社区
首页
集团介绍
社区
资讯
行情
学堂
TigerAI
登录
注册
阿帕蓝翘
IP属地:未知
+关注
帖子 · 34
帖子 · 34
关注 · 0
关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0
粉丝 · 0
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-19
哈哈
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
1,969
回复
1
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-18
bu
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
955
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-14
纳尼
【周报】市场静待财报数据,三大指数高位运行
随着非农数据落地,市场不确定性干扰减弱,但受到德尔塔变异病毒蔓延影响以及部分经济数据不及市场预期引发经济复苏担忧,美股三大指数波动加大,但整体处于震荡上行的态势。7月9日,市场聚焦二季度财报,三大指数延续强势运行。7月12日,美股开启第二季度财报季,叠加近期处于经济数据空窗期,十年期美债收益率震荡下行,市场风险偏好回升,三大指数延续涨势。
【周报】市场静待财报数据,三大指数高位运行
看
1,335
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-11
yup
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
717
回复
评论
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-10
阿帕蓝翘
中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊
中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊运营商财经 八卦叨/文根据浙江日报7月7日的报道,位于浙江绍兴的中芯国际绍兴项目已成功完成晶圆设备链调试,8英寸晶圆的月产能将提升到7万片,且良品率高达99%。这是中芯国际在晶圆产品的一个重要布局。中芯国际绍兴工厂月产能稳定到7万片,将给中芯国际扩大规模助力。中芯绍兴量产成功的8英寸晶圆,可用于智能汽车、智能家居家电的芯片制造。
中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊
看
789
回复
评论
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-09
耶
美国股市:三大股指均收低,有关美国经济复苏动能的担忧引发抛售
在债市因避险买盘而大涨之际,美国三大股指急挫。记录显示,美联储认为经济尚未完全复苏,但已经就收紧政策认真展开辩论。标普500指数11个板块均收低,金融股 百分比跌幅最大。进一步表明劳动力市场从新冠疫情中的复苏仍磕磕绊绊。中国政府持续审查在美上市中国企业,助长了避险情绪。目前中国政府已将对在美上市中国企业的审查范围扩大至科技行业以外。
美国股市:三大股指均收低,有关美国经济复苏动能的担忧引发抛售
看
1,169
回复
评论
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-08
纳尼
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
935
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-05
哈哈哈
华西策略:7月A股仍具备结构性行情特征 沿景气主线布局
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! A股7月月报:吐故纳新,沿景气主线布局。 四、7月A股投资建议:仍具备结构性行情特征,沿景气主线布局。 A股中报业绩有望维持较高增速,化工、机械设备、电子、医药生物、电气设备预喜家数居前。
华西策略:7月A股仍具备结构性行情特征 沿景气主线布局
看
1,097
回复
1
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-07-03
no
Does Palantir Have the Right Stuff to Get Back to $40?
The next leg up for PLTR stock requires more free cash flow generation Palantir Technologies(NYSE:PL
Does Palantir Have the Right Stuff to Get Back to $40?
看
1,843
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
阿帕蓝翘
阿帕蓝翘
·
2021-06-30
欧耶
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
1,233
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
加载更多
热议股票
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3568414727378554","uuid":"3568414727378554","gmtCreate":1605498213428,"gmtModify":1625624810600,"name":"阿帕蓝翘","pinyin":"eplqepalanqiao","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":3,"headSize":10,"tweetSize":34,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.26","exceedPercentage":"80.89%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.04.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":173110424,"gmtCreate":1626644132468,"gmtModify":1631890977019,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哈哈","listText":"哈哈","text":"哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173110424","repostId":"2152687144","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173009614,"gmtCreate":1626581822438,"gmtModify":1631890977029,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"bu","listText":"bu","text":"bu","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173009614","repostId":"2152684804","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145225617,"gmtCreate":1626226587039,"gmtModify":1631890977032,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"纳尼","listText":"纳尼","text":"纳尼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145225617","repostId":"2151595576","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2151595576","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626225189,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151595576?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 09:13","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"【周报】市场静待财报数据,三大指数高位运行","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151595576","media":"CME","summary":"随着非农数据落地,市场不确定性干扰减弱,但受到德尔塔变异病毒蔓延影响以及部分经济数据不及市场预期引发经济复苏担忧,美股三大指数波动加大,但整体处于震荡上行的态势。7月9日,市场聚焦二季度财报,三大指数延续强势运行。7月12日,美股开启第二季度财报季,叠加近期处于经济数据空窗期,十年期美债收益率震荡下行,市场风险偏好回升,三大指数延续涨势。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<strong>一、周度行情回顾</strong><br/>\n<strong>1、美国主要股指期货品种周度表现<br/>\r\n </strong>随着非农数据落地,市场不确定性干扰减弱,但受到德尔塔变异病毒蔓延影响以及部分经济数据不及市场预期引发经济复苏担忧,美股三大指数波动加大,但整体处于震荡上行的态势。具体来看,7月6日,OPEC+会议谈判破裂,市场重新引发对石油供应过剩的担忧,美油期货和布油期货重挫,受能源和金融板块拖累,道指和标普500指数均从上周的纪录高位回落,仅纳指收涨。7月7日,周三公布的美联储6月会议纪要显示,美联储曾在会上讨论了缩减购债规模,官员们预计将继续向达到缩减QE的门槛取得进展,但由于近期公布的服务业PMI不及市场预期,表明经济增长步伐可能正在放缓,疲弱的数据缓解了投资者对政策收紧的担忧,随着债券收益率走低,美股市场延续高风偏。7月8日,美国当周初请失业金人数不及市场预期,以及德尔塔变异毒株在全球多地蔓延,投资者担心经济复苏的势头会因此受阻,叠加Taper预期仍存,金融板块带头下跌,周期股表现不佳,芯片股亦下跌。7月9日,市场聚焦二季度财报,三大指数延续强势运行。7月12日,美股开启第二季度财报季,叠加近期处于经济数据空窗期,十年期美债收益率震荡下行,市场风险偏好回升,三大指数延续涨势。<br/>\r\n表1:当前合约周度表现<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091346638.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库<br/>\n<strong>2、标普500行业指数周度数据<br/>\r\n </strong>美国时间7月6日-7月12日当周,随着不确定性因素落地,市场聚焦美股财报季,风险偏好回升,标普500延续涨势,除了能源版块下跌外,其余板块均上行,房地产、可选消费和公共事业涨势居前。<br/>\r\n表2:标普500行业指数一周涨跌情况<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091408682.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库<br/>\n<strong>3、MSCI</strong><strong>核心区域指数周度表现<br/>\r\n </strong>美国时间7月6日-7月12日当周,受海外市场扰动和国际疫情的影响,MSCI市场指数涨跌互现,其中金砖四国、亚太地区和新兴市场跌幅居前,发达市场、欧盟、欧洲地区指数表现相对强势。<br/>\r\n表3:MSCI核心区域指数一周涨跌情况<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091430599.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库<br/>\r\n <br/>\n<strong>二、基本面分析<br/>\r\n </strong><strong>(1)美国经济复苏或将进入中后期。</strong>根据美国补库周期平均时间不低于18月,此轮补库周期开始于2020年5月,推断补库周期至少延续至四季度,美国经济将延续修复,美国供需两端持续恢复、需求端快于供给端,复苏沿着房地产、商品消费、设备投资、服务消费顺序依次展开,美国上下游产能利用率均有改善,产成品>原材料,原材料修复加快,供需缺口将逐渐缩窄,经济修复逐渐进入中后期。<br/>\r\n图1:美国库存周期<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091454707.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库<br/>\r\n图2:美国三大需求<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091509539.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库<br/>\r\n图3:美国上下游产能利用率<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091618657.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库<br/>\n<strong> (2)美国就业延续改善,物价持续上行。</strong>美国劳动参与率尚未完全修复,失业救济金的发放降低了居民就业意愿,当前美国就业面临需求旺盛、但劳动力供给不足的问题,6月新增非农就业85万人,失业率5.9%,改善缓慢,较2020年2月相比仍然存在约676万的就业缺口,未来随着就业补助的减退以及服务消费的改善,预计下半年就业会加快改善;<br/>\r\n 美国生产端、消费端的通货膨胀延续上行,核心CPI创历史新高,通胀压力升温,参考2013年就业修复到金融危机前63.7%美联储开始削减QE,市场普遍预期美联储在三季度或将讨论缩减购债规模并引导市场预期,四季度开始缩减资产购买。<br/>\r\n图4:美国当周初请失业金人数<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091642839.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库<br/>\r\n 美国经济延续扩张态势,随着完成前半段的修复,后续经济增速或逐渐回归常态,由生产加速修复逐渐过渡到服务业改善,预计随着救济金的减少,接下来美国就业市场在三季度或加快修复,按照美联储关注的就业指标以及经济修复状况,以及参考上一轮宣布期的时间,宣布期可能集中在三四季度,本轮缩减或最早于四季度末至2022年2月开始,需要密切关注美国8月杰克森霍尔央行会议和9月FOMC会议是否公布Taper信息。<br/>\r\n <br/>\n<strong>三、持仓分析</strong><br/>\r\n 美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)公布的数据显示,截至7月6日当周,投机头寸在E-迷你标普500股指期货及期权的持仓由净多持仓36742手减少至14826手,多单减少7754手,空单增加14171手;道琼斯($5)期货期权净多持仓7688手减少至6364手,多单减少881手,空单增加443手;纳斯达克100迷你指数期货及期权的持仓由净空持仓15107手增加至19308手,多单减少1138手,空单增加2793手。<br/>\r\n 从持仓量情况来看,小型道指投机持仓量减少438手,迷你标普500、迷你纳斯达克100投机持仓量分别增加6426手、1653手;从净空单变化来看,小型道指、迷你标普500、迷你纳斯达克100净空单分别增加1324手、21916手、3931手。持仓情况显示三大指数合约多头力量减弱。<br/>\r\n图5:迷你标普500期货期权投机持仓变化<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091708820.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:CFTC官网 国际衍生品智库<br/>\r\n图6:E-迷你纳斯达克100期货期权投机持仓变化<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091722614.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:CFTC官网 国际衍生品智库<br/>\r\n图7:道琼斯($5)期货期权投机持仓变化<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091737187.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:CFTC官网 国际衍生品智库<br/>\n<br/>\n<strong>四、热点关注</strong><br/>\r\n表4:未来一周热点关注<br/>\n<img src=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/uploadfile/2021/0714/20210714091812860.png\"/><br/>\r\n资料来源:金十数据 国际衍生品智库<br/>\r\n <br/>\n<strong>五、行情展望</strong><br/>\r\n 随着非农数据落地,市场不确定性干扰减弱,以及美股Q2财报季将拉开帷幕,市场延续高风险偏好。从宏观基本面来看,随着疫苗接种推进、疫情防控措施解开,就业、服务加速改善,美国经济下半年延续修复,对企业盈利形成支撑。从宏观政策来看,下半年Taper预期或成最大扰动,此次Taper预期始于美联储在6月利率决议会议,美联储承认近期通胀上涨超出预期,18位官员中有13人支持2023年底前至少加息一次,并且表示已经开始讨论考虑Taper计划,按照美联储关注的就业指标以及经济修复状况,以及参考上一轮宣布期的时间,宣布期可能集中在三四季度,本轮缩减或最早于四季度末至2022年2月开始。因此三四季度或面临海外市场的波动,但参考上一轮的市场表现,且具有经济和企业盈利的修复,预计美股持续大幅下跌的可能性较小。从持仓量来看,近期三大期指合约的多头力量减弱,谨防高位兑现利润的可能性,本周市场的关注点或集中在美股财报季,预计三大指数延续高位运行的可能性较大。<br/>\n<br/>\n<br/>\n<br/><br/><br/>免责条款<br/>\r\n本报告版权归“国际衍生品智库”所有。未经事先书面授权,任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、复制。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为“国际衍生品智库”,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的删节和修改。 本报告基于我公司及其研究人员认为可信的公开资料或实地调研资料,但我公司及其研究人员对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,且本报告中的资料、意见、预测均反映报告初次公开发布时的判断,可能会随时调整。报告中的信息,以及所表达意见不构成投资、法律、会计或税务的最终操作建议,我们不就报告中的内容对最终操作建议做出任何担保。\r\n </div></body></html>","source":"sunedu","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>【周报】市场静待财报数据,三大指数高位运行</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n【周报】市场静待财报数据,三大指数高位运行\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-14 09:13 北京时间 <a href=http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/index.php?m=content&c=index&a=show&catid=15&id=29305><strong>CME</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>一、周度行情回顾\n1、美国主要股指期货品种周度表现\r\n 随着非农数据落地,市场不确定性干扰减弱,但受到德尔塔变异病毒蔓延影响以及部分经济数据不及市场预期引发经济复苏担忧,美股三大指数波动加大,但整体处于震荡上行的态势。具体来看,7月6日,OPEC+会议谈判破裂,市场重新引发对石油供应过剩的担忧,美油期货和布油期货重挫,受能源和金融板块拖累,道指和标普500指数均从上周的纪录高位回落,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/index.php?m=content&c=index&a=show&catid=15&id=29305\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62b889d823b16eb88fde7821485a6ea1","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","518880":"黄金ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","GLD":"SPDR黄金ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","IAU":"黄金信托ETF(iShares)","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion"},"source_url":"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/index.php?m=content&c=index&a=show&catid=15&id=29305","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/f4194a6170df413b318136712477adde","article_id":"2151595576","content_text":"一、周度行情回顾\n1、美国主要股指期货品种周度表现\r\n 随着非农数据落地,市场不确定性干扰减弱,但受到德尔塔变异病毒蔓延影响以及部分经济数据不及市场预期引发经济复苏担忧,美股三大指数波动加大,但整体处于震荡上行的态势。具体来看,7月6日,OPEC+会议谈判破裂,市场重新引发对石油供应过剩的担忧,美油期货和布油期货重挫,受能源和金融板块拖累,道指和标普500指数均从上周的纪录高位回落,仅纳指收涨。7月7日,周三公布的美联储6月会议纪要显示,美联储曾在会上讨论了缩减购债规模,官员们预计将继续向达到缩减QE的门槛取得进展,但由于近期公布的服务业PMI不及市场预期,表明经济增长步伐可能正在放缓,疲弱的数据缓解了投资者对政策收紧的担忧,随着债券收益率走低,美股市场延续高风偏。7月8日,美国当周初请失业金人数不及市场预期,以及德尔塔变异毒株在全球多地蔓延,投资者担心经济复苏的势头会因此受阻,叠加Taper预期仍存,金融板块带头下跌,周期股表现不佳,芯片股亦下跌。7月9日,市场聚焦二季度财报,三大指数延续强势运行。7月12日,美股开启第二季度财报季,叠加近期处于经济数据空窗期,十年期美债收益率震荡下行,市场风险偏好回升,三大指数延续涨势。\r\n表1:当前合约周度表现\n\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库\n2、标普500行业指数周度数据\r\n 美国时间7月6日-7月12日当周,随着不确定性因素落地,市场聚焦美股财报季,风险偏好回升,标普500延续涨势,除了能源版块下跌外,其余板块均上行,房地产、可选消费和公共事业涨势居前。\r\n表2:标普500行业指数一周涨跌情况\n\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库\n3、MSCI核心区域指数周度表现\r\n 美国时间7月6日-7月12日当周,受海外市场扰动和国际疫情的影响,MSCI市场指数涨跌互现,其中金砖四国、亚太地区和新兴市场跌幅居前,发达市场、欧盟、欧洲地区指数表现相对强势。\r\n表3:MSCI核心区域指数一周涨跌情况\n\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库\r\n \n二、基本面分析\r\n (1)美国经济复苏或将进入中后期。根据美国补库周期平均时间不低于18月,此轮补库周期开始于2020年5月,推断补库周期至少延续至四季度,美国经济将延续修复,美国供需两端持续恢复、需求端快于供给端,复苏沿着房地产、商品消费、设备投资、服务消费顺序依次展开,美国上下游产能利用率均有改善,产成品>原材料,原材料修复加快,供需缺口将逐渐缩窄,经济修复逐渐进入中后期。\r\n图1:美国库存周期\n\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库\r\n图2:美国三大需求\n\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库\r\n图3:美国上下游产能利用率\n\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库\n (2)美国就业延续改善,物价持续上行。美国劳动参与率尚未完全修复,失业救济金的发放降低了居民就业意愿,当前美国就业面临需求旺盛、但劳动力供给不足的问题,6月新增非农就业85万人,失业率5.9%,改善缓慢,较2020年2月相比仍然存在约676万的就业缺口,未来随着就业补助的减退以及服务消费的改善,预计下半年就业会加快改善;\r\n 美国生产端、消费端的通货膨胀延续上行,核心CPI创历史新高,通胀压力升温,参考2013年就业修复到金融危机前63.7%美联储开始削减QE,市场普遍预期美联储在三季度或将讨论缩减购债规模并引导市场预期,四季度开始缩减资产购买。\r\n图4:美国当周初请失业金人数\n\r\n资料来源:Wind 国际衍生品智库\r\n 美国经济延续扩张态势,随着完成前半段的修复,后续经济增速或逐渐回归常态,由生产加速修复逐渐过渡到服务业改善,预计随着救济金的减少,接下来美国就业市场在三季度或加快修复,按照美联储关注的就业指标以及经济修复状况,以及参考上一轮宣布期的时间,宣布期可能集中在三四季度,本轮缩减或最早于四季度末至2022年2月开始,需要密切关注美国8月杰克森霍尔央行会议和9月FOMC会议是否公布Taper信息。\r\n \n三、持仓分析\r\n 美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)公布的数据显示,截至7月6日当周,投机头寸在E-迷你标普500股指期货及期权的持仓由净多持仓36742手减少至14826手,多单减少7754手,空单增加14171手;道琼斯($5)期货期权净多持仓7688手减少至6364手,多单减少881手,空单增加443手;纳斯达克100迷你指数期货及期权的持仓由净空持仓15107手增加至19308手,多单减少1138手,空单增加2793手。\r\n 从持仓量情况来看,小型道指投机持仓量减少438手,迷你标普500、迷你纳斯达克100投机持仓量分别增加6426手、1653手;从净空单变化来看,小型道指、迷你标普500、迷你纳斯达克100净空单分别增加1324手、21916手、3931手。持仓情况显示三大指数合约多头力量减弱。\r\n图5:迷你标普500期货期权投机持仓变化\n\r\n资料来源:CFTC官网 国际衍生品智库\r\n图6:E-迷你纳斯达克100期货期权投机持仓变化\n\r\n资料来源:CFTC官网 国际衍生品智库\r\n图7:道琼斯($5)期货期权投机持仓变化\n\r\n资料来源:CFTC官网 国际衍生品智库\n\n四、热点关注\r\n表4:未来一周热点关注\n\r\n资料来源:金十数据 国际衍生品智库\r\n \n五、行情展望\r\n 随着非农数据落地,市场不确定性干扰减弱,以及美股Q2财报季将拉开帷幕,市场延续高风险偏好。从宏观基本面来看,随着疫苗接种推进、疫情防控措施解开,就业、服务加速改善,美国经济下半年延续修复,对企业盈利形成支撑。从宏观政策来看,下半年Taper预期或成最大扰动,此次Taper预期始于美联储在6月利率决议会议,美联储承认近期通胀上涨超出预期,18位官员中有13人支持2023年底前至少加息一次,并且表示已经开始讨论考虑Taper计划,按照美联储关注的就业指标以及经济修复状况,以及参考上一轮宣布期的时间,宣布期可能集中在三四季度,本轮缩减或最早于四季度末至2022年2月开始。因此三四季度或面临海外市场的波动,但参考上一轮的市场表现,且具有经济和企业盈利的修复,预计美股持续大幅下跌的可能性较小。从持仓量来看,近期三大期指合约的多头力量减弱,谨防高位兑现利润的可能性,本周市场的关注点或集中在美股财报季,预计三大指数延续高位运行的可能性较大。\n\n\n免责条款\r\n本报告版权归“国际衍生品智库”所有。未经事先书面授权,任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、复制。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为“国际衍生品智库”,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的删节和修改。 本报告基于我公司及其研究人员认为可信的公开资料或实地调研资料,但我公司及其研究人员对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,且本报告中的资料、意见、预测均反映报告初次公开发布时的判断,可能会随时调整。报告中的信息,以及所表达意见不构成投资、法律、会计或税务的最终操作建议,我们不就报告中的内容对最终操作建议做出任何担保。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"518880":0.6,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"MGCmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"SQQQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"UPRO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":148582662,"gmtCreate":1625988678556,"gmtModify":1631890977033,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup","listText":"yup","text":"yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148582662","repostId":"2150329517","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141215050,"gmtCreate":1625875001470,"gmtModify":1631890977034,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阿帕蓝翘","listText":"阿帕蓝翘","text":"阿帕蓝翘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141215050","repostId":"2150089305","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2150089305","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625874125,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2150089305?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 07:42","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150089305","media":"运营商财经网","summary":"中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊运营商财经 八卦叨/文根据浙江日报7月7日的报道,位于浙江绍兴的中芯国际绍兴项目已成功完成晶圆设备链调试,8英寸晶圆的月产能将提升到7万片,且良品率高达99%。这是中芯国际在晶圆产品的一个重要布局。中芯国际绍兴工厂月产能稳定到7万片,将给中芯国际扩大规模助力。中芯绍兴量产成功的8英寸晶圆,可用于智能汽车、智能家居家电的芯片制造。","content":"<html><body><p>原标题:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>也吃惊</p><p>运营商财经 八卦叨/文</p><p>根据浙江日报7月7日的报道,位于浙江绍兴的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a>绍兴项目已成功完成晶圆设备链调试,8英寸晶圆的月产能将提升到7万片,且良品率高达99%。 这无疑是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>产能又一飞跃。</p><p>这是中芯国际在晶圆产品的一个重要布局。晶圆是指制作硅半导体电路所用的硅晶片,其原始材料是硅。高纯度的多晶硅溶解后掺入硅晶体晶种,然后慢慢拉出,形成圆柱形的单晶硅。硅晶棒在经过研磨,抛光,切片后,形成硅晶圆片,也就是晶圆。目前国内晶圆生产线以 8英寸和 12 英寸为主。 中芯国际绍兴工厂月产能稳定到7万片,将给中芯国际扩大规模助力。</p><p>对缓解晶圆需求有重要作用。很多人以为晶圆越大越好。关于晶圆尺寸的演变,在业内比较公认的一种说法是:1980年代是4英寸硅片占主流,1990年代是6英寸占主流,2000年代是8英寸占主流,2008年之后是以12英寸为主流的市场。 可是,随着6英寸以下产能几乎全部退出市场,到了2017第二季度起,8 寸硅片的需求开始超过产能,8 寸硅片的供给开始趋紧。 也就是说,低端些的芯片都用8英寸晶圆,高端的芯片才用12英寸晶圆。很显然,8英寸晶圆的需求量也巨大。</p><p>这是中芯国际技术能力的体现。目前中芯绍兴成功完成晶圆设备链调试。8英寸晶圆月产能增至7万片,良品率达99%。</p><p>相较于12英寸晶圆,8英寸晶圆厂数量一直呈现下降态势,而且现在的设备商注意力都集中在12英寸晶圆厂的设备上,8英寸晶圆厂的设备有限,二手设备昂贵又流通量少,导致8英寸晶圆新产能增长有限,反而成了市场紧俏。</p><p>目前半导体领域应用范围最广的是8英寸、12英寸晶圆。中芯绍兴量产成功的8英寸晶圆,可用于智能汽车、智能家居家电的芯片制造。</p><p>中芯绍兴项目主要面向微机电和功率器件集成电路领域,专注于晶圆和模组代工,持续投入研发并致力于产业化,将建设并形成一个综合性的特色工艺基地,快速占据国内市场领导地位。</p><p>(责任编辑:韩丽)</p></body></html>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 07:42 北京时间 <a href=https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2021-07-10/doc-ikqciyzk4590493.shtml><strong>运营商财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题:中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊运营商财经 八卦叨/文根据浙江日报7月7日的报道,位于浙江绍兴的中芯国际绍兴项目已成功完成晶圆设备链调试,8英寸晶圆的月产能将提升到7万片,且良品率高达99%。 这无疑是中芯国际产能又一飞跃。这是中芯国际在晶圆产品的一个重要布局。晶圆是指制作硅半导体电路所用的硅晶片,其原始材料是硅。高纯度的多晶硅溶解后掺入硅晶体晶种,然后慢慢拉出...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2021-07-10/doc-ikqciyzk4590493.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/975836d8c6eb511241583dccb0d387f2","relate_stocks":{"688981":"中芯国际","TSM":"台积电","EWT":"台湾ETF-iShares MSCI","00981":"中芯国际","03145":"华夏亚洲高息股","SMI":"VanEck HIP Sustainable Muni ETF"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2021-07-10/doc-ikqciyzk4590493.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150089305","content_text":"原标题:中芯国际一工厂实现8英寸晶圆月产能7万片 良品率台积电也吃惊运营商财经 八卦叨/文根据浙江日报7月7日的报道,位于浙江绍兴的中芯国际绍兴项目已成功完成晶圆设备链调试,8英寸晶圆的月产能将提升到7万片,且良品率高达99%。 这无疑是中芯国际产能又一飞跃。这是中芯国际在晶圆产品的一个重要布局。晶圆是指制作硅半导体电路所用的硅晶片,其原始材料是硅。高纯度的多晶硅溶解后掺入硅晶体晶种,然后慢慢拉出,形成圆柱形的单晶硅。硅晶棒在经过研磨,抛光,切片后,形成硅晶圆片,也就是晶圆。目前国内晶圆生产线以 8英寸和 12 英寸为主。 中芯国际绍兴工厂月产能稳定到7万片,将给中芯国际扩大规模助力。对缓解晶圆需求有重要作用。很多人以为晶圆越大越好。关于晶圆尺寸的演变,在业内比较公认的一种说法是:1980年代是4英寸硅片占主流,1990年代是6英寸占主流,2000年代是8英寸占主流,2008年之后是以12英寸为主流的市场。 可是,随着6英寸以下产能几乎全部退出市场,到了2017第二季度起,8 寸硅片的需求开始超过产能,8 寸硅片的供给开始趋紧。 也就是说,低端些的芯片都用8英寸晶圆,高端的芯片才用12英寸晶圆。很显然,8英寸晶圆的需求量也巨大。这是中芯国际技术能力的体现。目前中芯绍兴成功完成晶圆设备链调试。8英寸晶圆月产能增至7万片,良品率达99%。相较于12英寸晶圆,8英寸晶圆厂数量一直呈现下降态势,而且现在的设备商注意力都集中在12英寸晶圆厂的设备上,8英寸晶圆厂的设备有限,二手设备昂贵又流通量少,导致8英寸晶圆新产能增长有限,反而成了市场紧俏。目前半导体领域应用范围最广的是8英寸、12英寸晶圆。中芯绍兴量产成功的8英寸晶圆,可用于智能汽车、智能家居家电的芯片制造。中芯绍兴项目主要面向微机电和功率器件集成电路领域,专注于晶圆和模组代工,持续投入研发并致力于产业化,将建设并形成一个综合性的特色工艺基地,快速占据国内市场领导地位。(责任编辑:韩丽)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"688981":1,"00981":1,"03145":0.6,"EWT":0.6,"TWmain":1,"SMI":1,"TSM":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":143111376,"gmtCreate":1625779926995,"gmtModify":1631890977038,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"耶","listText":"耶","text":"耶","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143111376","repostId":"2150264603","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2150264603","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1625778126,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2150264603?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 05:02","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美国股市:三大股指均收低,有关美国经济复苏动能的担忧引发抛售","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150264603","media":"Reuters","summary":"在债市因避险买盘而大涨之际,美国三大股指急挫。记录显示,美联储认为经济尚未完全复苏,但已经就收紧政策认真展开辩论。标普500指数11个板块均收低,金融股 百分比跌幅最大。进一步表明劳动力市场从新冠疫情中的复苏仍磕磕绊绊。中国政府持续审查在美上市中国企业,助长了避险情绪。目前中国政府已将对在美上市中国企业的审查范围扩大至科技行业以外。","content":"<html><body><p>* 美国上周初请失业金人数意外增加</p><p> * 对经济敏感的运输股急挫3.3%</p><p> * <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>和其他中概股延续跌势</p><p> * 道指收低0.75%, 标普500指数收挫0.86%, 纳指收跌0.72%</p><p> 路透纽约7月8日 - 美国股市周四普跌,标普500指数和纳斯达克指数均从纪录收盘高位回落,受累于围绕美国经济复苏步伐的不确定性。</p><p> 在债市因避险买盘而大涨之际,美国三大股指急挫。道指对经济敏感的运输板块 急跌3.3%,创去年10月以来最大单日跌幅。</p><p> 尽管如此,分析师指出,市场仍接近纪录高位。</p><p> Wealthspire Advisors高级副总裁Oliver Pursche表示,“我们实际上仍处于纪录高位,因此我不会过渡解读今天的市场走势。”</p><p> “债市走势反映出,在很长一段时间内出现实质性通胀的可能性非常小,在最近的公债大涨之前,这种担忧一直推动收益率上扬,”Pursche补充道。</p><p> “我们正处在“金发女孩”经济状态中,有足够的增长来支撑经济,但又不至于让美国联邦储备理事会(美联储/FED)在已经宣布的政策调整基础上作出进一步调整,”Pursche称。</p><p> 美联储周三公布了最近一次货币政策会议记录。记录显示,美联储认为经济尚未完全复苏,但已经就收紧政策认真展开辩论。</p><p> 道琼斯工业指数 下跌259.86点,或0.75%,至34,421.93点;标普500指数 下跌37.31点,或0.86%,至4,320.82点;纳斯达克指数 下跌105.28点,或0.72%,至14,559.79点。</p><p> 交易员感觉到美国经济复苏出现裂痕,于是回补债市空头头寸。指标10年期美债收益率连续第八个交易日下跌。</p><p> 标普500指数11个板块均收低,金融股 百分比跌幅最大。</p><p> 美国劳工部周四表示,美国上周初请失业金人数意外升至37.3万人。进一步表明劳动力市场从新冠疫情中的复苏仍磕磕绊绊。 </p><p> 中国政府持续审查在美上市中国企业,助长了避险情绪。</p><p> 上周末,中国开始审查滴滴出行 。目前中国政府已将对在美上市中国企业的审查范围扩大至科技行业以外。</p><p> 滴滴股价急挫5.9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a> 分别下跌3.9%和3.7%。</p><p> 大型银行将于下周公布第二季财报。根据路孚特数据,分析师预计标普500指数成份股企业的利润将同比增长65.4%,高于季度初预测的54%。</p><p> “就像通胀数据一样,我希望看到与两年前相比,企业盈利增长了多少,而非与一年前相比,” Pursche称,“这将是一个更好的指引,可以帮助我们判断盈利将有多强劲。”</p><p> “与一年前大流行时的数字比较,数据是如此的扭曲,以至于它们几乎无关紧要。”</p><p> 纽约证交所跌涨股家数之比为3.13:1;纳斯达克市场为1.98:1。</p><p> 22只标普500指数成分股触及52周新高,没有成分股触及新低;39只纳斯达克指数成分股触及新高,148只触及新低。</p><p> 美国各证交所累计成交105.6亿股,而过去20个完整交易日的日均成交量为106.5亿股。(完)</p><p> ****如欲参考原文报导,请点选 即可撷取浏览</p><p> ****查阅相关新闻或页面,请点选下列代码连结**** </p><p> 美国股市 标普主要分类指数 </p><p> 美股一周展望 纽约证交所最活跃个股 </p><p> 纳斯达克最活跃个股 纽约证交所涨幅居前个股 </p><p> 纳斯达克涨幅居前个股 纽约证交所跌幅居前个股 </p><p> 纳斯达克跌幅居前个股 欧洲股市报导 </p><p> 日本股市报导 中国股市报导 </p><p> 香港股市报导 台湾股市报导 </p><p> 英股富时指数 德股DAX指数 </p><p> 法股CAC-40指数 股市新闻 </p><p> 韩国股市已并入韩国金融市场报导中,相关稿件请点选 </p><p> (编译 高思佳/刘静;审校 高思佳/母红)</p><p>((Frances.GAO@thomsonreuters.com; 14166877522; Reuters Messaging: Frances.Gao.Thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国股市:三大股指均收低,有关美国经济复苏动能的担忧引发抛售</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国股市:三大股指均收低,有关美国经济复苏动能的担忧引发抛售\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-09 05:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>* 美国上周初请失业金人数意外增加</p><p> * 对经济敏感的运输股急挫3.3%</p><p> * <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>和其他中概股延续跌势</p><p> * 道指收低0.75%, 标普500指数收挫0.86%, 纳指收跌0.72%</p><p> 路透纽约7月8日 - 美国股市周四普跌,标普500指数和纳斯达克指数均从纪录收盘高位回落,受累于围绕美国经济复苏步伐的不确定性。</p><p> 在债市因避险买盘而大涨之际,美国三大股指急挫。道指对经济敏感的运输板块 急跌3.3%,创去年10月以来最大单日跌幅。</p><p> 尽管如此,分析师指出,市场仍接近纪录高位。</p><p> Wealthspire Advisors高级副总裁Oliver Pursche表示,“我们实际上仍处于纪录高位,因此我不会过渡解读今天的市场走势。”</p><p> “债市走势反映出,在很长一段时间内出现实质性通胀的可能性非常小,在最近的公债大涨之前,这种担忧一直推动收益率上扬,”Pursche补充道。</p><p> “我们正处在“金发女孩”经济状态中,有足够的增长来支撑经济,但又不至于让美国联邦储备理事会(美联储/FED)在已经宣布的政策调整基础上作出进一步调整,”Pursche称。</p><p> 美联储周三公布了最近一次货币政策会议记录。记录显示,美联储认为经济尚未完全复苏,但已经就收紧政策认真展开辩论。</p><p> 道琼斯工业指数 下跌259.86点,或0.75%,至34,421.93点;标普500指数 下跌37.31点,或0.86%,至4,320.82点;纳斯达克指数 下跌105.28点,或0.72%,至14,559.79点。</p><p> 交易员感觉到美国经济复苏出现裂痕,于是回补债市空头头寸。指标10年期美债收益率连续第八个交易日下跌。</p><p> 标普500指数11个板块均收低,金融股 百分比跌幅最大。</p><p> 美国劳工部周四表示,美国上周初请失业金人数意外升至37.3万人。进一步表明劳动力市场从新冠疫情中的复苏仍磕磕绊绊。 </p><p> 中国政府持续审查在美上市中国企业,助长了避险情绪。</p><p> 上周末,中国开始审查滴滴出行 。目前中国政府已将对在美上市中国企业的审查范围扩大至科技行业以外。</p><p> 滴滴股价急挫5.9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a> 分别下跌3.9%和3.7%。</p><p> 大型银行将于下周公布第二季财报。根据路孚特数据,分析师预计标普500指数成份股企业的利润将同比增长65.4%,高于季度初预测的54%。</p><p> “就像通胀数据一样,我希望看到与两年前相比,企业盈利增长了多少,而非与一年前相比,” Pursche称,“这将是一个更好的指引,可以帮助我们判断盈利将有多强劲。”</p><p> “与一年前大流行时的数字比较,数据是如此的扭曲,以至于它们几乎无关紧要。”</p><p> 纽约证交所跌涨股家数之比为3.13:1;纳斯达克市场为1.98:1。</p><p> 22只标普500指数成分股触及52周新高,没有成分股触及新低;39只纳斯达克指数成分股触及新高,148只触及新低。</p><p> 美国各证交所累计成交105.6亿股,而过去20个完整交易日的日均成交量为106.5亿股。(完)</p><p> ****如欲参考原文报导,请点选 即可撷取浏览</p><p> ****查阅相关新闻或页面,请点选下列代码连结**** </p><p> 美国股市 标普主要分类指数 </p><p> 美股一周展望 纽约证交所最活跃个股 </p><p> 纳斯达克最活跃个股 纽约证交所涨幅居前个股 </p><p> 纳斯达克涨幅居前个股 纽约证交所跌幅居前个股 </p><p> 纳斯达克跌幅居前个股 欧洲股市报导 </p><p> 日本股市报导 中国股市报导 </p><p> 香港股市报导 台湾股市报导 </p><p> 英股富时指数 德股DAX指数 </p><p> 法股CAC-40指数 股市新闻 </p><p> 韩国股市已并入韩国金融市场报导中,相关稿件请点选 </p><p> (编译 高思佳/刘静;审校 高思佳/母红)</p><p>((Frances.GAO@thomsonreuters.com; 14166877522; Reuters Messaging: Frances.Gao.Thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1cb237e736a4e03c939622e7b71e8e7","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","09888":"百度集团-SW","09988":"阿里巴巴-W",".DJI":"道琼斯","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","WIW":"Western Asset/Claymore Inf-Lkd O","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2150264603","content_text":"* 美国上周初请失业金人数意外增加 * 对经济敏感的运输股急挫3.3% * 滴滴和其他中概股延续跌势 * 道指收低0.75%, 标普500指数收挫0.86%, 纳指收跌0.72% 路透纽约7月8日 - 美国股市周四普跌,标普500指数和纳斯达克指数均从纪录收盘高位回落,受累于围绕美国经济复苏步伐的不确定性。 在债市因避险买盘而大涨之际,美国三大股指急挫。道指对经济敏感的运输板块 急跌3.3%,创去年10月以来最大单日跌幅。 尽管如此,分析师指出,市场仍接近纪录高位。 Wealthspire Advisors高级副总裁Oliver Pursche表示,“我们实际上仍处于纪录高位,因此我不会过渡解读今天的市场走势。” “债市走势反映出,在很长一段时间内出现实质性通胀的可能性非常小,在最近的公债大涨之前,这种担忧一直推动收益率上扬,”Pursche补充道。 “我们正处在“金发女孩”经济状态中,有足够的增长来支撑经济,但又不至于让美国联邦储备理事会(美联储/FED)在已经宣布的政策调整基础上作出进一步调整,”Pursche称。 美联储周三公布了最近一次货币政策会议记录。记录显示,美联储认为经济尚未完全复苏,但已经就收紧政策认真展开辩论。 道琼斯工业指数 下跌259.86点,或0.75%,至34,421.93点;标普500指数 下跌37.31点,或0.86%,至4,320.82点;纳斯达克指数 下跌105.28点,或0.72%,至14,559.79点。 交易员感觉到美国经济复苏出现裂痕,于是回补债市空头头寸。指标10年期美债收益率连续第八个交易日下跌。 标普500指数11个板块均收低,金融股 百分比跌幅最大。 美国劳工部周四表示,美国上周初请失业金人数意外升至37.3万人。进一步表明劳动力市场从新冠疫情中的复苏仍磕磕绊绊。 中国政府持续审查在美上市中国企业,助长了避险情绪。 上周末,中国开始审查滴滴出行 。目前中国政府已将对在美上市中国企业的审查范围扩大至科技行业以外。 滴滴股价急挫5.9%,阿里巴巴 和百度 分别下跌3.9%和3.7%。 大型银行将于下周公布第二季财报。根据路孚特数据,分析师预计标普500指数成份股企业的利润将同比增长65.4%,高于季度初预测的54%。 “就像通胀数据一样,我希望看到与两年前相比,企业盈利增长了多少,而非与一年前相比,” Pursche称,“这将是一个更好的指引,可以帮助我们判断盈利将有多强劲。” “与一年前大流行时的数字比较,数据是如此的扭曲,以至于它们几乎无关紧要。” 纽约证交所跌涨股家数之比为3.13:1;纳斯达克市场为1.98:1。 22只标普500指数成分股触及52周新高,没有成分股触及新低;39只纳斯达克指数成分股触及新高,148只触及新低。 美国各证交所累计成交105.6亿股,而过去20个完整交易日的日均成交量为106.5亿股。(完) ****如欲参考原文报导,请点选 即可撷取浏览 ****查阅相关新闻或页面,请点选下列代码连结**** 美国股市 标普主要分类指数 美股一周展望 纽约证交所最活跃个股 纳斯达克最活跃个股 纽约证交所涨幅居前个股 纳斯达克涨幅居前个股 纽约证交所跌幅居前个股 纳斯达克跌幅居前个股 欧洲股市报导 日本股市报导 中国股市报导 香港股市报导 台湾股市报导 英股富时指数 德股DAX指数 法股CAC-40指数 股市新闻 韩国股市已并入韩国金融市场报导中,相关稿件请点选 (编译 高思佳/刘静;审校 高思佳/母红)((Frances.GAO@thomsonreuters.com; 14166877522; Reuters Messaging: Frances.Gao.Thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"09888":0.9,"09988":0.9,"DDM":0.6,"DIDI":0.9,"DJX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"SQQQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"WIW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149806907,"gmtCreate":1625712426409,"gmtModify":1631890977037,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"纳尼","listText":"纳尼","text":"纳尼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149806907","repostId":"2149124753","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":155673354,"gmtCreate":1625429013478,"gmtModify":1631890977039,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哈哈哈","listText":"哈哈哈","text":"哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155673354","repostId":"2148388007","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2148388007","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625403840,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2148388007?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 21:04","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"华西策略:7月A股仍具备结构性行情特征 沿景气主线布局","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2148388007","media":"财经自媒体","summary":"炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! A股7月月报:吐故纳新,沿景气主线布局。 四、7月A股投资建议:仍具备结构性行情特征,沿景气主线布局。 A股中报业绩有望维持较高增速,化工、机械设备、电子、医药生物、电气设备预喜家数居前。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<blockquote><p> 炒股就看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603586\">金麒麟</a>分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会!</p></blockquote> <p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <span>原标题:【华西策略||李立峰】 A股7月月报:吐故纳新,沿景气主线布局</span></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <span>来源:策略李立峰与行业配置笔记</span></p>\n<p> <span>文|<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002926\">华西证券</a></span><span></span>副所长、首席策略 李立峰</span></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L align-Center\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L align-Center\"><font cms-style=\"font-L align-Center\"><font cms-style=\"font-L align-Center\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center\">投资要点</font></font></font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">一、海外市场:短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度。</font></font>今年以来,美国不同口径的失业率改善在放缓。6月美国U3、U4、U5失业率分别为5.9%、6.2%、6.9%,分别高于2019年底2.3pct、2.5pct、2.6pct,就业状况距离疫情前尚有距离,若接下来就业数据持续性改善,美联储会释放更明确的信号。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">二、经济基本面或前高后稳,通胀压力有限。</font></font>从6月PMI数据看,1)受到原材料供给短缺的影响,制造业生产扩张放缓,6月生产指数为51.9%,较上月回落0.8pct;2)外需延续回落,6月PMI新出口订单指数48.1%,连续2个月低于临界点,并连续3个月回落。随着疫苗接种率的提升,海外主要经济体逐步恢复生产,国内部分订单向海外转移,下半年出口增速有望高位回落,经济基本面或前高后稳。3)价格指数高位回落,6月PMI主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格分别为61.2%、51.4%,均呈现高位回落。随着政策“保供稳价”措施落地,制造业价格快速上涨趋势得到遏制,5月PPI同比上涨9.0%,预计下半年PPI将进入下行阶段。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">三、核心资产走势分化,高估值需高盈利预期支撑。</font></font>二季度以来,市场主要指数呈现反弹,同时A股核心资产内部出现分化,新能源、医药生物等行业景气度上行,企业业绩增速预期较高的核心标的股价不断创新高。往后看,核心资产走势分化可能是常态,市场对行业景气度向上、企业盈利预期提升的龙头股予以高估值,龙头股股价仍有望创新高。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">四、7月A股投资建议:仍具备结构性行情特征,沿景气主线布局。</font></font>4月以来主要市场指数延续上行,市场获利盘较多,随着企业中报业绩逐步落地,部分资金提前兑现收益,市场风险偏好难免波动。后续来看,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度,短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”;全年经济基本面或前高后稳,PPI有望进入下行阶段,CPI压力不大,货币政策将维持“有保有控、以我为主”。市场系统性风险有限,A股整体仍具备“结构性行情”特征,建议沿景气主线布局。另外随着业绩密集披露,核心资产或持续分化,高估值需高盈利预期支撑。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 关注二条配置主线,以及“一主题”:1)行业高成长性,如“新能源、医药”等;2)中报业绩有望维持高增速的行业,如“钢铁、化工”等;</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> “一”主题:需重视国家大的政策方向—“碳中和”内涵拓展。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">■风险提示:</font></font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">国内外流动性紧缩超预期;海外疫情反复;海外黑天鹅事件等。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L align-Center\"> <strong>目 / 录</strong></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <strong>正文</strong></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\">01</font></font><font cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">海外市场:短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度</font></font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">6月全球股指多数上涨,中美股市成长风格走强。</font>美股方面,纳斯达克指数、标普500、道琼斯工业指数涨幅分别为:+5.49%、+2.22%、-0.08%;国内市场方面,A股科创板、创业板分别上涨+10.09%、+5.08%,上证50、沪深300分别下跌4.15%、2.02%,恒生指数跌1.11%。商品市场现分化,原油延续上涨,NYMEX轻质原油、ICE布油6月分别上涨10.77%、9.33%,伦铜跌8.56%,COMEX黄金跌7.03%。汇率方面,美元指数走强,6月上涨2.81%,人民币小幅贬值,欧元兑美元、英镑兑美元均呈现下跌。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">海外流动性预期变化关键在于美联储taper的节奏,当前美联储仍坚持“通胀暂时论”,美联储主要关注美国就业复苏程度,短期或难有超预期的“鹰”。</font>1)首先,2021年的经济环境与2013的紧缩之年相比,最大的不同是在于“疫情发展的不确定性”,病毒的变异存在威胁,经济复苏前景存在一定不确定性;2)美联储在实行平均通胀目标制后,对通胀的容忍度提升。美联储6月的经济预测中上调了通胀预期,但鲍威尔再次强调“通胀是暂时性的”,并且根据鲍威尔的说法,在美联储开始缩减购债规模之前,将向市场发出足够的警告;3)美联储Taper的节奏更要关注就业复苏程度,但今年以来,美国不同口径的失业率改善在放缓。6月份,美国U3、U4、U5失业率分别为5.9%、6.2%、6.9%,分别高于2019年底2.3pct、2.5pct、2.6pct,就业状况距离疫情前尚有距离,若接下来就业数据持续性改善,美联储会释放更明确的信号。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/799/w550h249/20210704/20e3-krwipas6483043.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/5/w550h255/20210704/e294-krwipas6483050.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/798/w550h248/20210704/fe99-krwipas6483063.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\">02</font></font><font cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">经济基本面或前高后稳,通胀压力有限</font></font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">从6月PMI数据看,外需延续回落,生产扩张放缓,在低基数影响与外需回落影响下,下半年出口增速有望高位回落,经济基本面或前高后稳。</font>6月官方制造业PMI 50.9%,位于临界点以上,但连续三个月放缓。五大分项中,生产、新订单指数高于临界点,其中生产指数环比回落0.8pct,新订单指数环比上行0.2pct;从业人员、供应商配送时间、原材料库存指数低于临界点。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 1)供需方面,6月生产指数为51.9%,较上月回落0.8pct,新订单指数为51.5%,较上月上升 0.2pct。生产的回落受到原材料供给短缺的影响,汽车制造业两个指数连续两个月位于收缩区间,“缺芯”等因素给行业发展带来不利影响。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 2)外需方面,6月PMI新出口订单指数48.1%,连续2个月低于临界点,并连续3个月回落。随着疫苗接种率的提升,海外主要经济体逐步恢复生产,国内部分订单向海外转移,外需持续降温。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 3)价格指数高位回落,6月PMI主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格分别为61.2%、51.4%,均呈现高位回落。随着政策“保供稳价”措施落地,制造业价格快速上涨趋势得到遏制,5月PPI同比上涨9.0%,预计下半年PPI将进入下行阶段。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/796/w550h246/20210704/79f9-krwipas6483078.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\">03</font></font><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color0\">核心资产走势分化,高估值需高盈利预期支撑</font></font></font></font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 二季度以来,A股整体处于国内流动性偏稳、国外流动性仍偏宽松、经济增速逐步向潜在增长回归的市场环境,市场主要指数呈现反弹,风格上,业绩预期增速更高的成长股跑赢。同时,A股核心资产内部出现分化,新能源、医药生物等行业景气度上行,企业业绩增速预期较高的核心标的股价不断创新高。但部分标的股价表现相对不佳,如家用电器、白酒、机械设备行业部分个股,其本质在于企业业绩增速预期较低。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 往后看,核心资产走势分化可能是常态,高估值需高盈利预期支撑。市场对行业景气度向上、企业盈利预期提升的龙头股予以高估值,龙头股股价仍有望创新高;行业景气向下、盈利预期调降的行业龙头可能面临压力。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/218/w550h468/20210704/4125-krwipas6483091.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\">04</font></font><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">A股中报业绩有望维持较高增速,重点关注内生增长型标的</font></font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> A股中报业绩有望维持较高增速,化工、机械设备、电子、医药生物、电气设备预喜家数居前。A股ROE自2020年一季度触底后持续改善,企业资本开支增速大幅提升,增速连续四个季度超过两位数,二季度受益于PPI上行,上游资源品行业业绩有望受益, A股企业盈利有望持续维持较高增速。截至7月3日,已有655家上市公司披露2021年中报业绩预告,业绩预喜家数(预增/略增/扭亏/续盈)452家,预喜率69%。分行业来看,化工、机械设备、电子、医药生物、电气设备业绩预喜家数居前。筛选披露公司数超过5家的行业,预喜率居前的行业有:钢铁(94%)、轻工制造(85%)、化工(85%)、机械设备(79%)、食品饮料(79%)。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 分板块看2020中报业绩预告,主板业绩增速TOP10个股集中于汽车行业;创业板和科创板业绩增速TOP10个股集中于机械设备、医药生物;此外电气设备、电子、化工行业业绩高增速标的也较多。建议重点关注中报业绩内生增长型标的。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/5/w550h255/20210704/0bf7-krwipas6483110.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/1/w550h251/20210704/eb89-krwipas6483130.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/5/w550h255/20210704/c97b-krwipas6483157.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/77/w550h327/20210704/5ed6-krwipas6483186.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/96/w550h346/20210704/728d-krwipas6483214.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/16/w550h266/20210704/c58b-krwipas6483255.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\">05</font></font><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color0\">6月A股投资建议:仍具备结构性行情特征,沿景气主线布局</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">4月以来市场指数延续上行,市场获利盘较多,随着企业中报业绩逐步落地,部分资金提前兑现收益,市场风险偏好难免波动。</font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">后续来看,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度,短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”;</font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">全年经济基本面或前高后稳,PPI有望进入下行阶段,CPI压力不大,货币政策将维持“有保有控、以我为主”,市场系统性风险有限,A股整体仍具备“结构性行情”特征,建议沿景气主线布局。</font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">另外随着业绩密集披露,核心资产或持续分化,高估值需高盈利预期支撑。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 关注二条配置主线,以及“一主题”:1)高成长高景气度行业,如“新能源、医药”等;2)中报业绩有望维持高增速的行业,如“钢铁、化工”等;“一”主题:需重视国家大的政策方向—“碳中和”内涵拓展。</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L align-Center color30\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L align-Center color30\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold align-Center color30\">06</font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L color0\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold color0\">风险提示</font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 国内外流动性紧缩超预期;海外疫情反复;海外黑天鹅事件等。</p>\n<div>\n<span>牛市来了?如何快速上车,金牌投顾服务免费送>></span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<font><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。</font>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:张熠 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华西策略:7月A股仍具备结构性行情特征 沿景气主线布局</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华西策略:7月A股仍具备结构性行情特征 沿景气主线布局\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 21:04 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/marketresearch/2021-07-04/doc-ikqciyzk3521424.shtml><strong>财经自媒体</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 原标题:【华西策略||李立峰】 A股7月月报:吐故纳新,沿景气主线布局\n 来源:策略李立峰与行业配置笔记\n 文|华西证券副所长、首席策略 李立峰\n 投资要点\n 一、海外市场:短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度。今年以来,美国不同口径的失业率改善在放缓。6月美国U3、U4、U5失业率分别...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/marketresearch/2021-07-04/doc-ikqciyzk3521424.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","OEX":"标普100","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/marketresearch/2021-07-04/doc-ikqciyzk3521424.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2148388007","content_text":"炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 原标题:【华西策略||李立峰】 A股7月月报:吐故纳新,沿景气主线布局\n 来源:策略李立峰与行业配置笔记\n 文|华西证券副所长、首席策略 李立峰\n 投资要点\n 一、海外市场:短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度。今年以来,美国不同口径的失业率改善在放缓。6月美国U3、U4、U5失业率分别为5.9%、6.2%、6.9%,分别高于2019年底2.3pct、2.5pct、2.6pct,就业状况距离疫情前尚有距离,若接下来就业数据持续性改善,美联储会释放更明确的信号。\n 二、经济基本面或前高后稳,通胀压力有限。从6月PMI数据看,1)受到原材料供给短缺的影响,制造业生产扩张放缓,6月生产指数为51.9%,较上月回落0.8pct;2)外需延续回落,6月PMI新出口订单指数48.1%,连续2个月低于临界点,并连续3个月回落。随着疫苗接种率的提升,海外主要经济体逐步恢复生产,国内部分订单向海外转移,下半年出口增速有望高位回落,经济基本面或前高后稳。3)价格指数高位回落,6月PMI主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格分别为61.2%、51.4%,均呈现高位回落。随着政策“保供稳价”措施落地,制造业价格快速上涨趋势得到遏制,5月PPI同比上涨9.0%,预计下半年PPI将进入下行阶段。\n 三、核心资产走势分化,高估值需高盈利预期支撑。二季度以来,市场主要指数呈现反弹,同时A股核心资产内部出现分化,新能源、医药生物等行业景气度上行,企业业绩增速预期较高的核心标的股价不断创新高。往后看,核心资产走势分化可能是常态,市场对行业景气度向上、企业盈利预期提升的龙头股予以高估值,龙头股股价仍有望创新高。\n 四、7月A股投资建议:仍具备结构性行情特征,沿景气主线布局。4月以来主要市场指数延续上行,市场获利盘较多,随着企业中报业绩逐步落地,部分资金提前兑现收益,市场风险偏好难免波动。后续来看,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度,短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”;全年经济基本面或前高后稳,PPI有望进入下行阶段,CPI压力不大,货币政策将维持“有保有控、以我为主”。市场系统性风险有限,A股整体仍具备“结构性行情”特征,建议沿景气主线布局。另外随着业绩密集披露,核心资产或持续分化,高估值需高盈利预期支撑。\n 关注二条配置主线,以及“一主题”:1)行业高成长性,如“新能源、医药”等;2)中报业绩有望维持高增速的行业,如“钢铁、化工”等;\n “一”主题:需重视国家大的政策方向—“碳中和”内涵拓展。\n ■风险提示:国内外流动性紧缩超预期;海外疫情反复;海外黑天鹅事件等。\n 目 / 录\n 正文\n 01海外市场:短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度\n 6月全球股指多数上涨,中美股市成长风格走强。美股方面,纳斯达克指数、标普500、道琼斯工业指数涨幅分别为:+5.49%、+2.22%、-0.08%;国内市场方面,A股科创板、创业板分别上涨+10.09%、+5.08%,上证50、沪深300分别下跌4.15%、2.02%,恒生指数跌1.11%。商品市场现分化,原油延续上涨,NYMEX轻质原油、ICE布油6月分别上涨10.77%、9.33%,伦铜跌8.56%,COMEX黄金跌7.03%。汇率方面,美元指数走强,6月上涨2.81%,人民币小幅贬值,欧元兑美元、英镑兑美元均呈现下跌。\n 海外流动性预期变化关键在于美联储taper的节奏,当前美联储仍坚持“通胀暂时论”,美联储主要关注美国就业复苏程度,短期或难有超预期的“鹰”。1)首先,2021年的经济环境与2013的紧缩之年相比,最大的不同是在于“疫情发展的不确定性”,病毒的变异存在威胁,经济复苏前景存在一定不确定性;2)美联储在实行平均通胀目标制后,对通胀的容忍度提升。美联储6月的经济预测中上调了通胀预期,但鲍威尔再次强调“通胀是暂时性的”,并且根据鲍威尔的说法,在美联储开始缩减购债规模之前,将向市场发出足够的警告;3)美联储Taper的节奏更要关注就业复苏程度,但今年以来,美国不同口径的失业率改善在放缓。6月份,美国U3、U4、U5失业率分别为5.9%、6.2%、6.9%,分别高于2019年底2.3pct、2.5pct、2.6pct,就业状况距离疫情前尚有距离,若接下来就业数据持续性改善,美联储会释放更明确的信号。\n\n\n\n 02经济基本面或前高后稳,通胀压力有限\n 从6月PMI数据看,外需延续回落,生产扩张放缓,在低基数影响与外需回落影响下,下半年出口增速有望高位回落,经济基本面或前高后稳。6月官方制造业PMI 50.9%,位于临界点以上,但连续三个月放缓。五大分项中,生产、新订单指数高于临界点,其中生产指数环比回落0.8pct,新订单指数环比上行0.2pct;从业人员、供应商配送时间、原材料库存指数低于临界点。\n 1)供需方面,6月生产指数为51.9%,较上月回落0.8pct,新订单指数为51.5%,较上月上升 0.2pct。生产的回落受到原材料供给短缺的影响,汽车制造业两个指数连续两个月位于收缩区间,“缺芯”等因素给行业发展带来不利影响。\n 2)外需方面,6月PMI新出口订单指数48.1%,连续2个月低于临界点,并连续3个月回落。随着疫苗接种率的提升,海外主要经济体逐步恢复生产,国内部分订单向海外转移,外需持续降温。\n 3)价格指数高位回落,6月PMI主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格分别为61.2%、51.4%,均呈现高位回落。随着政策“保供稳价”措施落地,制造业价格快速上涨趋势得到遏制,5月PPI同比上涨9.0%,预计下半年PPI将进入下行阶段。\n\n 03核心资产走势分化,高估值需高盈利预期支撑\n 二季度以来,A股整体处于国内流动性偏稳、国外流动性仍偏宽松、经济增速逐步向潜在增长回归的市场环境,市场主要指数呈现反弹,风格上,业绩预期增速更高的成长股跑赢。同时,A股核心资产内部出现分化,新能源、医药生物等行业景气度上行,企业业绩增速预期较高的核心标的股价不断创新高。但部分标的股价表现相对不佳,如家用电器、白酒、机械设备行业部分个股,其本质在于企业业绩增速预期较低。\n 往后看,核心资产走势分化可能是常态,高估值需高盈利预期支撑。市场对行业景气度向上、企业盈利预期提升的龙头股予以高估值,龙头股股价仍有望创新高;行业景气向下、盈利预期调降的行业龙头可能面临压力。\n\n 04A股中报业绩有望维持较高增速,重点关注内生增长型标的\n A股中报业绩有望维持较高增速,化工、机械设备、电子、医药生物、电气设备预喜家数居前。A股ROE自2020年一季度触底后持续改善,企业资本开支增速大幅提升,增速连续四个季度超过两位数,二季度受益于PPI上行,上游资源品行业业绩有望受益, A股企业盈利有望持续维持较高增速。截至7月3日,已有655家上市公司披露2021年中报业绩预告,业绩预喜家数(预增/略增/扭亏/续盈)452家,预喜率69%。分行业来看,化工、机械设备、电子、医药生物、电气设备业绩预喜家数居前。筛选披露公司数超过5家的行业,预喜率居前的行业有:钢铁(94%)、轻工制造(85%)、化工(85%)、机械设备(79%)、食品饮料(79%)。\n 分板块看2020中报业绩预告,主板业绩增速TOP10个股集中于汽车行业;创业板和科创板业绩增速TOP10个股集中于机械设备、医药生物;此外电气设备、电子、化工行业业绩高增速标的也较多。建议重点关注中报业绩内生增长型标的。\n\n\n\n\n\n\n 056月A股投资建议:仍具备结构性行情特征,沿景气主线布局\n 4月以来市场指数延续上行,市场获利盘较多,随着企业中报业绩逐步落地,部分资金提前兑现收益,市场风险偏好难免波动。后续来看,Taper节奏要关注就业复苏程度,短期美联储难有超预期的“鹰”;全年经济基本面或前高后稳,PPI有望进入下行阶段,CPI压力不大,货币政策将维持“有保有控、以我为主”,市场系统性风险有限,A股整体仍具备“结构性行情”特征,建议沿景气主线布局。另外随着业绩密集披露,核心资产或持续分化,高估值需高盈利预期支撑。\n 关注二条配置主线,以及“一主题”:1)高成长高景气度行业,如“新能源、医药”等;2)中报业绩有望维持高增速的行业,如“钢铁、化工”等;“一”主题:需重视国家大的政策方向—“碳中和”内涵拓展。\n 06\n 风险提示\n 国内外流动性紧缩超预期;海外疫情反复;海外黑天鹅事件等。\n\n牛市来了?如何快速上车,金牌投顾服务免费送>>\n\n\n新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张熠","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"SQQQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"UPRO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1097,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":152898816,"gmtCreate":1625279382735,"gmtModify":1631890977044,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"no","listText":"no","text":"no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152898816","repostId":"1158221529","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158221529","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625226184,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158221529?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Does Palantir Have the Right Stuff to Get Back to $40?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158221529","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"The next leg up for PLTR stock requires more free cash flow generation\nPalantir Technologies(NYSE:PL","content":"<p>The next leg up for PLTR stock requires more free cash flow generation</p>\n<p><b>Palantir Technologies</b>(NYSE:<b><u>PLTR</u></b>) went on a run in June. PLTR stock gained 15% on the month, almost seven times the return of the <b>S&P 500</b>.</p>\n<p>There’s no question that the data analytics software company has the momentum heading into the second half of 2021. Its stock traded as high as $45 in January.</p>\n<p>Can it get back to the $40s by the end of the year? Let’s consider the possibilities.</p>\n<p><b>PLTR Stock IPO Was $7.25</b></p>\n<p>Sometimes I think investors forget that Palantir’s been a public company for just nine months,going public on Sept. 30 with a direct listing reference price of $7.25. It gained 31% on its first day of trading and is up more than 150% since then.</p>\n<p>Were it to get to $40 by the end of the year, its annualized return would be approximately 10 percentage points higher than today. So, if you bought today – as I write this, it’s trading around $26 – you’d be looking at an annualized return of almost 104%.</p>\n<p>But it’s got to get there first.</p>\n<p>When I last wrote about Palantir in early May, I sent a mixed message to readers.</p>\n<p>On the one hand, I thought CEO and co-founder Alex Karp’s 2020 compensation was exceptionally obscene. Karp took home nearly $1.1 billion in cash and stock compensation. His pay accounted for 4.9% of Palantir’s revenue for 2020.</p>\n<p>His compensation was exceptional; The<i> New York Times</i> reported that Karp was the highest-paid CEO of a publicly traded companyin 2020.</p>\n<p>So, not only do you have to be good with the fact that Palantir has an exceedingly high valuation at 40.7x sales, but you also have to reconcile the fact you’re buying a stock whose CEO is tops in CEO compensation, putting him on the AFL-CIO’s dartboard as public enemy No. 1.</p>\n<p>But go ahead and make the play.</p>\n<p><b>What’s to Like About Palantir</b></p>\n<p>I finished my May article by suggesting readers wait for the teens, preferably $15, before buying PLTR stock. It got as low as $17.06 on May 11 but never made it to $15. Since the low, it’s up 55%. I had the right idea. But got a little greedy with the $15 buy call.</p>\n<p>Ah, you gotta hate market timing.</p>\n<p>In April, I suggested that as long as the <b>Ark Innovation ETF</b>(NYSEARCA:<b><u>ARKK</u></b>) continued to hold Palantir in the middle of the pack in terms of the fund’s holdings, it remained a stock to buy in the teens. That feeling didn’t change in May.</p>\n<p>However, Cathie Woods’ ARKK weighting has increased to 15th spot as of July 1, at 2.38%. That puts it just outside the top 10 and much higher than in April. Her commitment to Palantir’s getting stronger, although some of that is due to capital appreciation.</p>\n<p>So, what is it that Wood finds so irresistible about Palantir?</p>\n<p>I’ll lean on <i>InvestorPlace’s</i> Mark Hake for a possible answer.</p>\n<p>Hake recently argued that its tremendous free cash flow(FCF) and high FCF margin suggest it’s worth at least $33.59 per share, moving higher as it generates increased FCF from increased revenues.</p>\n<p>I love FCF stocks, so his comments piqued my interest.</p>\n<p>According to<i>Morningstar,</i>Palantir has a trailing 12-month (TTM) FCF of $110 million. Based on a market cap of $49.5 billion, it has an FCF yield of 0.22%. Thus, its FCF yield is 9.2%, which is good, if not great. For comparison,<b>Apple’s</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AAPL</u></b>) is 27.8%.</p>\n<p>However, Hake’s point is that the probability of its FCF margin moving into the teens is likely. So, based on a projected 15% FCF margin and $2.4 billion in revenue (double the current TTM sales), it would have $360 million in FCF.</p>\n<p>Assuming the FCF yield were to stay as it is at 0.22%, it would have a market capitalization of $164 billion. Based on 1.88 billion shares outstanding, we get a share price of $87.23.</p>\n<p>Now, a lot has to fall into place for this to happen, and none of it will come to fruition in 2021 or 2022, for that matter.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>I personally wouldn’t buy PLTR stock because of Karp’s compensation. It’s truly obscene.</p>\n<p>However, for those who don’t care about CEOs being overpaid, I think the current downside to PLTR isn’t all that great. It’s on a roll. Things in motion tend to stay in motion until an event gets in the way.</p>\n<p>So, if you get in for the short-term, say 60 to 90 days, you’ll probably do OK. But if you get in for the long term, I would look for its FCF margin to get to 15% and its FCF yield to move well above 1%. Until then, you’re going to get a lot of valuation naysayers.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Does Palantir Have the Right Stuff to Get Back to $40?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoes Palantir Have the Right Stuff to Get Back to $40?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 19:43 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/07/does-pltr-stock-have-the-right-stuff-to-get-back-to-40/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The next leg up for PLTR stock requires more free cash flow generation\nPalantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) went on a run in June. PLTR stock gained 15% on the month, almost seven times the return of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/07/does-pltr-stock-have-the-right-stuff-to-get-back-to-40/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/07/does-pltr-stock-have-the-right-stuff-to-get-back-to-40/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158221529","content_text":"The next leg up for PLTR stock requires more free cash flow generation\nPalantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) went on a run in June. PLTR stock gained 15% on the month, almost seven times the return of the S&P 500.\nThere’s no question that the data analytics software company has the momentum heading into the second half of 2021. Its stock traded as high as $45 in January.\nCan it get back to the $40s by the end of the year? Let’s consider the possibilities.\nPLTR Stock IPO Was $7.25\nSometimes I think investors forget that Palantir’s been a public company for just nine months,going public on Sept. 30 with a direct listing reference price of $7.25. It gained 31% on its first day of trading and is up more than 150% since then.\nWere it to get to $40 by the end of the year, its annualized return would be approximately 10 percentage points higher than today. So, if you bought today – as I write this, it’s trading around $26 – you’d be looking at an annualized return of almost 104%.\nBut it’s got to get there first.\nWhen I last wrote about Palantir in early May, I sent a mixed message to readers.\nOn the one hand, I thought CEO and co-founder Alex Karp’s 2020 compensation was exceptionally obscene. Karp took home nearly $1.1 billion in cash and stock compensation. His pay accounted for 4.9% of Palantir’s revenue for 2020.\nHis compensation was exceptional; The New York Times reported that Karp was the highest-paid CEO of a publicly traded companyin 2020.\nSo, not only do you have to be good with the fact that Palantir has an exceedingly high valuation at 40.7x sales, but you also have to reconcile the fact you’re buying a stock whose CEO is tops in CEO compensation, putting him on the AFL-CIO’s dartboard as public enemy No. 1.\nBut go ahead and make the play.\nWhat’s to Like About Palantir\nI finished my May article by suggesting readers wait for the teens, preferably $15, before buying PLTR stock. It got as low as $17.06 on May 11 but never made it to $15. Since the low, it’s up 55%. I had the right idea. But got a little greedy with the $15 buy call.\nAh, you gotta hate market timing.\nIn April, I suggested that as long as the Ark Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK) continued to hold Palantir in the middle of the pack in terms of the fund’s holdings, it remained a stock to buy in the teens. That feeling didn’t change in May.\nHowever, Cathie Woods’ ARKK weighting has increased to 15th spot as of July 1, at 2.38%. That puts it just outside the top 10 and much higher than in April. Her commitment to Palantir’s getting stronger, although some of that is due to capital appreciation.\nSo, what is it that Wood finds so irresistible about Palantir?\nI’ll lean on InvestorPlace’s Mark Hake for a possible answer.\nHake recently argued that its tremendous free cash flow(FCF) and high FCF margin suggest it’s worth at least $33.59 per share, moving higher as it generates increased FCF from increased revenues.\nI love FCF stocks, so his comments piqued my interest.\nAccording toMorningstar,Palantir has a trailing 12-month (TTM) FCF of $110 million. Based on a market cap of $49.5 billion, it has an FCF yield of 0.22%. Thus, its FCF yield is 9.2%, which is good, if not great. For comparison,Apple’s(NASDAQ:AAPL) is 27.8%.\nHowever, Hake’s point is that the probability of its FCF margin moving into the teens is likely. So, based on a projected 15% FCF margin and $2.4 billion in revenue (double the current TTM sales), it would have $360 million in FCF.\nAssuming the FCF yield were to stay as it is at 0.22%, it would have a market capitalization of $164 billion. Based on 1.88 billion shares outstanding, we get a share price of $87.23.\nNow, a lot has to fall into place for this to happen, and none of it will come to fruition in 2021 or 2022, for that matter.\nThe Bottom Line\nI personally wouldn’t buy PLTR stock because of Karp’s compensation. It’s truly obscene.\nHowever, for those who don’t care about CEOs being overpaid, I think the current downside to PLTR isn’t all that great. It’s on a roll. Things in motion tend to stay in motion until an event gets in the way.\nSo, if you get in for the short-term, say 60 to 90 days, you’ll probably do OK. But if you get in for the long term, I would look for its FCF margin to get to 15% and its FCF yield to move well above 1%. Until then, you’re going to get a lot of valuation naysayers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151937642,"gmtCreate":1625061352786,"gmtModify":1631890977049,"author":{"id":"3568414727378554","authorId":"3568414727378554","name":"阿帕蓝翘","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd69ee168269a8ecd301262b41cc7c3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568414727378554","authorIdStr":"3568414727378554"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"欧耶","listText":"欧耶","text":"欧耶","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151937642","repostId":"2147644811","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}