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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
·
2022-01-10
Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses
Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?
A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready
Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
·
2022-01-09
Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses
Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?
A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready
Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
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2022-01-07
Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses
Vaccine Stocks Slid in Morning Trading
Vaccine stocks slid in morning trading. BioNTech SE, Moderna, Pfizer, Histogenics and Novavax fell b
Vaccine Stocks Slid in Morning Trading
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
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2022-01-06
Jiayou cat
@LUNG:
$老虎证券(TIGR)$心如刀割..
$老虎证券(TIGR)$心如刀割..
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
·
2022-01-05
Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses
Singapore Stock Market May Be Stuck In Neutral On Wednesday
The Singapore stock market has moved higher in consecutive trading days, gathering almost 50 points
Singapore Stock Market May Be Stuck In Neutral On Wednesday
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
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2022-01-04
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
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2022-01-03
Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses
“生产率”这把尺子够用吗
@经济观察报:
(图源:IC Photo) 【文明的坐标——人类与风险的博弈】 陈志武/文 进步与倒退 在尝试评估文明变迁史的时候,我们总需要先做一个选择,就是如何度量“进步”和“倒退”:什么情况下可称文明“进步”,何时又“倒退”了?在现有文献中,历史学家、经济学家惯用的尺子是“生产率”(productivity),甚至只有“生产率”,其他指标都不重要。比如,劳动生产率:一人一年劳动下来,能有多少产出、赚多少收入。“唯生产率”准则应用到当今国家,就是“唯GDP”论,成为只追求GDP增速之政策的学理基础;而应用到历史分析中,在“唯生产率”史观下,人类发展通常被划分为原始社会、农业社会、工业社会、后工业社会等阶段 。为了纠正这种传统史观和文明观,我们还要增加一把尺子——人类的“风险应对力”,这使我们能更完整地解读人类文明化进程。 传统的“唯生产率”史观带出了一些著名悖论。著名经济史学者克拉克(Gregory Clark)教授称:“人类史上其实只发生了一件事,即1800年前开始的工业革命。只有工业革命之前的世界和工业革命之后的世界之分,所以,人类历史只有工业革命这一件事值得研究,其他都是不太重要的细节”。他之所以这么说,是因为从公元前1000年直到公元1800年的近三千年里,世界上每年人均收入基本没有变动,期间虽然出现过上下波动,但并没改变劳动生产率长久不变之趋势。历史学家麦迪森(Angus Maddison)教授在《世界经济千年史》中对全球人均收入的估算,结论也一致:在工业革命之前的两千年里,劳动生产率基本不变。克拉克强调,人类在19世纪前的几万年里,一直没能走出“马尔萨斯陷阱”:即使生产率偶尔上升,人口增加,新增的物质产出按人均一分配,就又回到原点;或者,由于自然灾害或人造战争导致人口减少,在总产出不变的情况下,人均收入会增加,可是,人口增长后人均收入又会再次减少。只有等到1780年工业革命
“生产率”这把尺子够用吗
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
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2021-12-31
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
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2021-12-30
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JasonBarry
JasonBarry
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2021-12-29
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🙏 like TQ all bosses","listText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","text":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694042320","repostId":"1198290127","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198290127","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641702682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198290127?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 12:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198290127","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-09 12:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694028219,"gmtCreate":1641723306059,"gmtModify":1641723306447,"author":{"id":"3575367401875717","authorId":"3575367401875717","name":"JasonBarry","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f66aec8cff071dcd3a0116c9d93d9b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575367401875717","idStr":"3575367401875717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","listText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","text":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694028219","repostId":"1198290127","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198290127","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641702682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198290127?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 12:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198290127","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-09 12:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695592943,"gmtCreate":1641511238784,"gmtModify":1641511239123,"author":{"id":"3575367401875717","authorId":"3575367401875717","name":"JasonBarry","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f66aec8cff071dcd3a0116c9d93d9b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575367401875717","idStr":"3575367401875717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","listText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","text":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695592943","repostId":"1137932427","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137932427","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1641482309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137932427?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-06 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Vaccine Stocks Slid in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137932427","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Vaccine stocks slid in morning trading. BioNTech SE, Moderna, Pfizer, Histogenics and Novavax fell b","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Vaccine stocks slid in morning trading. BioNTech SE, Moderna, Pfizer, Histogenics and Novavax fell between 1% and 4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a275eb7fdd60e6ddf615caa2e0c8a763\" tg-width=\"285\" tg-height=\"274\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Vaccine Stocks Slid in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVaccine Stocks Slid in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-06 23:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Vaccine stocks slid in morning trading. BioNTech SE, Moderna, Pfizer, Histogenics and Novavax fell between 1% and 4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a275eb7fdd60e6ddf615caa2e0c8a763\" tg-width=\"285\" tg-height=\"274\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137932427","content_text":"Vaccine stocks slid in morning trading. BioNTech SE, Moderna, Pfizer, Histogenics and Novavax fell between 1% and 4%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695287207,"gmtCreate":1641475339321,"gmtModify":1641475339704,"author":{"id":"3575367401875717","authorId":"3575367401875717","name":"JasonBarry","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f66aec8cff071dcd3a0116c9d93d9b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575367401875717","idStr":"3575367401875717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jiayou cat","listText":"Jiayou cat","text":"Jiayou cat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695287207","repostId":"855913602","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":855913602,"gmtCreate":1635323714252,"gmtModify":1635323714337,"author":{"id":"3570185273361159","authorId":"3570185273361159","name":"LUNG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ec80e1b6436c122c64a4731cd89258","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570185273361159","idStr":"3570185273361159"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>心如刀割..","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>心如刀割..","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$心如刀割..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855913602","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695385563,"gmtCreate":1641342786209,"gmtModify":1641342786529,"author":{"id":"3575367401875717","authorId":"3575367401875717","name":"JasonBarry","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f66aec8cff071dcd3a0116c9d93d9b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575367401875717","idStr":"3575367401875717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","listText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","text":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695385563","repostId":"1151974693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151974693","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641340994,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151974693?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-05 08:03","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Stock Market May Be Stuck In Neutral On Wednesday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151974693","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has moved higher in consecutive trading days, gathering almost 50 points ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market has moved higher in consecutive trading days, gathering almost 50 points or 1.6 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,180-point plateau although it may spin its wheels on Wednesday.</p><p>The global forecast for the Asian markets is mixed to higher, with support from oil stocks tempered by weakness from technology shares. The European markets were up and the U.S. bourses were mixed and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.</p><p>The STI finished sharply higher on Tuesday following gains from the financial shares and industrial issues.</p><p>For the day, the index jumped 46.88 points or 1.50 percent to finish at 3,181.13 after trading between 3,151.80 and 3,182.53. Volume was 1.6 billion shares worth 1.38 billion Singapore dollars. There were 271 gainers and 202 decliners.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT gained 0.34 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust rallied 1.95 percent, City Developments rose 0.15 percent, Comfort DelGro gathered 0.72 percent, DBS Group surged 2.81 percent, Keppel Corp perked 0.58 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust plummeted 5.21 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust tumbled 1.06 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation soared 2.63 percent, SATS jumped 1.29 percent, SembCorp Industries spiked 2.49 percent, Singapore Airlines strengthened 1.00 percent, Singapore Exchange lost 0.53 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering advanced 0.53 percent, SingTel added 0.43 percent, United Overseas Bank accelerated 2.30 percent, Wilmar International climbed 1.20 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Dairy Farm International, Thai Beverage, Singapore Press Holdings and Genting Singapore were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street is mixed as the Dow opened higher and stayed that way, the NASDAQ opened lower and stayed that way and the S&P opened higher but fell into the red.</p><p>The Dow spiked 214.59 points or 0.59 percent to a record 36,799.65, while the NASDAQ tumbled 210.08 points or 1.33 percent to close at 15,622.72 and the S&P 500 eased 3.02 points or 0.06 percent to end at 4,793.54.</p><p>The sharp pullback by NASDAQ reflected substantial weakness among software and biotechnology stocks, while financials fueled the Dow.</p><p>The continued advance by the Dow also came as traders remain optimistic about the economic outlook even as the U.S. reported more than 1 million new Covid cases on Monday. Indications the new Omicron variant causes milder symptoms has led to hopes the recent surge could actually help to accelerate the end of the pandemic.</p><p>Crude oil prices climbed higher on Tuesday after OPEC said it would stick to its plan to raise monthly crude production by 400,000 barrels per day in February. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for February ended higher by $0.91 or 1.2 percent at $76.99 a barrel.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stock Market May Be Stuck In Neutral On Wednesday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stock Market May Be Stuck In Neutral On Wednesday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-05 08:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3252737/singapore-stock-market-may-be-stuck-in-neutral-on-wednesday.aspx><strong>RTTNews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has moved higher in consecutive trading days, gathering almost 50 points or 1.6 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,180-point plateau ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3252737/singapore-stock-market-may-be-stuck-in-neutral-on-wednesday.aspx\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3252737/singapore-stock-market-may-be-stuck-in-neutral-on-wednesday.aspx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151974693","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has moved higher in consecutive trading days, gathering almost 50 points or 1.6 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,180-point plateau although it may spin its wheels on Wednesday.The global forecast for the Asian markets is mixed to higher, with support from oil stocks tempered by weakness from technology shares. The European markets were up and the U.S. bourses were mixed and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.The STI finished sharply higher on Tuesday following gains from the financial shares and industrial issues.For the day, the index jumped 46.88 points or 1.50 percent to finish at 3,181.13 after trading between 3,151.80 and 3,182.53. Volume was 1.6 billion shares worth 1.38 billion Singapore dollars. There were 271 gainers and 202 decliners.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT gained 0.34 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust rallied 1.95 percent, City Developments rose 0.15 percent, Comfort DelGro gathered 0.72 percent, DBS Group surged 2.81 percent, Keppel Corp perked 0.58 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust plummeted 5.21 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust tumbled 1.06 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation soared 2.63 percent, SATS jumped 1.29 percent, SembCorp Industries spiked 2.49 percent, Singapore Airlines strengthened 1.00 percent, Singapore Exchange lost 0.53 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering advanced 0.53 percent, SingTel added 0.43 percent, United Overseas Bank accelerated 2.30 percent, Wilmar International climbed 1.20 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Dairy Farm International, Thai Beverage, Singapore Press Holdings and Genting Singapore were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street is mixed as the Dow opened higher and stayed that way, the NASDAQ opened lower and stayed that way and the S&P opened higher but fell into the red.The Dow spiked 214.59 points or 0.59 percent to a record 36,799.65, while the NASDAQ tumbled 210.08 points or 1.33 percent to close at 15,622.72 and the S&P 500 eased 3.02 points or 0.06 percent to end at 4,793.54.The sharp pullback by NASDAQ reflected substantial weakness among software and biotechnology stocks, while financials fueled the Dow.The continued advance by the Dow also came as traders remain optimistic about the economic outlook even as the U.S. reported more than 1 million new Covid cases on Monday. Indications the new Omicron variant causes milder symptoms has led to hopes the recent surge could actually help to accelerate the end of the pandemic.Crude oil prices climbed higher on Tuesday after OPEC said it would stick to its plan to raise monthly crude production by 400,000 barrels per day in February. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for February ended higher by $0.91 or 1.2 percent at $76.99 a barrel.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692771947,"gmtCreate":1641253063396,"gmtModify":1641253063718,"author":{"id":"3575367401875717","authorId":"3575367401875717","name":"JasonBarry","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f66aec8cff071dcd3a0116c9d93d9b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575367401875717","idStr":"3575367401875717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","listText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","text":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692771947","repostId":"2200886475","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692413770,"gmtCreate":1641166724700,"gmtModify":1641166725134,"author":{"id":"3575367401875717","authorId":"3575367401875717","name":"JasonBarry","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f66aec8cff071dcd3a0116c9d93d9b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575367401875717","idStr":"3575367401875717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","listText":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","text":"Please 🙏 like TQ all bosses","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692413770","repostId":"692571573","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":692571573,"gmtCreate":1641105022000,"gmtModify":1742969393644,"author":{"id":"3577852034187700","authorId":"3577852034187700","name":"经济观察报","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f64ac2aa784ef0f271ddeb45c7dc72bc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577852034187700","idStr":"3577852034187700"},"themes":[],"title":"“生产率”这把尺子够用吗","htmlText":"(图源:IC Photo) 【文明的坐标——人类与风险的博弈】 陈志武/文 进步与倒退 在尝试评估文明变迁史的时候,我们总需要先做一个选择,就是如何度量“进步”和“倒退”:什么情况下可称文明“进步”,何时又“倒退”了?在现有文献中,历史学家、经济学家惯用的尺子是“生产率”(productivity),甚至只有“生产率”,其他指标都不重要。比如,劳动生产率:一人一年劳动下来,能有多少产出、赚多少收入。“唯生产率”准则应用到当今国家,就是“唯GDP”论,成为只追求GDP增速之政策的学理基础;而应用到历史分析中,在“唯生产率”史观下,人类发展通常被划分为原始社会、农业社会、工业社会、后工业社会等阶段 。为了纠正这种传统史观和文明观,我们还要增加一把尺子——人类的“风险应对力”,这使我们能更完整地解读人类文明化进程。 传统的“唯生产率”史观带出了一些著名悖论。著名经济史学者克拉克(Gregory Clark)教授称:“人类史上其实只发生了一件事,即1800年前开始的工业革命。只有工业革命之前的世界和工业革命之后的世界之分,所以,人类历史只有工业革命这一件事值得研究,其他都是不太重要的细节”。他之所以这么说,是因为从公元前1000年直到公元1800年的近三千年里,世界上每年人均收入基本没有变动,期间虽然出现过上下波动,但并没改变劳动生产率长久不变之趋势。历史学家麦迪森(Angus Maddison)教授在《世界经济千年史》中对全球人均收入的估算,结论也一致:在工业革命之前的两千年里,劳动生产率基本不变。克拉克强调,人类在19世纪前的几万年里,一直没能走出“马尔萨斯陷阱”:即使生产率偶尔上升,人口增加,新增的物质产出按人均一分配,就又回到原点;或者,由于自然灾害或人造战争导致人口减少,在总产出不变的情况下,人均收入会增加,可是,人口增长后人均收入又会再次减少。只有等到1780年工业革命","listText":"(图源:IC Photo) 【文明的坐标——人类与风险的博弈】 陈志武/文 进步与倒退 在尝试评估文明变迁史的时候,我们总需要先做一个选择,就是如何度量“进步”和“倒退”:什么情况下可称文明“进步”,何时又“倒退”了?在现有文献中,历史学家、经济学家惯用的尺子是“生产率”(productivity),甚至只有“生产率”,其他指标都不重要。比如,劳动生产率:一人一年劳动下来,能有多少产出、赚多少收入。“唯生产率”准则应用到当今国家,就是“唯GDP”论,成为只追求GDP增速之政策的学理基础;而应用到历史分析中,在“唯生产率”史观下,人类发展通常被划分为原始社会、农业社会、工业社会、后工业社会等阶段 。为了纠正这种传统史观和文明观,我们还要增加一把尺子——人类的“风险应对力”,这使我们能更完整地解读人类文明化进程。 传统的“唯生产率”史观带出了一些著名悖论。著名经济史学者克拉克(Gregory Clark)教授称:“人类史上其实只发生了一件事,即1800年前开始的工业革命。只有工业革命之前的世界和工业革命之后的世界之分,所以,人类历史只有工业革命这一件事值得研究,其他都是不太重要的细节”。他之所以这么说,是因为从公元前1000年直到公元1800年的近三千年里,世界上每年人均收入基本没有变动,期间虽然出现过上下波动,但并没改变劳动生产率长久不变之趋势。历史学家麦迪森(Angus Maddison)教授在《世界经济千年史》中对全球人均收入的估算,结论也一致:在工业革命之前的两千年里,劳动生产率基本不变。克拉克强调,人类在19世纪前的几万年里,一直没能走出“马尔萨斯陷阱”:即使生产率偶尔上升,人口增加,新增的物质产出按人均一分配,就又回到原点;或者,由于自然灾害或人造战争导致人口减少,在总产出不变的情况下,人均收入会增加,可是,人口增长后人均收入又会再次减少。只有等到1780年工业革命","text":"(图源:IC Photo) 【文明的坐标——人类与风险的博弈】 陈志武/文 进步与倒退 在尝试评估文明变迁史的时候,我们总需要先做一个选择,就是如何度量“进步”和“倒退”:什么情况下可称文明“进步”,何时又“倒退”了?在现有文献中,历史学家、经济学家惯用的尺子是“生产率”(productivity),甚至只有“生产率”,其他指标都不重要。比如,劳动生产率:一人一年劳动下来,能有多少产出、赚多少收入。“唯生产率”准则应用到当今国家,就是“唯GDP”论,成为只追求GDP增速之政策的学理基础;而应用到历史分析中,在“唯生产率”史观下,人类发展通常被划分为原始社会、农业社会、工业社会、后工业社会等阶段 。为了纠正这种传统史观和文明观,我们还要增加一把尺子——人类的“风险应对力”,这使我们能更完整地解读人类文明化进程。 传统的“唯生产率”史观带出了一些著名悖论。著名经济史学者克拉克(Gregory Clark)教授称:“人类史上其实只发生了一件事,即1800年前开始的工业革命。只有工业革命之前的世界和工业革命之后的世界之分,所以,人类历史只有工业革命这一件事值得研究,其他都是不太重要的细节”。他之所以这么说,是因为从公元前1000年直到公元1800年的近三千年里,世界上每年人均收入基本没有变动,期间虽然出现过上下波动,但并没改变劳动生产率长久不变之趋势。历史学家麦迪森(Angus Maddison)教授在《世界经济千年史》中对全球人均收入的估算,结论也一致:在工业革命之前的两千年里,劳动生产率基本不变。克拉克强调,人类在19世纪前的几万年里,一直没能走出“马尔萨斯陷阱”:即使生产率偶尔上升,人口增加,新增的物质产出按人均一分配,就又回到原点;或者,由于自然灾害或人造战争导致人口减少,在总产出不变的情况下,人均收入会增加,可是,人口增长后人均收入又会再次减少。只有等到1780年工业革命","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692571573","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692843904,"gmtCreate":1640922443644,"gmtModify":1640922444003,"author":{"id":"3575367401875717","authorId":"3575367401875717","name":"JasonBarry","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f66aec8cff071dcd3a0116c9d93d9b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575367401875717","idStr":"3575367401875717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please 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