社区
首页
集团介绍
社区
资讯
行情
学堂
TigerAI
登录
注册
DYDFC
IP属地:未知
+关注
帖子 · 25
帖子 · 25
关注 · 0
关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0
粉丝 · 0
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-08-01
F
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
1,662
回复
评论
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-31
F
Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>
After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, t
Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>
看
1,660
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-30
F
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
1,738
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-29
F
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
2,032
回复
评论
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-28
F
How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年创造7倍的回报</blockquote>
Summary PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European market
How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年创造7倍的回报</blockquote>
看
1,567
回复
评论
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-27
F
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
1,646
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-26
F
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
2,196
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-25
F
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
1,553
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-23
F
Blackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合,黑石盈利上升</blockquote>
The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion. Blackstone GroupInc.’sBX
Blackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合,黑石盈利上升</blockquote>
看
1,345
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
DYDFC
DYDFC
·
2021-07-22
F
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
2,889
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
加载更多
热议股票
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3578574228106809","uuid":"3578574228106809","gmtCreate":1615480203992,"gmtModify":1623409190704,"name":"DYDFC","pinyin":"dydfc","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":61,"tweetSize":25,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":802227623,"gmtCreate":1627783805662,"gmtModify":1633756443578,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802227623","repostId":"1149124606","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802310887,"gmtCreate":1627717148249,"gmtModify":1633756836029,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802310887","repostId":"1127411624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127411624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627715622,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127411624?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127411624","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, t","content":"<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠,股市空头于7月19日走出了洞穴。当天,道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌725点,跌幅2.1%,-0.42%。熊队打出了一个本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>像往常一样,每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因,分析师们已经准备好了答案,从COVID-19的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数,再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售有多种原因,因此将责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说,下降的一个重要原因是计算机生成的自动销售。一旦大型市场参与者,尤其是算法,开始抛售,就会出现疯狂的抛售。没有人想成为最后一个出局的人,因此散户和机构在恐慌中抛售,随着时间的推移,恐慌情绪变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware. After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献:每周相对强弱指标(RSI)在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里,买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后,标准普尔500SPX的RSI,-0.54%在周线图上站在71.36——这是一个极度超买的读数。这是不是意味着指数明天要暴跌了?没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险区域的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息空头无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>在空头说“我告诉过你”之前,第二天,即7月20日,道琼斯指数700多点的抛售被道琼斯指数550点的反弹抹去了。多头忘记了抛售,重新开始庆祝,一杯又一杯地喝着他们最喜欢的饮料“bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了,但这一次有点恐惧爬进了公牛的心灵。之前,唯一的恐惧是害怕错过下一次反弹。现在,许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌并且您正在经历各种情绪时,以下指南可能会有所帮助:</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.如果你感到恐慌</b>:不做某事;坐在那里。不买,不卖,坐稳。事实上,关掉电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天你丢了多少纸币。锻炼,散步,跑步,游泳,骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪,这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定时,重新评估你所拥有的。在这样的日子里,不要做任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.如果你害怕</b>:放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样,当市场恢复理智时,重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.如果您没有受到影响:</b>不过,请检查您的投资组合以确保您的投资组合适当多元化。虽然人们发现不要关心市场是否下跌,但要确保你为最坏的情况做好了对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取什么具体行动?</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康,你还可以做出其他的财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有帮助的战略和战术:</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li> <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li> <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li> <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li> <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li> <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您持有的股票或指数跌破200日移动平均线,则卖出。注:标准普尔500SPX,-0.54%等主要指数十年来没有跌破(并保持在低于)200日平均水平。当他们最终这样做时,这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划,无论短期内发生什么都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的平均成本。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只持有股票,请考虑债券,但在采取这一步骤之前请与金融专业人士(而不是您的邻居)交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入,你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天这种策略行不通了,但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是产生额外收入的绝佳方式。这种策略也非常适合处理不需要的股票并获得报酬。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了13年的牛市之后,美国股市的时间已经不多了。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利,但有一天市场不会逆转方向,将开始急剧调整,或者更糟的是,进入熊市。那时你会很高兴你有一个计划和一个在最糟糕的日子里可以遵循的投资脚本。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解您拥有什么,将其出售到“睡眠良好”点,并多元化投资于包括现金和债券在内的各种金融产品。这样,当市场再次暴跌时,你就不会做出下意识的情绪化决定或遭受焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠,股市空头于7月19日走出了洞穴。当天,道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌725点,跌幅2.1%,-0.42%。熊队打出了一个本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>像往常一样,每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因,分析师们已经准备好了答案,从COVID-19的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数,再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售有多种原因,因此将责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说,下降的一个重要原因是计算机生成的自动销售。一旦大型市场参与者,尤其是算法,开始抛售,就会出现疯狂的抛售。没有人想成为最后一个出局的人,因此散户和机构在恐慌中抛售,随着时间的推移,恐慌情绪变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware. After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献:每周相对强弱指标(RSI)在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里,买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后,标准普尔500SPX的RSI,-0.54%在周线图上站在71.36——这是一个极度超买的读数。这是不是意味着指数明天要暴跌了?没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险区域的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息空头无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>在空头说“我告诉过你”之前,第二天,即7月20日,道琼斯指数700多点的抛售被道琼斯指数550点的反弹抹去了。多头忘记了抛售,重新开始庆祝,一杯又一杯地喝着他们最喜欢的饮料“bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了,但这一次有点恐惧爬进了公牛的心灵。之前,唯一的恐惧是害怕错过下一次反弹。现在,许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌并且您正在经历各种情绪时,以下指南可能会有所帮助:</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.如果你感到恐慌</b>:不做某事;坐在那里。不买,不卖,坐稳。事实上,关掉电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天你丢了多少纸币。锻炼,散步,跑步,游泳,骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪,这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定时,重新评估你所拥有的。在这样的日子里,不要做任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.如果你害怕</b>:放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样,当市场恢复理智时,重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.如果您没有受到影响:</b>不过,请检查您的投资组合以确保您的投资组合适当多元化。虽然人们发现不要关心市场是否下跌,但要确保你为最坏的情况做好了对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取什么具体行动?</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康,你还可以做出其他的财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有帮助的战略和战术:</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li> <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li> <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li> <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li> <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li> <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您持有的股票或指数跌破200日移动平均线,则卖出。注:标准普尔500SPX,-0.54%等主要指数十年来没有跌破(并保持在低于)200日平均水平。当他们最终这样做时,这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划,无论短期内发生什么都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的平均成本。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只持有股票,请考虑债券,但在采取这一步骤之前请与金融专业人士(而不是您的邻居)交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入,你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天这种策略行不通了,但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是产生额外收入的绝佳方式。这种策略也非常适合处理不需要的股票并获得报酬。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了13年的牛市之后,美国股市的时间已经不多了。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利,但有一天市场不会逆转方向,将开始急剧调整,或者更糟的是,进入熊市。那时你会很高兴你有一个计划和一个在最糟糕的日子里可以遵循的投资脚本。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解您拥有什么,将其出售到“睡眠良好”点,并多元化投资于包括现金和债券在内的各种金融产品。这样,当市场再次暴跌时,你就不会做出下意识的情绪化决定或遭受焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127411624","content_text":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.\nAs usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.\nThe truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.\nTechnical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware. After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.\nThe bad news bears can’t catch a break\nBefore the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.\nWhat to do now\nThe next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:\n1. If you’re panicked: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.\n2. If you’re afraid: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.\n3. If you’re unaffected:Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.\nWhat specific actions should you take?\nNow that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:\n\nSell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.\nCreate a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.\nDollar-cost average into index funds.\nDiversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.\nBuy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.\nSell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.\n\nPlan for the next correction or bear market\nAfter a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.\nKnow what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808439381,"gmtCreate":1627605165043,"gmtModify":1633757898371,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808439381","repostId":"1131907757","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801878129,"gmtCreate":1627512816861,"gmtModify":1633764383002,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801878129","repostId":"1148922985","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803145428,"gmtCreate":1627429742064,"gmtModify":1633765149868,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803145428","repostId":"1165178450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165178450","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627399581,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165178450?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年创造7倍的回报</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165178450","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European market","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li> <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li> <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li> <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从150亿美元市值增长到1000亿美元市值的道路。</li><li>尽管如此,PLUG的论点仍然面临着投资者应该牢记的重大风险。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源(PLUG)是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头,这将推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中,我们概述了该公司在未来十年从150亿美元市值增长到1000亿美元市值(近7倍回报率)的道路。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.潜在市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the massive tailwinds for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动力,氢燃料电池市场可能在未来许多年享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先,拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与上届政府进行了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协定之间,美国。政府越来越多地激励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing one-third of total assets under management in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次,ESG投资运动已经起飞,目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一,令人震惊。鉴于如此多的资本被吸引到环保投资中,包括碳氢化合物行业在内的所有公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三,汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后,主要由于大量投资和市场需求,氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本大幅下降,使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is expected to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is expected to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都应该会导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上,到2030年,美国的氢气需求预计将达到每年1700万吨,到2050年将达到6300万吨,这比美国去年的1000万吨消费量有了相当大的增长。在全球范围内,制氢行业预计到2025年将达到2010亿美元,并在接下来的几十年里继续快速增长,类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信,由于以下原因,PLUG很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的相当大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先,它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。拥有质子交换膜燃料电池、混合动力电池、储氢、配氢、燃料加工等众多氢能系统。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统,并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次,它在北美和欧洲都有立足点,这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上,在可预见的未来,北美和欧洲很可能成为氢适应的领导者,因此PLUG处于有利地位,可以占领全球市场份额的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent quarterly report (128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三,PLUG目前增长势头强劲,正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务,包括亚马逊(AMZN)、沃尔玛(WMT)、家得宝(HD)和通用汽车(GM),这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此,我们预计其最新季度报告中76%的收入同比增长(燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长128%)在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,分析师预计2022年收入将增长57%,这应该会推动该公司实现EBITDA盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然PLUG确实在一个热门行业运营,并且拥有众多驱动因素,应该使其能够占领重要的市场份额,但该公司的价格也不便宜,因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面,考虑到其增长跑道,其EV/收入数据并不奇怪,因为PLUG目前的交易价格是2021年预期销售额的29.8倍,2022年预期销售额的21倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,PLUG最近发布的财报中,产品毛利率为38%,增长了600个基点,其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言,预计2021年PLUG的毛利率为相当疲软的9.71%,但预计2022年将增长近一倍,达到18.93%。这也比2017年的毛利率仅为1.2%大幅增长。预计2022年的EBITDA利润率也将达到相当可观的10.7%。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果PLUG能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济,我们认为到2032年将毛利率提高到30%,净利润率提高到20%是合理的。与此同时,如果到2032年它甚至只能占据全球氢市场3%的份额,并且届时全球市场将达到约3900亿美元(预计到2025年将超过2000亿美元,并且可能至少每年增长10%左右)在可预见的未来),到2032年,PLUG的收入将达到117亿美元。假设2022年至2032年间的收入复合年增长率为31.9%,考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势,我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>如果净利润率为20%,到2032年其净利润将超过23亿美元,这需要42.7倍的市盈率才能保证1000亿美元的市值。这个倍数合理吗?这在很大程度上取决于利率,但是,考虑到目前标普500(SPDR标普500指数ETF)的市盈率约为31倍,而且PLUG的增长率和增长跑道可能仍远优于标普500目前的水平,这当然不会显得太远。对我们来说太牵强了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这个模型如我们所想的那样成功,那么在最近的回调中,PLUG是一个非常有吸引力的买入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然,它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险,因此投资者应该记住,目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先,它将要求PLUG能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年竞争日益激烈的领域保持极具竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外,PLUG需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增强其技术优势的投资与有效营销的投资之间取得平衡,同时避免稀释股东权益或增加巨额债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正,这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说,他们手头近48亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该使其能够在不给资产负债表带来压力的情况下实现正自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur argued that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三,多年来,氢能并非没有批评者,最著名的是特斯拉(TSLA)创始人兼首席执行官Elon Musk。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为,使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样有效。事实上,他甚至说,使用氢燃料电池(他评级为“傻瓜电池”)为汽车提供动力是“愚蠢得令人难以置信”。显然,许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估,他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术,但这仍应被视为需要关注的重大风险。如果氢气失宠,将大大降低PLUG的上涨空间,如果足够严重,甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此,该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来充满希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及在氢技术最肥沃的两大洲的立足点,PLUG应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设,我们认为PLUG很可能在大约十年内达到1000亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步的股份稀释,这将意味着该期间的总回报率为667%(复合年增长率为20.9%)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说,PLUG也远非保守的夜间睡眠良好股票,投资者应该记住,其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河,这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,我们目前将PLUG评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年创造7倍的回报</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年创造7倍的回报</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 23:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li> <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li> <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li> <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从150亿美元市值增长到1000亿美元市值的道路。</li><li>尽管如此,PLUG的论点仍然面临着投资者应该牢记的重大风险。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源(PLUG)是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头,这将推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中,我们概述了该公司在未来十年从150亿美元市值增长到1000亿美元市值(近7倍回报率)的道路。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.潜在市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the massive tailwinds for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动力,氢燃料电池市场可能在未来许多年享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先,拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与上届政府进行了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协定之间,美国。政府越来越多地激励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing one-third of total assets under management in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次,ESG投资运动已经起飞,目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一,令人震惊。鉴于如此多的资本被吸引到环保投资中,包括碳氢化合物行业在内的所有公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三,汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后,主要由于大量投资和市场需求,氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本大幅下降,使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is expected to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is expected to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都应该会导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上,到2030年,美国的氢气需求预计将达到每年1700万吨,到2050年将达到6300万吨,这比美国去年的1000万吨消费量有了相当大的增长。在全球范围内,制氢行业预计到2025年将达到2010亿美元,并在接下来的几十年里继续快速增长,类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信,由于以下原因,PLUG很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的相当大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先,它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。拥有质子交换膜燃料电池、混合动力电池、储氢、配氢、燃料加工等众多氢能系统。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统,并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次,它在北美和欧洲都有立足点,这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上,在可预见的未来,北美和欧洲很可能成为氢适应的领导者,因此PLUG处于有利地位,可以占领全球市场份额的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent quarterly report (128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三,PLUG目前增长势头强劲,正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务,包括亚马逊(AMZN)、沃尔玛(WMT)、家得宝(HD)和通用汽车(GM),这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此,我们预计其最新季度报告中76%的收入同比增长(燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长128%)在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,分析师预计2022年收入将增长57%,这应该会推动该公司实现EBITDA盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然PLUG确实在一个热门行业运营,并且拥有众多驱动因素,应该使其能够占领重要的市场份额,但该公司的价格也不便宜,因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面,考虑到其增长跑道,其EV/收入数据并不奇怪,因为PLUG目前的交易价格是2021年预期销售额的29.8倍,2022年预期销售额的21倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,PLUG最近发布的财报中,产品毛利率为38%,增长了600个基点,其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言,预计2021年PLUG的毛利率为相当疲软的9.71%,但预计2022年将增长近一倍,达到18.93%。这也比2017年的毛利率仅为1.2%大幅增长。预计2022年的EBITDA利润率也将达到相当可观的10.7%。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果PLUG能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济,我们认为到2032年将毛利率提高到30%,净利润率提高到20%是合理的。与此同时,如果到2032年它甚至只能占据全球氢市场3%的份额,并且届时全球市场将达到约3900亿美元(预计到2025年将超过2000亿美元,并且可能至少每年增长10%左右)在可预见的未来),到2032年,PLUG的收入将达到117亿美元。假设2022年至2032年间的收入复合年增长率为31.9%,考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势,我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>如果净利润率为20%,到2032年其净利润将超过23亿美元,这需要42.7倍的市盈率才能保证1000亿美元的市值。这个倍数合理吗?这在很大程度上取决于利率,但是,考虑到目前标普500(SPDR标普500指数ETF)的市盈率约为31倍,而且PLUG的增长率和增长跑道可能仍远优于标普500目前的水平,这当然不会显得太远。对我们来说太牵强了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这个模型如我们所想的那样成功,那么在最近的回调中,PLUG是一个非常有吸引力的买入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然,它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险,因此投资者应该记住,目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先,它将要求PLUG能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年竞争日益激烈的领域保持极具竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外,PLUG需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增强其技术优势的投资与有效营销的投资之间取得平衡,同时避免稀释股东权益或增加巨额债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正,这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说,他们手头近48亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该使其能够在不给资产负债表带来压力的情况下实现正自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur argued that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三,多年来,氢能并非没有批评者,最著名的是特斯拉(TSLA)创始人兼首席执行官Elon Musk。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为,使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样有效。事实上,他甚至说,使用氢燃料电池(他评级为“傻瓜电池”)为汽车提供动力是“愚蠢得令人难以置信”。显然,许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估,他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术,但这仍应被视为需要关注的重大风险。如果氢气失宠,将大大降低PLUG的上涨空间,如果足够严重,甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此,该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来充满希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及在氢技术最肥沃的两大洲的立足点,PLUG应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设,我们认为PLUG很可能在大约十年内达到1000亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步的股份稀释,这将意味着该期间的总回报率为667%(复合年增长率为20.9%)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说,PLUG也远非保守的夜间睡眠良好股票,投资者应该记住,其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河,这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,我们目前将PLUG评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165178450","content_text":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.\nThe company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.\nWe outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.\nThat said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.\n\nJONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images\nPlug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.\n#1. Addressable Market Potential\nWith the massive tailwinds for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.\nFirst and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.\nSecond, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing one-third of total assets under management in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.\nThird, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.\nFinally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.\nAll of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is expected to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is expected to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.\n\n#2. Market Share Drivers\nWe believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.\nFirst and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.\nSecond of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.\nThird, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent quarterly report (128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.\nIn fact,analysts expect revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.\n#3. Valuation\nWhile PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.\nOn the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.\nIn fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.\nIf PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.\nAt a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.\nData by YCharts\n#4. Risks\nIf this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.\nData by YCharts\nOf course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.\nFirst and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.\nAdditionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.\nThird, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur argued that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.\nInvestor Takeaway\nPLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.\nGiven our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.\nThat said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.\nOverall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809048119,"gmtCreate":1627341929031,"gmtModify":1633766037886,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809048119","repostId":"1117559759","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800374389,"gmtCreate":1627283068041,"gmtModify":1633766542631,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800374389","repostId":"2154531659","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177150008,"gmtCreate":1627188755404,"gmtModify":1633767296961,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177150008","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175089630,"gmtCreate":1626998491120,"gmtModify":1633768994609,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175089630","repostId":"1151614377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151614377","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626959882,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151614377?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 21:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Blackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合,黑石盈利上升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151614377","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion.\n\nBlackstone GroupInc.’sBX","content":"<p> The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion. Blackstone GroupInc.’sBX1.88%earnings jumped in the second quarter, propelled by record appreciation in the value of its investments.</p><p><blockquote>这家私募股权公司公布第二季度净利润为13.1亿美元。在投资价值创纪录升值的推动下,Blackstone GroupInc.第二季度sBX1.88%盈利跃升。</blockquote></p><p> The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion, or $1.82 a share, it said Thursday. That compares with a profit of $568.3 million, or 81 cents a share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>该私募股权公司周四表示,第二季度净利润为13.1亿美元,即每股1.82美元。相比之下,去年同期的利润为5.683亿美元,即每股81美分。</blockquote></p><p> The value of Blackstone’s private-equity portfolio climbed by 13.8% in the latest period, exceeding the roughly 8% gain for the S&P 500. Combined fund appreciation across its various business lines was the highest in the history of the firm.</p><p><blockquote>黑石私募股权投资组合的价值在最近一段时间内攀升了13.8%,超过了标普500约8%的涨幅。其各个业务线的综合基金增值是该公司历史上最高的。</blockquote></p><p> Aiding the strong performance was Blackstone’s recent emphasis on putting money into fast-growing companies. Initial public offerings of outsourcing companyTaskUsInc.and Indian electric-vehicle components manufacturerSona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd.pushed up the firm’s private-equity portfolio, while sales of last-mile logistics properties in the U.S. and Australia helped boost its real-estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>黑石最近强调向快速增长的公司投入资金,这有助于其强劲的业绩。外包公司TaskusInc.和印度电动汽车零部件制造商Sona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd.的首次公开募股推高了该公司的私募股权投资组合,而美国和澳大利亚最后一英里物流资产的销售有助于增加其房地产持股。</blockquote></p><p> ‘The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off.’— Jonathan Gray, Blackstone Blackstone President Jonathan Gray has encouraged the firm’s business heads tothink more thematicallyabout investing, identifying global trends and finding ways to put money to work in areas that would benefit from them. Among these are logistics, software, digital payments and life sciences, areas of the economy that are experiencing outsize growth.</p><p><blockquote>“向良好社区的转变确实得到了回报。”——Jonathan Gray,Blackstone黑石总裁Jonathan Gray鼓励公司的业务负责人更多地思考投资主题,识别全球趋势,并找到将资金投入到受益领域的方法从中受益。其中包括物流、软件、数字支付和生命科学,这些经济领域正在经历巨大的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off,” Mr. Gray said in an interview.</p><p><blockquote>“向良好社区的转变确实得到了回报,”格雷先生在接受采访时说。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s distributable earnings, or the amount of cash that could be returned to shareholders, came in at $1.07 billion, or 82 cents a share, in the quarter. That compares with $548 million, or 43 cents a share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>黑石本季度的可分配收益(即可以返还给股东的现金金额)为10.7亿美元,即每股82美分。相比之下,一年前为5.48亿美元,即每股43美分。</blockquote></p><p> The firm said it would pay a dividend of 70 cents a share for the quarter, versus 37 cents in the second quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,本季度将支付每股70美分的股息,而2020年第二季度为37美分。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone invested $23.8 billion during the second quarter and committed to an additional $28.5 billion, another record. Among its commitments was a June agreement to partner with rivals Carlyle Group Inc. and Hellman & Friedman LLC in adeal for Medline Industries Inc.that values the medical-equipment supplier at more than $30 billion and represents the largest leveraged buyout since the financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>Blackstone在第二季度投资了238亿美元,并承诺额外投资285亿美元,再创历史新高。其承诺之一是6月份与竞争对手凯雷集团(Carlyle Group Inc.)和Hellman&Friedman LLC合作收购Medline Industries Inc.。该协议对这家医疗设备供应商的估值超过300亿美元,是金融危机以来最大的杠杆收购。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s infrastructure business and nontraded real-estate investment trustalso struck a deal to acquiredata-center operator QTS Realty Trust Inc. for $6.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Blackstone的基础设施业务和非交易房地产投资信托公司也达成协议,以67亿美元收购数据中心运营商QTS Realty Trust Inc.。</blockquote></p><p> The firm had inflows of $37.3 billion in the quarter, with much of that coming from its credit business and its giant Core+ real-estate strategy.</p><p><blockquote>该公司本季度的资金流入为373亿美元,其中大部分来自其信贷业务及其庞大的Core+房地产战略。</blockquote></p><p> Assets under management rose 21% over the prior year to $684 billion. So-called perpetual capital, which generates a steady stream of locked-in fees because it doesn’t need to be returned to investors as quickly, climbed 55% year-over-year to $169.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>管理资产较上年增长21%,达到6840亿美元。所谓的永续资本同比增长55%,达到1,695亿美元,因为不需要很快返还给投资者,因此会产生稳定的锁定费用。</blockquote></p><p> That figure is set to rise, thanks in part to a sweeping partnership Blackstone announced last week with insurance companyAmerican International GroupInc.The investment firm will manage a portion of AIG’s assets and will pay$2.2 billion for a 9.9% stakein its life-insurance and retirement-services unit. The deal is set to push Blackstone’s insurance assets under management to about $150 billion by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这一数字还会上升,部分原因是黑石集团上周宣布与保险公司美国国际集团公司建立全面合作伙伴关系。该投资公司将管理AIG的部分资产,并将支付22亿美元购买其人寿保险和退休服务部门9.9%的股份。到2021年底,该交易将使黑石管理的保险资产达到约1500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “It really encapsulates the evolution of our business,” Mr. Gray said of the AIG arrangement.</p><p><blockquote>“它确实概括了我们业务的演变,”格雷先生在谈到AIG的安排时说道。</blockquote></p><p> A decade of low interest rates and strong performance has prompted the firm to venture beyond its traditional focus on investing institutional money, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示,十年的低利率和强劲业绩促使该公司超越传统的机构资金投资重点。</blockquote></p><p> The combined market opportunity in insurance and retail is worth significantly more, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示,保险和零售业的市场机会价值要高得多。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Blackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合,黑石盈利上升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合,黑石盈利上升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 21:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion. Blackstone GroupInc.’sBX1.88%earnings jumped in the second quarter, propelled by record appreciation in the value of its investments.</p><p><blockquote>这家私募股权公司公布第二季度净利润为13.1亿美元。在投资价值创纪录升值的推动下,Blackstone GroupInc.第二季度sBX1.88%盈利跃升。</blockquote></p><p> The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion, or $1.82 a share, it said Thursday. That compares with a profit of $568.3 million, or 81 cents a share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>该私募股权公司周四表示,第二季度净利润为13.1亿美元,即每股1.82美元。相比之下,去年同期的利润为5.683亿美元,即每股81美分。</blockquote></p><p> The value of Blackstone’s private-equity portfolio climbed by 13.8% in the latest period, exceeding the roughly 8% gain for the S&P 500. Combined fund appreciation across its various business lines was the highest in the history of the firm.</p><p><blockquote>黑石私募股权投资组合的价值在最近一段时间内攀升了13.8%,超过了标普500约8%的涨幅。其各个业务线的综合基金增值是该公司历史上最高的。</blockquote></p><p> Aiding the strong performance was Blackstone’s recent emphasis on putting money into fast-growing companies. Initial public offerings of outsourcing companyTaskUsInc.and Indian electric-vehicle components manufacturerSona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd.pushed up the firm’s private-equity portfolio, while sales of last-mile logistics properties in the U.S. and Australia helped boost its real-estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>黑石最近强调向快速增长的公司投入资金,这有助于其强劲的业绩。外包公司TaskusInc.和印度电动汽车零部件制造商Sona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd.的首次公开募股推高了该公司的私募股权投资组合,而美国和澳大利亚最后一英里物流资产的销售有助于增加其房地产持股。</blockquote></p><p> ‘The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off.’— Jonathan Gray, Blackstone Blackstone President Jonathan Gray has encouraged the firm’s business heads tothink more thematicallyabout investing, identifying global trends and finding ways to put money to work in areas that would benefit from them. Among these are logistics, software, digital payments and life sciences, areas of the economy that are experiencing outsize growth.</p><p><blockquote>“向良好社区的转变确实得到了回报。”——Jonathan Gray,Blackstone黑石总裁Jonathan Gray鼓励公司的业务负责人更多地思考投资主题,识别全球趋势,并找到将资金投入到受益领域的方法从中受益。其中包括物流、软件、数字支付和生命科学,这些经济领域正在经历巨大的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off,” Mr. Gray said in an interview.</p><p><blockquote>“向良好社区的转变确实得到了回报,”格雷先生在接受采访时说。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s distributable earnings, or the amount of cash that could be returned to shareholders, came in at $1.07 billion, or 82 cents a share, in the quarter. That compares with $548 million, or 43 cents a share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>黑石本季度的可分配收益(即可以返还给股东的现金金额)为10.7亿美元,即每股82美分。相比之下,一年前为5.48亿美元,即每股43美分。</blockquote></p><p> The firm said it would pay a dividend of 70 cents a share for the quarter, versus 37 cents in the second quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,本季度将支付每股70美分的股息,而2020年第二季度为37美分。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone invested $23.8 billion during the second quarter and committed to an additional $28.5 billion, another record. Among its commitments was a June agreement to partner with rivals Carlyle Group Inc. and Hellman & Friedman LLC in adeal for Medline Industries Inc.that values the medical-equipment supplier at more than $30 billion and represents the largest leveraged buyout since the financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>Blackstone在第二季度投资了238亿美元,并承诺额外投资285亿美元,再创历史新高。其承诺之一是6月份与竞争对手凯雷集团(Carlyle Group Inc.)和Hellman&Friedman LLC合作收购Medline Industries Inc.。该协议对这家医疗设备供应商的估值超过300亿美元,是金融危机以来最大的杠杆收购。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s infrastructure business and nontraded real-estate investment trustalso struck a deal to acquiredata-center operator QTS Realty Trust Inc. for $6.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Blackstone的基础设施业务和非交易房地产投资信托公司也达成协议,以67亿美元收购数据中心运营商QTS Realty Trust Inc.。</blockquote></p><p> The firm had inflows of $37.3 billion in the quarter, with much of that coming from its credit business and its giant Core+ real-estate strategy.</p><p><blockquote>该公司本季度的资金流入为373亿美元,其中大部分来自其信贷业务及其庞大的Core+房地产战略。</blockquote></p><p> Assets under management rose 21% over the prior year to $684 billion. So-called perpetual capital, which generates a steady stream of locked-in fees because it doesn’t need to be returned to investors as quickly, climbed 55% year-over-year to $169.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>管理资产较上年增长21%,达到6840亿美元。所谓的永续资本同比增长55%,达到1,695亿美元,因为不需要很快返还给投资者,因此会产生稳定的锁定费用。</blockquote></p><p> That figure is set to rise, thanks in part to a sweeping partnership Blackstone announced last week with insurance companyAmerican International GroupInc.The investment firm will manage a portion of AIG’s assets and will pay$2.2 billion for a 9.9% stakein its life-insurance and retirement-services unit. The deal is set to push Blackstone’s insurance assets under management to about $150 billion by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这一数字还会上升,部分原因是黑石集团上周宣布与保险公司美国国际集团公司建立全面合作伙伴关系。该投资公司将管理AIG的部分资产,并将支付22亿美元购买其人寿保险和退休服务部门9.9%的股份。到2021年底,该交易将使黑石管理的保险资产达到约1500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “It really encapsulates the evolution of our business,” Mr. Gray said of the AIG arrangement.</p><p><blockquote>“它确实概括了我们业务的演变,”格雷先生在谈到AIG的安排时说道。</blockquote></p><p> A decade of low interest rates and strong performance has prompted the firm to venture beyond its traditional focus on investing institutional money, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示,十年的低利率和强劲业绩促使该公司超越传统的机构资金投资重点。</blockquote></p><p> The combined market opportunity in insurance and retail is worth significantly more, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示,保险和零售业的市场机会价值要高得多。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/blackstone-earnings-rise-as-growth-strategy-boosts-portfolio-11626951596?mod=hp_lead_pos4\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BX":"黑石"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/blackstone-earnings-rise-as-growth-strategy-boosts-portfolio-11626951596?mod=hp_lead_pos4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151614377","content_text":"The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion.\n\nBlackstone GroupInc.’sBX1.88%earnings jumped in the second quarter, propelled by record appreciation in the value of its investments.\nThe private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion, or $1.82 a share, it said Thursday. That compares with a profit of $568.3 million, or 81 cents a share, a year earlier.\nThe value of Blackstone’s private-equity portfolio climbed by 13.8% in the latest period, exceeding the roughly 8% gain for the S&P 500. Combined fund appreciation across its various business lines was the highest in the history of the firm.\nAiding the strong performance was Blackstone’s recent emphasis on putting money into fast-growing companies. Initial public offerings of outsourcing companyTaskUsInc.and Indian electric-vehicle components manufacturerSona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd.pushed up the firm’s private-equity portfolio, while sales of last-mile logistics properties in the U.S. and Australia helped boost its real-estate holdings.\n\n ‘The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off.’— Jonathan Gray, Blackstone\n\nBlackstone President Jonathan Gray has encouraged the firm’s business heads tothink more thematicallyabout investing, identifying global trends and finding ways to put money to work in areas that would benefit from them. Among these are logistics, software, digital payments and life sciences, areas of the economy that are experiencing outsize growth.\n“The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off,” Mr. Gray said in an interview.\nBlackstone’s distributable earnings, or the amount of cash that could be returned to shareholders, came in at $1.07 billion, or 82 cents a share, in the quarter. That compares with $548 million, or 43 cents a share, a year earlier.\nThe firm said it would pay a dividend of 70 cents a share for the quarter, versus 37 cents in the second quarter of 2020.\nBlackstone invested $23.8 billion during the second quarter and committed to an additional $28.5 billion, another record. Among its commitments was a June agreement to partner with rivals Carlyle Group Inc. and Hellman & Friedman LLC in adeal for Medline Industries Inc.that values the medical-equipment supplier at more than $30 billion and represents the largest leveraged buyout since the financial crisis.\nBlackstone’s infrastructure business and nontraded real-estate investment trustalso struck a deal to acquiredata-center operator QTS Realty Trust Inc. for $6.7 billion.\nThe firm had inflows of $37.3 billion in the quarter, with much of that coming from its credit business and its giant Core+ real-estate strategy.\nAssets under management rose 21% over the prior year to $684 billion. So-called perpetual capital, which generates a steady stream of locked-in fees because it doesn’t need to be returned to investors as quickly, climbed 55% year-over-year to $169.5 billion.\nThat figure is set to rise, thanks in part to a sweeping partnership Blackstone announced last week with insurance companyAmerican International GroupInc.The investment firm will manage a portion of AIG’s assets and will pay$2.2 billion for a 9.9% stakein its life-insurance and retirement-services unit. The deal is set to push Blackstone’s insurance assets under management to about $150 billion by the end of 2021.\n“It really encapsulates the evolution of our business,” Mr. Gray said of the AIG arrangement.\nA decade of low interest rates and strong performance has prompted the firm to venture beyond its traditional focus on investing institutional money, he said.\nThe combined market opportunity in insurance and retail is worth significantly more, he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176765918,"gmtCreate":1626916706434,"gmtModify":1633769780838,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578574228106809","idStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176765918","repostId":"2153062824","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}