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圣利花开
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
08-30 03:04
9月份不可能加息,美联储还是要看数据,通胀已经开始降低了
沃什“放鹰”,高盛依旧不信“9月加息”、摩根大通称“还是要看8月非农和CPI”
摩根大通维持12月加息的基准预测,经济学家Michael Feroli称,决定9月会议结果的"更重要的消息"是即将公布的8月非农就业和CPI报告。高盛预计8月核心CPI和核心PCE环比涨幅均在0.2%左右,按此路径FOMC将按兵不动。
沃什“放鹰”,高盛依旧不信“9月加息”、摩根大通称“还是要看8月非农和CPI”
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
08-12
估计cpi下降
今晚美国CPI,或重创9月加息预期?
市场的共识是,美国7月CPI与核心CPI环比分别上涨0.1%和0.2%,高盛预测低于共识。分析认为,只要数据符合预期,就足以压制9月加息预期;若低于预期,则可能造成进一步打击。不过,FOMC内部鹰派声音正在抬头,尽管上周非农数据走弱,市场对9月加息的定价仍处于约50%的胶着状态。
今晚美国CPI,或重创9月加息预期?
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
07-24
这折扣估计暗盘都得破发
中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购
【中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购】知情人士称,中际旭创计划周五下午5点停止接受投资者对其香港招股的认购,较原计划提前一个工作日结束簿记。交易条款显示,该公司原定于7月27日结束机构投资者
中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
07-23
感觉给他弄下去吧,这几年美股被他搞惨了
美股盘前|美股期指走弱,美油重返90美元上方;谷歌、特斯拉盘前重挫;SK电信盘前涨超12%,AI概念持续活跃;Rollins盘前跌16%,Medpace飙16%
监管机构认定其在搜索及应用分发环节存在偏袒自家服务行为,谷歌称将调整多项产品功能以合规。
美股盘前|美股期指走弱,美油重返90美元上方;谷歌、特斯拉盘前重挫;SK电信盘前涨超12%,AI概念持续活跃;Rollins盘前跌16%,Medpace飙16%
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
07-23
加息吧,让特朗普下台
美国上周首次申领失业救济人数为18.7万人,低于市场预期
美国至7月18日当周初请失业金人数18.7万人,预期21.2万人,前值由20.8万人修正为20.9万人
美国上周首次申领失业救济人数为18.7万人,低于市场预期
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
07-23
希望共和党两院都输,弹劾下台吧
中东冲突升级!美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶
WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶,为6月11日以来首次;消息面上,美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,美威胁打击伊朗“镐山”地下核设施。伊朗支持的胡塞武装称其在红海袭击了两艘沙特阿拉伯油轮,导致中东冲突升级并可能令供应中断进一步加剧。
中东冲突升级!美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
07-17
$美光科技(MU)$
快跌到500吧
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
07-09
[弱]
永康控股(02523)已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市
智通财经APP讯,永康控股(02523)发布公告,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市。经咨询整体协调人及审慎周详考虑后,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市,并拟探讨潜在方案。因此,有关国际发售的国际包销协议将不会订立,而有关香港公开发售的香港包销协议将不会成为无条件。本公司注意到,香港发售股份已获超额认购,本公司谨此就对本公司感兴趣的投资者以及彼等于全球发售期间的支持致谢。
永康控股(02523)已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
07-09
狗屎公司,以后也不要来港股上市了
永康控股(02523)宣布终止全球发售及上市 申请股款将于7月13日悉数退回
2026年7月8日,永康控股公布,董事会经与整体协调人协商及审慎考虑后,决定目前不进行全球发售及上市;原拟就国际发售的国际包销协议将不予订立,香港公开发售的香港包销协议亦不会成为无条件协议。公司表示,香港发售股份已获超额认购,对投资者的支持表示感谢,并称将探讨其他潜在方案。
永康控股(02523)宣布终止全球发售及上市 申请股款将于7月13日悉数退回
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圣利花开
圣利花开
·
07-09
$永康控股 (02523)$
这种狗屎公司,耍大家玩呢,应该把这种公司拉黑,以后也不要上了
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14:12","market":"sg","language":"zh","title":"沃什“放鹰”,高盛依旧不信“9月加息”、摩根大通称“还是要看8月非农和CPI”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2663901458","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"摩根大通维持12月加息的基准预测,经济学家Michael Feroli称,决定9月会议结果的\"更重要的消息\"是即将公布的8月非农就业和CPI报告。高盛预计8月核心CPI和核心PCE环比涨幅均在0.2%左右,按此路径FOMC将按兵不动。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美联储主席沃什(Kevin Warsh)首次以主席身份亮相Jackson Hole,<strong>发出了比7月FOMC新闻发布会更为鹰派的信号</strong>:通胀"令人担忧",美联储当前的"首要焦点应当放在物价上",若基本通胀趋势不能以"足够的速度"回落至目标,"我们还有工作要做"。</p>\n<p>讲话公布后,<strong>2年期美债收益率跳升约7个基点</strong>——近年来Jackson Hole讲话引发的最大市场反应之一。与此同时,<strong>9</strong><strong>月加息概率从演讲前的约30%攀升至50%以上</strong>。</p>\n<p>不过,华尔街两大行均未跟随市场定价转向。<strong>摩根大通维持12月加息的基准预测</strong>,<strong>经济学家Michael Feroli称,决定9月会议结果的"更重要的消息"是即将公布的8月非农就业和CPI报告。高盛预计8月核心CPI和核心PCE环比涨幅均在0.2%左右,按此路径FOMC将按兵不动。</strong></p>\n<h2><strong>通胀是"首要关切":基本趋势未见实质改善</strong></h2>\n<p>沃什将演讲的相当篇幅用于通胀。他承认今年夏季的PCE和CPI读数"好于预期",但话锋一转:<strong>"这并不能告诉我基本趋势已有实质性改善。"</strong></p>\n<p>他拿出一组数据佐证:过去12个月中,<strong>PCE篮子里价格涨幅超过3%的商品和服务占比达到54%</strong>,低于疫情后约77%的高峰,但仍远高于疫情前二十年32%的水平。摩根大通的Feroli认为,相较于沃什此前引用的截尾均值PCE(trimmed-mean PCE),这一指标的选择"不那么投机取巧"——截尾均值已回归正常区间,但<strong>超过3%的占比仍远超金融危机前水平</strong>。高盛则指出,该计算在一定程度上反映了关税效应。</p>\n<p>沃什承认工资增速"温和",但表示工资"很长时间以来都未能成为未来通胀的可靠指标"——言下之意,温和的工资数据并不构成通胀前景改善的有力证据。</p>\n<h2><strong>纠偏7月两大争议表态</strong></h2>\n<p>沃什在演讲中主动修正了7月FOMC新闻发布会上引发市场不安的两个表述。</p>\n<p>此前他曾对2%通胀目标的未来表示质疑,此次明确声明:<strong>"不应有任何误解——美联储以PCE价格指数衡量的2%物价稳定目标,是一个坚定不移的固定目标。"</strong> 同样,此前他在政策工具选择上态度模糊,此次则确认"短期利率是实现双重使命的首要工具"。摩根大通评价,两项澄清合在一起,信号清晰——更高的通胀将以更高的联邦基金利率来应对。</p>\n<p>演讲中沃什还列出了指导政策的七项原则,重申对货币总量的关注,质疑前瞻指引在常规时期的作用,并在尾声呼吁建立一个"更安静、在沟通上更有目的性的美联储"。摩根大通称,这是自2018年以来篇幅最长的美联储主席Jackson Hole演讲。</p>\n<h2><strong>经济"令人印象深刻",金融条件"谈不上紧缩"</strong></h2>\n<p>沃什用约四分之一的篇幅谈论经济状况,语气颇为传统。摩根大通称,这部分"听起来像传统技术官僚型的美联储主席讲话",比如讨论了私人国内最终购买(private domestic final purchases)这类指标。</p>\n<p>沃什对经济的判断是"印象深刻,经济似乎已经走强":实际消费支出"尽管遭受冲击但依然健康",企业资本开支"正在快速增长"——<strong>今年超过一半的资本开支增长可归因于AI相关建设</strong>。他引用的私人国内最终购买增速今年以来接近3%,不过高盛提示,该指标目前受到AI投资相关科技品进口的上行扭曲。</p>\n<p>劳动力市场方面,沃什认为"相当稳定""与充分就业一致",失业率"按历史标准仍处于低位"。他的总体判断是,<strong>"很难将当前广义金融条件描述为紧缩性的"</strong>——这一表态较6月新闻发布会上的态度有了明显转变,当时他将同一问题推给了工作组。</p>\n<h2><strong>高盛、摩根大通:9月加息仍非基准情景</strong></h2>\n<p>沃什在演讲中透露,7月FOMC会议上"我和大多数同事都认为,更明智的做法是等待会议间隔期的新信息,再决定是否有必要调整利率政策"。</p>\n<p>摩根大通维持12月加息预测。Feroli承认,鉴于越来越多美联储官员释放鹰派信号,<strong>提前行动"也并非不合理"</strong>,但关键变量是8月就业和CPI数据。</p>\n<p>高盛的判断更为明确:<strong>9月加息仅在8月CPI和PPI数据超预期走强时才有可能</strong>。该行预计8月核心通胀环比涨幅在0.2%左右,FOMC大概率继续按兵不动。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>沃什“放鹰”,高盛依旧不信“9月加息”、摩根大通称“还是要看8月非农和CPI”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n沃什“放鹰”,高盛依旧不信“9月加息”、摩根大通称“还是要看8月非农和CPI”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-29 14:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美联储主席沃什(Kevin Warsh)首次以主席身份亮相Jackson Hole,<strong>发出了比7月FOMC新闻发布会更为鹰派的信号</strong>:通胀"令人担忧",美联储当前的"首要焦点应当放在物价上",若基本通胀趋势不能以"足够的速度"回落至目标,"我们还有工作要做"。</p>\n<p>讲话公布后,<strong>2年期美债收益率跳升约7个基点</strong>——近年来Jackson Hole讲话引发的最大市场反应之一。与此同时,<strong>9</strong><strong>月加息概率从演讲前的约30%攀升至50%以上</strong>。</p>\n<p>不过,华尔街两大行均未跟随市场定价转向。<strong>摩根大通维持12月加息的基准预测</strong>,<strong>经济学家Michael Feroli称,决定9月会议结果的"更重要的消息"是即将公布的8月非农就业和CPI报告。高盛预计8月核心CPI和核心PCE环比涨幅均在0.2%左右,按此路径FOMC将按兵不动。</strong></p>\n<h2><strong>通胀是"首要关切":基本趋势未见实质改善</strong></h2>\n<p>沃什将演讲的相当篇幅用于通胀。他承认今年夏季的PCE和CPI读数"好于预期",但话锋一转:<strong>"这并不能告诉我基本趋势已有实质性改善。"</strong></p>\n<p>他拿出一组数据佐证:过去12个月中,<strong>PCE篮子里价格涨幅超过3%的商品和服务占比达到54%</strong>,低于疫情后约77%的高峰,但仍远高于疫情前二十年32%的水平。摩根大通的Feroli认为,相较于沃什此前引用的截尾均值PCE(trimmed-mean PCE),这一指标的选择"不那么投机取巧"——截尾均值已回归正常区间,但<strong>超过3%的占比仍远超金融危机前水平</strong>。高盛则指出,该计算在一定程度上反映了关税效应。</p>\n<p>沃什承认工资增速"温和",但表示工资"很长时间以来都未能成为未来通胀的可靠指标"——言下之意,温和的工资数据并不构成通胀前景改善的有力证据。</p>\n<h2><strong>纠偏7月两大争议表态</strong></h2>\n<p>沃什在演讲中主动修正了7月FOMC新闻发布会上引发市场不安的两个表述。</p>\n<p>此前他曾对2%通胀目标的未来表示质疑,此次明确声明:<strong>"不应有任何误解——美联储以PCE价格指数衡量的2%物价稳定目标,是一个坚定不移的固定目标。"</strong> 同样,此前他在政策工具选择上态度模糊,此次则确认"短期利率是实现双重使命的首要工具"。摩根大通评价,两项澄清合在一起,信号清晰——更高的通胀将以更高的联邦基金利率来应对。</p>\n<p>演讲中沃什还列出了指导政策的七项原则,重申对货币总量的关注,质疑前瞻指引在常规时期的作用,并在尾声呼吁建立一个"更安静、在沟通上更有目的性的美联储"。摩根大通称,这是自2018年以来篇幅最长的美联储主席Jackson Hole演讲。</p>\n<h2><strong>经济"令人印象深刻",金融条件"谈不上紧缩"</strong></h2>\n<p>沃什用约四分之一的篇幅谈论经济状况,语气颇为传统。摩根大通称,这部分"听起来像传统技术官僚型的美联储主席讲话",比如讨论了私人国内最终购买(private domestic final purchases)这类指标。</p>\n<p>沃什对经济的判断是"印象深刻,经济似乎已经走强":实际消费支出"尽管遭受冲击但依然健康",企业资本开支"正在快速增长"——<strong>今年超过一半的资本开支增长可归因于AI相关建设</strong>。他引用的私人国内最终购买增速今年以来接近3%,不过高盛提示,该指标目前受到AI投资相关科技品进口的上行扭曲。</p>\n<p>劳动力市场方面,沃什认为"相当稳定""与充分就业一致",失业率"按历史标准仍处于低位"。他的总体判断是,<strong>"很难将当前广义金融条件描述为紧缩性的"</strong>——这一表态较6月新闻发布会上的态度有了明显转变,当时他将同一问题推给了工作组。</p>\n<h2><strong>高盛、摩根大通:9月加息仍非基准情景</strong></h2>\n<p>沃什在演讲中透露,7月FOMC会议上"我和大多数同事都认为,更明智的做法是等待会议间隔期的新信息,再决定是否有必要调整利率政策"。</p>\n<p>摩根大通维持12月加息预测。Feroli承认,鉴于越来越多美联储官员释放鹰派信号,<strong>提前行动"也并非不合理"</strong>,但关键变量是8月就业和CPI数据。</p>\n<p>高盛的判断更为明确:<strong>9月加息仅在8月CPI和PPI数据超预期走强时才有可能</strong>。该行预计8月核心通胀环比涨幅在0.2%左右,FOMC大概率继续按兵不动。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1aab396489255e5bfafb79dd5b8a94ef","relate_stocks":{"KBWB":"银行ETF-PowerShares","SG9999002224.SGD":"Allianz Global High Payout SGD","IE0004091025.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"B\" (USD) ACC","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc 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Acc","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout USD","LU1804176565.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3780629","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2663901458","content_text":"美联储主席沃什(Kevin Warsh)首次以主席身份亮相Jackson Hole,发出了比7月FOMC新闻发布会更为鹰派的信号:通胀\"令人担忧\",美联储当前的\"首要焦点应当放在物价上\",若基本通胀趋势不能以\"足够的速度\"回落至目标,\"我们还有工作要做\"。\n讲话公布后,2年期美债收益率跳升约7个基点——近年来Jackson Hole讲话引发的最大市场反应之一。与此同时,9月加息概率从演讲前的约30%攀升至50%以上。\n不过,华尔街两大行均未跟随市场定价转向。摩根大通维持12月加息的基准预测,经济学家Michael Feroli称,决定9月会议结果的\"更重要的消息\"是即将公布的8月非农就业和CPI报告。高盛预计8月核心CPI和核心PCE环比涨幅均在0.2%左右,按此路径FOMC将按兵不动。\n通胀是\"首要关切\":基本趋势未见实质改善\n沃什将演讲的相当篇幅用于通胀。他承认今年夏季的PCE和CPI读数\"好于预期\",但话锋一转:\"这并不能告诉我基本趋势已有实质性改善。\"\n他拿出一组数据佐证:过去12个月中,PCE篮子里价格涨幅超过3%的商品和服务占比达到54%,低于疫情后约77%的高峰,但仍远高于疫情前二十年32%的水平。摩根大通的Feroli认为,相较于沃什此前引用的截尾均值PCE(trimmed-mean PCE),这一指标的选择\"不那么投机取巧\"——截尾均值已回归正常区间,但超过3%的占比仍远超金融危机前水平。高盛则指出,该计算在一定程度上反映了关税效应。\n沃什承认工资增速\"温和\",但表示工资\"很长时间以来都未能成为未来通胀的可靠指标\"——言下之意,温和的工资数据并不构成通胀前景改善的有力证据。\n纠偏7月两大争议表态\n沃什在演讲中主动修正了7月FOMC新闻发布会上引发市场不安的两个表述。\n此前他曾对2%通胀目标的未来表示质疑,此次明确声明:\"不应有任何误解——美联储以PCE价格指数衡量的2%物价稳定目标,是一个坚定不移的固定目标。\" 同样,此前他在政策工具选择上态度模糊,此次则确认\"短期利率是实现双重使命的首要工具\"。摩根大通评价,两项澄清合在一起,信号清晰——更高的通胀将以更高的联邦基金利率来应对。\n演讲中沃什还列出了指导政策的七项原则,重申对货币总量的关注,质疑前瞻指引在常规时期的作用,并在尾声呼吁建立一个\"更安静、在沟通上更有目的性的美联储\"。摩根大通称,这是自2018年以来篇幅最长的美联储主席Jackson Hole演讲。\n经济\"令人印象深刻\",金融条件\"谈不上紧缩\"\n沃什用约四分之一的篇幅谈论经济状况,语气颇为传统。摩根大通称,这部分\"听起来像传统技术官僚型的美联储主席讲话\",比如讨论了私人国内最终购买(private domestic final purchases)这类指标。\n沃什对经济的判断是\"印象深刻,经济似乎已经走强\":实际消费支出\"尽管遭受冲击但依然健康\",企业资本开支\"正在快速增长\"——今年超过一半的资本开支增长可归因于AI相关建设。他引用的私人国内最终购买增速今年以来接近3%,不过高盛提示,该指标目前受到AI投资相关科技品进口的上行扭曲。\n劳动力市场方面,沃什认为\"相当稳定\"\"与充分就业一致\",失业率\"按历史标准仍处于低位\"。他的总体判断是,\"很难将当前广义金融条件描述为紧缩性的\"——这一表态较6月新闻发布会上的态度有了明显转变,当时他将同一问题推给了工作组。\n高盛、摩根大通:9月加息仍非基准情景\n沃什在演讲中透露,7月FOMC会议上\"我和大多数同事都认为,更明智的做法是等待会议间隔期的新信息,再决定是否有必要调整利率政策\"。\n摩根大通维持12月加息预测。Feroli承认,鉴于越来越多美联储官员释放鹰派信号,提前行动\"也并非不合理\",但关键变量是8月就业和CPI数据。\n高盛的判断更为明确:9月加息仅在8月CPI和PPI数据超预期走强时才有可能。该行预计8月核心通胀环比涨幅在0.2%左右,FOMC大概率继续按兵不动。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IYF":0.6,"IYG":0.6,"IXG":0.6,"TRUF":0.6,"JPO":0.6,"FTXO":0.6,"TFNS":0.6,"GSX":0.6,"UYG":0.6,"FNCL":0.6,"KBWB":0.6,"JPM":1.91,"XLF":0.6,"JPMO":0.6,"GS":1.91,"VFH":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":596022004802728,"gmtCreate":1786531392284,"gmtModify":1786531394202,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"估计cpi下降","listText":"估计cpi下降","text":"估计cpi下降","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/596022004802728","repostId":"2658922073","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2658922073","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1786521377,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2658922073?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-12 15:56","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"今晚美国CPI,或重创9月加息预期?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2658922073","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"市场的共识是,美国7月CPI与核心CPI环比分别上涨0.1%和0.2%,高盛预测低于共识。分析认为,只要数据符合预期,就足以压制9月加息预期;若低于预期,则可能造成进一步打击。不过,FOMC内部鹰派声音正在抬头,尽管上周非农数据走弱,市场对9月加息的定价仍处于约50%的胶着状态。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美联储9月是否加息,答案或许今晚揭晓。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国劳工统计局将于美东时间周三上午8:30(北京时间周三晚20:30)公布7月CPI数据。<strong>市场普遍预期整体CPI环比上涨0.1%,核心CPI环比上涨0.2%,年率分别降至3.4%和2.5%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在上周非农就业数据意外走软之后,这份报告将成为检验9月加息预期的关键试金石。若数据温和,市场可能进一步压低9月加息概率;若数据超预期偏热,则将令已呈鹰派态势的美联储面临更大压力。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a2db1ba9af997a7f6a3213cb52624914\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"481\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前,利率期货市场将9月加息概率定价于约50%,即所谓"硬币正反面"。上周非农数据显示7月就业人口减少2.3万,令加息预期一度明显降温,但随后油价反弹又将概率推回至均势。与此同时,美联储7月议息会议上三名理事投票支持加息,多位非投票委员也明确表态倾向于收紧政策,使得鹰派声音在会议内部占据相当分量。今晚的CPI数据,将直接影响这一天平的倾斜方向。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">温和读数大概率落地,但仍高于目标</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">综合<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、Pantheon Macroeconomics等机构预测,本次CPI数据大概率落于预期区间之内,不太可能重现上月报告中的大幅波动。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高盛预计7月核心CPI环比上涨0.19%,年率约为2.47%,均略低于市场共识;整体CPI环比上涨仅0.05%,年率约为3.35%。能源价格下跌(-2.0%)是压低整体通胀的主因,食品价格则预计温和上涨0.2%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6235f7b67586f8f38ce60c2c01bcd7d8\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"736\" tg-height=\"451\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在分项层面,高盛预计二手车价格环比上涨0.5%,新车价格上涨0.1%,但汽车保险价格下跌0.5%;住房分项方面,业主等价租金(OER)预计环比上涨0.23%,租金上涨0.16%,延续近期放缓趋势;旅行服务分项则有所分化,机票价格预计上涨2.0%,酒店价格预计下跌1.0%,部分原因在于世界杯带来的需求提振效应已逐步消退。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Pantheon Macroeconomics预计核心商品价格环比上涨0.18%,为去年9月以来最大涨幅,部分受<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>(AAPL)自6月25日起对多数硬件产品上调15%至30%价格的影响,但服务分项的走弱将对此形成对冲——该机构预计机票价格环比下跌1.5%,住宿价格下跌1.0%,汽车保险延续下行趋势,能源商品价格则预计下跌2.6%,将对整体CPI月率形成约11个基点的拖累。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">美联储立场:按兵不动,但鹰派噪音渐强</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">RSM首席经济学家Joe Brusuelas表示,<strong>若7月CPI接近预期,"委员会的多数成员将选择忽视供给侧冲击,FOMC将在今年余下时间内维持利率不变",同时为美联储主席沃什——自5月就任以来持续面临政策压力——提供一定缓冲。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,美联储内部的鹰派力量正在积聚。克利夫兰联储行长Beth Hammack是7月会议上三位投票支持加息的理事之一,她周一表示,可能需要多次加息,并强调"单次25个基点的调整对经济的影响恐怕相当有限"。此外,非投票委员Schmid和Musalem也表示,他们在7月会议上本将倾向于支持加息。美联储主席沃什虽承认当前金融条件收紧正在替代联储部分工作,且7月就业数据及其下修幅度确实有所抑制了近期紧缩预期,但他同样未明确排除进一步加息的可能性。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国银行则维持未来数月内三次加息的预测。该行经济学家在客户报告中指出,7月就业报告"并未改变劳动力市场的整体图景",而美联储的政策反应函数依然"高度向通胀数据倾斜"。该行警示称,若未来两月核心CPI月率平均达到0.25%,"美联储几乎必然将于9月开始加息";若平均低于0.2%,则加息将被推迟;若处于两者之间,则9月"依然是五五开"。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">股债均承压,股票情绪指标亮红灯</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>市场情报团队给出了本次CPI数据的情景分析:</p><blockquote><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">若核心CPI月率超过0.30%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数预计下跌1.5%至2.5%,发生概率为5%;</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">若落于0.25%至0.30%区间,指数预计下跌0.5%至1.25%,概率25%;</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">若落于0.20%至0.25%区间(最大概率情景,约40%),指数预计上涨0.25%至0.75%;</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">若低于0.20%,则涨幅有望扩大至0.5%至2%。整体来看,债券市场对通胀超预期的反应将比股市更为剧烈。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是,目前以8月12日到期期权定价的当日隐含波动幅度约为0.9%,略低于近期约1.1%的平均水平,显示市场对今晚数据并不预期出现极端结果。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>分析师Ohsung Kwon领衔的团队则对投资者发出警告,建议在CPI公布前布置对冲头寸。该行情绪指标目前读数为1.4,处于2018年1月以来最强"卖出"信号区间。"我们认为对冲成本较低,并倾向于对冲偏热数据的风险,"分析师写道,"若CPI超预期,市场叙事将迅速转向滞胀担忧,尤其是在上周就业数据偏弱的背景下。"不过,富国银行同时指出,二季度企业盈利同比增长30%,超出市场预期8%,为四年多来最强劲增速,这在一定程度上仍对股市构成支撑。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">更长期隐患:AI通胀与市场结构信号</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管短期通胀前景相对温和,但Societe Generale的分析师Andrew Lapthorne指出,股票市场的结构正在发出警示信号。该行基于与通胀最相关的发达市场股票构建的股市通胀代理指数,过去12个月大幅跑赢MSCI世界指数,累计上涨71%。Lapthorne表示:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">"市场不再预期矛盾的'强劲盈利增长+降息'组合,而是认为如此强劲的盈利增长通常伴随着加息需求。"</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>与此同时,与AI产业链相关的大宗商品正面临上涨压力。</strong>据悉,内存价格飙升可能推高核心PCE达0.5个百分点。高盛预计,7月核心PCE月率将录得较大的0.26%涨幅,部分反映二季度股价涨幅以滞后方式传导至投资组合管理服务成本的影响。该项目分类的方法论调整将于9月底实施,届时相关数据或被修订下调,但12月的再次修订可能重新引入强相关性。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">后续数据仍多,9月决策依然悬而未决</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">即便今晚CPI结果明朗,9月加息走向仍未盖棺论定。在9月16日FOMC会议前,美联储还将接收8月非农就业、8月CPI及8月PPI数据,而8月PCE则将在会议结束后方才公布。这意味着政策预期在未来数周内仍有充足的转变空间。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">综合来看,最大概率情景是数据符合预期,既不足以重燃9月加息火焰,也难以令市场彻底打消紧缩预期。鹰鸽之争的最终裁量权,仍握在后续数据与沃什之手。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>今晚美国CPI,或重创9月加息预期?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n今晚美国CPI,或重创9月加息预期?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-12 15:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美联储9月是否加息,答案或许今晚揭晓。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国劳工统计局将于美东时间周三上午8:30(北京时间周三晚20:30)公布7月CPI数据。<strong>市场普遍预期整体CPI环比上涨0.1%,核心CPI环比上涨0.2%,年率分别降至3.4%和2.5%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在上周非农就业数据意外走软之后,这份报告将成为检验9月加息预期的关键试金石。若数据温和,市场可能进一步压低9月加息概率;若数据超预期偏热,则将令已呈鹰派态势的美联储面临更大压力。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a2db1ba9af997a7f6a3213cb52624914\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"481\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前,利率期货市场将9月加息概率定价于约50%,即所谓"硬币正反面"。上周非农数据显示7月就业人口减少2.3万,令加息预期一度明显降温,但随后油价反弹又将概率推回至均势。与此同时,美联储7月议息会议上三名理事投票支持加息,多位非投票委员也明确表态倾向于收紧政策,使得鹰派声音在会议内部占据相当分量。今晚的CPI数据,将直接影响这一天平的倾斜方向。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">温和读数大概率落地,但仍高于目标</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">综合<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、Pantheon Macroeconomics等机构预测,本次CPI数据大概率落于预期区间之内,不太可能重现上月报告中的大幅波动。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高盛预计7月核心CPI环比上涨0.19%,年率约为2.47%,均略低于市场共识;整体CPI环比上涨仅0.05%,年率约为3.35%。能源价格下跌(-2.0%)是压低整体通胀的主因,食品价格则预计温和上涨0.2%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6235f7b67586f8f38ce60c2c01bcd7d8\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"736\" tg-height=\"451\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在分项层面,高盛预计二手车价格环比上涨0.5%,新车价格上涨0.1%,但汽车保险价格下跌0.5%;住房分项方面,业主等价租金(OER)预计环比上涨0.23%,租金上涨0.16%,延续近期放缓趋势;旅行服务分项则有所分化,机票价格预计上涨2.0%,酒店价格预计下跌1.0%,部分原因在于世界杯带来的需求提振效应已逐步消退。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Pantheon Macroeconomics预计核心商品价格环比上涨0.18%,为去年9月以来最大涨幅,部分受<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>(AAPL)自6月25日起对多数硬件产品上调15%至30%价格的影响,但服务分项的走弱将对此形成对冲——该机构预计机票价格环比下跌1.5%,住宿价格下跌1.0%,汽车保险延续下行趋势,能源商品价格则预计下跌2.6%,将对整体CPI月率形成约11个基点的拖累。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">美联储立场:按兵不动,但鹰派噪音渐强</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">RSM首席经济学家Joe Brusuelas表示,<strong>若7月CPI接近预期,"委员会的多数成员将选择忽视供给侧冲击,FOMC将在今年余下时间内维持利率不变",同时为美联储主席沃什——自5月就任以来持续面临政策压力——提供一定缓冲。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,美联储内部的鹰派力量正在积聚。克利夫兰联储行长Beth Hammack是7月会议上三位投票支持加息的理事之一,她周一表示,可能需要多次加息,并强调"单次25个基点的调整对经济的影响恐怕相当有限"。此外,非投票委员Schmid和Musalem也表示,他们在7月会议上本将倾向于支持加息。美联储主席沃什虽承认当前金融条件收紧正在替代联储部分工作,且7月就业数据及其下修幅度确实有所抑制了近期紧缩预期,但他同样未明确排除进一步加息的可能性。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国银行则维持未来数月内三次加息的预测。该行经济学家在客户报告中指出,7月就业报告"并未改变劳动力市场的整体图景",而美联储的政策反应函数依然"高度向通胀数据倾斜"。该行警示称,若未来两月核心CPI月率平均达到0.25%,"美联储几乎必然将于9月开始加息";若平均低于0.2%,则加息将被推迟;若处于两者之间,则9月"依然是五五开"。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">股债均承压,股票情绪指标亮红灯</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>市场情报团队给出了本次CPI数据的情景分析:</p><blockquote><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">若核心CPI月率超过0.30%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数预计下跌1.5%至2.5%,发生概率为5%;</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">若落于0.25%至0.30%区间,指数预计下跌0.5%至1.25%,概率25%;</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">若落于0.20%至0.25%区间(最大概率情景,约40%),指数预计上涨0.25%至0.75%;</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">若低于0.20%,则涨幅有望扩大至0.5%至2%。整体来看,债券市场对通胀超预期的反应将比股市更为剧烈。</p></li></ul></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是,目前以8月12日到期期权定价的当日隐含波动幅度约为0.9%,略低于近期约1.1%的平均水平,显示市场对今晚数据并不预期出现极端结果。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>分析师Ohsung Kwon领衔的团队则对投资者发出警告,建议在CPI公布前布置对冲头寸。该行情绪指标目前读数为1.4,处于2018年1月以来最强"卖出"信号区间。"我们认为对冲成本较低,并倾向于对冲偏热数据的风险,"分析师写道,"若CPI超预期,市场叙事将迅速转向滞胀担忧,尤其是在上周就业数据偏弱的背景下。"不过,富国银行同时指出,二季度企业盈利同比增长30%,超出市场预期8%,为四年多来最强劲增速,这在一定程度上仍对股市构成支撑。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">更长期隐患:AI通胀与市场结构信号</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管短期通胀前景相对温和,但Societe Generale的分析师Andrew Lapthorne指出,股票市场的结构正在发出警示信号。该行基于与通胀最相关的发达市场股票构建的股市通胀代理指数,过去12个月大幅跑赢MSCI世界指数,累计上涨71%。Lapthorne表示:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">"市场不再预期矛盾的'强劲盈利增长+降息'组合,而是认为如此强劲的盈利增长通常伴随着加息需求。"</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>与此同时,与AI产业链相关的大宗商品正面临上涨压力。</strong>据悉,内存价格飙升可能推高核心PCE达0.5个百分点。高盛预计,7月核心PCE月率将录得较大的0.26%涨幅,部分反映二季度股价涨幅以滞后方式传导至投资组合管理服务成本的影响。该项目分类的方法论调整将于9月底实施,届时相关数据或被修订下调,但12月的再次修订可能重新引入强相关性。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">后续数据仍多,9月决策依然悬而未决</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">即便今晚CPI结果明朗,9月加息走向仍未盖棺论定。在9月16日FOMC会议前,美联储还将接收8月非农就业、8月CPI及8月PPI数据,而8月PCE则将在会议结束后方才公布。这意味着政策预期在未来数周内仍有充足的转变空间。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">综合来看,最大概率情景是数据符合预期,既不足以重燃9月加息火焰,也难以令市场彻底打消紧缩预期。鹰鸽之争的最终裁量权,仍握在后续数据与沃什之手。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b726f5ab1e325ca08ea6498b73e353c5","relate_stocks":{"UVXY":"1.5倍做多短期期货恐慌指数ETF-Proshares","SVXY":"做空波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares","IBIE":"ISHARES IBONDS OCT 2028 TERM TIPS ETF","IBTH":"iShares iBonds Dec 2027 Term Treasury ETF","IBTK":"iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SVIX":"1倍做空短期期货恐慌指数ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","PFIX":"Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","AGZD":"WisdomTree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund","VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF","HYKE":"VEST 2 YEAR INTEREST RATE HEDGE ETF","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","IBII":"ISHARES IBONDS OCT 2032 TERM TIPS ETF","LIBD":"LifeX 2065 Inflation-Protected Longevity Income ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","RYSE":"Vest 10 Year Interest Rate Hedge ETF","STIP":"iShares Barclays 0-5 Year TIPS B","IBID":"ISHARES IBONDS OCT 2027 TERM TIPS ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SBND":"Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","USIN":"WisdomTree 7-10 Year Laddered Treasury Fund","AGIH":"iShares Inflation Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","BK4588":"碎股","IBIH":"Ishares Ibonds Oct 2031 Term Tips Etf","UVIX":"2倍做多恐慌指数期货ETF","VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","IBIK":"iShares iBonds Oct 2034 Term Tips ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3779269","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2658922073","content_text":"美联储9月是否加息,答案或许今晚揭晓。美国劳工统计局将于美东时间周三上午8:30(北京时间周三晚20:30)公布7月CPI数据。市场普遍预期整体CPI环比上涨0.1%,核心CPI环比上涨0.2%,年率分别降至3.4%和2.5%。在上周非农就业数据意外走软之后,这份报告将成为检验9月加息预期的关键试金石。若数据温和,市场可能进一步压低9月加息概率;若数据超预期偏热,则将令已呈鹰派态势的美联储面临更大压力。当前,利率期货市场将9月加息概率定价于约50%,即所谓\"硬币正反面\"。上周非农数据显示7月就业人口减少2.3万,令加息预期一度明显降温,但随后油价反弹又将概率推回至均势。与此同时,美联储7月议息会议上三名理事投票支持加息,多位非投票委员也明确表态倾向于收紧政策,使得鹰派声音在会议内部占据相当分量。今晚的CPI数据,将直接影响这一天平的倾斜方向。温和读数大概率落地,但仍高于目标综合高盛、Pantheon Macroeconomics等机构预测,本次CPI数据大概率落于预期区间之内,不太可能重现上月报告中的大幅波动。高盛预计7月核心CPI环比上涨0.19%,年率约为2.47%,均略低于市场共识;整体CPI环比上涨仅0.05%,年率约为3.35%。能源价格下跌(-2.0%)是压低整体通胀的主因,食品价格则预计温和上涨0.2%。在分项层面,高盛预计二手车价格环比上涨0.5%,新车价格上涨0.1%,但汽车保险价格下跌0.5%;住房分项方面,业主等价租金(OER)预计环比上涨0.23%,租金上涨0.16%,延续近期放缓趋势;旅行服务分项则有所分化,机票价格预计上涨2.0%,酒店价格预计下跌1.0%,部分原因在于世界杯带来的需求提振效应已逐步消退。Pantheon Macroeconomics预计核心商品价格环比上涨0.18%,为去年9月以来最大涨幅,部分受苹果(AAPL)自6月25日起对多数硬件产品上调15%至30%价格的影响,但服务分项的走弱将对此形成对冲——该机构预计机票价格环比下跌1.5%,住宿价格下跌1.0%,汽车保险延续下行趋势,能源商品价格则预计下跌2.6%,将对整体CPI月率形成约11个基点的拖累。美联储立场:按兵不动,但鹰派噪音渐强RSM首席经济学家Joe Brusuelas表示,若7月CPI接近预期,\"委员会的多数成员将选择忽视供给侧冲击,FOMC将在今年余下时间内维持利率不变\",同时为美联储主席沃什——自5月就任以来持续面临政策压力——提供一定缓冲。然而,美联储内部的鹰派力量正在积聚。克利夫兰联储行长Beth Hammack是7月会议上三位投票支持加息的理事之一,她周一表示,可能需要多次加息,并强调\"单次25个基点的调整对经济的影响恐怕相当有限\"。此外,非投票委员Schmid和Musalem也表示,他们在7月会议上本将倾向于支持加息。美联储主席沃什虽承认当前金融条件收紧正在替代联储部分工作,且7月就业数据及其下修幅度确实有所抑制了近期紧缩预期,但他同样未明确排除进一步加息的可能性。美国银行则维持未来数月内三次加息的预测。该行经济学家在客户报告中指出,7月就业报告\"并未改变劳动力市场的整体图景\",而美联储的政策反应函数依然\"高度向通胀数据倾斜\"。该行警示称,若未来两月核心CPI月率平均达到0.25%,\"美联储几乎必然将于9月开始加息\";若平均低于0.2%,则加息将被推迟;若处于两者之间,则9月\"依然是五五开\"。股债均承压,股票情绪指标亮红灯摩根大通市场情报团队给出了本次CPI数据的情景分析:若核心CPI月率超过0.30%,标普500指数预计下跌1.5%至2.5%,发生概率为5%;若落于0.25%至0.30%区间,指数预计下跌0.5%至1.25%,概率25%;若落于0.20%至0.25%区间(最大概率情景,约40%),指数预计上涨0.25%至0.75%;若低于0.20%,则涨幅有望扩大至0.5%至2%。整体来看,债券市场对通胀超预期的反应将比股市更为剧烈。值得注意的是,目前以8月12日到期期权定价的当日隐含波动幅度约为0.9%,略低于近期约1.1%的平均水平,显示市场对今晚数据并不预期出现极端结果。富国银行分析师Ohsung Kwon领衔的团队则对投资者发出警告,建议在CPI公布前布置对冲头寸。该行情绪指标目前读数为1.4,处于2018年1月以来最强\"卖出\"信号区间。\"我们认为对冲成本较低,并倾向于对冲偏热数据的风险,\"分析师写道,\"若CPI超预期,市场叙事将迅速转向滞胀担忧,尤其是在上周就业数据偏弱的背景下。\"不过,富国银行同时指出,二季度企业盈利同比增长30%,超出市场预期8%,为四年多来最强劲增速,这在一定程度上仍对股市构成支撑。更长期隐患:AI通胀与市场结构信号尽管短期通胀前景相对温和,但Societe Generale的分析师Andrew Lapthorne指出,股票市场的结构正在发出警示信号。该行基于与通胀最相关的发达市场股票构建的股市通胀代理指数,过去12个月大幅跑赢MSCI世界指数,累计上涨71%。Lapthorne表示:\"市场不再预期矛盾的'强劲盈利增长+降息'组合,而是认为如此强劲的盈利增长通常伴随着加息需求。\"与此同时,与AI产业链相关的大宗商品正面临上涨压力。据悉,内存价格飙升可能推高核心PCE达0.5个百分点。高盛预计,7月核心PCE月率将录得较大的0.26%涨幅,部分反映二季度股价涨幅以滞后方式传导至投资组合管理服务成本的影响。该项目分类的方法论调整将于9月底实施,届时相关数据或被修订下调,但12月的再次修订可能重新引入强相关性。后续数据仍多,9月决策依然悬而未决即便今晚CPI结果明朗,9月加息走向仍未盖棺论定。在9月16日FOMC会议前,美联储还将接收8月非农就业、8月CPI及8月PPI数据,而8月PCE则将在会议结束后方才公布。这意味着政策预期在未来数周内仍有充足的转变空间。综合来看,最大概率情景是数据符合预期,既不足以重燃9月加息火焰,也难以令市场彻底打消紧缩预期。鹰鸽之争的最终裁量权,仍握在后续数据与沃什之手。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBND":1.5,"SVIX":0.6,"VXX":2,"USIN":1.5,"TLTW":0.6,"US2Y.BOND":1.5,"VIXY":2,"TMF":0.6,"LIBD":1.5,"UVXY":0.6,"VIXmain":2,"YMmain":2,"US6M.BOND":1.5,"NQmain":2,"SVXY":0.6,"US30Y.BOND":1.5,"TQQQ":2,"IBIK":1.5,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"US12M.BOND":1.5,"IBTK":1.5,"QQQ":2,"PFIX":1.5,"RYSE":1.5,"HYKE":1.5,".DJI":2,"IBIH":1.5,"STIP":1.5,"IBIE":1.5,"US7Y.BOND":1.5,"VIX":2,"AGZD":1.5,"AGIH":1.5,"IBID":1.5,"IBTH":1.5,".SPX":2,"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"IBII":1.5,"TLT":0.6,"SQQQ":2,".IXIC":2,"ESmain":2,"UVIX":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":589163767566360,"gmtCreate":1784868907566,"gmtModify":1784868909331,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这折扣估计暗盘都得破发","listText":"这折扣估计暗盘都得破发","text":"这折扣估计暗盘都得破发","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/589163767566360","repostId":"2653770667","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2653770667","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1784857379,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2653770667?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-24 09:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2653770667","media":"智通财经","summary":"【中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购】知情人士称,中际旭创计划周五下午5点停止接受投资者对其香港招股的认购,较原计划提前一个工作日结束簿记。交易条款显示,该公司原定于7月27日结束机构投资者","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div>\n<b>【中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购】</b>知情人士称,中际旭创计划周五下午5点停止接受投资者对其香港招股的认购,较原计划提前一个工作日结束簿记。交易条款显示,该公司原定于7月27日结束机构投资者的认购。知情人士称,投资者表达的认购意向达到招股规模的数倍。中际旭创计划通过香港上市融资不超过70亿美元,周三开始接受投资者认购。 </div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"live_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-07-24 09:42 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购】知情人士称,中际旭创计划周五下午5点停止接受投资者对其香港招股的认购,较原计划提前一个工作日结束簿记。交易条款显示,该公司原定于7月27日结束机构投资者的认购。知情人士称,投资者表达的认购意向达到招股规模的数倍。中际旭创计划通过香港上市融资不超过70亿美元,周三开始接受投资者认购。</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03308":"中际旭创","BK1533":"百货业股","IPOS":"Renaissance International IPO ETF","BK1122":"百货商店","BK1249":"综合零售"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/immediately.html?type=usstock","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2653770667","content_text":"【中际旭创据悉将提前结束其香港招股的投资者认购】知情人士称,中际旭创计划周五下午5点停止接受投资者对其香港招股的认购,较原计划提前一个工作日结束簿记。交易条款显示,该公司原定于7月27日结束机构投资者的认购。知情人士称,投资者表达的认购意向达到招股规模的数倍。中际旭创计划通过香港上市融资不超过70亿美元,周三开始接受投资者认购。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03308":1.5,"IPOS":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":588919029548320,"gmtCreate":1784810563947,"gmtModify":1784810566048,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"感觉给他弄下去吧,这几年美股被他搞惨了","listText":"感觉给他弄下去吧,这几年美股被他搞惨了","text":"感觉给他弄下去吧,这几年美股被他搞惨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/588919029548320","repostId":"1184353505","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1184353505","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1784808980,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1184353505?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-23 20:16","market":"sg","language":"zh","title":"美股盘前|美股期指走弱,美油重返90美元上方;谷歌、特斯拉盘前重挫;SK电信盘前涨超12%,AI概念持续活跃;Rollins盘前跌16%,Medpace飙16%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184353505","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"监管机构认定其在搜索及应用分发环节存在偏袒自家服务行为,谷歌称将调整多项产品功能以合规。","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>01 股市</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>截至7月23日,美股三大期指集体走弱,道指期货跌0.64%;标普500期跌0.62%;纳指100期指跌0.87%。</strong>油价连日上冲、地缘风险升温,引发市场对通胀与后续加息的顾虑,科技板块承压,盘前抛压主要集中于前期涨幅较大的权重股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff9c1a01c9ca87e1360c2a02a9e0afb4\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"166\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>热门股异动方面:</strong>财报引爆行情分化。特斯拉盘前下挫7.0%,自由现金流意外转负令投资者担忧;谷歌A、GOOG双双回落近5%,公司再次大幅上调全年资本开支;SK电信大涨约12%,宣布投入7,500亿韩元打造AI数据中心平台“SK Hyper”;ServiceNow受业绩超预期提振,股价跃升逾5%;存储、半导体链走强,SK海力士、英特尔、超微电脑、ServiceNow等均录得1%–5%的升幅。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>中概异动:</strong>理想汽车涨2.7%,小鹏汽车续升1.3%,拼多多、京东、百度盘前小幅抬升;阿里巴巴、腾讯音乐轻微整理,台积电受行业情绪拖累小幅回调。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>02 其他市场</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>7月23日十年美债收益率上升0.82%,最新收益率为4.70%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>7月23日美元兑离岸人民币下降0.05%,报6.79;美元兑港币上升0.01%,报7.84。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>7月23日美元指数上升0.12%,报101.26。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>7月23日美原油主连期货上升4.41%,报90.66美元/桶;纽约金主连期货下降1.53%,报4,088.50美元/盎司。</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>03 要闻</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">1.谷歌盘前跌逾4%,第二季度营收和利润均超预期,但公司将2026年资本支出预期上调至1950亿至2050亿美元,以加大人工智能投资,引发市场对利润率及自由现金流的担忧。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ec18dc54303eab240431cc704433721\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"286\" tg-height=\"153\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2.特斯拉盘前跌逾7%,第二季度营收282.4亿美元,高于市场预期,但调整后每股收益及EBITDA均不及预期,自由现金流时隔两年多首次转为负值。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cf751ab22c53e160af1f90ca93e47d4\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"286\" tg-height=\"150\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">3.德州仪器盘前跌超4%,尽管第二季度营收54.6亿美元、每股收益2.14美元均超市场预期,但在芯片板块前期大涨后,高预期令股价承压。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcd739754a84926502ca2f77b50bbf82\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"265\" tg-height=\"148\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">4.IBM盘前跌近2%,第二季度营收及利润均低于市场预期。此前公司公布初步业绩后,股价已遭遇历史最大单周跌幅,市场对此已有一定消化。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afdcc5994c6408173699e8eab26fad12\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"279\" tg-height=\"156\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">5.ServiceNow盘前涨4.78%,第二季度营收和盈利均超市场预期,缓解了投资者对人工智能冲击其软件业务的担忧。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c677d9636a88104b4e3d809fde681990\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"297\" tg-height=\"166\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">6.Lockheed Martin盘前涨约5%,第二季度营收及每股收益均超预期,并上调全年盈利指引。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10b8ab406fe152d8d309c8e762555f33\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"304\" tg-height=\"163\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7.康卡斯特(Comcast)盘前小幅涨0.6%,第二季度营收和盈利均超市场预期,抵消了宽带用户持续流失带来的负面影响。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f847a88aa9091efdf42e72ad1e3d01c\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"325\" tg-height=\"139\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">8.雀巢盘前跌近7%,公司宣布出售饮用水业务50%股权,同时受重组成本上升拖累,上半年利润下滑。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">9.Rollins 盘前大幅下跌约16%。公司第二季度业绩低于华尔街预期,每股收益0.30美元,营收10.8亿美元;FactSet调查分析师此前预计每股收益0.34美元、营收10.9亿美元。管理层表示,公司住宅害虫防治业务部分地区增长放缓,对业绩造成拖累。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40a18a144f72bbb18259d9920868c660\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"261\" tg-height=\"147\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">10.Shutterstock 盘前下跌近3%。公司宣布暂停季度股息。此外,在Getty Images放弃收购Shutterstock交易两周后,前首席执行官Paul Hennessy已于7月13日立即辞职。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8df7a74f58144e6343f70e2870cd65d\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"309\" tg-height=\"133\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">11.Medpace Holdings 盘前飙升约16%。公司第二季度每股收益及营收均超出华尔街预期,并将全年每股收益、营收及EBITDA指引全面上调,高于此前预测。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da39e275620e0494a1a0cde098f179ee\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"382\" tg-height=\"145\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">12.United Rentals 盘前上涨8%。公司第二季度调整后每股收益12.76美元,营收44.1亿美元,均超过FactSet调查分析师平均预期(每股收益11.54美元、营收42.1亿美元)。公司还上调全年业绩展望,预计全年营收为175亿至178亿美元,高于市场预计的172.7亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0538cae24c7d3dfc04eb3e966ba0cc50\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"297\" tg-height=\"138\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">13. <strong>AMD将发布全新数据中心级AI硬件,与英伟达正面竞争。</strong>公司将在旧金山举办发布会,推出首代服务器机架系统Helios及Venice CPU,为推理计算市场提供新方案,并计划向Anthropic供应Instinct MI450芯片。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">14. <strong>SK电信宣布投资7,500亿韩元成立“SK Hyper”布局AI数据中心。</strong>该计划聚焦大模型算力需求,带动公司美股盘前涨幅逾12%,反映投资者对其AI转型前景充满期待。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">15. <strong>黑石受益AI相关投资,可分配收益增长并管理资产突破1.35万亿美元。</strong>公司披露九项升值最快项目与人工智能相关,显示其在新技术赛道的布局正获得回报。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">16. <strong>RTX上调全年销售及盈利预期,商用维修与导弹系统需求火热。</strong>积压订单增至2,890亿美元,其中商用及国防订单均实现两位数扩张,股价盘前走高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">17. <strong>IMAX二季度净利润同比跳增30%,内容繁荣助推全球票房创新高。</strong>热门大片拉动收入增长12%,公司称大银幕需求持续,盘前股价上涨约7%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">18. <strong>欧盟依据科技反垄断法规对谷歌处以10.2亿美元罚款。</strong>监管机构认定其在搜索及应用分发环节存在偏袒自家服务行为,谷歌称将调整多项产品功能以合规。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">19. <strong>中国人民银行宣布以招标方式开展5,000亿元一年期MLF操作。</strong>此举旨在维持银行体系流动性充裕,市场关注央行后续政策取向。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">资料来源:公开市场数据</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">免责声明:本内容仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股盘前|美股期指走弱,美油重返90美元上方;谷歌、特斯拉盘前重挫;SK电信盘前涨超12%,AI概念持续活跃;Rollins盘前跌16%,Medpace飙16%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ 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#494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股盘前|美股期指走弱,美油重返90美元上方;谷歌、特斯拉盘前重挫;SK电信盘前涨超12%,AI概念持续活跃;Rollins盘前跌16%,Medpace飙16%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-23 20:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>01 股市</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>截至7月23日,美股三大期指集体走弱,道指期货跌0.64%;标普500期跌0.62%;纳指100期指跌0.87%。</strong>油价连日上冲、地缘风险升温,引发市场对通胀与后续加息的顾虑,科技板块承压,盘前抛压主要集中于前期涨幅较大的权重股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff9c1a01c9ca87e1360c2a02a9e0afb4\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"166\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>热门股异动方面:</strong>财报引爆行情分化。特斯拉盘前下挫7.0%,自由现金流意外转负令投资者担忧;谷歌A、GOOG双双回落近5%,公司再次大幅上调全年资本开支;SK电信大涨约12%,宣布投入7,500亿韩元打造AI数据中心平台“SK Hyper”;ServiceNow受业绩超预期提振,股价跃升逾5%;存储、半导体链走强,SK海力士、英特尔、超微电脑、ServiceNow等均录得1%–5%的升幅。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>中概异动:</strong>理想汽车涨2.7%,小鹏汽车续升1.3%,拼多多、京东、百度盘前小幅抬升;阿里巴巴、腾讯音乐轻微整理,台积电受行业情绪拖累小幅回调。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>02 其他市场</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>7月23日十年美债收益率上升0.82%,最新收益率为4.70%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>7月23日美元兑离岸人民币下降0.05%,报6.79;美元兑港币上升0.01%,报7.84。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>7月23日美元指数上升0.12%,报101.26。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>7月23日美原油主连期货上升4.41%,报90.66美元/桶;纽约金主连期货下降1.53%,报4,088.50美元/盎司。</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>03 要闻</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">1.谷歌盘前跌逾4%,第二季度营收和利润均超预期,但公司将2026年资本支出预期上调至1950亿至2050亿美元,以加大人工智能投资,引发市场对利润率及自由现金流的担忧。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ec18dc54303eab240431cc704433721\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"286\" tg-height=\"153\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2.特斯拉盘前跌逾7%,第二季度营收282.4亿美元,高于市场预期,但调整后每股收益及EBITDA均不及预期,自由现金流时隔两年多首次转为负值。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cf751ab22c53e160af1f90ca93e47d4\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"286\" tg-height=\"150\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">3.德州仪器盘前跌超4%,尽管第二季度营收54.6亿美元、每股收益2.14美元均超市场预期,但在芯片板块前期大涨后,高预期令股价承压。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcd739754a84926502ca2f77b50bbf82\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"265\" tg-height=\"148\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">4.IBM盘前跌近2%,第二季度营收及利润均低于市场预期。此前公司公布初步业绩后,股价已遭遇历史最大单周跌幅,市场对此已有一定消化。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afdcc5994c6408173699e8eab26fad12\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"279\" tg-height=\"156\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">5.ServiceNow盘前涨4.78%,第二季度营收和盈利均超市场预期,缓解了投资者对人工智能冲击其软件业务的担忧。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c677d9636a88104b4e3d809fde681990\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"297\" tg-height=\"166\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">6.Lockheed Martin盘前涨约5%,第二季度营收及每股收益均超预期,并上调全年盈利指引。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10b8ab406fe152d8d309c8e762555f33\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"304\" tg-height=\"163\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7.康卡斯特(Comcast)盘前小幅涨0.6%,第二季度营收和盈利均超市场预期,抵消了宽带用户持续流失带来的负面影响。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f847a88aa9091efdf42e72ad1e3d01c\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"325\" tg-height=\"139\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">8.雀巢盘前跌近7%,公司宣布出售饮用水业务50%股权,同时受重组成本上升拖累,上半年利润下滑。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">9.Rollins 盘前大幅下跌约16%。公司第二季度业绩低于华尔街预期,每股收益0.30美元,营收10.8亿美元;FactSet调查分析师此前预计每股收益0.34美元、营收10.9亿美元。管理层表示,公司住宅害虫防治业务部分地区增长放缓,对业绩造成拖累。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40a18a144f72bbb18259d9920868c660\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"261\" tg-height=\"147\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">10.Shutterstock 盘前下跌近3%。公司宣布暂停季度股息。此外,在Getty Images放弃收购Shutterstock交易两周后,前首席执行官Paul Hennessy已于7月13日立即辞职。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8df7a74f58144e6343f70e2870cd65d\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"309\" tg-height=\"133\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">11.Medpace Holdings 盘前飙升约16%。公司第二季度每股收益及营收均超出华尔街预期,并将全年每股收益、营收及EBITDA指引全面上调,高于此前预测。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da39e275620e0494a1a0cde098f179ee\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"382\" tg-height=\"145\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">12.United Rentals 盘前上涨8%。公司第二季度调整后每股收益12.76美元,营收44.1亿美元,均超过FactSet调查分析师平均预期(每股收益11.54美元、营收42.1亿美元)。公司还上调全年业绩展望,预计全年营收为175亿至178亿美元,高于市场预计的172.7亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0538cae24c7d3dfc04eb3e966ba0cc50\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"297\" tg-height=\"138\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">13. <strong>AMD将发布全新数据中心级AI硬件,与英伟达正面竞争。</strong>公司将在旧金山举办发布会,推出首代服务器机架系统Helios及Venice CPU,为推理计算市场提供新方案,并计划向Anthropic供应Instinct MI450芯片。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">14. <strong>SK电信宣布投资7,500亿韩元成立“SK Hyper”布局AI数据中心。</strong>该计划聚焦大模型算力需求,带动公司美股盘前涨幅逾12%,反映投资者对其AI转型前景充满期待。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">15. <strong>黑石受益AI相关投资,可分配收益增长并管理资产突破1.35万亿美元。</strong>公司披露九项升值最快项目与人工智能相关,显示其在新技术赛道的布局正获得回报。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">16. <strong>RTX上调全年销售及盈利预期,商用维修与导弹系统需求火热。</strong>积压订单增至2,890亿美元,其中商用及国防订单均实现两位数扩张,股价盘前走高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">17. <strong>IMAX二季度净利润同比跳增30%,内容繁荣助推全球票房创新高。</strong>热门大片拉动收入增长12%,公司称大银幕需求持续,盘前股价上涨约7%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">18. <strong>欧盟依据科技反垄断法规对谷歌处以10.2亿美元罚款。</strong>监管机构认定其在搜索及应用分发环节存在偏袒自家服务行为,谷歌称将调整多项产品功能以合规。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">19. <strong>中国人民银行宣布以招标方式开展5,000亿元一年期MLF操作。</strong>此举旨在维持银行体系流动性充裕,市场关注央行后续政策取向。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">资料来源:公开市场数据</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">免责声明:本内容仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f76f2b955be371110b877bebef37ba","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184353505","content_text":"01 股市截至7月23日,美股三大期指集体走弱,道指期货跌0.64%;标普500期跌0.62%;纳指100期指跌0.87%。油价连日上冲、地缘风险升温,引发市场对通胀与后续加息的顾虑,科技板块承压,盘前抛压主要集中于前期涨幅较大的权重股。热门股异动方面:财报引爆行情分化。特斯拉盘前下挫7.0%,自由现金流意外转负令投资者担忧;谷歌A、GOOG双双回落近5%,公司再次大幅上调全年资本开支;SK电信大涨约12%,宣布投入7,500亿韩元打造AI数据中心平台“SK Hyper”;ServiceNow受业绩超预期提振,股价跃升逾5%;存储、半导体链走强,SK海力士、英特尔、超微电脑、ServiceNow等均录得1%–5%的升幅。中概异动:理想汽车涨2.7%,小鹏汽车续升1.3%,拼多多、京东、百度盘前小幅抬升;阿里巴巴、腾讯音乐轻微整理,台积电受行业情绪拖累小幅回调。02 其他市场7月23日十年美债收益率上升0.82%,最新收益率为4.70%。7月23日美元兑离岸人民币下降0.05%,报6.79;美元兑港币上升0.01%,报7.84。7月23日美元指数上升0.12%,报101.26。7月23日美原油主连期货上升4.41%,报90.66美元/桶;纽约金主连期货下降1.53%,报4,088.50美元/盎司。03 要闻1.谷歌盘前跌逾4%,第二季度营收和利润均超预期,但公司将2026年资本支出预期上调至1950亿至2050亿美元,以加大人工智能投资,引发市场对利润率及自由现金流的担忧。2.特斯拉盘前跌逾7%,第二季度营收282.4亿美元,高于市场预期,但调整后每股收益及EBITDA均不及预期,自由现金流时隔两年多首次转为负值。3.德州仪器盘前跌超4%,尽管第二季度营收54.6亿美元、每股收益2.14美元均超市场预期,但在芯片板块前期大涨后,高预期令股价承压。4.IBM盘前跌近2%,第二季度营收及利润均低于市场预期。此前公司公布初步业绩后,股价已遭遇历史最大单周跌幅,市场对此已有一定消化。5.ServiceNow盘前涨4.78%,第二季度营收和盈利均超市场预期,缓解了投资者对人工智能冲击其软件业务的担忧。6.Lockheed Martin盘前涨约5%,第二季度营收及每股收益均超预期,并上调全年盈利指引。7.康卡斯特(Comcast)盘前小幅涨0.6%,第二季度营收和盈利均超市场预期,抵消了宽带用户持续流失带来的负面影响。8.雀巢盘前跌近7%,公司宣布出售饮用水业务50%股权,同时受重组成本上升拖累,上半年利润下滑。9.Rollins 盘前大幅下跌约16%。公司第二季度业绩低于华尔街预期,每股收益0.30美元,营收10.8亿美元;FactSet调查分析师此前预计每股收益0.34美元、营收10.9亿美元。管理层表示,公司住宅害虫防治业务部分地区增长放缓,对业绩造成拖累。10.Shutterstock 盘前下跌近3%。公司宣布暂停季度股息。此外,在Getty Images放弃收购Shutterstock交易两周后,前首席执行官Paul Hennessy已于7月13日立即辞职。11.Medpace Holdings 盘前飙升约16%。公司第二季度每股收益及营收均超出华尔街预期,并将全年每股收益、营收及EBITDA指引全面上调,高于此前预测。12.United Rentals 盘前上涨8%。公司第二季度调整后每股收益12.76美元,营收44.1亿美元,均超过FactSet调查分析师平均预期(每股收益11.54美元、营收42.1亿美元)。公司还上调全年业绩展望,预计全年营收为175亿至178亿美元,高于市场预计的172.7亿美元。13. AMD将发布全新数据中心级AI硬件,与英伟达正面竞争。公司将在旧金山举办发布会,推出首代服务器机架系统Helios及Venice CPU,为推理计算市场提供新方案,并计划向Anthropic供应Instinct MI450芯片。14. SK电信宣布投资7,500亿韩元成立“SK Hyper”布局AI数据中心。该计划聚焦大模型算力需求,带动公司美股盘前涨幅逾12%,反映投资者对其AI转型前景充满期待。15. 黑石受益AI相关投资,可分配收益增长并管理资产突破1.35万亿美元。公司披露九项升值最快项目与人工智能相关,显示其在新技术赛道的布局正获得回报。16. RTX上调全年销售及盈利预期,商用维修与导弹系统需求火热。积压订单增至2,890亿美元,其中商用及国防订单均实现两位数扩张,股价盘前走高。17. IMAX二季度净利润同比跳增30%,内容繁荣助推全球票房创新高。热门大片拉动收入增长12%,公司称大银幕需求持续,盘前股价上涨约7%。18. 欧盟依据科技反垄断法规对谷歌处以10.2亿美元罚款。监管机构认定其在搜索及应用分发环节存在偏袒自家服务行为,谷歌称将调整多项产品功能以合规。19. 中国人民银行宣布以招标方式开展5,000亿元一年期MLF操作。此举旨在维持银行体系流动性充裕,市场关注央行后续政策取向。资料来源:公开市场数据免责声明:本内容仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"YMmain":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":588917352973552,"gmtCreate":1784810150572,"gmtModify":1784811522473,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"加息吧,让特朗普下台","listText":"加息吧,让特朗普下台","text":"加息吧,让特朗普下台","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/588917352973552","repostId":"1173197933","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173197933","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1784810015,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173197933?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-23 20:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国上周首次申领失业救济人数为18.7万人,低于市场预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173197933","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国至7月18日当周初请失业金人数18.7万人,预期21.2万人,前值由20.8万人修正为20.9万人","content":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span>美国上周首次申领失业救济人数为18.7万人,预估为21.1万人,前值为20.8万人。</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国上周首次申领失业救济人数为18.7万人,低于市场预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国上周首次申领失业救济人数为18.7万人,低于市场预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-23 20:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span>美国上周首次申领失业救济人数为18.7万人,预估为21.1万人,前值为20.8万人。</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173197933","content_text":"美国上周首次申领失业救济人数为18.7万人,预估为21.1万人,前值为20.8万人。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"NQmain":1,"ESmain":1,"SQQQ":1,".DJI":1,".IXIC":1,"YMmain":1,"QQQ":1,"TQQQ":1,".SPX":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4095953544712430","authorId":"4095953544712430","name":"笵纳德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01437bbd2b303baf27945cf184bddced","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4095953544712430","idStr":"4095953544712430"},"content":"美联储加息?你想把美国拉爆?","text":"美联储加息?你想把美国拉爆?","html":"美联储加息?你想把美国拉爆?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":588882774573472,"gmtCreate":1784801638050,"gmtModify":1784803931038,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"希望共和党两院都输,弹劾下台吧","listText":"希望共和党两院都输,弹劾下台吧","text":"希望共和党两院都输,弹劾下台吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/588882774573472","repostId":"1158757796","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158757796","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1784798577,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1158757796?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-23 17:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"中东冲突升级!美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158757796","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶,为6月11日以来首次;消息面上,美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,美威胁打击伊朗“镐山”地下核设施。伊朗支持的胡塞武装称其在红海袭击了两艘沙特阿拉伯油轮,导致中东冲突升级并可能令供应中断进一步加剧。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶,为6月11日以来首次;消息面上,美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,美威胁打击伊朗“镐山”地下核设施。伊朗支持的胡塞武装称其在红海袭击了两艘沙特阿拉伯油轮,导致中东冲突升级并可能令供应中断进一步加剧。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b307cfaa1056d999b53f37325df4fa4\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"194\"/><span></span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中东冲突升级!美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-23 17:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶,为6月11日以来首次;消息面上,美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,美威胁打击伊朗“镐山”地下核设施。伊朗支持的胡塞武装称其在红海袭击了两艘沙特阿拉伯油轮,导致中东冲突升级并可能令供应中断进一步加剧。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b307cfaa1056d999b53f37325df4fa4\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"194\"/><span></span></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8180c9e176e72fc711ade558df7fa8e","relate_stocks":{"USO":"美国原油ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158757796","content_text":"WTI原油期货站上90美元/桶,为6月11日以来首次;消息面上,美国伊朗互相展开新一轮打击,美威胁打击伊朗“镐山”地下核设施。伊朗支持的胡塞武装称其在红海袭击了两艘沙特阿拉伯油轮,导致中东冲突升级并可能令供应中断进一步加剧。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CL2608":2,"CLmain":2,"BZmain":2,"USO":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":586810069704968,"gmtCreate":1784295603700,"gmtModify":1784295605726,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$ </a> 快跌到500吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$ </a> 快跌到500吧","text":"$美光科技(MU)$ 快跌到500吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/586810069704968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":583851532394872,"gmtCreate":1783573307360,"gmtModify":1783573309161,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[弱] ","listText":"[弱] ","text":"[弱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/583851532394872","repostId":"2649940959","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2649940959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1783522254,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2649940959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-08 22:50","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"永康控股(02523)已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2649940959","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP讯,永康控股(02523)发布公告,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市。经咨询整体协调人及审慎周详考虑后,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市,并拟探讨潜在方案。因此,有关国际发售的国际包销协议将不会订立,而有关香港公开发售的香港包销协议将不会成为无条件。本公司注意到,香港发售股份已获超额认购,本公司谨此就对本公司感兴趣的投资者以及彼等于全球发售期间的支持致谢。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP讯,永康控股(02523)发布公告,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市。</p><p>经咨询整体协调人及审慎周详考虑后,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市,并拟探讨潜在方案。因此,有关国际发售的国际包销协议将不会订立,而有关香港公开发售的香港包销协议将不会成为无条件。</p><p>本公司注意到,香港发售股份已获超额认购,本公司谨此就对本公司感兴趣的投资者以及彼等于全球发售期间的支持致谢。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>永康控股(02523)已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n永康控股(02523)已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-07-08 22:50 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1464999.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP讯,永康控股(02523)发布公告,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市。经咨询整体协调人及审慎周详考虑后,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市,并拟探讨潜在方案。因此,有关国际发售的国际包销协议将不会订立,而有关香港公开发售的香港包销协议将不会成为无条件。本公司注意到,香港发售股份已获超额认购,本公司谨此就对本公司感兴趣的投资者以及彼等于全球发售期间的支持致谢。</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1464999.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02523":"永康控股 ","IPOS":"Renaissance International IPO ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1464999.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2649940959","content_text":"智通财经APP讯,永康控股(02523)发布公告,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市。经咨询整体协调人及审慎周详考虑后,本公司已决定目前将不会进行全球发售及上市,并拟探讨潜在方案。因此,有关国际发售的国际包销协议将不会订立,而有关香港公开发售的香港包销协议将不会成为无条件。本公司注意到,香港发售股份已获超额认购,本公司谨此就对本公司感兴趣的投资者以及彼等于全球发售期间的支持致谢。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02523":1.5,"IPOS":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":583856874352800,"gmtCreate":1783573280277,"gmtModify":1783574466219,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"狗屎公司,以后也不要来港股上市了","listText":"狗屎公司,以后也不要来港股上市了","text":"狗屎公司,以后也不要来港股上市了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/583856874352800","repostId":"1119584913","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119584913","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"港美股公告全覆盖","home_visible":1,"media_name":"公告速递","id":"1097772564","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ed558ed0402cbe7d1ef4d150458f2b2e"},"pubTimestamp":1783522245,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119584913?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-08 22:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"永康控股(02523)宣布终止全球发售及上市 申请股款将于7月13日悉数退回","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119584913","media":"公告速递","summary":"2026年7月8日,永康控股公布,董事会经与整体协调人协商及审慎考虑后,决定目前不进行全球发售及上市;原拟就国际发售的国际包销协议将不予订立,香港公开发售的香港包销协议亦不会成为无条件协议。公司表示,香港发售股份已获超额认购,对投资者的支持表示感谢,并称将探讨其他潜在方案。","content":"<p>2026年7月8日,永康控股(02523)公布,董事会经与整体协调人协商及审慎考虑后,决定目前不进行全球发售及上市;原拟就国际发售的国际包销协议将不予订立,香港公开发售的香港包销协议亦不会成为无条件协议。</p>\n<p>公司表示,香港发售股份已获超额认购,对投资者的支持表示感谢,并称将探讨其他潜在方案。</p>\n<p>根据公告,透过网上白表服务缴付的申请股款(包括1.0%经纪佣金、0.0027%证监会交易征费、0.00565%联交所交易费及0.00015%会财局交易征费)将不计利息悉数退回。</p>\n<p>1. 若申请人通过单一银行账户缴款,退款将于2026年7月13日以网上白表电子自动退款指示方式退回至相关银行账户。 \n2. 若申请人通过多个银行账户缴款,退款将于2026年7月13日或之前以申请人(如为联名申请则为排名首位申请人)为抬头人的退款支票形式,以普通邮递方式寄出,邮误风险由申请人自行承担。 \n3. 通过香港结算EIPO渠道提出申请的投资者,需就退款安排与其经纪或托管商联系。</p>\n<p>公告同时指出,截至公告日,公司尚未向任何申请人发出或交付发售股份的股票,且不会发出股票。</p>\n<p>永康控股董事会由执行董事李雄先生、伍锦明先生(其替任董事为梁伟权先生)、非执行董事MARTI Jean-Christophe, Michel先生、蔡莉琴女士,以及独立非执行董事LAM Shiao Ning女士、龐廷武先生和杨岳明先生组成。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>永康控股(02523)宣布终止全球发售及上市 申请股款将于7月13日悉数退回</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n永康控股(02523)宣布终止全球发售及上市 申请股款将于7月13日悉数退回\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1097772564\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ed558ed0402cbe7d1ef4d150458f2b2e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">公告速递 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-08 22:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>2026年7月8日,永康控股(02523)公布,董事会经与整体协调人协商及审慎考虑后,决定目前不进行全球发售及上市;原拟就国际发售的国际包销协议将不予订立,香港公开发售的香港包销协议亦不会成为无条件协议。</p>\n<p>公司表示,香港发售股份已获超额认购,对投资者的支持表示感谢,并称将探讨其他潜在方案。</p>\n<p>根据公告,透过网上白表服务缴付的申请股款(包括1.0%经纪佣金、0.0027%证监会交易征费、0.00565%联交所交易费及0.00015%会财局交易征费)将不计利息悉数退回。</p>\n<p>1. 若申请人通过单一银行账户缴款,退款将于2026年7月13日以网上白表电子自动退款指示方式退回至相关银行账户。 \n2. 若申请人通过多个银行账户缴款,退款将于2026年7月13日或之前以申请人(如为联名申请则为排名首位申请人)为抬头人的退款支票形式,以普通邮递方式寄出,邮误风险由申请人自行承担。 \n3. 通过香港结算EIPO渠道提出申请的投资者,需就退款安排与其经纪或托管商联系。</p>\n<p>公告同时指出,截至公告日,公司尚未向任何申请人发出或交付发售股份的股票,且不会发出股票。</p>\n<p>永康控股董事会由执行董事李雄先生、伍锦明先生(其替任董事为梁伟权先生)、非执行董事MARTI Jean-Christophe, Michel先生、蔡莉琴女士,以及独立非执行董事LAM Shiao Ning女士、龐廷武先生和杨岳明先生组成。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02523":"永康控股 "},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119584913","content_text":"2026年7月8日,永康控股(02523)公布,董事会经与整体协调人协商及审慎考虑后,决定目前不进行全球发售及上市;原拟就国际发售的国际包销协议将不予订立,香港公开发售的香港包销协议亦不会成为无条件协议。\n公司表示,香港发售股份已获超额认购,对投资者的支持表示感谢,并称将探讨其他潜在方案。\n根据公告,透过网上白表服务缴付的申请股款(包括1.0%经纪佣金、0.0027%证监会交易征费、0.00565%联交所交易费及0.00015%会财局交易征费)将不计利息悉数退回。\n1. 若申请人通过单一银行账户缴款,退款将于2026年7月13日以网上白表电子自动退款指示方式退回至相关银行账户。 \n2. 若申请人通过多个银行账户缴款,退款将于2026年7月13日或之前以申请人(如为联名申请则为排名首位申请人)为抬头人的退款支票形式,以普通邮递方式寄出,邮误风险由申请人自行承担。 \n3. 通过香港结算EIPO渠道提出申请的投资者,需就退款安排与其经纪或托管商联系。\n公告同时指出,截至公告日,公司尚未向任何申请人发出或交付发售股份的股票,且不会发出股票。\n永康控股董事会由执行董事李雄先生、伍锦明先生(其替任董事为梁伟权先生)、非执行董事MARTI Jean-Christophe, Michel先生、蔡莉琴女士,以及独立非执行董事LAM Shiao Ning女士、龐廷武先生和杨岳明先生组成。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02523":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":583845523506416,"gmtCreate":1783571910956,"gmtModify":1783574440061,"author":{"id":"4093185301808780","authorId":"4093185301808780","name":"圣利花开","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4093185301808780","idStr":"4093185301808780"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02523\">$永康控股 (02523)$ </a> 这种狗屎公司,耍大家玩呢,应该把这种公司拉黑,以后也不要上了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02523\">$永康控股 (02523)$ </a> 这种狗屎公司,耍大家玩呢,应该把这种公司拉黑,以后也不要上了","text":"$永康控股 (02523)$ 这种狗屎公司,耍大家玩呢,应该把这种公司拉黑,以后也不要上了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/583845523506416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}