的同一股力量。”“这主要是价格上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> The market for newly built houses may also be easing. Homebuilders have been jacking up prices because demand was too high for them to keep up with. Now some buyers are feeling a bit of sticker shock, said Ali Wolf, chief economist for Zonda, a homebuilding data provider and consultancy.</p><p><blockquote>新建房屋的市场也可能正在缓解。房屋建筑商一直在抬高价格，因为需求太高，他们无法跟上。住宅建筑数据提供商和咨询公司Zonda的首席经济学家阿里·沃尔夫(Ali Wolf)表示，现在一些买家感到有点震惊。</blockquote></p><p> About 40% of builders surveyed by Zonda in May listed buyer hesitancy among their challenges, up from about 20% the month before. As a result, the new-home market has gone from “unbearably” hot to just hot, she said.</p><p><blockquote>Zonda 5月份调查的建筑商中，约40%将买家犹豫不决列为他们面临的挑战之一，高于一个月前的约20%。她说，结果，新房市场已经从“难以忍受”的火爆变成了刚刚火爆。</blockquote></p><p> In Austin, Texas, agents are reaching out to homeowners by phone and text, telling them how much they can make by selling. That message is starting to resonate, said Alex Wright, an agent with Local Life Realty.</p><p><blockquote>在德克萨斯州奥斯汀，代理人通过电话和短信联系房主，告诉他们通过出售可以赚多少钱。Local Life Realty的经纪人亚历克斯·赖特(Alex Wright)表示，这一信息开始引起共鸣。</blockquote></p><p> Wright, who grew up in the area, says her childhood best friend’s parents, now in their 60s, want to move to the Midwest to be closer to her grandmother. Austin isn’t the same place anymore. It has gotten expensive, and there’s a line for everything from tacos to coffee, not to mention housing, she said.</p><p><blockquote>赖特在该地区长大，她说她童年最好的朋友的父母现在已经60多岁了，想搬到中西部，离她的祖母更近。奥斯汀不再是同一个地方了。她说，它变得越来越贵，从墨西哥玉米卷到咖啡，所有东西都有一条线，更不用说住房了。</blockquote></p><p> Wright says her buyers welcome more choice, but winning a home is still a challenge.</p><p><blockquote>赖特说，她的买家欢迎更多的选择，但赢得一个家仍然是一个挑战。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s still crazy competitive,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“竞争仍然非常激烈，”她说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tight U.S. Housing Market Uncoils With Sellers Ready to Cash Out<blockquote>美国房地产市场紧张，卖家准备套现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTight U.S. Housing Market Uncoils With Sellers Ready to Cash Out<blockquote>美国房地产市场紧张，卖家准备套现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 21:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Prospective home sellers who sat tight as U.S. prices climbed higher and faster than ever during the pandemic are finally emerging to cash out, a step toward easing a dire shortage in the frenzied housing market.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——在大流行期间，随着美国房价比以往任何时候都更高、更快地攀升，那些按兵不动的潜在房屋卖家终于开始套现，这是缓解疯狂的房地产市场严重短缺的一步。</blockquote></p><p> The number of U.S. homes for sale climbed 6.7% in early June from the same weekly period in May, according to Haus, an investment platform for homebuyers. That was the biggest increase since Covid-19 lockdowns took hold last year. Listings rose in 54 of the 100 metropolitan areas measured, including the regions around Philadelphia, New York, Boston, Detroit, Denver and Seattle.</p><p><blockquote>根据购房者投资平台Haus的数据，6月初美国待售房屋数量较5月同期增长6.7%。这是自去年Covid-19封锁以来的最大增幅。在接受调查的100个大都市地区中，有54个地区的房源数量有所上升，包括费城、纽约、波士顿、底特律、丹佛和西雅图周边地区。</blockquote></p><p> “Sellers are saying, ‘it’s time, let’s make the money,’” said Julie Welter, an agent with EXP Realty in Pittsburgh, which had the biggest supply increase in Haus’s data. “With the world opening up again and the vast majority of people being vaccinated, it has given a new comfort level to people.”</p><p><blockquote>“卖家说，‘是时候了，让我们赚钱吧，’”匹兹堡EXP Realty的经纪人朱莉·韦尔特(Julie Welter)说，该公司的供应量增幅最大。“随着世界再次开放，绝大多数人都接种了疫苗，这给人们带来了新的舒适度。”</blockquote></p><p> The housing market is long way from normal, with inventory still down almost 38% from a year earlier and near historic lows. But with bidding wars erupting from coast to coast, any sign of increased supply is a welcome respite for buyers. More listings also may help ease a problem contributing to the scarcity: sellers staying put because it’s a struggle to find something else to purchase.</p><p><blockquote>房地产市场与正常情况相去甚远，库存仍较上年同期下降近38%，接近历史低点。但随着竞购战从东海岸到西海岸爆发，任何供应增加的迹象对买家来说都是一个受欢迎的喘息机会。更多的房源也可能有助于缓解导致稀缺的一个问题：卖家留在原地，因为很难找到其他东西来购买。</blockquote></p><p> Throughout the pandemic, homebuyers clamored to take advantage of record-low mortgage rates and job flexibility to move, only to find the scant homes available were quickly being swallowed up. The median U.S. existing-home price shot up 19% in April from a year earlier to a record $341,600, according to the National Association of Realtors, helping owners gain equity.</p><p><blockquote>在整个疫情，购房者吵着要利用创纪录的低抵押贷款利率和工作灵活性搬家，却发现稀缺的房屋很快就被吞没了。根据全国房地产经纪人协会的数据，4月份美国现房价格中位数同比飙升19%，达到创纪录的341,600美元，帮助业主获得了股权。</blockquote></p><p> The end of lockdowns also is bringing out sellers who were reluctant to have home shoppers traipsing through their kitchens and bedrooms. Some people also are eager to move closer to the families that Covid kept them away from for too long, said Ralph McLaughlin, chief economist at Haus.</p><p><blockquote>封锁的结束也让那些不愿意让家庭购物者在他们的厨房和卧室里闲逛的卖家走了出来。Haus首席经济学家拉尔夫·麦克劳克林(Ralph McLaughlin)表示，一些人还渴望搬到离新冠疫情让他们远离太久的家庭更近的地方。</blockquote></p><p> “People who were thinking about selling in two or three years may have accelerated their plans,” McLaughlin said. “They’re selling now to realize the 20% equity they’ve gained in the past year.”</p><p><blockquote>“那些考虑在两三年内出售的人可能已经加快了他们的计划，”麦克劳克林说。“他们现在正在出售，以实现去年获得的20%股权。”</blockquote></p><p> Shauna Pendleton, a Redfin agent in Boise, Idaho, said 35 sellers have talked to her this year about listing properties. That’s about twice as many as in the same time in 2020, she said. The area has seen some of the fastest price growth in the country, with home values up 42% in early June from a year earlier, according to Redfin.</p><p><blockquote>爱达荷州博伊西的Redfin经纪人Shauna Pendleton表示，今年已有35名卖家与她讨论过挂牌事宜。她说，这大约是2020年同期的两倍。根据Redfin的数据，该地区是全国房价增长最快的地区之一，6月初房价同比上涨42%。</blockquote></p><p> “These are mostly retirees,” Pendleton said of her new seller clients. “The lockdown has given people a whole new perspective about where they want to live. And they’re missing their family.”</p><p><blockquote>“这些人大多是退休人员，”彭德尔顿在谈到她的新卖家客户时说道。“封锁让人们对自己想要住在哪里有了全新的认识。而且他们想念家人。”</blockquote></p><p> The Allentown, Pennsylvania, region -- a hot market for New Yorkers and New Jerseyans looking for a more affordable area -- has seen listings climb 30% from extremely low levels in early May, according to Haus, which excluded homes that are under contract from its data.</p><p><blockquote>根据Haus的数据，宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦地区是纽约人和新泽西人寻找更实惠地区的热门市场，该地区的挂牌量从5月初的极低水平攀升了30%，该地区不包括合同中的房屋。其数据。</blockquote></p><p> With houses going for well over their asking price, many locals are now being tempted into selling and moving to cheaper spots elsewhere in the state, said Tim Tepes, president of the Greater Lehigh Valley Realtors group. Even as new listings are rising, homes are quickly finding buyers, he said.</p><p><blockquote>大利哈伊谷房地产经纪人集团（Greater Lehigh Valley Realtors group）总裁蒂姆·特佩斯（Tim Tepes）表示，由于房屋价格远高于要价，许多当地人现在都想卖掉房子，搬到该州其他地方更便宜的地方。他说，尽管新挂牌房源不断增加，但房屋很快就找到了买家。</blockquote></p><p> Cooling Prices</p><p><blockquote>降温价格</blockquote></p><p> McLaughlin said he expects U.S. home-price growth to slow to less than 10% by the end of the year. Demand may also cool as buyers are priced out, especially if borrowing costs start to rise, he said. Federal Reserve officials indicated this week that they expect two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought.</p><p><blockquote>麦克劳克林表示，他预计美国房价增长到今年年底将放缓至10%以下。他表示，随着买家定价过高，需求也可能降温，特别是在借贷成本开始上升的情况下。美联储官员本周表示，他们预计到2023年底将加息两次，比许多人想象的要早。</blockquote></p><p> “The same force leading to new supply may be the same force that reduces the ability of homebuyers to keep interested in buying the home,” McLaughlin said. “That’s mainly rising prices.”</p><p><blockquote>麦克劳克林说：“导致新供应的同一股力量可能也是降低购房者保持购房兴趣的能力的同一股力量。”“这主要是价格上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> The market for newly built houses may also be easing. Homebuilders have been jacking up prices because demand was too high for them to keep up with. Now some buyers are feeling a bit of sticker shock, said Ali Wolf, chief economist for Zonda, a homebuilding data provider and consultancy.</p><p><blockquote>新建房屋的市场也可能正在缓解。房屋建筑商一直在抬高价格，因为需求太高，他们无法跟上。住宅建筑数据提供商和咨询公司Zonda的首席经济学家阿里·沃尔夫(Ali Wolf)表示，现在一些买家感到有点震惊。</blockquote></p><p> About 40% of builders surveyed by Zonda in May listed buyer hesitancy among their challenges, up from about 20% the month before. As a result, the new-home market has gone from “unbearably” hot to just hot, she said.</p><p><blockquote>Zonda 5月份调查的建筑商中，约40%将买家犹豫不决列为他们面临的挑战之一，高于一个月前的约20%。她说，结果，新房市场已经从“难以忍受”的火爆变成了刚刚火爆。</blockquote></p><p> In Austin, Texas, agents are reaching out to homeowners by phone and text, telling them how much they can make by selling. That message is starting to resonate, said Alex Wright, an agent with Local Life Realty.</p><p><blockquote>在德克萨斯州奥斯汀，代理人通过电话和短信联系房主，告诉他们通过出售可以赚多少钱。Local Life Realty的经纪人亚历克斯·赖特(Alex Wright)表示，这一信息开始引起共鸣。</blockquote></p><p> Wright, who grew up in the area, says her childhood best friend’s parents, now in their 60s, want to move to the Midwest to be closer to her grandmother. Austin isn’t the same place anymore. It has gotten expensive, and there’s a line for everything from tacos to coffee, not to mention housing, she said.</p><p><blockquote>赖特在该地区长大，她说她童年最好的朋友的父母现在已经60多岁了，想搬到中西部，离她的祖母更近。奥斯汀不再是同一个地方了。她说，它变得越来越贵，从墨西哥玉米卷到咖啡，所有东西都有一条线，更不用说住房了。</blockquote></p><p> Wright says her buyers welcome more choice, but winning a home is still a challenge.</p><p><blockquote>赖特说，她的买家欢迎更多的选择，但赢得一个家仍然是一个挑战。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s still crazy competitive,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“竞争仍然非常激烈，”她说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tight-u-housing-market-uncoils-124500354.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tight-u-housing-market-uncoils-124500354.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149451535","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Prospective home sellers who sat tight as U.S. prices climbed higher and faster than ever during the pandemic are finally emerging to cash out, a step toward easing a dire shortage in the frenzied housing market.\nThe number of U.S. homes for sale climbed 6.7% in early June from the same weekly period in May, according to Haus, an investment platform for homebuyers. That was the biggest increase since Covid-19 lockdowns took hold last year. Listings rose in 54 of the 100 metropolitan areas measured, including the regions around Philadelphia, New York, Boston, Detroit, Denver and Seattle.\n“Sellers are saying, ‘it’s time, let’s make the money,’” said Julie Welter, an agent with EXP Realty in Pittsburgh, which had the biggest supply increase in Haus’s data. “With the world opening up again and the vast majority of people being vaccinated, it has given a new comfort level to people.”\nThe housing market is long way from normal, with inventory still down almost 38% from a year earlier and near historic lows. But with bidding wars erupting from coast to coast, any sign of increased supply is a welcome respite for buyers. More listings also may help ease a problem contributing to the scarcity: sellers staying put because it’s a struggle to find something else to purchase.\nThroughout the pandemic, homebuyers clamored to take advantage of record-low mortgage rates and job flexibility to move, only to find the scant homes available were quickly being swallowed up. The median U.S. existing-home price shot up 19% in April from a year earlier to a record $341,600, according to the National Association of Realtors, helping owners gain equity.\nThe end of lockdowns also is bringing out sellers who were reluctant to have home shoppers traipsing through their kitchens and bedrooms. Some people also are eager to move closer to the families that Covid kept them away from for too long, said Ralph McLaughlin, chief economist at Haus.\n“People who were thinking about selling in two or three years may have accelerated their plans,” McLaughlin said. “They’re selling now to realize the 20% equity they’ve gained in the past year.”\nShauna Pendleton, a Redfin agent in Boise, Idaho, said 35 sellers have talked to her this year about listing properties. That’s about twice as many as in the same time in 2020, she said. The area has seen some of the fastest price growth in the country, with home values up 42% in early June from a year earlier, according to Redfin.\n“These are mostly retirees,” Pendleton said of her new seller clients. “The lockdown has given people a whole new perspective about where they want to live. And they’re missing their family.”\nThe Allentown, Pennsylvania, region -- a hot market for New Yorkers and New Jerseyans looking for a more affordable area -- has seen listings climb 30% from extremely low levels in early May, according to Haus, which excluded homes that are under contract from its data.\nWith houses going for well over their asking price, many locals are now being tempted into selling and moving to cheaper spots elsewhere in the state, said Tim Tepes, president of the Greater Lehigh Valley Realtors group. Even as new listings are rising, homes are quickly finding buyers, he said.\nCooling Prices\nMcLaughlin said he expects U.S. home-price growth to slow to less than 10% by the end of the year. Demand may also cool as buyers are priced out, especially if borrowing costs start to rise, he said. Federal Reserve officials indicated this week that they expect two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought.\n“The same force leading to new supply may be the same force that reduces the ability of homebuyers to keep interested in buying the home,” McLaughlin said. “That’s mainly rising prices.”\nThe market for newly built houses may also be easing. Homebuilders have been jacking up prices because demand was too high for them to keep up with. Now some buyers are feeling a bit of sticker shock, said Ali Wolf, chief economist for Zonda, a homebuilding data provider and consultancy.\nAbout 40% of builders surveyed by Zonda in May listed buyer hesitancy among their challenges, up from about 20% the month before. As a result, the new-home market has gone from “unbearably” hot to just hot, she said.\nIn Austin, Texas, agents are reaching out to homeowners by phone and text, telling them how much they can make by selling. That message is starting to resonate, said Alex Wright, an agent with Local Life Realty.\nWright, who grew up in the area, says her childhood best friend’s parents, now in their 60s, want to move to the Midwest to be closer to her grandmother. Austin isn’t the same place anymore. It has gotten expensive, and there’s a line for everything from tacos to coffee, not to mention housing, she said.\nWright says her buyers welcome more choice, but winning a home is still a challenge.\n“It’s still crazy competitive,” she said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}