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- yizongyizong
  ·2021-08-26
  yes
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,849 评论
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- yizongyizong
  ·2021-08-18
  yes
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,297 评论
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- yizongyizong
  ·2021-08-18
  yes
  A Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote>
  Summary The stock market is historically overvalued. The stock market is overbought on long-term ch
  A Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote>
  1,002 评论
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- yizongyizong
  ·2021-08-18
  yes
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,503 评论
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- yizongyizong
  ·2021-08-01
  oh no
  Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>
  “Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970
  Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>
  2,486 1
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- yizongyizong
  ·2021-06-26
  oh no
  UPDATE 1-Tesla 'recalls' vehicles in China for online software update<blockquote>更新1-特斯拉在华“召回”车辆以进行在线软件更新</blockquote>
  (Adds details) BEIJING, June 26 (Reuters) - Chinese regulators said on Saturday Tesla Inc would
  UPDATE 1-Tesla 'recalls' vehicles in China for online software update<blockquote>更新1-特斯拉在华“召回”车辆以进行在线软件更新</blockquote>
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- yizongyizong
  ·2021-06-18
  yes
  1 Big Reason to Dump AMD and Buy NVIDIA<blockquote>抛弃AMD并购买NVIDIA的1大理由</blockquote>
  The graphics specialist enjoys a huge advantage over its smaller rival in an important market.
  1 Big Reason to Dump AMD and Buy NVIDIA<blockquote>抛弃AMD并购买NVIDIA的1大理由</blockquote>
  794 评论
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22:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144088215","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe stock market is historically overvalued.\nThe stock market is overbought on long-term ch","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The stock market is historically overvalued.</li>  <li>The stock market is overbought on long-term charts.</li>  <li>Large caps stocks can easily correct 20%-30%, certain Meme and Zombie stocks could be much worse.</li>  <li>The Fed, as always, will play a pivotal role in how deep of a decline we see, watch the taper closely.</li>  <li>Raise cash quickly to the high end of your asset allocation policy.</li> </ul> Any look at an investment should start by asking about what the risks are. For context, we often look at the broader S&amp;P 500 (SPY) which represents most of the market capitalization in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股市历来被高估。</li><li>从长期图表来看，股市处于超买状态。</li><li>大盘股可以轻松调整20%-30%，某些模因股和僵尸股可能会更糟。</li><li>美联储将一如既往地在我们看到的衰退深度中发挥关键作用，密切关注缩减规模。</li><li>快速筹集现金到你的资产配置政策的高端。</li></ul>任何对投资的审视都应该从询问风险开始。作为背景，我们经常关注更广泛的标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF），它代表了美国的大部分市值。</blockquote></p><p> Last year I warned that the stock market could become very overvalued. I urged caution in picking out stocks and ETFs. I also recommended Tesla (TSLA), Bitcoin (BTC-USD), the Invesco Clean Energy ETF (PBW) and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), so I am no uber-bear.</p><p><blockquote>去年我警告说，股市可能会变得非常高估。我敦促谨慎挑选股票和ETF。我还推荐了特斯拉(TSLA)、比特币(BTC-USD)、景顺清洁能源ETF(PBW)和方舟创新ETF(ARKK)，所以我不是超级空头。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the stock market is broadly overvalued, including both the Meme stocks and the Zombie stocks. Investor ideas on TINA - there's no alternative, FOMO - fear of missing out, and \"buy the dips\" has worked for over a year on the back of Fed stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>如今，股市普遍被高估，包括模因股和僵尸股。投资者对TINA的看法——别无选择，FOMO——害怕错过，在美联储刺激措施的支持下，“逢低买入”已经奏效了一年多。</blockquote></p><p> Now that stimulus is poised to start being reduced we can look back at history. We have been to this game before. Expect a choppy stock market to emerge imminently, if it hasn't already.</p><p><blockquote>既然刺激措施即将开始减少，我们可以回顾一下历史。我们以前看过这个比赛。预计动荡的股市即将出现，如果还没有出现的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>S&amp;P 500 Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500估值</b></blockquote></p><p> I have talked about excessive valuations in the stock market since around New Year’s. Here's about where we stand now.</p><p><blockquote>从新年前后开始，我就一直在谈论股市估值过高的问题。这是我们现在的处境。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f383143c5f4b2cf897f5a32c3dffb282\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"660\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> I pay special attention to Crestmont which I believe has an exceptional methodology. Here’s a combined look.</p><p><blockquote>我特别关注Crestmont，我认为它有一种特殊的方法。这是一个组合外观。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aba63b9e6f3bb97de066c43c7580a7d0\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"660\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Clearly, valuations are partying like 1999. This includes the zombies that are on borrowed (literally) time. The questions are how long the party can last and which companies will crash the hardest?</p><p><blockquote>显然，估值正在像1999年一样狂欢。这包括借来（字面上）时间的僵尸。问题是这场派对能持续多久，哪些公司会崩溃得最严重？</blockquote></p><p> While I like the entire tech-driven innovation, clean energy, AI, IoT, automation and emerging space economy themes, most of the large-cap stocks are ahead of themselves. The valuations of the S&amp;P 500 reflect that.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我喜欢整个技术驱动的创新、清洁能源、人工智能、物联网、自动化和新兴太空经济主题，但大多数大盘股都超前了。标普500的估值反映了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> While I have a hard time believing a reversion to mean would drive stocks back to fair valuation by historical standards due to interest rates likely to stay lower for longer, the simple withdrawal of QE - quantitative easing could see stocks drop 20% to 30% across large-cap indexes. Certain Meme categories and Zombie stocks could be worse.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我很难相信回归均值会推动股市回到历史标准的公平估值，因为利率可能会在更长时间内保持在较低水平，但简单地退出QE量化宽松可能会导致大盘指数下跌20%至30%。某些模因类别和僵尸股可能会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical View Of The S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500的技术观</b></blockquote></p><p> This is a monthly (SPY) chart. What jumps out at you?</p><p><blockquote>这是月度（SPDR标普500指数ETF）图表。什么让你印象深刻？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45d1a060559c8a7991499236ab7ee5b8\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> How about now?</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么样？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e7a38531178fc1ee1e321842c8c80ca\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/570890645cf8cc7eed30a3affaea8241\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> A correction is inevitable. You are playing with fire if you are chasing here.</p><p><blockquote>修正是不可避免的。如果你在这里追，你就是在玩火。</blockquote></p><p> But, if you like it hot, there might be a bit more cigar to puff on before your lips get burned.</p><p><blockquote>但是，如果你喜欢热的，在你的嘴唇被烧伤之前，可能会有更多的雪茄可以抽。</blockquote></p><p> Shooter’s daily chart shows that a correction hasn’t started yet, but there's very little room left on the upside. Again, tough to be a chaser here unless you're very adept at swing trading, especially moves measured in under a month.</p><p><blockquote>舒特的日线图显示，调整尚未开始，但上涨空间已经所剩无几。再说一次，除非你非常擅长波段交易，尤其是不到一个月的波动，否则很难成为一名追逐者。</blockquote></p><p> Shooter and I are both showing an S&amp;P 500 correction to between about 350 and as low as around 300. A lot will depend on the size and speed of the Fed taper.</p><p><blockquote>舒特和我都显示标普500修正在350到300左右之间。很大程度上取决于美联储锥度的大小和速度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What About The Fed?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fa0280b46d20716904484e370a3d8e0\" tg-width=\"1168\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There's no denying the correlation of Fed balance sheet expansion and its impact on the stock market. When the Fed flattened the balance sheet in 2014 the stock market went choppy for two years.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，美联储资产负债表扩张及其对股市影响的相关性。当美联储在2014年缩减资产负债表时，股市波动了两年。</blockquote></p><p> That was followed by cheap oil which pushed stocks up. But then, the Fed started to shrink their balance sheet outright and we got the two massive bouts of volatility in 2018. By September 2019 the repo market was collapsing and QE was restarted which again pushed stocks up.</p><p><blockquote>随后是廉价石油推高了股市。但随后，美联储开始彻底缩减资产负债表，2018年出现了两次大规模波动。到2019年9月，回购市场崩溃，QE重启，再次推高股市。</blockquote></p><p> Then COVID-19 hit causing one of the largest economic shocks in history. The Fed's response was massive bailouts that exceededthe economic damage. That explosive shock and awe response has carried the stock market since.</p><p><blockquote>然后新冠肺炎来袭，造成了历史上最大的经济冲击之一。美联储的反应是大规模救助，其规模超过了经济损失。这种爆炸性的震惊和敬畏反应推动了股市。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now moved from talking about tapering to talking about when to taper. The consensus is to start flattening the expansion soon. At the same time, we are at historic valuations and overbought on long-term charts. What could go wrong?</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经从谈论缩减转向谈论何时缩减。共识是尽快开始平抑扩张。与此同时，我们的估值处于历史高位，并且在长期图表上处于超买状态。会出什么问题？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Interestingly, for the first time in a long time, margin debt ebbed a bit.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，很长一段时间以来，保证金债务首次有所退潮。</blockquote></p><p> That little tick near the bottom of the red line could just be a blip. Or it could be a sign of alligator jaws starting to close. There have been signs of reduced liquidity in recent weeks as indicated by the firming dollar. If the dollar rises to around $96 as I think is likely later this year or early next year, then stocks have a major headwind.</p><p><blockquote>红线底部附近的那个小滴答声可能只是一个信号。或者这可能是鳄鱼下巴开始闭合的迹象。最近几周出现了流动性减少的迹象，美元走强就表明了这一点。如果美元升至96美元左右（我认为可能在今年晚些时候或明年初），那么股市将面临重大阻力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6aa7bfa757b16de395877355efd9d751\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Actions Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>立即投资行动</b></blockquote></p><p> Very simply, raise cash levels to the conservative edge of your asset allocation plan. If you are retired and conservative by nature, raising cash to 50% by trimming your weakest positions most is a great idea.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，将现金水平提高到资产配置计划的保守边缘。如果你已经退休并且天生保守，通过削减你最弱的头寸将现金提高到50%是一个好主意。</blockquote></p><p> If you're more aggressive, then ramping up to a war chest of 20% cash makes a lot of sense by trimming your least attractive long-term holdings and weakest performers the past year. Often performance is a simple way to identify the weaklings in a portfolio, though clearly, it's not always that easy.</p><p><blockquote>如果您更加激进，那么通过削减过去一年中最没有吸引力的长期持股和表现最差的股票，将现金储备增加到20%是很有意义的。通常，业绩是识别投资组合中弱者的简单方法，尽管显然，这并不总是那么容易。</blockquote></p><p> In short, tighten up your asset allocation. Risk management first.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，收紧资产配置。风险管理第一。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 22:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The stock market is historically overvalued.</li>  <li>The stock market is overbought on long-term charts.</li>  <li>Large caps stocks can easily correct 20%-30%, certain Meme and Zombie stocks could be much worse.</li>  <li>The Fed, as always, will play a pivotal role in how deep of a decline we see, watch the taper closely.</li>  <li>Raise cash quickly to the high end of your asset allocation policy.</li> </ul> Any look at an investment should start by asking about what the risks are. For context, we often look at the broader S&amp;P 500 (SPY) which represents most of the market capitalization in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股市历来被高估。</li><li>从长期图表来看，股市处于超买状态。</li><li>大盘股可以轻松调整20%-30%，某些模因股和僵尸股可能会更糟。</li><li>美联储将一如既往地在我们看到的衰退深度中发挥关键作用，密切关注缩减规模。</li><li>快速筹集现金到你的资产配置政策的高端。</li></ul>任何对投资的审视都应该从询问风险开始。作为背景，我们经常关注更广泛的标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF），它代表了美国的大部分市值。</blockquote></p><p> Last year I warned that the stock market could become very overvalued. I urged caution in picking out stocks and ETFs. I also recommended Tesla (TSLA), Bitcoin (BTC-USD), the Invesco Clean Energy ETF (PBW) and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), so I am no uber-bear.</p><p><blockquote>去年我警告说，股市可能会变得非常高估。我敦促谨慎挑选股票和ETF。我还推荐了特斯拉(TSLA)、比特币(BTC-USD)、景顺清洁能源ETF(PBW)和方舟创新ETF(ARKK)，所以我不是超级空头。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the stock market is broadly overvalued, including both the Meme stocks and the Zombie stocks. Investor ideas on TINA - there's no alternative, FOMO - fear of missing out, and \"buy the dips\" has worked for over a year on the back of Fed stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>如今，股市普遍被高估，包括模因股和僵尸股。投资者对TINA的看法——别无选择，FOMO——害怕错过，在美联储刺激措施的支持下，“逢低买入”已经奏效了一年多。</blockquote></p><p> Now that stimulus is poised to start being reduced we can look back at history. We have been to this game before. Expect a choppy stock market to emerge imminently, if it hasn't already.</p><p><blockquote>既然刺激措施即将开始减少，我们可以回顾一下历史。我们以前看过这个比赛。预计动荡的股市即将出现，如果还没有出现的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>S&amp;P 500 Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500估值</b></blockquote></p><p> I have talked about excessive valuations in the stock market since around New Year’s. Here's about where we stand now.</p><p><blockquote>从新年前后开始，我就一直在谈论股市估值过高的问题。这是我们现在的处境。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f383143c5f4b2cf897f5a32c3dffb282\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"660\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> I pay special attention to Crestmont which I believe has an exceptional methodology. Here’s a combined look.</p><p><blockquote>我特别关注Crestmont，我认为它有一种特殊的方法。这是一个组合外观。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aba63b9e6f3bb97de066c43c7580a7d0\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"660\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Clearly, valuations are partying like 1999. This includes the zombies that are on borrowed (literally) time. The questions are how long the party can last and which companies will crash the hardest?</p><p><blockquote>显然，估值正在像1999年一样狂欢。这包括借来（字面上）时间的僵尸。问题是这场派对能持续多久，哪些公司会崩溃得最严重？</blockquote></p><p> While I like the entire tech-driven innovation, clean energy, AI, IoT, automation and emerging space economy themes, most of the large-cap stocks are ahead of themselves. The valuations of the S&amp;P 500 reflect that.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我喜欢整个技术驱动的创新、清洁能源、人工智能、物联网、自动化和新兴太空经济主题，但大多数大盘股都超前了。标普500的估值反映了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> While I have a hard time believing a reversion to mean would drive stocks back to fair valuation by historical standards due to interest rates likely to stay lower for longer, the simple withdrawal of QE - quantitative easing could see stocks drop 20% to 30% across large-cap indexes. Certain Meme categories and Zombie stocks could be worse.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我很难相信回归均值会推动股市回到历史标准的公平估值，因为利率可能会在更长时间内保持在较低水平，但简单地退出QE量化宽松可能会导致大盘指数下跌20%至30%。某些模因类别和僵尸股可能会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical View Of The S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500的技术观</b></blockquote></p><p> This is a monthly (SPY) chart. What jumps out at you?</p><p><blockquote>这是月度（SPDR标普500指数ETF）图表。什么让你印象深刻？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45d1a060559c8a7991499236ab7ee5b8\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> How about now?</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么样？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e7a38531178fc1ee1e321842c8c80ca\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/570890645cf8cc7eed30a3affaea8241\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> A correction is inevitable. You are playing with fire if you are chasing here.</p><p><blockquote>修正是不可避免的。如果你在这里追，你就是在玩火。</blockquote></p><p> But, if you like it hot, there might be a bit more cigar to puff on before your lips get burned.</p><p><blockquote>但是，如果你喜欢热的，在你的嘴唇被烧伤之前，可能会有更多的雪茄可以抽。</blockquote></p><p> Shooter’s daily chart shows that a correction hasn’t started yet, but there's very little room left on the upside. Again, tough to be a chaser here unless you're very adept at swing trading, especially moves measured in under a month.</p><p><blockquote>舒特的日线图显示，调整尚未开始，但上涨空间已经所剩无几。再说一次，除非你非常擅长波段交易，尤其是不到一个月的波动，否则很难成为一名追逐者。</blockquote></p><p> Shooter and I are both showing an S&amp;P 500 correction to between about 350 and as low as around 300. A lot will depend on the size and speed of the Fed taper.</p><p><blockquote>舒特和我都显示标普500修正在350到300左右之间。很大程度上取决于美联储锥度的大小和速度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What About The Fed?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fa0280b46d20716904484e370a3d8e0\" tg-width=\"1168\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There's no denying the correlation of Fed balance sheet expansion and its impact on the stock market. When the Fed flattened the balance sheet in 2014 the stock market went choppy for two years.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，美联储资产负债表扩张及其对股市影响的相关性。当美联储在2014年缩减资产负债表时，股市波动了两年。</blockquote></p><p> That was followed by cheap oil which pushed stocks up. But then, the Fed started to shrink their balance sheet outright and we got the two massive bouts of volatility in 2018. By September 2019 the repo market was collapsing and QE was restarted which again pushed stocks up.</p><p><blockquote>随后是廉价石油推高了股市。但随后，美联储开始彻底缩减资产负债表，2018年出现了两次大规模波动。到2019年9月，回购市场崩溃，QE重启，再次推高股市。</blockquote></p><p> Then COVID-19 hit causing one of the largest economic shocks in history. The Fed's response was massive bailouts that exceededthe economic damage. That explosive shock and awe response has carried the stock market since.</p><p><blockquote>然后新冠肺炎来袭，造成了历史上最大的经济冲击之一。美联储的反应是大规模救助，其规模超过了经济损失。这种爆炸性的震惊和敬畏反应推动了股市。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now moved from talking about tapering to talking about when to taper. The consensus is to start flattening the expansion soon. At the same time, we are at historic valuations and overbought on long-term charts. What could go wrong?</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经从谈论缩减转向谈论何时缩减。共识是尽快开始平抑扩张。与此同时，我们的估值处于历史高位，并且在长期图表上处于超买状态。会出什么问题？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Interestingly, for the first time in a long time, margin debt ebbed a bit.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，很长一段时间以来，保证金债务首次有所退潮。</blockquote></p><p> That little tick near the bottom of the red line could just be a blip. Or it could be a sign of alligator jaws starting to close. There have been signs of reduced liquidity in recent weeks as indicated by the firming dollar. If the dollar rises to around $96 as I think is likely later this year or early next year, then stocks have a major headwind.</p><p><blockquote>红线底部附近的那个小滴答声可能只是一个信号。或者这可能是鳄鱼下巴开始闭合的迹象。最近几周出现了流动性减少的迹象，美元走强就表明了这一点。如果美元升至96美元左右（我认为可能在今年晚些时候或明年初），那么股市将面临重大阻力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6aa7bfa757b16de395877355efd9d751\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Actions Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>立即投资行动</b></blockquote></p><p> Very simply, raise cash levels to the conservative edge of your asset allocation plan. If you are retired and conservative by nature, raising cash to 50% by trimming your weakest positions most is a great idea.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，将现金水平提高到资产配置计划的保守边缘。如果你已经退休并且天生保守，通过削减你最弱的头寸将现金提高到50%是一个好主意。</blockquote></p><p> If you're more aggressive, then ramping up to a war chest of 20% cash makes a lot of sense by trimming your least attractive long-term holdings and weakest performers the past year. Often performance is a simple way to identify the weaklings in a portfolio, though clearly, it's not always that easy.</p><p><blockquote>如果您更加激进，那么通过削减过去一年中最没有吸引力的长期持股和表现最差的股票，将现金储备增加到20%是很有意义的。通常，业绩是识别投资组合中弱者的简单方法，尽管显然，这并不总是那么容易。</blockquote></p><p> In short, tighten up your asset allocation. Risk management first.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，收紧资产配置。风险管理第一。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450105-a-correction-is-due-and-it-could-be-deep\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450105-a-correction-is-due-and-it-could-be-deep","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144088215","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe stock market is historically overvalued.\nThe stock market is overbought on long-term charts.\nLarge caps stocks can easily correct 20%-30%, certain Meme and Zombie stocks could be much worse.\nThe Fed, as always, will play a pivotal role in how deep of a decline we see, watch the taper closely.\nRaise cash quickly to the high end of your asset allocation policy.\n\nAny look at an investment should start by asking about what the risks are. For context, we often look at the broader S&P 500 (SPY) which represents most of the market capitalization in the U.S.\nLast year I warned that the stock market could become very overvalued. I urged caution in picking out stocks and ETFs. I also recommended Tesla (TSLA), Bitcoin (BTC-USD), the Invesco Clean Energy ETF (PBW) and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), so I am no uber-bear.\nToday, the stock market is broadly overvalued, including both the Meme stocks and the Zombie stocks. Investor ideas on TINA - there's no alternative, FOMO - fear of missing out, and \"buy the dips\" has worked for over a year on the back of Fed stimulus.\nNow that stimulus is poised to start being reduced we can look back at history. We have been to this game before. Expect a choppy stock market to emerge imminently, if it hasn't already.\nS&P 500 Valuation\nI have talked about excessive valuations in the stock market since around New Year’s. Here's about where we stand now.\n\nI pay special attention to Crestmont which I believe has an exceptional methodology. Here’s a combined look.\n\nClearly, valuations are partying like 1999. This includes the zombies that are on borrowed (literally) time. The questions are how long the party can last and which companies will crash the hardest?\nWhile I like the entire tech-driven innovation, clean energy, AI, IoT, automation and emerging space economy themes, most of the large-cap stocks are ahead of themselves. The valuations of the S&P 500 reflect that.\nWhile I have a hard time believing a reversion to mean would drive stocks back to fair valuation by historical standards due to interest rates likely to stay lower for longer, the simple withdrawal of QE - quantitative easing could see stocks drop 20% to 30% across large-cap indexes. Certain Meme categories and Zombie stocks could be worse.\nThe Technical View Of The S&P 500\nThis is a monthly (SPY) chart. What jumps out at you?\n\nHow about now?\n\nA correction is inevitable. You are playing with fire if you are chasing here.\nBut, if you like it hot, there might be a bit more cigar to puff on before your lips get burned.\nShooter’s daily chart shows that a correction hasn’t started yet, but there's very little room left on the upside. Again, tough to be a chaser here unless you're very adept at swing trading, especially moves measured in under a month.\nShooter and I are both showing an S&P 500 correction to between about 350 and as low as around 300. A lot will depend on the size and speed of the Fed taper.\nWhat About The Fed?\n\nThere's no denying the correlation of Fed balance sheet expansion and its impact on the stock market. When the Fed flattened the balance sheet in 2014 the stock market went choppy for two years.\nThat was followed by cheap oil which pushed stocks up. But then, the Fed started to shrink their balance sheet outright and we got the two massive bouts of volatility in 2018. By September 2019 the repo market was collapsing and QE was restarted which again pushed stocks up.\nThen COVID-19 hit causing one of the largest economic shocks in history. The Fed's response was massive bailouts that exceededthe economic damage. That explosive shock and awe response has carried the stock market since.\nThe Fed has now moved from talking about tapering to talking about when to taper. The consensus is to start flattening the expansion soon. At the same time, we are at historic valuations and overbought on long-term charts. What could go wrong?\nInterestingly, for the first time in a long time, margin debt ebbed a bit.\nThat little tick near the bottom of the red line could just be a blip. Or it could be a sign of alligator jaws starting to close. There have been signs of reduced liquidity in recent weeks as indicated by the firming dollar. If the dollar rises to around $96 as I think is likely later this year or early next year, then stocks have a major headwind.\n\nInvestment Actions Now\nVery simply, raise cash levels to the conservative edge of your asset allocation plan. If you are retired and conservative by nature, raising cash to 50% by trimming your weakest positions most is a great idea.\nIf you're more aggressive, then ramping up to a war chest of 20% cash makes a lot of sense by trimming your least attractive long-term holdings and weakest performers the past year. Often performance is a simple way to identify the weaklings in a portfolio, though clearly, it's not always that easy.\nIn short, tighten up your asset allocation. Risk management first.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1002,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831172786,"gmtCreate":1629297271145,"gmtModify":1631890005442,"author":{"id":"3571636386843724","authorId":"3571636386843724","name":"yizong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3520301445bdba3e3e6d42a61717e6f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571636386843724","authorIdStr":"3571636386843724"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831172786","repostId":"1171001359","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802513456,"gmtCreate":1627787469875,"gmtModify":1631890005452,"author":{"id":"3571636386843724","authorId":"3571636386843724","name":"yizong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3520301445bdba3e3e6d42a61717e6f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571636386843724","authorIdStr":"3571636386843724"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oh no","listText":"oh no","text":"oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802513456","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多很好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多很好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125740320,"gmtCreate":1624698767660,"gmtModify":1631890005462,"author":{"id":"3571636386843724","authorId":"3571636386843724","name":"yizong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3520301445bdba3e3e6d42a61717e6f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571636386843724","authorIdStr":"3571636386843724"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oh no&nbsp;","listText":"oh no&nbsp;","text":"oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125740320","repostId":"2146047005","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2146047005","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624682474,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146047005?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-26 12:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UPDATE 1-Tesla 'recalls' vehicles in China for online software update<blockquote>更新1-特斯拉在华“召回”车辆以进行在线软件更新</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146047005","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Adds details)   BEIJING, June 26 (Reuters) - Chinese regulators said on Saturday Tesla Inc    would","content":"<p><html><body>(Adds details)</p><p><blockquote><html><body>（添加详细信息）</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   BEIJING, June 26 (Reuters) - Chinese regulators said on Saturday Tesla Inc    would 'recall' nearly 300,000 China-made and imported Model 3 and Model Y cars for an online software update related to assisted driving, with owners not required to return their vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>路透北京6月26日-中国监管机构周六表示，特斯拉公司将“召回”近30万辆中国制造和进口的Model 3和Model Y汽车，以进行与辅助驾驶相关的在线软件更新，车主无需归还车辆。</blockquote></p><p>   The State Administration for Market Regulation said on its website that the move is linked to an assisted driving function in the electric cars, which can currently be activated by drivers accidentally, causing sudden acceleration.</p><p><blockquote>国家市场监督管理总局在其网站上表示，此举与电动汽车的辅助驾驶功能有关，目前驾驶员可以意外激活该功能，导致突然加速。</blockquote></p><p>   The remote online software 'recall' - a first for Tesla cars built in China - covers 249,855 China-made Model 3 and Model Y cars, and 35,665 imported Model 3 sedans.</p><p><blockquote>远程在线软件“召回”是中国制造的特斯拉汽车的首次召回，涵盖了249,855辆中国制造的Model 3和Model Y汽车，以及35,665辆进口Model 3轿车。</blockquote></p><p>   Tesla, now making Model 3 sedans and Model Y sport-utility vehicles in Shanghai, sold 33,463 China-made electric cars in May, according to industry data.  </p><p><blockquote>行业数据显示，特斯拉目前在上海生产Model 3轿车和Model Y运动型多功能车，5月份售出33,463辆国产电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Yilei Sun and Tony Munroe; Editing by William Mallard and Kenneth Maxwell)</p><p><blockquote>（孙怡蕾、托尼·门罗报道；威廉·马拉德、肯尼斯·麦克斯韦编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Y.Sun@thomsonreuters.com; +86 10 66271262; Reuters Messaging: y.sun.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))</p><p><blockquote>（（y.sun@thomsonreuters.com；+86 10 662 71262；路透社消息：y.sun.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UPDATE 1-Tesla 'recalls' vehicles in China for online software update<blockquote>更新1-特斯拉在华“召回”车辆以进行在线软件更新</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUPDATE 1-Tesla 'recalls' vehicles in China for online software update<blockquote>更新1-特斯拉在华“召回”车辆以进行在线软件更新</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-26 12:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>(Adds details)</p><p><blockquote><html><body>（添加详细信息）</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   BEIJING, June 26 (Reuters) - Chinese regulators said on Saturday Tesla Inc    would 'recall' nearly 300,000 China-made and imported Model 3 and Model Y cars for an online software update related to assisted driving, with owners not required to return their vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>路透北京6月26日-中国监管机构周六表示，特斯拉公司将“召回”近30万辆中国制造和进口的Model 3和Model Y汽车，以进行与辅助驾驶相关的在线软件更新，车主无需归还车辆。</blockquote></p><p>   The State Administration for Market Regulation said on its website that the move is linked to an assisted driving function in the electric cars, which can currently be activated by drivers accidentally, causing sudden acceleration.</p><p><blockquote>国家市场监督管理总局在其网站上表示，此举与电动汽车的辅助驾驶功能有关，目前驾驶员可以意外激活该功能，导致突然加速。</blockquote></p><p>   The remote online software 'recall' - a first for Tesla cars built in China - covers 249,855 China-made Model 3 and Model Y cars, and 35,665 imported Model 3 sedans.</p><p><blockquote>远程在线软件“召回”是中国制造的特斯拉汽车的首次召回，涵盖了249,855辆中国制造的Model 3和Model Y汽车，以及35,665辆进口Model 3轿车。</blockquote></p><p>   Tesla, now making Model 3 sedans and Model Y sport-utility vehicles in Shanghai, sold 33,463 China-made electric cars in May, according to industry data.  </p><p><blockquote>行业数据显示，特斯拉目前在上海生产Model 3轿车和Model Y运动型多功能车，5月份售出33,463辆国产电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Yilei Sun and Tony Munroe; Editing by William Mallard and Kenneth Maxwell)</p><p><blockquote>（孙怡蕾、托尼·门罗报道；威廉·马拉德、肯尼斯·麦克斯韦编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Y.Sun@thomsonreuters.com; +86 10 66271262; Reuters Messaging: y.sun.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))</p><p><blockquote>（（y.sun@thomsonreuters.com；+86 10 662 71262；路透社消息：y.sun.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAAS":"中汽系统","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146047005","content_text":"(Adds details)   BEIJING, June 26 (Reuters) - Chinese regulators said on Saturday Tesla Inc    would 'recall' nearly 300,000 China-made and imported Model 3 and Model Y cars for an online software update related to assisted driving, with owners not required to return their vehicles.   The State Administration for Market Regulation said on its website that the move is linked to an assisted driving function in the electric cars, which can currently be activated by drivers accidentally, causing sudden acceleration.   The remote online software 'recall' - a first for Tesla cars built in China - covers 249,855 China-made Model 3 and Model Y cars, and 35,665 imported Model 3 sedans.   Tesla, now making Model 3 sedans and Model Y sport-utility vehicles in Shanghai, sold 33,463 China-made electric cars in May, according to industry data.   (Reporting by Yilei Sun and Tony Munroe; Editing by William Mallard and Kenneth Maxwell)((Y.Sun@thomsonreuters.com; +86 10 66271262; Reuters Messaging: y.sun.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"CAAS":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166395027,"gmtCreate":1623990769269,"gmtModify":1631890005482,"author":{"id":"3571636386843724","authorId":"3571636386843724","name":"yizong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3520301445bdba3e3e6d42a61717e6f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571636386843724","authorIdStr":"3571636386843724"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166395027","repostId":"1197160756","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1197160756","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623980251,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197160756?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"1 Big Reason to Dump AMD and Buy NVIDIA<blockquote>抛弃AMD并购买NVIDIA的1大理由</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197160756","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The graphics specialist enjoys a huge advantage over its smaller rival in an important market.","content":"<p><b>NVIDIA</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;has been ruling the roost in the discrete graphics processing unit (GPU) market, despite the best efforts of&nbsp;<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD)&nbsp;to gain share in this highly lucrative space. And NVIDIA is showing no signs of losing its grip over the graphics card market, according to the latest market share numbers provided&nbsp;by Jon Peddie Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：NVDA）一直在独立图形处理单元（GPU）市场上占据主导地位，尽管<b>先进微设备公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMD）在这个利润丰厚的领域获得份额。根据Jon Peddie Research提供的最新市场份额数据，NVIDIA没有表现出失去对显卡市场控制的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Let's see why that bodes well for NVIDIA, and makes it a better bet than arch-rival AMD.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看为什么这对NVIDIA来说是个好兆头，并使其成为比主要竞争对手AMD更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94007897775e469423cc8a3d1e55440d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NVIDIA stamps its authority on graphics cards once again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>NVIDIA再次在显卡上树立权威</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA&nbsp;finished 2020 with&nbsp;82% of the discrete graphics card market under its control, while AMD held the rest. The company's impressive momentum has spilled over into 2021, as it occupied 81% of the market in Q1. That was a nice increase&nbsp;over the year-ago period's market share of 75%.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在2020年结束时控制了82%的独立显卡市场，而AMD则控制了其余部分。该公司令人印象深刻的势头已经蔓延到2021年，在第一季度占据了81%的市场份额。与去年同期75%的市场份额相比，这是一个不错的增长。</blockquote></p><p> AMD, on the other hand, lost market share for yet another quarter. The company has been&nbsp;losing ground&nbsp;to NVIDIA since the latter launched the&nbsp;RTX 30 series cards&nbsp;toward the end of 2020. AMD was in resurgent mode prior to the arrival of the RTX 30 series cards -- its Navi GPUs were&nbsp;making a nice dent&nbsp;in NVIDIA's graphics card supremacy a year ago. But that isn't the case anymore.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD又失去了一个季度的市场份额。自英伟达在2020年底推出RTX 30系列卡以来，该公司一直在输给英伟达。在RTX 30系列卡到来之前，AMD正处于复兴模式——一年前，它的Navi GPU对NVIDIA的显卡霸主地位产生了很大的影响。但现在已经不是这样了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NVIDIA stamps its authority on graphics cards once again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>NVIDIA再次在显卡上树立权威</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIAfinished 2020 with82% of the discrete graphics card market under its control, while AMD held the rest. The company's impressive momentum has spilled over into 2021, as it occupied 81% of the market in Q1. That was a nice increase&nbsp;over the year-ago period's market share of 75%.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年，Nvidia控制了82%的独立显卡市场，而AMD则控制了其余市场。该公司令人印象深刻的势头已经蔓延到2021年，在第一季度占据了81%的市场份额。与去年同期75%的市场份额相比，这是一个不错的增长。</blockquote></p><p> AMD, on the other hand, lost market share for yet another quarter. The company has been&nbsp;losing ground&nbsp;to NVIDIA since the latter launched theRTX 30 series cardstoward the end of 2020. AMD was in resurgent mode prior to the arrival of the RTX 30 series cards -- its Navi GPUs weremaking a nice dentin NVIDIA's graphics card supremacy a year ago. But that isn't the case anymore.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD又失去了一个季度的市场份额。自英伟达于2020年底推出TX 30系列卡以来，该公司一直在输给英伟达。在RTX 30系列卡到来之前，AMD正处于复兴模式——一年前，它的Navi GPU正在成为英伟达显卡霸主的一个很好的牙本质。但现在已经不是这样了。</blockquote></p><p> Jon Peddie Research estimates that discrete GPU shipments shot up 24.4% year-over-year. The market generated $12.5 billion in revenue in Q1, a 370% spike over the prior-year period, thanks to a&nbsp;jump in the average selling prices&nbsp;(ASPs) triggered by huge demand and short supply. NVIDIA's massive market share means that it has won big from this spike, which is reflected in its Q1 performance.</p><p><blockquote>Jon Peddie Research估计，独立GPU出货量同比猛增24.4%。由于巨大的需求和供应短缺引发的平均售价(ASP)上涨，该市场在第一季度创造了125亿美元的收入，比去年同期增长了370%。英伟达巨大的市场份额意味着它从这一飙升中受益匪浅，这反映在其第一季度的业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA's gaming revenue more than doubled&nbsp;year-over-year in the first quarter of fiscal 2022 to $2.76 billion. AMD's computing and graphics segment, which also includes the sales of its Ryzen desktop and notebook processors, grew at a relatively slower pace of 46% year-over-year to $2.1 billion in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达2022财年第一季度的游戏收入同比增长了一倍多，达到27.6亿美元。AMD的计算和图形部门（还包括Ryzen台式机和笔记本处理器的销售额）在第一季度同比增长46%，达到21亿美元，增速相对较慢。</blockquote></p><p> Jon Peddie Research estimates that the discrete GPU market could be worth $54 billion by 2025, compared to $23.6 billion last year. NVIDIA's dominant position should allow it to corner a substantial portion of that pie in the future, especially considering its moves to strengthen its position.</p><p><blockquote>Jon Peddie Research估计，到2025年，独立GPU市场价值可能达到540亿美元，而去年为236亿美元。英伟达的主导地位应该使其能够在未来垄断很大一部分蛋糕，特别是考虑到其加强地位的举措。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD's resistance may not be enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD的阻力可能还不够</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD has been trying to put up a fight against NVIDIA, and it did show some progress last quarter, registering a quarter-over-quarter market share gain of one percentage point. However, AMD is now looking to raise its game with a new technology, the FidelityFX Super Resolution (FSR). This will compete with NVIDIA's deep learning super sampling (DLSS) image upscaling technology, which helps games look better and run smoother.</p><p><blockquote>AMD一直在努力对抗NVIDIA，上个季度确实取得了一些进展，市场份额环比增长了一个百分点。然而，AMD现在正寻求通过一项新技术FidelityFX超分辨率（FSR）来提高其竞争力。这将与英伟达的深度学习超级采样（DLSS）图像升级技术竞争，该技术有助于游戏看起来更好，运行更流畅。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's internal tests claim that its new tech can help games run at 59% higher frame rates on ultra-quality settings. The chipmaker also claims that FSR could increase gaming performance by 2.5 times in certain titles using the performance setting. In addition, AMD says that FSR supports a wide range of hardware that includes more than 100 processors and graphics cards thanks to its open-source nature.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的内部测试声称，其新技术可以帮助游戏在超质量设置下以59%的帧率运行。该芯片制造商还声称，使用性能设置，FSR可以将某些游戏的游戏性能提高2.5倍。此外，AMD表示，由于其开源性质，FSR支持广泛的硬件，包括100多种处理器和显卡。</blockquote></p><p> FSR will launch on June 22, and it could give AMD a nice boost in the GPU market. However, only time will tell if the new technology will translate into sales for AMD, given that its rival's DLSS tech is already in its second&nbsp;generation.</p><p><blockquote>FSR将于6月22日推出，它可能会给AMD在GPU市场带来很好的推动。然而，只有时间才能证明这项新技术是否会转化为AMD的销售额，因为其竞争对手的DLSS技术已经进入第二代。</blockquote></p><p> However, it is worth noting that NVIDIA is trying to cover as much of the GPU market as possible with new launches. The company recently released the RTX 3080 Ti and the RTX 3070 Ti GPUs, priced at $1,199 and $599, respectively. NVIDIA is giving users of older graphics cards a solid reason to upgrade with these cards. It claims that the RTX 3080 Ti is twice as fast as the older GTX 1080 Ti, while the RTX 3070 Ti delivers 1.5x the performance of the RTX 2070 Super.</p><p><blockquote>然而，值得注意的是，英伟达正试图通过新产品的发布来覆盖尽可能多的GPU市场。该公司最近发布了RTX 3080 Ti和RTX 3070 Ti GPU，售价分别为1199美元和599美元。NVIDIA给了旧显卡的用户一个升级这些显卡的充分理由。它声称RTX 3080 Ti的速度是旧的GTX 1080 Ti的两倍，而RTX 3070 Ti的性能是RTX 2070 Super的1.5倍。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NVIDIA is also&nbsp;stepping up its game&nbsp;in the laptop market with the launch of entry-level graphics cards. The company now offers more than 140 laptop models powered by the RTX 30 cards across a wide range of prices. This puts NVIDIA in a solid position in the fast-growing gaming laptop market, which is expected to hit $15.6 billion in revenue by 2027, compared to $9 billion in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>随着入门级显卡的推出，英伟达也在加强其在笔记本电脑市场的游戏。该公司现在提供140多种由RTX 30卡驱动的笔记本电脑型号，价格范围很广。这使得英伟达在快速增长的游戏笔记本电脑市场中占据了稳固的地位，预计到2027年，该市场的收入将达到156亿美元，而2019年为90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this indicates that NVIDIA's gaming business could sustain its terrific levels of growth for a long time to come, especially considering that a huge chunk of gamers have&nbsp;yet to upgrade&nbsp;to its latest cards.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都表明，英伟达的游戏业务可能会在未来很长一段时间内保持其惊人的增长水平，特别是考虑到大量游戏玩家尚未升级到其最新的卡。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the growth of AMD's gaming business is nowhere close to NVIDIA's, and the situation is unlikely to change given the latter's supremacy in this space. That's why investors looking to take advantage of the booming market for discrete graphics cards and add a&nbsp;top growth stock&nbsp;to their portfolios should choose NVIDIA. Gaming is its largest source of revenue, and this business could stay red-hot for a long time.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，AMD游戏业务的增长远不及英伟达，鉴于后者在这一领域的霸主地位，这种情况不太可能改变。这就是为什么希望利用蓬勃发展的独立显卡市场并在其投资组合中添加顶级增长股票的投资者应该选择英伟达。游戏是其最大的收入来源，这项业务可能会在很长一段时间内保持火热。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1 Big Reason to Dump AMD and Buy NVIDIA<blockquote>抛弃AMD并购买NVIDIA的1大理由</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1 Big Reason to Dump AMD and Buy NVIDIA<blockquote>抛弃AMD并购买NVIDIA的1大理由</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>NVIDIA</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;has been ruling the roost in the discrete graphics processing unit (GPU) market, despite the best efforts of&nbsp;<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD)&nbsp;to gain share in this highly lucrative space. And NVIDIA is showing no signs of losing its grip over the graphics card market, according to the latest market share numbers provided&nbsp;by Jon Peddie Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：NVDA）一直在独立图形处理单元（GPU）市场上占据主导地位，尽管<b>先进微设备公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMD）在这个利润丰厚的领域获得份额。根据Jon Peddie Research提供的最新市场份额数据，NVIDIA没有表现出失去对显卡市场控制的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Let's see why that bodes well for NVIDIA, and makes it a better bet than arch-rival AMD.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看为什么这对NVIDIA来说是个好兆头，并使其成为比主要竞争对手AMD更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94007897775e469423cc8a3d1e55440d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NVIDIA stamps its authority on graphics cards once again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>NVIDIA再次在显卡上树立权威</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA&nbsp;finished 2020 with&nbsp;82% of the discrete graphics card market under its control, while AMD held the rest. The company's impressive momentum has spilled over into 2021, as it occupied 81% of the market in Q1. That was a nice increase&nbsp;over the year-ago period's market share of 75%.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在2020年结束时控制了82%的独立显卡市场，而AMD则控制了其余部分。该公司令人印象深刻的势头已经蔓延到2021年，在第一季度占据了81%的市场份额。与去年同期75%的市场份额相比，这是一个不错的增长。</blockquote></p><p> AMD, on the other hand, lost market share for yet another quarter. The company has been&nbsp;losing ground&nbsp;to NVIDIA since the latter launched the&nbsp;RTX 30 series cards&nbsp;toward the end of 2020. AMD was in resurgent mode prior to the arrival of the RTX 30 series cards -- its Navi GPUs were&nbsp;making a nice dent&nbsp;in NVIDIA's graphics card supremacy a year ago. But that isn't the case anymore.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD又失去了一个季度的市场份额。自英伟达在2020年底推出RTX 30系列卡以来，该公司一直在输给英伟达。在RTX 30系列卡到来之前，AMD正处于复兴模式——一年前，它的Navi GPU对NVIDIA的显卡霸主地位产生了很大的影响。但现在已经不是这样了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NVIDIA stamps its authority on graphics cards once again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>NVIDIA再次在显卡上树立权威</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIAfinished 2020 with82% of the discrete graphics card market under its control, while AMD held the rest. The company's impressive momentum has spilled over into 2021, as it occupied 81% of the market in Q1. That was a nice increase&nbsp;over the year-ago period's market share of 75%.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年，Nvidia控制了82%的独立显卡市场，而AMD则控制了其余市场。该公司令人印象深刻的势头已经蔓延到2021年，在第一季度占据了81%的市场份额。与去年同期75%的市场份额相比，这是一个不错的增长。</blockquote></p><p> AMD, on the other hand, lost market share for yet another quarter. The company has been&nbsp;losing ground&nbsp;to NVIDIA since the latter launched theRTX 30 series cardstoward the end of 2020. AMD was in resurgent mode prior to the arrival of the RTX 30 series cards -- its Navi GPUs weremaking a nice dentin NVIDIA's graphics card supremacy a year ago. But that isn't the case anymore.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD又失去了一个季度的市场份额。自英伟达于2020年底推出TX 30系列卡以来，该公司一直在输给英伟达。在RTX 30系列卡到来之前，AMD正处于复兴模式——一年前，它的Navi GPU正在成为英伟达显卡霸主的一个很好的牙本质。但现在已经不是这样了。</blockquote></p><p> Jon Peddie Research estimates that discrete GPU shipments shot up 24.4% year-over-year. The market generated $12.5 billion in revenue in Q1, a 370% spike over the prior-year period, thanks to a&nbsp;jump in the average selling prices&nbsp;(ASPs) triggered by huge demand and short supply. NVIDIA's massive market share means that it has won big from this spike, which is reflected in its Q1 performance.</p><p><blockquote>Jon Peddie Research估计，独立GPU出货量同比猛增24.4%。由于巨大的需求和供应短缺引发的平均售价(ASP)上涨，该市场在第一季度创造了125亿美元的收入，比去年同期增长了370%。英伟达巨大的市场份额意味着它从这一飙升中受益匪浅，这反映在其第一季度的业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA's gaming revenue more than doubled&nbsp;year-over-year in the first quarter of fiscal 2022 to $2.76 billion. AMD's computing and graphics segment, which also includes the sales of its Ryzen desktop and notebook processors, grew at a relatively slower pace of 46% year-over-year to $2.1 billion in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达2022财年第一季度的游戏收入同比增长了一倍多，达到27.6亿美元。AMD的计算和图形部门（还包括Ryzen台式机和笔记本处理器的销售额）在第一季度同比增长46%，达到21亿美元，增速相对较慢。</blockquote></p><p> Jon Peddie Research estimates that the discrete GPU market could be worth $54 billion by 2025, compared to $23.6 billion last year. NVIDIA's dominant position should allow it to corner a substantial portion of that pie in the future, especially considering its moves to strengthen its position.</p><p><blockquote>Jon Peddie Research估计，到2025年，独立GPU市场价值可能达到540亿美元，而去年为236亿美元。英伟达的主导地位应该使其能够在未来垄断很大一部分蛋糕，特别是考虑到其加强地位的举措。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD's resistance may not be enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD的阻力可能还不够</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD has been trying to put up a fight against NVIDIA, and it did show some progress last quarter, registering a quarter-over-quarter market share gain of one percentage point. However, AMD is now looking to raise its game with a new technology, the FidelityFX Super Resolution (FSR). This will compete with NVIDIA's deep learning super sampling (DLSS) image upscaling technology, which helps games look better and run smoother.</p><p><blockquote>AMD一直在努力对抗NVIDIA，上个季度确实取得了一些进展，市场份额环比增长了一个百分点。然而，AMD现在正寻求通过一项新技术FidelityFX超分辨率（FSR）来提高其竞争力。这将与英伟达的深度学习超级采样（DLSS）图像升级技术竞争，该技术有助于游戏看起来更好，运行更流畅。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's internal tests claim that its new tech can help games run at 59% higher frame rates on ultra-quality settings. The chipmaker also claims that FSR could increase gaming performance by 2.5 times in certain titles using the performance setting. In addition, AMD says that FSR supports a wide range of hardware that includes more than 100 processors and graphics cards thanks to its open-source nature.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的内部测试声称，其新技术可以帮助游戏在超质量设置下以59%的帧率运行。该芯片制造商还声称，使用性能设置，FSR可以将某些游戏的游戏性能提高2.5倍。此外，AMD表示，由于其开源性质，FSR支持广泛的硬件，包括100多种处理器和显卡。</blockquote></p><p> FSR will launch on June 22, and it could give AMD a nice boost in the GPU market. However, only time will tell if the new technology will translate into sales for AMD, given that its rival's DLSS tech is already in its second&nbsp;generation.</p><p><blockquote>FSR将于6月22日推出，它可能会给AMD在GPU市场带来很好的推动。然而，只有时间才能证明这项新技术是否会转化为AMD的销售额，因为其竞争对手的DLSS技术已经进入第二代。</blockquote></p><p> However, it is worth noting that NVIDIA is trying to cover as much of the GPU market as possible with new launches. The company recently released the RTX 3080 Ti and the RTX 3070 Ti GPUs, priced at $1,199 and $599, respectively. NVIDIA is giving users of older graphics cards a solid reason to upgrade with these cards. It claims that the RTX 3080 Ti is twice as fast as the older GTX 1080 Ti, while the RTX 3070 Ti delivers 1.5x the performance of the RTX 2070 Super.</p><p><blockquote>然而，值得注意的是，英伟达正试图通过新产品的发布来覆盖尽可能多的GPU市场。该公司最近发布了RTX 3080 Ti和RTX 3070 Ti GPU，售价分别为1199美元和599美元。NVIDIA给了旧显卡的用户一个升级这些显卡的充分理由。它声称RTX 3080 Ti的速度是旧的GTX 1080 Ti的两倍，而RTX 3070 Ti的性能是RTX 2070 Super的1.5倍。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NVIDIA is also&nbsp;stepping up its game&nbsp;in the laptop market with the launch of entry-level graphics cards. The company now offers more than 140 laptop models powered by the RTX 30 cards across a wide range of prices. This puts NVIDIA in a solid position in the fast-growing gaming laptop market, which is expected to hit $15.6 billion in revenue by 2027, compared to $9 billion in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>随着入门级显卡的推出，英伟达也在加强其在笔记本电脑市场的游戏。该公司现在提供140多种由RTX 30卡驱动的笔记本电脑型号，价格范围很广。这使得英伟达在快速增长的游戏笔记本电脑市场中占据了稳固的地位，预计到2027年，该市场的收入将达到156亿美元，而2019年为90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this indicates that NVIDIA's gaming business could sustain its terrific levels of growth for a long time to come, especially considering that a huge chunk of gamers have&nbsp;yet to upgrade&nbsp;to its latest cards.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都表明，英伟达的游戏业务可能会在未来很长一段时间内保持其惊人的增长水平，特别是考虑到大量游戏玩家尚未升级到其最新的卡。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the growth of AMD's gaming business is nowhere close to NVIDIA's, and the situation is unlikely to change given the latter's supremacy in this space. That's why investors looking to take advantage of the booming market for discrete graphics cards and add a&nbsp;top growth stock&nbsp;to their portfolios should choose NVIDIA. Gaming is its largest source of revenue, and this business could stay red-hot for a long time.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，AMD游戏业务的增长远不及英伟达，鉴于后者在这一领域的霸主地位，这种情况不太可能改变。这就是为什么希望利用蓬勃发展的独立显卡市场并在其投资组合中添加顶级增长股票的投资者应该选择英伟达。游戏是其最大的收入来源，这项业务可能会在很长一段时间内保持火热。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/1-big-reason-to-dump-amd-and-buy-nvidia/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/1-big-reason-to-dump-amd-and-buy-nvidia/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197160756","content_text":"NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) has been ruling the roost in the discrete graphics processing unit (GPU) market, despite the best efforts of Advanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD) to gain share in this highly lucrative space. And NVIDIA is showing no signs of losing its grip over the graphics card market, according to the latest market share numbers provided by Jon Peddie Research.\nLet's see why that bodes well for NVIDIA, and makes it a better bet than arch-rival AMD.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES\nNVIDIA stamps its authority on graphics cards once again\nNVIDIA finished 2020 with 82% of the discrete graphics card market under its control, while AMD held the rest. The company's impressive momentum has spilled over into 2021, as it occupied 81% of the market in Q1. That was a nice increase over the year-ago period's market share of 75%.\nAMD, on the other hand, lost market share for yet another quarter. The company has been losing ground to NVIDIA since the latter launched the RTX 30 series cards toward the end of 2020. AMD was in resurgent mode prior to the arrival of the RTX 30 series cards -- its Navi GPUs were making a nice dent in NVIDIA's graphics card supremacy a year ago. But that isn't the case anymore.\nNVIDIA stamps its authority on graphics cards once again\nNVIDIAfinished 2020 with82% of the discrete graphics card market under its control, while AMD held the rest. The company's impressive momentum has spilled over into 2021, as it occupied 81% of the market in Q1. That was a nice increase over the year-ago period's market share of 75%.\nAMD, on the other hand, lost market share for yet another quarter. The company has been losing ground to NVIDIA since the latter launched theRTX 30 series cardstoward the end of 2020. AMD was in resurgent mode prior to the arrival of the RTX 30 series cards -- its Navi GPUs weremaking a nice dentin NVIDIA's graphics card supremacy a year ago. But that isn't the case anymore.\nJon Peddie Research estimates that discrete GPU shipments shot up 24.4% year-over-year. The market generated $12.5 billion in revenue in Q1, a 370% spike over the prior-year period, thanks to a jump in the average selling prices (ASPs) triggered by huge demand and short supply. NVIDIA's massive market share means that it has won big from this spike, which is reflected in its Q1 performance.\nNVIDIA's gaming revenue more than doubled year-over-year in the first quarter of fiscal 2022 to $2.76 billion. AMD's computing and graphics segment, which also includes the sales of its Ryzen desktop and notebook processors, grew at a relatively slower pace of 46% year-over-year to $2.1 billion in Q1.\nJon Peddie Research estimates that the discrete GPU market could be worth $54 billion by 2025, compared to $23.6 billion last year. NVIDIA's dominant position should allow it to corner a substantial portion of that pie in the future, especially considering its moves to strengthen its position.\nAMD's resistance may not be enough\nAMD has been trying to put up a fight against NVIDIA, and it did show some progress last quarter, registering a quarter-over-quarter market share gain of one percentage point. However, AMD is now looking to raise its game with a new technology, the FidelityFX Super Resolution (FSR). This will compete with NVIDIA's deep learning super sampling (DLSS) image upscaling technology, which helps games look better and run smoother.\nAMD's internal tests claim that its new tech can help games run at 59% higher frame rates on ultra-quality settings. The chipmaker also claims that FSR could increase gaming performance by 2.5 times in certain titles using the performance setting. In addition, AMD says that FSR supports a wide range of hardware that includes more than 100 processors and graphics cards thanks to its open-source nature.\nFSR will launch on June 22, and it could give AMD a nice boost in the GPU market. However, only time will tell if the new technology will translate into sales for AMD, given that its rival's DLSS tech is already in its second generation.\nHowever, it is worth noting that NVIDIA is trying to cover as much of the GPU market as possible with new launches. The company recently released the RTX 3080 Ti and the RTX 3070 Ti GPUs, priced at $1,199 and $599, respectively. NVIDIA is giving users of older graphics cards a solid reason to upgrade with these cards. It claims that the RTX 3080 Ti is twice as fast as the older GTX 1080 Ti, while the RTX 3070 Ti delivers 1.5x the performance of the RTX 2070 Super.\nNVIDIA is also stepping up its game in the laptop market with the launch of entry-level graphics cards. The company now offers more than 140 laptop models powered by the RTX 30 cards across a wide range of prices. This puts NVIDIA in a solid position in the fast-growing gaming laptop market, which is expected to hit $15.6 billion in revenue by 2027, compared to $9 billion in 2019.\nAll of this indicates that NVIDIA's gaming business could sustain its terrific levels of growth for a long time to come, especially considering that a huge chunk of gamers have yet to upgrade to its latest cards.\nMeanwhile, the growth of AMD's gaming business is nowhere close to NVIDIA's, and the situation is unlikely to change given the latter's supremacy in this space. That's why investors looking to take advantage of the booming market for discrete graphics cards and add a top growth stock to their portfolios should choose NVIDIA. Gaming is its largest source of revenue, and this business could stay red-hot for a long time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}