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Joana
Joana
·
2021-06-04
Nice
Get Set for May’s Job Report. It’s Expected to Show Fastest Hiring Since August<blockquote>为五月份的工作报告做好准备。预计将出现自 8 月份以来最快的招聘速度</blockquote>
The May jobs report is expected to reflect the fastest hiring since August as companies juggle boomi
Get Set for May’s Job Report. It’s Expected to Show Fastest Hiring Since August<blockquote>为五月份的工作报告做好准备。预计将出现自 8 月份以来最快的招聘速度</blockquote>
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Joana
Joana
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2021-06-04
Greatt
Can Higher Oil Prices Boost EV Sales? Maybe.<blockquote>油价上涨能否促进电动汽车销售？也许。</blockquote>
Higher oil prices—back when electric vehicles were new and investors had never seen triple-digit oil
Can Higher Oil Prices Boost EV Sales? Maybe.<blockquote>油价上涨能否促进电动汽车销售？也许。</blockquote>
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Joana
Joana
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2021-06-04
N
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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","listText":"Nice ","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116586355","repostId":"1128582463","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128582463","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622807539,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1128582463?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 19:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Get Set for May’s Job Report. It’s Expected to Show Fastest Hiring Since August<blockquote>为五月份的工作报告做好准备。预计将出现自 8 月份以来最快的招聘速度</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128582463","media":"Barrons","summary":"The May jobs report is expected to reflect the fastest hiring since August as companies juggle boomi","content":"<p>The May jobs report is expected to reflect the fastest hiring since August as companies juggle booming demand, easing business restrictions, and pockets of difficulty across the country in finding workers. The April report was expected to be strong, too, but it was a massive disappointment.</p><p><blockquote>5 月份的就业报告预计将反映自 8 月份以来最快的招聘，因为企业正在应对需求旺盛、商业限制放松以及全国各地寻找工人的困难。四月份的报告预计也会很强劲，但却令人大失所望。</blockquote></p><p> There are two key questions we’re focused on heading into the report. 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The unemployment rate is expected to have fallen to 5.9% from 6.1% as the participation rate edged up, a sign that the unemployment rate is falling for the right reasons.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 调查的经济学家预测，5 月份非农就业人数将增加 65 万人，高于 4 月份令人失望的 26.6 万人。随着参与率小幅上升，失业率预计将从6.1%降至5.9%，这表明失业率下降是有正当理由的。</blockquote></p><p> Wages, meanwhile, are expected to have risen 0.2% from April after surging 0.7% a month earlier. On a year-over-year basis, that would translate to a 1.6% rate. We note the average hourly earnings component of the monthly jobs report doesn’t include bonuses that many employers are offering to recruit workers.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，工资在一个月前飙升 0.7% 后，预计将比 4 月份上涨 0.2%。按年计算，这将相当于 1.6% 的增长率。我们注意到，月度就业报告中的平均时薪部分不包括许多雇主为招聘员工而提供的奖金。</blockquote></p><p> Check back after 8:30 a.m. for news and analysis.</p><p><blockquote>上午8:30后回来查看新闻和分析。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Get Set for May’s Job Report. It’s Expected to Show Fastest Hiring Since August<blockquote>为五月份的工作报告做好准备。预计将出现自 8 月份以来最快的招聘速度</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGet Set for May’s Job Report. It’s Expected to Show Fastest Hiring Since August<blockquote>为五月份的工作报告做好准备。预计将出现自 8 月份以来最快的招聘速度</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 19:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The May jobs report is expected to reflect the fastest hiring since August as companies juggle booming demand, easing business restrictions, and pockets of difficulty across the country in finding workers. The April report was expected to be strong, too, but it was a massive disappointment.</p><p><blockquote>5 月份的就业报告预计将反映自 8 月份以来最快的招聘，因为企业正在应对需求旺盛、商业限制放松以及全国各地寻找工人的困难。四月份的报告预计也会很强劲，但却令人大失所望。</blockquote></p><p> There are two key questions we’re focused on heading into the report. First, by how much did generous unemployment benefits, ongoing child-care issues, and Covid-19 concerns cap hiring during the month.Second, how fast did wages rise as companies struggle to attract help. The latter question is central to determining whether inflation that is running hot is already something more than transitory.</p><p><blockquote>在报告开始时，我们重点关注了两个关键问题。首先，慷慨的失业救济金、持续的儿童保育问题以及 Covid-19 对本月招聘上限的影响有多大。其次，随着公司努力吸引帮助，工资上涨的速度有多快。后一个问题是确定正在升温的通胀是否已经不仅仅是暂时的核心问题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists surveyed by FactSet predict an increase of 650,000 in nonfarm payrolls in May, up from April’s disappointing gain of 266,000. The unemployment rate is expected to have fallen to 5.9% from 6.1% as the participation rate edged up, a sign that the unemployment rate is falling for the right reasons.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 调查的经济学家预测，5 月份非农就业人数将增加 65 万人，高于 4 月份令人失望的 26.6 万人。随着参与率小幅上升，失业率预计将从6.1%降至5.9%，这表明失业率下降是有正当理由的。</blockquote></p><p> Wages, meanwhile, are expected to have risen 0.2% from April after surging 0.7% a month earlier. On a year-over-year basis, that would translate to a 1.6% rate. We note the average hourly earnings component of the monthly jobs report doesn’t include bonuses that many employers are offering to recruit workers.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，工资在一个月前飙升 0.7% 后，预计将比 4 月份上涨 0.2%。按年计算，这将相当于 1.6% 的增长率。我们注意到，月度就业报告中的平均时薪部分不包括许多雇主为招聘员工而提供的奖金。</blockquote></p><p> Check back after 8:30 a.m. for news and analysis.</p><p><blockquote>上午8:30后回来查看新闻和分析。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/may-jobs-report-51622774516?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/may-jobs-report-51622774516?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128582463","content_text":"The May jobs report is expected to reflect the fastest hiring since August as companies juggle booming demand, easing business restrictions, and pockets of difficulty across the country in finding workers. The April report was expected to be strong, too, but it was a massive disappointment.\nThere are two key questions we’re focused on heading into the report. First, by how much did generous unemployment benefits, ongoing child-care issues, and Covid-19 concerns cap hiring during the month.Second, how fast did wages rise as companies struggle to attract help. The latter question is central to determining whether inflation that is running hot is already something more than transitory.\nEconomists surveyed by FactSet predict an increase of 650,000 in nonfarm payrolls in May, up from April’s disappointing gain of 266,000. The unemployment rate is expected to have fallen to 5.9% from 6.1% as the participation rate edged up, a sign that the unemployment rate is falling for the right reasons.\nWages, meanwhile, are expected to have risen 0.2% from April after surging 0.7% a month earlier. On a year-over-year basis, that would translate to a 1.6% rate. We note the average hourly earnings component of the monthly jobs report doesn’t include bonuses that many employers are offering to recruit workers.\nCheck back after 8:30 a.m. for news and analysis.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116581430,"gmtCreate":1622812032820,"gmtModify":1634097790835,"author":{"id":"3574856705314352","authorId":"3574856705314352","name":"Joana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/880f19051005b7f5bc8ca7070339a3e9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574856705314352","idStr":"3574856705314352"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Greatt ","listText":"Greatt ","text":"Greatt","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116581430","repostId":"1122646159","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122646159","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622811802,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122646159?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Higher Oil Prices Boost EV Sales? Maybe.<blockquote>油价上涨能否促进电动汽车销售？也许。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122646159","media":"Barrons","summary":"Higher oil prices—back when electric vehicles were new and investors had never seen triple-digit oil","content":"<p>Higher oil prices—back when electric vehicles were new and investors had never seen triple-digit oil prices—were once a bullish boon for both EV sales and EV manufacturers’ stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>油价上涨--在电动汽车还是新生事物的时候，投资者从未见过三位数的油价--曾经是电动汽车销售和电动汽车制造商股价的利好。</blockquote></p><p> That line of thinking fell out of favor as the EV industry matured. Consider Tesla (TSLA): the EV maker’s stock fell almost 12% in May, the same month the Colonial Pipeline was hacked, disrupting gasoline supplies, and oil prices rose more than 4%.</p><p><blockquote>随着电动汽车行业的成熟，这种思路不再受欢迎。以特斯拉（TSLA）为例： 这家电动汽车制造商的股价在 5 月份下跌了近 12%，同月殖民地管道遭到黑客攻击，汽油供应中断，油价上涨了 4% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> However, as oil prices climb higher this year and continue to do so—oil prices are up another 3.7% in June—one Wall Street analyst is dusting off the old EV-oil trading playbook.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着今年油价攀升并持续走高（6 月份油价又上涨了 3.7%），一位华尔街分析师正在重拾旧的电动汽车石油交易策略。</blockquote></p><p> Why oil prices helped EV stocks isn’t hard to grasp. EVs are more expensive to purchase up-front than gasoline-powered automobiles. Rechargeable lithium ion batteries are far more expensive than gas tanks. However, it costs less to charge the batteries than to fill a gas tank<b>.</b> And higher oil prices mean higher gasoline prices, which could drive consumers into EVs.</p><p><blockquote>油价为何帮助电动汽车股票并不难理解。电动汽车的预购成本比汽油动力汽车更高。可充电锂离子电池比煤气罐贵得多。然而，给电池充电的成本比给煤气罐加油要低<b>.</b>油价上涨意味着汽油价格上涨，这可能会促使消费者购买电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Higher oil prices helped boost Toyota Prius sales, which went from averaging roughly 140,000 a year in 2009 and 2010 to 240,000 between 2011 and 2013. Back then, oil prices averaged roughly $70 a barrel from 2009 to 2010, when Prius sales were averaging the lower number. Oil averaged roughly $95 a barrel from 2011 to 2013—the same time Prius sales increased.</p><p><blockquote>油价上涨有助于提振丰田普锐斯的销量，从2009年和2010年的平均每年约14万辆增加到2011年至2013年的24万辆。当时，从 2009 年到 2010 年，油价平均约为每桶 70 美元，而普锐斯的平均销量较低。2011 年至 2013 年，石油平均价格约为每桶 95 美元，与此同时，普锐斯的销量也在增加。</blockquote></p><p> That’s one example, but the oil price/EV sale trade has broken down in recent years. Don’t forget, oil prices dropped in 2020 while Tesla sales hit a record of about 500,00 units.</p><p><blockquote>这只是一个例子，但近年来油价/电动汽车销售交易已经崩溃。别忘了，2020 年油价下跌，而特斯拉的销量创下了约 50 万辆的纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas thinks a linkage between oil and EVs may reappear. He pointed out in a Wednesday report that higher oil prices make EVs relatively more attractive. That much is obvious, but he also thinks prices won’t lead governments to relax drilling restrictions or invest in refining capacity to drive down oil prices. Instead, Jonas believes, higher oil prices will accelerate government support for EVs. That’s important, but the biggest boost to the EV sector will come when EVs cost the same as gasoline-powered cars—something Jonas says could happen as soon as “mid-decade.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师亚当·乔纳斯认为，石油和电动汽车之间的联系可能会再次出现。他在周三的一份报告中指出，油价上涨使得电动汽车相对更具吸引力。这一点显而易见，但他也认为价格不会导致政府放宽钻探限制或投资炼油能力以压低油价。相反，乔纳斯认为，油价上涨将加速政府对电动汽车的支持。这很重要，但当电动汽车的成本与汽油动力汽车持平时，电动汽车行业将迎来最大的推动--乔纳斯说，这种情况最早可能在 “十年中期 ”发生。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas’ preferred stocks to play the EV trend are General Motors (GM),Aptiv(APTV) and Tesla, all of which he rates Buy. Jonas also calls EV startup Fisker(FSR) his sleeper EV pick. And battery startup QuantumScape(QS) his “battery biotech” pick.</p><p><blockquote>乔纳斯看好的符合电动汽车趋势的股票是通用汽车（GM）、安波福（APTV）和特斯拉，他都给予买入评级。Jonas 还选择了评级电动汽车初创公司 Fisker (FSR) 作为他的卧铺电动汽车。电池初创公司 QuantumScape（QS）是他的 “电池生物技术 ”选择。</blockquote></p><p> Biotech stocks tend to have binary outcomes. They have big upside if drugs work and big downside is they don’t. That is how he thinks about Quantum: It is pioneering new battery technology that promises higher performance and lower costs. If it works, investors will be rewarded, but the company is years away from commercialization. Both Fisker and QuantumScape are Buy-rated, as well.</p><p><blockquote>生物科技股往往有二元结果。如果药物起作用，它们会有很大的好处，而如果药物不起作用，它们会有很大的坏处。这就是他对 Quantum 的看法：它正在开创新的电池技术，承诺更高的性能和更低的成本。如果成功，投资者将获得回报，但该公司距离商业化还需要数年时间。Fisker 和 QuantumScape 也均获得买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> His quintet of stocks has had a mixed year. General Motors and Aptiv have outperformed the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.The EV pure-play stocks—Tesla, Fisker and QuantumScape—have all lagged the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>他的五只股票今年表现喜忧参半。通用汽车和安波福的表现优于标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数。电动汽车纯股票——特斯拉、菲斯克和量子景观——均落后于大盘。</blockquote></p><p> GM and Aptiv stocks are up 52% and 20% year to date, respectively. Fisker stock has risen about 9%. Meanwhile, Tesla and QuantumScape shares are down 19% and 66%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，通用汽车和安波福的股价分别上涨了 52% 和 20%。菲斯克股价上涨约 9%。与此同时，特斯拉和 QuantumScape 的股价分别下跌 19% 和 66%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Higher Oil Prices Boost EV Sales? Maybe.<blockquote>油价上涨能否促进电动汽车销售？也许。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Higher Oil Prices Boost EV Sales? Maybe.<blockquote>油价上涨能否促进电动汽车销售？也许。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 21:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Higher oil prices—back when electric vehicles were new and investors had never seen triple-digit oil prices—were once a bullish boon for both EV sales and EV manufacturers’ stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>油价上涨--在电动汽车还是新生事物的时候，投资者从未见过三位数的油价--曾经是电动汽车销售和电动汽车制造商股价的利好。</blockquote></p><p> That line of thinking fell out of favor as the EV industry matured. Consider Tesla (TSLA): the EV maker’s stock fell almost 12% in May, the same month the Colonial Pipeline was hacked, disrupting gasoline supplies, and oil prices rose more than 4%.</p><p><blockquote>随着电动汽车行业的成熟，这种思路不再受欢迎。以特斯拉（TSLA）为例： 这家电动汽车制造商的股价在 5 月份下跌了近 12%，同月殖民地管道遭到黑客攻击，汽油供应中断，油价上涨了 4% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> However, as oil prices climb higher this year and continue to do so—oil prices are up another 3.7% in June—one Wall Street analyst is dusting off the old EV-oil trading playbook.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着今年油价攀升并持续走高（6 月份油价又上涨了 3.7%），一位华尔街分析师正在重拾旧的电动汽车石油交易策略。</blockquote></p><p> Why oil prices helped EV stocks isn’t hard to grasp. EVs are more expensive to purchase up-front than gasoline-powered automobiles. Rechargeable lithium ion batteries are far more expensive than gas tanks. However, it costs less to charge the batteries than to fill a gas tank<b>.</b> And higher oil prices mean higher gasoline prices, which could drive consumers into EVs.</p><p><blockquote>油价为何帮助电动汽车股票并不难理解。电动汽车的预购成本比汽油动力汽车更高。可充电锂离子电池比煤气罐贵得多。然而，给电池充电的成本比给煤气罐加油要低<b>.</b>油价上涨意味着汽油价格上涨，这可能会促使消费者购买电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Higher oil prices helped boost Toyota Prius sales, which went from averaging roughly 140,000 a year in 2009 and 2010 to 240,000 between 2011 and 2013. Back then, oil prices averaged roughly $70 a barrel from 2009 to 2010, when Prius sales were averaging the lower number. Oil averaged roughly $95 a barrel from 2011 to 2013—the same time Prius sales increased.</p><p><blockquote>油价上涨有助于提振丰田普锐斯的销量，从2009年和2010年的平均每年约14万辆增加到2011年至2013年的24万辆。当时，从 2009 年到 2010 年，油价平均约为每桶 70 美元，而普锐斯的平均销量较低。2011 年至 2013 年，石油平均价格约为每桶 95 美元，与此同时，普锐斯的销量也在增加。</blockquote></p><p> That’s one example, but the oil price/EV sale trade has broken down in recent years. Don’t forget, oil prices dropped in 2020 while Tesla sales hit a record of about 500,00 units.</p><p><blockquote>这只是一个例子，但近年来油价/电动汽车销售交易已经崩溃。别忘了，2020 年油价下跌，而特斯拉的销量创下了约 50 万辆的纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas thinks a linkage between oil and EVs may reappear. He pointed out in a Wednesday report that higher oil prices make EVs relatively more attractive. That much is obvious, but he also thinks prices won’t lead governments to relax drilling restrictions or invest in refining capacity to drive down oil prices. Instead, Jonas believes, higher oil prices will accelerate government support for EVs. That’s important, but the biggest boost to the EV sector will come when EVs cost the same as gasoline-powered cars—something Jonas says could happen as soon as “mid-decade.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师亚当·乔纳斯认为，石油和电动汽车之间的联系可能会再次出现。他在周三的一份报告中指出，油价上涨使得电动汽车相对更具吸引力。这一点显而易见，但他也认为价格不会导致政府放宽钻探限制或投资炼油能力以压低油价。相反，乔纳斯认为，油价上涨将加速政府对电动汽车的支持。这很重要，但当电动汽车的成本与汽油动力汽车持平时，电动汽车行业将迎来最大的推动--乔纳斯说，这种情况最早可能在 “十年中期 ”发生。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas’ preferred stocks to play the EV trend are General Motors (GM),Aptiv(APTV) and Tesla, all of which he rates Buy. Jonas also calls EV startup Fisker(FSR) his sleeper EV pick. And battery startup QuantumScape(QS) his “battery biotech” pick.</p><p><blockquote>乔纳斯看好的符合电动汽车趋势的股票是通用汽车（GM）、安波福（APTV）和特斯拉，他都给予买入评级。Jonas 还选择了评级电动汽车初创公司 Fisker (FSR) 作为他的卧铺电动汽车。电池初创公司 QuantumScape（QS）是他的 “电池生物技术 ”选择。</blockquote></p><p> Biotech stocks tend to have binary outcomes. They have big upside if drugs work and big downside is they don’t. That is how he thinks about Quantum: It is pioneering new battery technology that promises higher performance and lower costs. If it works, investors will be rewarded, but the company is years away from commercialization. Both Fisker and QuantumScape are Buy-rated, as well.</p><p><blockquote>生物科技股往往有二元结果。如果药物起作用，它们会有很大的好处，而如果药物不起作用，它们会有很大的坏处。这就是他对 Quantum 的看法：它正在开创新的电池技术，承诺更高的性能和更低的成本。如果成功，投资者将获得回报，但该公司距离商业化还需要数年时间。Fisker 和 QuantumScape 也均获得买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> His quintet of stocks has had a mixed year. General Motors and Aptiv have outperformed the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.The EV pure-play stocks—Tesla, Fisker and QuantumScape—have all lagged the broader market.</p><p><blockquote>他的五只股票今年表现喜忧参半。通用汽车和安波福的表现优于标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数。电动汽车纯股票——特斯拉、菲斯克和量子景观——均落后于大盘。</blockquote></p><p> GM and Aptiv stocks are up 52% and 20% year to date, respectively. Fisker stock has risen about 9%. Meanwhile, Tesla and QuantumScape shares are down 19% and 66%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，通用汽车和安波福的股价分别上涨了 52% 和 20%。菲斯克股价上涨约 9%。与此同时，特斯拉和 QuantumScape 的股价分别下跌 19% 和 66%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/can-higher-oil-prices-boost-ev-sales-maybe-51622809621?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","QS":"Quantumscape Corp.","FSR":"菲斯克","GM":"通用汽车","APTV":"Aptiv PLC"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/can-higher-oil-prices-boost-ev-sales-maybe-51622809621?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122646159","content_text":"Higher oil prices—back when electric vehicles were new and investors had never seen triple-digit oil prices—were once a bullish boon for both EV sales and EV manufacturers’ stock prices.\nThat line of thinking fell out of favor as the EV industry matured. Consider Tesla (TSLA): the EV maker’s stock fell almost 12% in May, the same month the Colonial Pipeline was hacked, disrupting gasoline supplies, and oil prices rose more than 4%.\nHowever, as oil prices climb higher this year and continue to do so—oil prices are up another 3.7% in June—one Wall Street analyst is dusting off the old EV-oil trading playbook.\nWhy oil prices helped EV stocks isn’t hard to grasp. EVs are more expensive to purchase up-front than gasoline-powered automobiles. Rechargeable lithium ion batteries are far more expensive than gas tanks. However, it costs less to charge the batteries than to fill a gas tank. And higher oil prices mean higher gasoline prices, which could drive consumers into EVs.\nHigher oil prices helped boost Toyota Prius sales, which went from averaging roughly 140,000 a year in 2009 and 2010 to 240,000 between 2011 and 2013. Back then, oil prices averaged roughly $70 a barrel from 2009 to 2010, when Prius sales were averaging the lower number. Oil averaged roughly $95 a barrel from 2011 to 2013—the same time Prius sales increased.\nThat’s one example, but the oil price/EV sale trade has broken down in recent years. Don’t forget, oil prices dropped in 2020 while Tesla sales hit a record of about 500,00 units.\nMorgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas thinks a linkage between oil and EVs may reappear. He pointed out in a Wednesday report that higher oil prices make EVs relatively more attractive. That much is obvious, but he also thinks prices won’t lead governments to relax drilling restrictions or invest in refining capacity to drive down oil prices. Instead, Jonas believes, higher oil prices will accelerate government support for EVs. That’s important, but the biggest boost to the EV sector will come when EVs cost the same as gasoline-powered cars—something Jonas says could happen as soon as “mid-decade.”\nJonas’ preferred stocks to play the EV trend are General Motors (GM),Aptiv(APTV) and Tesla, all of which he rates Buy. Jonas also calls EV startup Fisker(FSR) his sleeper EV pick. And battery startup QuantumScape(QS) his “battery biotech” pick.\nBiotech stocks tend to have binary outcomes. They have big upside if drugs work and big downside is they don’t. That is how he thinks about Quantum: It is pioneering new battery technology that promises higher performance and lower costs. If it works, investors will be rewarded, but the company is years away from commercialization. Both Fisker and QuantumScape are Buy-rated, as well.\nHis quintet of stocks has had a mixed year. General Motors and Aptiv have outperformed the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.The EV pure-play stocks—Tesla, Fisker and QuantumScape—have all lagged the broader market.\nGM and Aptiv stocks are up 52% and 20% year to date, respectively. Fisker stock has risen about 9%. Meanwhile, Tesla and QuantumScape shares are down 19% and 66%, respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FSR":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"APTV":0.9,"GM":0.9,"QS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116583763,"gmtCreate":1622811909352,"gmtModify":1634097791550,"author":{"id":"3574856705314352","authorId":"3574856705314352","name":"Joana","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/880f19051005b7f5bc8ca7070339a3e9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574856705314352","idStr":"3574856705314352"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"N","listText":"N","text":"N","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116583763","repostId":"1195193532","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}