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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
03-11
抄底的好机会,错过等十年
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2023-02-09
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@逆光飞翔_0326:
慢慢等待,总会翻盘的
慢慢等待,总会翻盘的
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2023-02-09
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
雾里看花?美联储留悬念,投资者心里慌
美股短期波动或加剧。美联储议息会议结束后,年初表现强劲的美股波动有所加大。美联储主席鲍威尔的最新表态传递了与上周类似的信号,在承认对抗通胀取得进展的同时,暗示实现目标还有很长的路要走。随着市场将终端利
雾里看花?美联储留悬念,投资者心里慌
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2023-02-08
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@芜湖哈鲁
:OK//
@芜湖哈鲁
:好评论
@让自己更富有:
[微笑] [开心] [财迷] [呆住] [得意] [害羞] [真香] [真香] [惊讶] [无语] [龇牙] [龇牙] [可爱] [黑眼圈] [无语] [流泪] [得意] [惊吓] [捂脸] [开心] [开心] [开心] [生气] [愤怒] [惊吓] [可爱] 哈哈哈哈
[微笑] [开心] [财迷] [呆住] [得意] [害羞] [真香] [真香] [惊讶] [无语] [龇牙] [龇牙] [可爱] [黑眼圈] [无语] [流泪] [得意] [惊吓] [捂脸] [开心] [开心] [开心] [生气] [愤怒] [惊吓] [可爱] 哈哈哈哈
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2023-02-08
//
@一笑而过者也
: good good!good
由“恐惧”走向“贪婪”,巴菲特嗅到了什么?
@侃见财经:
一年一度的投资人的“朝圣”落下帷幕。今年,巴菲特一改过去六七年谨慎的常态,而是加快了投资的步伐,在疫情以及加息的大背景下,巴菲特的行为是否有特殊的意义?巴菲特是否已经放弃了过去五六年坚持的投资逻辑,开始由“恐惧”转向“贪婪”?这些,在本次的股东大会上都能找到答案。股东大会上,巴菲特表示伯克希尔$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$ 一季度总共买入了518亿美元的股票,同时卖出了103亿美元,也就是说一季度伯克希尔净买入415亿美元。据悉,这笔现金大致是伯克希尔现金储备的小三分之一左右。巴菲特表示,虽然公司现金水平大幅下降,但是公司将保留足够安全的现金。巴菲特在股东大会开场评论就表示道:“不会改变的是,我们手头总有大量的现金。”不仅如此,伯克希尔一改过去的常态,四月以来并未进行任何股票回购的行为。巴菲特有一句名言,别人贪婪时我恐惧,别人恐惧时我贪婪。所以,巴菲特的买入和卖出行为总是异于常人,且难以琢磨。我们试图梳理巴菲特近七年的投资标的,大概就能清晰地感觉到巴菲特是如何战胜市场的了。2015年,全球经济进入一个新的爆发期。以移动互联网为首的新经济快速爆发,并且以数倍的增速成为全球新的增长引擎。以亚马逊$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 、微软$微软(MSFT)$ 、谷歌、meta为代表的互联网企业的股价都出现了50度以上的仰角。短短几年时间,苹果、微软等企业的市值就轻松突破了1万亿美元关口,紧接着就是突破2万亿美元关口,甚至摸到了3万亿美
由“恐惧”走向“贪婪”,巴菲特嗅到了什么?
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2023-02-08
可以的
@让自己更富有:
[微笑] [开心] [财迷] [呆住] [得意] [害羞] [真香] [真香] [惊讶] [无语] [龇牙] [龇牙] [可爱] [黑眼圈] [无语] [流泪] [得意] [惊吓] [捂脸] [开心] [开心] [开心] [生气] [愤怒] [惊吓] [可爱] 哈哈哈哈
[微笑] [开心] [财迷] [呆住] [得意] [害羞] [真香] [真香] [惊讶] [无语] [龇牙] [龇牙] [可爱] [黑眼圈] [无语] [流泪] [得意] [惊吓] [捂脸] [开心] [开心] [开心] [生气] [愤怒] [惊吓] [可爱] 哈哈哈哈
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2023-02-08
nice的表情
@让自己更富有:
[微笑] [开心] [财迷] [呆住] [得意] [害羞] [真香] [真香] [惊讶] [无语] [龇牙] [龇牙] [可爱] [黑眼圈] [无语] [流泪] [得意] [惊吓] [捂脸] [开心] [开心] [开心] [生气] [愤怒] [惊吓] [可爱] 哈哈哈哈
[微笑] [开心] [财迷] [呆住] [得意] [害羞] [真香] [真香] [惊讶] [无语] [龇牙] [龇牙] [可爱] [黑眼圈] [无语] [流泪] [得意] [惊吓] [捂脸] [开心] [开心] [开心] [生气] [愤怒] [惊吓] [可爱] 哈哈哈哈
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2022-07-20
赶快涨
@让自己更富有:
$老虎证券(TIGR)$涨涨涨
$老虎证券(TIGR)$涨涨涨
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2022-05-09
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@一笑而过者也2
:可以啊//
@一笑而过者也2
:好
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
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逆光飞翔_0326
逆光飞翔_0326
·
2022-05-09
good//
@一笑而过者也2
:hei hei hei, good
@银环蛇:
$新东方(EDU)$买3个月有十几倍的收入
$新东方(EDU)$买3个月有十几倍的收入
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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n雾里看花?美联储留悬念,投资者心里慌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-09 14:18 北京时间 <a href=https://www.yicai.com/news/101669507.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美股短期波动或加剧。美联储议息会议结束后,年初表现强劲的美股波动有所加大。美联储主席鲍威尔的最新表态传递了与上周类似的信号,在承认对抗通胀取得进展的同时,暗示实现目标还有很长的路要走。随着市场将终端利率目标定价重新锚定在5%以上,有关经济的担忧或成为市场动荡的导火索。美联储加息终点仍不明朗时隔六天,美联储主席鲍威尔再一次出现在公众视野面前。作为每年的例行安排,今年他在华盛顿经济俱乐部的讲话尤为...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101669507.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96819b78df36696eeccbf03ebd7c466d","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","OEX":"标普100","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.yicai.com/news/101669507.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2310576969","content_text":"美股短期波动或加剧。美联储议息会议结束后,年初表现强劲的美股波动有所加大。美联储主席鲍威尔的最新表态传递了与上周类似的信号,在承认对抗通胀取得进展的同时,暗示实现目标还有很长的路要走。随着市场将终端利率目标定价重新锚定在5%以上,有关经济的担忧或成为市场动荡的导火索。美联储加息终点仍不明朗时隔六天,美联储主席鲍威尔再一次出现在公众视野面前。作为每年的例行安排,今年他在华盛顿经济俱乐部的讲话尤为引人瞩目。谈及物价前景时,美联储主席表示,今年美国的通胀应该会显著下降,并回避了有关终端利率的话题。这番表态一度引发周二美股短线拉升。不过美联储依然保持谨慎,鲍威尔重申“需要一些时间”才能让通胀回到2%的中期目标。1月非农就业报告让外界对本轮加息周期前景进行了重估。联邦基金利率期货显示,终端利率目标已经升至5.10%以上,隐含的降息空间一度缩小至15个基点。资产管理机构BK Asset Management宏观策略师施罗斯伯格(Boris Schlossberg)在接受第一财经记者采访时表示,美联储依然没有释放任何政策转向的信号,现在的情况符合他们的职责和目标,通胀降温的同时劳动力市场保持健康,这也将支持短期内政策的延续性。摩根大通经济学家费罗利(Michael Feroli)则写道,鲍威尔表态与上周美联储会议后基调“非常相似”。“这是一个数据依赖的立场,他在强调什么样的条件需要或多或少的约束。因为美联储正在关注经济对加息的反应,特别是通胀是否延续去年中期以来的持续下降。距离下次会议还有六周时间,期间还有大量的经济数据公布,对于美联储而言,现在远没有到作出决定的时候。 政策制定者对两个方向的冲击都持开放态度。如果持续强劲的就业增长导致工资和物价上涨,或将批准更紧的货币政策,但通胀继续降温也可能会影响政策决定。在本周截至目前的表态中,只有纽约联储主席威廉姆斯等少数官员谈到了终端利率的具体目标。第一财经记者注意到,在1月会议前两周,美联储内部在加息25个基点和50个基点问题上依然存在分歧,直到12月CPI数据出炉后委员会内部才达成共识。考虑到美联储需要评估货币政策的累积效应,最终的决定可能同样要到3月会议前夕才能明朗。目前,商品反通胀(disinflation)趋势基本形成,与房租相关的物价压力有望在年中出现转折,而服务性通胀的上涨趋势似乎还没有出现明显拐点,劳动力市场持续火热似乎是个隐患。施罗斯伯格向记者分析道,新冠疫情很大程度上改变了美国劳动力市场的结构,包括人口老龄化、提前退休和移民疲软等因素,拖累劳动力供应,令就业参与率难以恢复到疫情前的水平。他认为,这些变化可能预示着就业市场对美联储的限制政策反应缓慢,从而增加不确定性。令美联储稍感欣慰的是,薪资增速正在逐步放缓。美国劳工部数据显示,去年四季度企业薪资福利支出季率环比上升进一步放缓。美联储经济状况褐皮书也显示,劳动力供应增加缓和了整体极度紧张的局面。不少美联储官员希望看到劳动力市场进一步放松,使得薪资放缓带动需求降温和物价回落。施罗斯伯格认为,美联储3月加息25个基点已经形成共识,但后面的政策路径依然不太明朗。在美联储看到更多劳动力成本下降的迹象之前,很可能会继续推动1-2次加息,然后将利率维持更长时间以观察实际效果。美股或面临获利回吐经历了年初反弹后,美联储政策立场、企业财报和经济前景的最新变化令市场信心有所动摇,衡量投资者情绪的恐慌指数VIX止跌回升,获利回吐压力正在聚集。经济衰退依然是机构眼里美股上半年的最大风险点。除了劳动力市场以外,经济动能松动迹象随处可见。占到美国GDP近1/4的房地产和制造业持续低迷,纽约联储1月制造业指数降至疫情以来新低。作为美国经济的主要动能,消费端降温信号开始拉响警报,去年12月全美零售销售月率环比下降1.1%,年末传统假日季旺季不旺,高通胀和利率上升让家庭开支变得捉襟见肘。本周美联储公布的消费数据显示,去年12月美国消费者的信贷消费量增加116亿美元,增速降至2.9%,这是2021年以来的最小增幅。通胀而言,信贷增量被视为重要风向标,消费者倾向于在经济向好的情况下打开钱包,而在不景气的时候减少不必要的开支。随着美联储加息周期延续,经济放缓对需求的打压最终将反映到企业业绩上,进而冲击市场估值和股市大幅下跌。在本周发布的一份报告中,摩根大通策略师克拉诺维奇(Marko Kolanovic)写道,经济压力下企业将面临着要么裁员要么利润率恶化的艰难选择, “现在的反通胀并不是值得庆祝的。利率处于限制性的状态,将给经济带来更多压力。而工资上涨仍将拖累企业利润率,可能会导致出现更多裁员。 ”摩根士丹利首席股票策略师威尔逊(Michael Wilson)表示,新年以来美股的涨势将结束,投资者是在与美联储进行对抗。他认为,由于美联储不愿转向更为温和的立场,2008年以来最严重的企业盈利衰退的现实正再次被错误定价,一季度末或者二季度初美股将出现本轮调整的新低点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,".DJI":1,".IXIC":1,".SPX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SPY":1,"SQQQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"UPRO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":622426424,"gmtCreate":1675827177868,"gmtModify":1675827180241,"author":{"id":"4089682969672580","authorId":"4089682969672580","name":"逆光飞翔_0326","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95dc3f308c0ab5766af2f777a0f91ed6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089682969672580","idStr":"4089682969672580"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"回复 <a 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一季度总共买入了518亿美元的股票,同时卖出了103亿美元,也就是说一季度伯克希尔净买入415亿美元。据悉,这笔现金大致是伯克希尔现金储备的小三分之一左右。巴菲特表示,虽然公司现金水平大幅下降,但是公司将保留足够安全的现金。巴菲特在股东大会开场评论就表示道:“不会改变的是,我们手头总有大量的现金。”不仅如此,伯克希尔一改过去的常态,四月以来并未进行任何股票回购的行为。巴菲特有一句名言,别人贪婪时我恐惧,别人恐惧时我贪婪。所以,巴菲特的买入和卖出行为总是异于常人,且难以琢磨。我们试图梳理巴菲特近七年的投资标的,大概就能清晰地感觉到巴菲特是如何战胜市场的了。2015年,全球经济进入一个新的爆发期。以移动互联网为首的新经济快速爆发,并且以数倍的增速成为全球新的增长引擎。以亚马逊<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 、微软<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 、谷歌、meta为代表的互联网企业的股价都出现了50度以上的仰角。短短几年时间,苹果、微软等企业的市值就轻松突破了1万亿美元关口,紧接着就是突破2万亿美元关口,甚至摸到了3万亿美","listText":"一年一度的投资人的“朝圣”落下帷幕。今年,巴菲特一改过去六七年谨慎的常态,而是加快了投资的步伐,在疫情以及加息的大背景下,巴菲特的行为是否有特殊的意义?巴菲特是否已经放弃了过去五六年坚持的投资逻辑,开始由“恐惧”转向“贪婪”?这些,在本次的股东大会上都能找到答案。股东大会上,巴菲特表示伯克希尔<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a> 一季度总共买入了518亿美元的股票,同时卖出了103亿美元,也就是说一季度伯克希尔净买入415亿美元。据悉,这笔现金大致是伯克希尔现金储备的小三分之一左右。巴菲特表示,虽然公司现金水平大幅下降,但是公司将保留足够安全的现金。巴菲特在股东大会开场评论就表示道:“不会改变的是,我们手头总有大量的现金。”不仅如此,伯克希尔一改过去的常态,四月以来并未进行任何股票回购的行为。巴菲特有一句名言,别人贪婪时我恐惧,别人恐惧时我贪婪。所以,巴菲特的买入和卖出行为总是异于常人,且难以琢磨。我们试图梳理巴菲特近七年的投资标的,大概就能清晰地感觉到巴菲特是如何战胜市场的了。2015年,全球经济进入一个新的爆发期。以移动互联网为首的新经济快速爆发,并且以数倍的增速成为全球新的增长引擎。以亚马逊<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 、微软<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 、谷歌、meta为代表的互联网企业的股价都出现了50度以上的仰角。短短几年时间,苹果、微软等企业的市值就轻松突破了1万亿美元关口,紧接着就是突破2万亿美元关口,甚至摸到了3万亿美","text":"一年一度的投资人的“朝圣”落下帷幕。今年,巴菲特一改过去六七年谨慎的常态,而是加快了投资的步伐,在疫情以及加息的大背景下,巴菲特的行为是否有特殊的意义?巴菲特是否已经放弃了过去五六年坚持的投资逻辑,开始由“恐惧”转向“贪婪”?这些,在本次的股东大会上都能找到答案。股东大会上,巴菲特表示伯克希尔$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$ 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