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- prabuprabu
  ·2021-08-31
  Insightful
  Five potential bubbles that may be about to burst<blockquote>五个可能即将破裂的潜在泡沫</blockquote>
  If you own your home, you may have noticed that the roof above your head has been growing more valua
  Five potential bubbles that may be about to burst<blockquote>五个可能即将破裂的潜在泡沫</blockquote>
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- prabuprabu
  ·2021-08-31
  Finger crossed
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- prabuprabu
  ·2021-08-31
  Insightful
  Affirm Stock Jumps On Amazon "Buy Now, Pay Later" E-Commerce Deal<blockquote>亚马逊“先买后付”电子商务交易肯定股价上涨</blockquote>
  Shares in Affirm Holdings, Inc. soared in early trading on Monday amid the consumer financing firm's
  Affirm Stock Jumps On Amazon "Buy Now, Pay Later" E-Commerce Deal<blockquote>亚马逊“先买后付”电子商务交易肯定股价上涨</blockquote>
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- prabuprabu
  ·2021-08-31
  [强]
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- prabuprabu
  ·2021-08-31
  When will you go up!!!
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- prabuprabu
  ·2021-08-31
  👍
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- prabuprabu
  ·2021-08-30
  Hope this one will reach 3$ again
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- prabuprabu
  ·2021-08-20
  When will you go up?
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08:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Five potential bubbles that may be about to burst<blockquote>五个可能即将破裂的潜在泡沫</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122000344","media":"The Telegraph","summary":"If you own your home, you may have noticed that the roof above your head has been growing more valua","content":"<p>If you own your home, you may have noticed that the roof above your head has been growing more valuable at a startling rate.</p><p><blockquote>如果你拥有自己的房子，你可能已经注意到你头顶上的屋顶正以惊人的速度变得越来越有价值。</blockquote></p><p> Almost every part of the property market – some London flats excepted – is booming. Prices in June were up more than 13pc on the year,the fastest pace since 2004.</p><p><blockquote>房地产市场的几乎每个部分——除了一些伦敦公寓——都在蓬勃发展。6月份价格同比上涨超过13%，为2004年以来最快涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> It is not only homes which are getting more expensive. Stocks, bonds, commodities and more have all seen sharp price moves since Covid struck.</p><p><blockquote>不仅仅是房子越来越贵。自新冠疫情爆发以来，股票、债券、大宗商品等都出现了大幅价格波动。</blockquote></p><p> Heady rises in assets certainly make investors feel good and raise hopes the economy is on the right track, often in a self-reinforcing cycle.</p><p><blockquote>令人兴奋的资产上涨无疑让投资者感觉良好，并增加了经济走上正轨的希望，通常处于自我强化的周期中。</blockquote></p><p> But when everything is going up, twitchy markets can suddenly turn, alert for anything which could knock the rebound off course or burst what turns out to be a bubble.</p><p><blockquote>但当一切都在上涨时，动荡的市场可能会突然转变，警惕任何可能使反弹偏离轨道或破裂泡沫的事情。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve couldbungle the end of quantitative easing, causing a 2013-style taper tantrum. Inflation’s surge could be sustained,forcing higher interest rates. Another Covid wave could shock markets out of their optimism.</p><p><blockquote>美联储可能会搞砸量化宽松政策的结束，引发 2013 年式的缩减规模发脾气。通胀飙升可能会持续下去，迫使利率上升。另一波新冠疫情可能会让市场失去乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five potential bubbles and the threats facing investors.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个潜在的泡沫和投资者面临的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> <b>House prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>房价</b></blockquote></p><p> Prices hit records this summer. The UK average jumped to £266,000 – up £31,000 on the year, according to the Office for National Statistics.</p><p><blockquote>今年夏天价格创下历史新高。根据英国国家统计局的数据，英国平均收入跃升至 266,000 英镑，同比增加 31,000 英镑。</blockquote></p><p> Britain’s boom is but one part of an extraordinarily hotglobal property market. US prices are up almost 15pc, the fastest pace in 30 years. Canada’s market is up almost 14pc. New Zealand’s property market is up almost 30pc.</p><p><blockquote>英国的繁荣只是异常火爆的全球房地产市场的一部分。美国物价上涨近 15%，为 30 年来最快涨幅。加拿大市场增长了近 14%。新西兰房地产市场上涨了近 30%。</blockquote></p><p> This is all evidence to analysts at the Resolution Foundation that low interest rates, lockdown savings and shifting demand have been more important factors than Britain’s stamp duty holiday in pushing up prices.</p><p><blockquote>决议基金会（Resolution Foundation）的分析师们都证明，低利率、封锁储蓄和需求变化是比英国印花税假期更重要的推高物价因素。</blockquote></p><p> The end of the tax break is unlikely to burst the bubble – but a rise in interest rates could.</p><p><blockquote>税收减免的结束不太可能戳破泡沫，但利率上升可能会。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Wishart at Capital Economics expects prices to rise another 7.5pc by the end of 2023 aided by lower mortgage rates. But he acknowledges the risk of Bank of England rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观 (Capital Economics) 的安德鲁·威沙特 (Andrew Wishart) 预计，在抵押贷款利率下降的帮助下，到 2023 年底价格将再上涨 7.5%。但他承认英国央行加息的风险。</blockquote></p><p> “If the Monetary Policy Committee undertakes a significant tightening cycle, perhaps raising Bank Rate to 1.50pc, house prices could drop by 4pc,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果货币政策委员会进行大规模的紧缩周期，也许将银行利率提高到 1.50%，房价可能会下降 4 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Families are not the only borrowers who have become extremely used to ultra-low rates.</p><p><blockquote>家庭并不是唯一一个非常习惯超低利率的借款人。</blockquote></p><p> Governments and businesses have also borrowed hard since the pandemic began with minimal repayments allowing them to spend without too many worries.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情开始以来，政府和企业也大举借贷，还款额极低，让他们可以无忧无虑地消费。</blockquote></p><p> Low bond interest rates – yields – equal high bond prices, raising concern over the potential for a bust.</p><p><blockquote>低债券利率——收益率——等于高债券价格，引发了人们对破产可能性的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Britain’s Government ran its biggest deficit on record in 2020-21, borrowing £298bn. Yet the cost of servicing the debt slumped to a record low of just 2pc of Treasury revenues, down from as much as 4pc in 2019-20 and 7pc in 2011-12.</p><p><blockquote>英国政府在 2020-21 年出现了有记录以来最大的赤字，借款 2980 亿英镑。然而，偿还债务的成本已降至仅占财政收入的 2%，低于 2019-20 年的 4% 和 2011-12 年的 7%。</blockquote></p><p> But that has already crept up to 2.9pc as.</p><p><blockquote>但这一数字已经攀升至 2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile businesses worldwide have borrowed heavily. Non-financial businesses’ debts in advanced economies boomed from 165pc of GDP in the final months of 2019 to 185pc by the end of 2020, according to the Bank for International Settlements. In emerging markets it jumped from 147pc to 173pc of GDP. It leaves borrowers vulnerable to a jump in rates.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，世界各地的企业都在大举借款。根据国际清算银行的数据，发达经济体非金融企业的债务占国内生产总值的比例从 2019 年最后几个月的 165% 飙升至 2020 年底的 185%。在新兴市场，这一比例从 GDP 的 147% 跃升至 173%。这使得借款人容易受到利率飙升的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Barry Naisbitt, economist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, says the extent of the risk depends on how suddenly any rise in rates arrives.</p><p><blockquote>美国国家经济和社会研究所经济学家巴里·奈斯比特表示，风险的程度取决于利率上升的突然程度。</blockquote></p><p> “The average duration of UK government debt is long compared to other countries, so it would not immediately face having to roll over debts [at a higher rate],” he says. “But some countries and companies do need to roll over debts soon and could be caught out by a very sudden change.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”与其他国家相比，英国政府债务的平均期限很长，因此不会立即面临（以更高的利率）展期债务的问题。“但有些国家和公司确实需要尽快展期债务，可能会被非常突然的变化所困扰”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>存货</b></blockquote></p><p> America’s S&amp;P 500 rapidly rebounded from the Covid slump and routinely reaches new highs.</p><p><blockquote>美国标普500从科维德的低迷中迅速反弹，并经常创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Optimism on growth is one thing. Assumingand inflation will not become a problem is another.</p><p><blockquote>对增长持乐观态度是一回事。假设通货膨胀不会成为一个问题是另一回事。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Wealth Management, expects a “smooth landing” as the Fed eases off the accelerator, but is wary of the hazards ahead.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银财富管理公司（UBS Wealth Management）首席投资官马克-海费勒（Mark Haefele）预计，随着美联储放松油门，美联储将 “软着陆”，但他对未来的危险持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> “Every inflation report above 2pc will lead to a chorus of calls for the Fed and other central banks to rein in stimulus, so that inflation doesn’t spiral out of control,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”每一份高于 2 个百分点的通胀报告都会导致美联储和其他央行齐声评级，以控制刺激措施，从而防止通胀失控。</blockquote></p><p> “At the same time, the Fed knows that overzealous attempts to tame inflation risk putting the economy and markets on course for a hard landing.”</p><p><blockquote>“与此同时，美联储知道，过于热衷于抑制通胀可能会使经济和市场走上硬着陆的道路。”</blockquote></p><p> He expects the S&amp;P 500 to rise from almost 4,500 now to 4,800 by June 2022. But with “bad inflation”, a growth crunch or a new Covid scare – the market could tumble to 3,800, erasing almost all of 2021’s gain</p><p><blockquote>他预计到2022年6月，标普500将从现在的近4500人上升到4800人。但如果出现 “糟糕的通胀 ”、增长紧缩或新的 Covid 恐慌，市场可能会暴跌至 3800 点，抹去 2021 年的几乎所有涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Commodities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商品</b></blockquote></p><p> The real economy is as big a risk as monetary policy, particularly when it comes to commodity prices.</p><p><blockquote>实体经济和货币政策一样是一个巨大的风险，尤其是在大宗商品价格方面。</blockquote></p><p> Copper offers a salutary lesson to any investors who think everything has to keep rising this year.</p><p><blockquote>铜价为任何认为今年一切都必须继续上涨的投资者提供了有益的一课。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The red metal doubled in price between its spring 2020 trough and May 2021, far above pre-pandemic levels as China’s economy boomed and the net zero agenda set demand forecasts soaring. But it stumbled several times as Chinese authorities took action to cool prices, then fears of a new wave of Covid hit demand.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国经济的蓬勃发展和净零议程设定的需求预测飙升，红色金属的价格从 2020 年春季低谷到 2021 年 5 月翻了一番，远高于大流行前的水平。但随着中国当局采取行动给价格降温，随后对新一波新冠疫情的担忧打击了需求，该公司几次跌跌撞撞。</blockquote></p><p> At their low ebb this month– high by historical standards, but a sign of how fast a booming market can change.</p><p><blockquote>本月处于低潮——按历史标准来看是高的，但这表明蓬勃发展的市场变化有多快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币</b></blockquote></p><p> If real world assets are not enough,appears to be on another tear, rising close to $50,000 in recent days from a July low of below $30,000. In April it was more than $60,000.</p><p><blockquote>如果现实世界的资产还不够，那么它似乎又在撕裂，最近几天从 7 月份低于 30,000 美元的低点上涨了近 50,000 美元。4月份超过6万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, has been clear about his expectations for the fashionable digital creation. “A cryptoasset is not money (hence the term cryptocurrency is misleading) and has no intrinsic value because it has no backing,” he said earlier this summer.</p><p><blockquote>英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利 (Andrew Bailey) 明确表达了他对时尚数字创作的期望。“他在今年夏天早些时候说：”加密资产不是货币（因此加密货币一词具有误导性），也没有内在价值，因为它没有支持。</blockquote></p><p> Its ultimate value is “highly unstable and could be nothing.”</p><p><blockquote>它的终极价值是 “高度不稳定，可能什么都不是”。</blockquote></p><p> At least houses can still be lived in when a bubble pops.</p><p><blockquote>至少当泡沫破裂时，房子仍然可以居住。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1602484828908","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Five potential bubbles that may be about to burst<blockquote>五个可能即将破裂的潜在泡沫</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFive potential bubbles that may be about to burst<blockquote>五个可能即将破裂的潜在泡沫</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Telegraph</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-31 08:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>If you own your home, you may have noticed that the roof above your head has been growing more valuable at a startling rate.</p><p><blockquote>如果你拥有自己的房子，你可能已经注意到你头顶上的屋顶正以惊人的速度变得越来越有价值。</blockquote></p><p> Almost every part of the property market – some London flats excepted – is booming. Prices in June were up more than 13pc on the year,the fastest pace since 2004.</p><p><blockquote>房地产市场的几乎每个部分——除了一些伦敦公寓——都在蓬勃发展。6月份价格同比上涨超过13%，为2004年以来最快涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> It is not only homes which are getting more expensive. Stocks, bonds, commodities and more have all seen sharp price moves since Covid struck.</p><p><blockquote>不仅仅是房子越来越贵。自新冠疫情爆发以来，股票、债券、大宗商品等都出现了大幅价格波动。</blockquote></p><p> Heady rises in assets certainly make investors feel good and raise hopes the economy is on the right track, often in a self-reinforcing cycle.</p><p><blockquote>令人兴奋的资产上涨无疑让投资者感觉良好，并增加了经济走上正轨的希望，通常处于自我强化的周期中。</blockquote></p><p> But when everything is going up, twitchy markets can suddenly turn, alert for anything which could knock the rebound off course or burst what turns out to be a bubble.</p><p><blockquote>但当一切都在上涨时，动荡的市场可能会突然转变，警惕任何可能使反弹偏离轨道或破裂泡沫的事情。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve couldbungle the end of quantitative easing, causing a 2013-style taper tantrum. Inflation’s surge could be sustained,forcing higher interest rates. Another Covid wave could shock markets out of their optimism.</p><p><blockquote>美联储可能会搞砸量化宽松政策的结束，引发 2013 年式的缩减规模发脾气。通胀飙升可能会持续下去，迫使利率上升。另一波新冠疫情可能会让市场失去乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five potential bubbles and the threats facing investors.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个潜在的泡沫和投资者面临的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> <b>House prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>房价</b></blockquote></p><p> Prices hit records this summer. The UK average jumped to £266,000 – up £31,000 on the year, according to the Office for National Statistics.</p><p><blockquote>今年夏天价格创下历史新高。根据英国国家统计局的数据，英国平均收入跃升至 266,000 英镑，同比增加 31,000 英镑。</blockquote></p><p> Britain’s boom is but one part of an extraordinarily hotglobal property market. US prices are up almost 15pc, the fastest pace in 30 years. Canada’s market is up almost 14pc. New Zealand’s property market is up almost 30pc.</p><p><blockquote>英国的繁荣只是异常火爆的全球房地产市场的一部分。美国物价上涨近 15%，为 30 年来最快涨幅。加拿大市场增长了近 14%。新西兰房地产市场上涨了近 30%。</blockquote></p><p> This is all evidence to analysts at the Resolution Foundation that low interest rates, lockdown savings and shifting demand have been more important factors than Britain’s stamp duty holiday in pushing up prices.</p><p><blockquote>决议基金会（Resolution Foundation）的分析师们都证明，低利率、封锁储蓄和需求变化是比英国印花税假期更重要的推高物价因素。</blockquote></p><p> The end of the tax break is unlikely to burst the bubble – but a rise in interest rates could.</p><p><blockquote>税收减免的结束不太可能戳破泡沫，但利率上升可能会。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Wishart at Capital Economics expects prices to rise another 7.5pc by the end of 2023 aided by lower mortgage rates. But he acknowledges the risk of Bank of England rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观 (Capital Economics) 的安德鲁·威沙特 (Andrew Wishart) 预计，在抵押贷款利率下降的帮助下，到 2023 年底价格将再上涨 7.5%。但他承认英国央行加息的风险。</blockquote></p><p> “If the Monetary Policy Committee undertakes a significant tightening cycle, perhaps raising Bank Rate to 1.50pc, house prices could drop by 4pc,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果货币政策委员会进行大规模的紧缩周期，也许将银行利率提高到 1.50%，房价可能会下降 4 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Families are not the only borrowers who have become extremely used to ultra-low rates.</p><p><blockquote>家庭并不是唯一一个非常习惯超低利率的借款人。</blockquote></p><p> Governments and businesses have also borrowed hard since the pandemic began with minimal repayments allowing them to spend without too many worries.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情开始以来，政府和企业也大举借贷，还款额极低，让他们可以无忧无虑地消费。</blockquote></p><p> Low bond interest rates – yields – equal high bond prices, raising concern over the potential for a bust.</p><p><blockquote>低债券利率——收益率——等于高债券价格，引发了人们对破产可能性的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Britain’s Government ran its biggest deficit on record in 2020-21, borrowing £298bn. Yet the cost of servicing the debt slumped to a record low of just 2pc of Treasury revenues, down from as much as 4pc in 2019-20 and 7pc in 2011-12.</p><p><blockquote>英国政府在 2020-21 年出现了有记录以来最大的赤字，借款 2980 亿英镑。然而，偿还债务的成本已降至仅占财政收入的 2%，低于 2019-20 年的 4% 和 2011-12 年的 7%。</blockquote></p><p> But that has already crept up to 2.9pc as.</p><p><blockquote>但这一数字已经攀升至 2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile businesses worldwide have borrowed heavily. Non-financial businesses’ debts in advanced economies boomed from 165pc of GDP in the final months of 2019 to 185pc by the end of 2020, according to the Bank for International Settlements. In emerging markets it jumped from 147pc to 173pc of GDP. It leaves borrowers vulnerable to a jump in rates.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，世界各地的企业都在大举借款。根据国际清算银行的数据，发达经济体非金融企业的债务占国内生产总值的比例从 2019 年最后几个月的 165% 飙升至 2020 年底的 185%。在新兴市场，这一比例从 GDP 的 147% 跃升至 173%。这使得借款人容易受到利率飙升的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Barry Naisbitt, economist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, says the extent of the risk depends on how suddenly any rise in rates arrives.</p><p><blockquote>美国国家经济和社会研究所经济学家巴里·奈斯比特表示，风险的程度取决于利率上升的突然程度。</blockquote></p><p> “The average duration of UK government debt is long compared to other countries, so it would not immediately face having to roll over debts [at a higher rate],” he says. “But some countries and companies do need to roll over debts soon and could be caught out by a very sudden change.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”与其他国家相比，英国政府债务的平均期限很长，因此不会立即面临（以更高的利率）展期债务的问题。“但有些国家和公司确实需要尽快展期债务，可能会被非常突然的变化所困扰”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>存货</b></blockquote></p><p> America’s S&amp;P 500 rapidly rebounded from the Covid slump and routinely reaches new highs.</p><p><blockquote>美国标普500从科维德的低迷中迅速反弹，并经常创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Optimism on growth is one thing. Assumingand inflation will not become a problem is another.</p><p><blockquote>对增长持乐观态度是一回事。假设通货膨胀不会成为一个问题是另一回事。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Wealth Management, expects a “smooth landing” as the Fed eases off the accelerator, but is wary of the hazards ahead.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银财富管理公司（UBS Wealth Management）首席投资官马克-海费勒（Mark Haefele）预计，随着美联储放松油门，美联储将 “软着陆”，但他对未来的危险持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> “Every inflation report above 2pc will lead to a chorus of calls for the Fed and other central banks to rein in stimulus, so that inflation doesn’t spiral out of control,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”每一份高于 2 个百分点的通胀报告都会导致美联储和其他央行齐声评级，以控制刺激措施，从而防止通胀失控。</blockquote></p><p> “At the same time, the Fed knows that overzealous attempts to tame inflation risk putting the economy and markets on course for a hard landing.”</p><p><blockquote>“与此同时，美联储知道，过于热衷于抑制通胀可能会使经济和市场走上硬着陆的道路。”</blockquote></p><p> He expects the S&amp;P 500 to rise from almost 4,500 now to 4,800 by June 2022. But with “bad inflation”, a growth crunch or a new Covid scare – the market could tumble to 3,800, erasing almost all of 2021’s gain</p><p><blockquote>他预计到2022年6月，标普500将从现在的近4500人上升到4800人。但如果出现 “糟糕的通胀 ”、增长紧缩或新的 Covid 恐慌，市场可能会暴跌至 3800 点，抹去 2021 年的几乎所有涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Commodities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商品</b></blockquote></p><p> The real economy is as big a risk as monetary policy, particularly when it comes to commodity prices.</p><p><blockquote>实体经济和货币政策一样是一个巨大的风险，尤其是在大宗商品价格方面。</blockquote></p><p> Copper offers a salutary lesson to any investors who think everything has to keep rising this year.</p><p><blockquote>铜价为任何认为今年一切都必须继续上涨的投资者提供了有益的一课。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The red metal doubled in price between its spring 2020 trough and May 2021, far above pre-pandemic levels as China’s economy boomed and the net zero agenda set demand forecasts soaring. But it stumbled several times as Chinese authorities took action to cool prices, then fears of a new wave of Covid hit demand.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国经济的蓬勃发展和净零议程设定的需求预测飙升，红色金属的价格从 2020 年春季低谷到 2021 年 5 月翻了一番，远高于大流行前的水平。但随着中国当局采取行动给价格降温，随后对新一波新冠疫情的担忧打击了需求，该公司几次跌跌撞撞。</blockquote></p><p> At their low ebb this month– high by historical standards, but a sign of how fast a booming market can change.</p><p><blockquote>本月处于低潮——按历史标准来看是高的，但这表明蓬勃发展的市场变化有多快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币</b></blockquote></p><p> If real world assets are not enough,appears to be on another tear, rising close to $50,000 in recent days from a July low of below $30,000. In April it was more than $60,000.</p><p><blockquote>如果现实世界的资产还不够，那么它似乎又在撕裂，最近几天从 7 月份低于 30,000 美元的低点上涨了近 50,000 美元。4月份超过6万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, has been clear about his expectations for the fashionable digital creation. “A cryptoasset is not money (hence the term cryptocurrency is misleading) and has no intrinsic value because it has no backing,” he said earlier this summer.</p><p><blockquote>英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利 (Andrew Bailey) 明确表达了他对时尚数字创作的期望。“他在今年夏天早些时候说：”加密资产不是货币（因此加密货币一词具有误导性），也没有内在价值，因为它没有支持。</blockquote></p><p> Its ultimate value is “highly unstable and could be nothing.”</p><p><blockquote>它的终极价值是 “高度不稳定，可能什么都不是”。</blockquote></p><p> At least houses can still be lived in when a bubble pops.</p><p><blockquote>至少当泡沫破裂时，房子仍然可以居住。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/five-potential-bubbles-may-burst-113839455.html\">The Telegraph</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/five-potential-bubbles-may-burst-113839455.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122000344","content_text":"If you own your home, you may have noticed that the roof above your head has been growing more valuable at a startling rate.\nAlmost every part of the property market – some London flats excepted – is booming. Prices in June were up more than 13pc on the year,the fastest pace since 2004.\nIt is not only homes which are getting more expensive. Stocks, bonds, commodities and more have all seen sharp price moves since Covid struck.\nHeady rises in assets certainly make investors feel good and raise hopes the economy is on the right track, often in a self-reinforcing cycle.\nBut when everything is going up, twitchy markets can suddenly turn, alert for anything which could knock the rebound off course or burst what turns out to be a bubble.\nThe Federal Reserve couldbungle the end of quantitative easing, causing a 2013-style taper tantrum. Inflation’s surge could be sustained,forcing higher interest rates. Another Covid wave could shock markets out of their optimism.\nHere are five potential bubbles and the threats facing investors.\nHouse prices\nPrices hit records this summer. The UK average jumped to £266,000 – up £31,000 on the year, according to the Office for National Statistics.\nBritain’s boom is but one part of an extraordinarily hotglobal property market. US prices are up almost 15pc, the fastest pace in 30 years. Canada’s market is up almost 14pc. New Zealand’s property market is up almost 30pc.\nThis is all evidence to analysts at the Resolution Foundation that low interest rates, lockdown savings and shifting demand have been more important factors than Britain’s stamp duty holiday in pushing up prices.\nThe end of the tax break is unlikely to burst the bubble – but a rise in interest rates could.\nAndrew Wishart at Capital Economics expects prices to rise another 7.5pc by the end of 2023 aided by lower mortgage rates. But he acknowledges the risk of Bank of England rate hikes.\n“If the Monetary Policy Committee undertakes a significant tightening cycle, perhaps raising Bank Rate to 1.50pc, house prices could drop by 4pc,” he says.\nBonds\nFamilies are not the only borrowers who have become extremely used to ultra-low rates.\nGovernments and businesses have also borrowed hard since the pandemic began with minimal repayments allowing them to spend without too many worries.\nLow bond interest rates – yields – equal high bond prices, raising concern over the potential for a bust.\nBritain’s Government ran its biggest deficit on record in 2020-21, borrowing £298bn. Yet the cost of servicing the debt slumped to a record low of just 2pc of Treasury revenues, down from as much as 4pc in 2019-20 and 7pc in 2011-12.\nBut that has already crept up to 2.9pc as.\nMeanwhile businesses worldwide have borrowed heavily. Non-financial businesses’ debts in advanced economies boomed from 165pc of GDP in the final months of 2019 to 185pc by the end of 2020, according to the Bank for International Settlements. In emerging markets it jumped from 147pc to 173pc of GDP. It leaves borrowers vulnerable to a jump in rates.\nBarry Naisbitt, economist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, says the extent of the risk depends on how suddenly any rise in rates arrives.\n“The average duration of UK government debt is long compared to other countries, so it would not immediately face having to roll over debts [at a higher rate],” he says. “But some countries and companies do need to roll over debts soon and could be caught out by a very sudden change.”\nStocks\nAmerica’s S&P 500 rapidly rebounded from the Covid slump and routinely reaches new highs.\nOptimism on growth is one thing. Assumingand inflation will not become a problem is another.\nMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Wealth Management, expects a “smooth landing” as the Fed eases off the accelerator, but is wary of the hazards ahead.\n“Every inflation report above 2pc will lead to a chorus of calls for the Fed and other central banks to rein in stimulus, so that inflation doesn’t spiral out of control,” he says.\n“At the same time, the Fed knows that overzealous attempts to tame inflation risk putting the economy and markets on course for a hard landing.”\nHe expects the S&P 500 to rise from almost 4,500 now to 4,800 by June 2022. But with “bad inflation”, a growth crunch or a new Covid scare – the market could tumble to 3,800, erasing almost all of 2021’s gain\nCommodities\nThe real economy is as big a risk as monetary policy, particularly when it comes to commodity prices.\nCopper offers a salutary lesson to any investors who think everything has to keep rising this year.\nThe red metal doubled in price between its spring 2020 trough and May 2021, far above pre-pandemic levels as China’s economy boomed and the net zero agenda set demand forecasts soaring. But it stumbled several times as Chinese authorities took action to cool prices, then fears of a new wave of Covid hit demand.\nAt their low ebb this month– high by historical standards, but a sign of how fast a booming market can change.\nBitcoin\nIf real world assets are not enough,appears to be on another tear, rising close to $50,000 in recent days from a July low of below $30,000. In April it was more than $60,000.\nAndrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, has been clear about his expectations for the fashionable digital creation. “A cryptoasset is not money (hence the term cryptocurrency is misleading) and has no intrinsic value because it has no backing,” he said earlier this summer.\nIts ultimate value is “highly unstable and could be nothing.”\nAt least houses can still be lived in when a bubble pops.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818126738,"gmtCreate":1630386607724,"gmtModify":1704959526925,"author":{"id":"3563143729664530","authorId":"3563143729664530","name":"prabu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/558da9e3759d69fb6e162aed0e484183","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563143729664530","idStr":"3563143729664530"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Finger crossed","listText":"Finger crossed","text":"Finger crossed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818126738","repostId":"2163381188","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818126260,"gmtCreate":1630386575050,"gmtModify":1704959526412,"author":{"id":"3563143729664530","authorId":"3563143729664530","name":"prabu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/558da9e3759d69fb6e162aed0e484183","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563143729664530","idStr":"3563143729664530"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Insightful&nbsp;","listText":"Insightful&nbsp;","text":"Insightful","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818126260","repostId":"1170371463","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170371463","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630378945,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170371463?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-31 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Affirm Stock Jumps On Amazon \"Buy Now, Pay Later\" E-Commerce Deal<blockquote>亚马逊“先买后付”电子商务交易肯定股价上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170371463","media":"Investors","summary":"Shares in Affirm Holdings, Inc. soared in early trading on Monday amid the consumer financing firm's","content":"<p>Shares in&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings, Inc.</a></b> soared in early trading on Monday amid the consumer financing firm's new partnership with&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>. The boost for Affirm stock follows&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a>'s</b> acquisition of Afterpay, which highlighted the growing role of buy now, pay later services at the point of sale.</p><p><blockquote>于<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">肯定控股公司。</a></b>由于这家消费金融公司与<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>. Affirm 股票随后上涨<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>的</b>收购 Afterpay，凸显了“先买后付”服务在销售点日益增长的作用。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm said after the market close on Friday that&nbsp;Amazon is testingAffirm's system of buy now, pay later — also known as BNPL installment payment plans — with some customers. The e-commerce giant plans to make Affirm's BNPL services more broadly available in the coming months.&nbsp;Online retailers generally pay BNPL companies transaction fees of 4% to 5%.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm 在周五收盘后表示，亚马逊正在与一些客户测试 Affirm 的“先买后付”系统（也称为 BNPL 分期付款计划）。这家电子商务巨头计划在未来几个月更广泛地提供Affirm的BNPL服务。在线零售商通常向BNPL公司支付4%至5%的交易费。</blockquote></p><p> \"Although it is difficult to forecast the exact impact of this partnership, our first back of the envelope 2022 estimate would be an annual total payment volume contribution of about $7.7 billion, with a potential revenue contribution of $385 million (potentially around 22% of AFRM),\" Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Keane said in a report to clients. \"Since Amazon will likely bring material volumes, AMZN likely attained attractive pricing especially given the competition for a deal of this size.\"</p><p><blockquote>“尽管很难预测这种合作伙伴关系的确切影响，但我们对 2022 年信封的第一个估计将是年度总支付量贡献约为 77 亿美元，潜在收入贡献为 3.85 亿美元（可能约为 22%） AFRM），”德意志银行分析师布莱恩·基恩 (Bryan Keane) 在给客户的一份报告中表示。“由于亚马逊可能会带来大量材料，亚马逊可能会获得有吸引力的定价，特别是考虑到如此规模交易的竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Affirm stock soared 47% to close at 99.59 on the&nbsp;stock market today. AFRM stock launched an initial public offering in January. Amazon stock climbed 2.2% to 3,421.57.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm 股票今天在股市上飙升 47%，收于 99.59 点。AFRM 股票于 1 月份启动首次公开募股。亚马逊股价上涨 2.2%，至 3,421.57 点。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm stock reports fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on Sept. 9.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm stock 于 9 月 9 日公布第四财季收益。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm also provides BNPL services to Amazon rival&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Wal-Mart</a></b>. BNPL services generally split payments into three or four equal installments over two months or less. Walmart and Affirm, though, stretch out some BNPL plans to 18 and 24 months.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm 还向亚马逊竞争对手提供 BNPL 服务<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">沃尔玛</a></b>BNPL服务通常在两个月或更短时间内将付款分成三到四次等额分期付款。不过，沃尔玛和Affirm将一些BNPL计划延长至18个月和24个月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Affirm Stock: Biggest Customer Is Peloton</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Affirm 股票：最大客户是 Peloton</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers typically use BNPL installments when buying items such as electronics and furniture. BNPL service providers generally split payments into three or four equal installments. Consumers avoid interest and transaction fees if they pay on time.</p><p><blockquote>消费者在购买电子产品和家具等物品时通常使用 BNPL 分期付款。BNPL服务提供商通常将付款分成三到四期等额付款。如果消费者按时付款，就可以避免利息和交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm's biggest customer has been home fitness giant<b>Peloton Interactive</b>(PTON), which makes pricey treadmills and stationary bikes. Other Affirm customers include<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">Nordstrom</a></b>(JWN), privately held Neiman <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCS\">Marcus</a>,<b>Dick's Sporting Goods</b>(DKS), and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">Williams-Sonoma</a></b>(WSM).</p><p><blockquote>Affirm 最大的客户是家庭健身巨头<b>Peloton互动</b>（PTON），生产昂贵的跑步机和固定自行车。其他确认客户包括<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">诺德斯特伦</a></b>（JWN），私人持有内曼<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCS\">马库斯</a>,<b>迪克体育用品</b>（DKS），和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">威廉姆斯-索诺玛</a></b>（WSM）。</blockquote></p><p> Square on Aug. 1 acquired Afterpay in a $29 billion all-stock deal. AFRM stock rose on the Square purchase of Afterpay on speculation it could also be a takeover target.</p><p><blockquote>Square 于 8 月 1 日以 290 亿美元的全股票交易收购了 Afterpay。AFRM 股价因 Square 收购 Afterpay 而上涨，原因是猜测 Afterpay 也可能成为收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> As of Friday's market close, Affirm stock had aRelative Strength Ratingof only 13 out of a possible 99, according toIBD Stock Checkup.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD 股票检查，截至周五收盘，Affirm 股票的相对强度评级仅为 13 分（满分 99 分）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Affirm Stock Jumps On Amazon \"Buy Now, Pay Later\" E-Commerce Deal<blockquote>亚马逊“先买后付”电子商务交易肯定股价上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAffirm Stock Jumps On Amazon \"Buy Now, Pay Later\" E-Commerce Deal<blockquote>亚马逊“先买后付”电子商务交易肯定股价上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-31 11:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares in&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings, Inc.</a></b> soared in early trading on Monday amid the consumer financing firm's new partnership with&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>. The boost for Affirm stock follows&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a>'s</b> acquisition of Afterpay, which highlighted the growing role of buy now, pay later services at the point of sale.</p><p><blockquote>于<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">肯定控股公司。</a></b>由于这家消费金融公司与<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>. Affirm 股票随后上涨<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>的</b>收购 Afterpay，凸显了“先买后付”服务在销售点日益增长的作用。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm said after the market close on Friday that&nbsp;Amazon is testingAffirm's system of buy now, pay later — also known as BNPL installment payment plans — with some customers. The e-commerce giant plans to make Affirm's BNPL services more broadly available in the coming months.&nbsp;Online retailers generally pay BNPL companies transaction fees of 4% to 5%.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm 在周五收盘后表示，亚马逊正在与一些客户测试 Affirm 的“先买后付”系统（也称为 BNPL 分期付款计划）。这家电子商务巨头计划在未来几个月更广泛地提供Affirm的BNPL服务。在线零售商通常向BNPL公司支付4%至5%的交易费。</blockquote></p><p> \"Although it is difficult to forecast the exact impact of this partnership, our first back of the envelope 2022 estimate would be an annual total payment volume contribution of about $7.7 billion, with a potential revenue contribution of $385 million (potentially around 22% of AFRM),\" Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Keane said in a report to clients. \"Since Amazon will likely bring material volumes, AMZN likely attained attractive pricing especially given the competition for a deal of this size.\"</p><p><blockquote>“尽管很难预测这种合作伙伴关系的确切影响，但我们对 2022 年信封的第一个估计将是年度总支付量贡献约为 77 亿美元，潜在收入贡献为 3.85 亿美元（可能约为 22%） AFRM），”德意志银行分析师布莱恩·基恩 (Bryan Keane) 在给客户的一份报告中表示。“由于亚马逊可能会带来大量材料，亚马逊可能会获得有吸引力的定价，特别是考虑到如此规模交易的竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Affirm stock soared 47% to close at 99.59 on the&nbsp;stock market today. AFRM stock launched an initial public offering in January. Amazon stock climbed 2.2% to 3,421.57.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm 股票今天在股市上飙升 47%，收于 99.59 点。AFRM 股票于 1 月份启动首次公开募股。亚马逊股价上涨 2.2%，至 3,421.57 点。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm stock reports fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on Sept. 9.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm stock 于 9 月 9 日公布第四财季收益。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm also provides BNPL services to Amazon rival&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Wal-Mart</a></b>. BNPL services generally split payments into three or four equal installments over two months or less. Walmart and Affirm, though, stretch out some BNPL plans to 18 and 24 months.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm 还向亚马逊竞争对手提供 BNPL 服务<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">沃尔玛</a></b>BNPL服务通常在两个月或更短时间内将付款分成三到四次等额分期付款。不过，沃尔玛和Affirm将一些BNPL计划延长至18个月和24个月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Affirm Stock: Biggest Customer Is Peloton</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Affirm 股票：最大客户是 Peloton</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers typically use BNPL installments when buying items such as electronics and furniture. BNPL service providers generally split payments into three or four equal installments. Consumers avoid interest and transaction fees if they pay on time.</p><p><blockquote>消费者在购买电子产品和家具等物品时通常使用 BNPL 分期付款。BNPL服务提供商通常将付款分成三到四期等额付款。如果消费者按时付款，就可以避免利息和交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm's biggest customer has been home fitness giant<b>Peloton Interactive</b>(PTON), which makes pricey treadmills and stationary bikes. Other Affirm customers include<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">Nordstrom</a></b>(JWN), privately held Neiman <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCS\">Marcus</a>,<b>Dick's Sporting Goods</b>(DKS), and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">Williams-Sonoma</a></b>(WSM).</p><p><blockquote>Affirm 最大的客户是家庭健身巨头<b>Peloton互动</b>（PTON），生产昂贵的跑步机和固定自行车。其他确认客户包括<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">诺德斯特伦</a></b>（JWN），私人持有内曼<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCS\">马库斯</a>,<b>迪克体育用品</b>（DKS），和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">威廉姆斯-索诺玛</a></b>（WSM）。</blockquote></p><p> Square on Aug. 1 acquired Afterpay in a $29 billion all-stock deal. AFRM stock rose on the Square purchase of Afterpay on speculation it could also be a takeover target.</p><p><blockquote>Square 于 8 月 1 日以 290 亿美元的全股票交易收购了 Afterpay。AFRM 股价因 Square 收购 Afterpay 而上涨，原因是猜测 Afterpay 也可能成为收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> As of Friday's market close, Affirm stock had aRelative Strength Ratingof only 13 out of a possible 99, according toIBD Stock Checkup.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD 股票检查，截至周五收盘，Affirm 股票的相对强度评级仅为 13 分（满分 99 分）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/affirm-stock-jumps-on-amazon-buy-now-pay-later-ecommerce-deal/?src=A00220\">Investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","AFRM":"Affirm Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/affirm-stock-jumps-on-amazon-buy-now-pay-later-ecommerce-deal/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170371463","content_text":"Shares in Affirm Holdings, Inc. soared in early trading on Monday amid the consumer financing firm's new partnership with Amazon.com. The boost for Affirm stock follows Square's acquisition of Afterpay, which highlighted the growing role of buy now, pay later services at the point of sale.\nAffirm said after the market close on Friday that Amazon is testingAffirm's system of buy now, pay later — also known as BNPL installment payment plans — with some customers. The e-commerce giant plans to make Affirm's BNPL services more broadly available in the coming months. Online retailers generally pay BNPL companies transaction fees of 4% to 5%.\n\"Although it is difficult to forecast the exact impact of this partnership, our first back of the envelope 2022 estimate would be an annual total payment volume contribution of about $7.7 billion, with a potential revenue contribution of $385 million (potentially around 22% of AFRM),\" Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Keane said in a report to clients. \"Since Amazon will likely bring material volumes, AMZN likely attained attractive pricing especially given the competition for a deal of this size.\"\nAffirm stock soared 47% to close at 99.59 on the stock market today. AFRM stock launched an initial public offering in January. Amazon stock climbed 2.2% to 3,421.57.\nAffirm stock reports fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on Sept. 9.\nAffirm also provides BNPL services to Amazon rival Wal-Mart. BNPL services generally split payments into three or four equal installments over two months or less. Walmart and Affirm, though, stretch out some BNPL plans to 18 and 24 months.\nAffirm Stock: Biggest Customer Is Peloton\nConsumers typically use BNPL installments when buying items such as electronics and furniture. BNPL service providers generally split payments into three or four equal installments. Consumers avoid interest and transaction fees if they pay on time.\nAffirm's biggest customer has been home fitness giantPeloton Interactive(PTON), which makes pricey treadmills and stationary bikes. Other Affirm customers includeNordstrom(JWN), privately held Neiman Marcus,Dick's Sporting Goods(DKS), andWilliams-Sonoma(WSM).\nSquare on Aug. 1 acquired Afterpay in a $29 billion all-stock deal. AFRM stock rose on the Square purchase of Afterpay on speculation it could also be a takeover target.\nAs of Friday's market close, Affirm stock had aRelative Strength Ratingof only 13 out of a possible 99, according toIBD Stock Checkup.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"AFRM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818126053,"gmtCreate":1630386539872,"gmtModify":1704959525723,"author":{"id":"3563143729664530","authorId":"3563143729664530","name":"prabu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/558da9e3759d69fb6e162aed0e484183","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563143729664530","idStr":"3563143729664530"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818126053","repostId":"2163831208","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":818121639,"gmtCreate":1630386445521,"gmtModify":1704959523147,"author":{"id":"3563143729664530","authorId":"3563143729664530","name":"prabu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/558da9e3759d69fb6e162aed0e484183","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563143729664530","idStr":"3563143729664530"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"When will you go up!!!","listText":"When will you go up!!!","text":"When will you go up!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52ca32f937df2761cac25ce8c8ebf7e3","width":"1080","height":"2587"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818121639","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2030,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818123387,"gmtCreate":1630386359349,"gmtModify":1704959521431,"author":{"id":"3563143729664530","authorId":"3563143729664530","name":"prabu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/558da9e3759d69fb6e162aed0e484183","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563143729664530","idStr":"3563143729664530"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818123387","repostId":"2163833181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811289208,"gmtCreate":1630326698404,"gmtModify":1704958464635,"author":{"id":"3563143729664530","authorId":"3563143729664530","name":"prabu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/558da9e3759d69fb6e162aed0e484183","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563143729664530","idStr":"3563143729664530"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hope this one will reach 3$ again","listText":"Hope this one will reach 3$ again","text":"Hope this one will reach 3$ again","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dbe4734b29e6b969c856fc36439ccc7","width":"1080","height":"2686"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811289208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838491666,"gmtCreate":1629422701355,"gmtModify":1633684961504,"author":{"id":"3563143729664530","authorId":"3563143729664530","name":"prabu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/558da9e3759d69fb6e162aed0e484183","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563143729664530","idStr":"3563143729664530"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"When will you go up?","listText":"When will you go up?","text":"When will you go up?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d23dbc315ab42f8ebc862db7626b490","width":"1080","height":"2587"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838491666","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}