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果子哥家老汉
市场从不缺机会,缺的是耐心。
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
10-31
$霍尼韦尔(HON)$
买工业股,卖科技股
$英伟达(NVDA)$
,该轮到工业股霍尼韦尔涨了。
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
$标普500(.SPX)$
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
10-31
$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$
才开始跌几天啊就有人开始喊跌跌不休了,之前涨2个月的时候不说话,跌了7天就喊跌跌不休了?黄金要是再这么涨下去,世界不知道要乱成什么样,盼点好吧。不经历大的下跌调整,怎么能为后面的上涨积蓄上涨能量呢,要跌到3700以下才能为后面的上涨铺好路。
$霍尼韦尔(HON)$
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$恒生指数(HSI)$
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
10-11
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
看看科技股的泡沫是不是很惊人。一挤就挤破了。
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
$恒生指数(HSI)$
$日经225指数(N225.JP)$
$德国指数2512(FDAX2512)$
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
10-10
$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$
10月-11月。黄金不跌到3700我直播吃翔。黄金和Ai一样的泡沫。
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
$标普500(.SPX)$
$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
09-16
$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$
9月底黄金就要盘整下跌了,这个盘整会持续到11月中旬,12月初会有一小段时间的涨幅。之后会下跌盘整,直到2月才会有点起色。大概率是这样。现在不宜追高。
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
$恒生指数(HSI)$
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
09-11
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
还是阿里巴巴牛逼,两个月就涨50%,闪购业务和云计算业务增速喜人。牛啊
$恒生指数(HSI)$
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
09-03
$WTI原油主连 2510(CLmain)$
最近在看多晶硅。调查了下,发现一些问题。因为最近在忙着看鸡蛋,顺便看了一下多晶硅。 多晶硅结局,将重蹈覆辙 产能过剩的终极形态 2025年全球多晶硅产能达336万吨,而需求仅130万吨,过剩率超60%。中国头部企业(通威、协鑫等)虽通过“反内卷”政策将价格从3.4万元/吨拉至4.8万元/吨,但实际库存仍达33万吨(相当于全球3个月消费量),且8-9月预计再增2万吨。更严峻的是,通威等龙头企业自身库存激增(通威2024年报显示硅料库存13万吨),形成“越收储越积压”的恶性循环。 2. 需求崩塌的量化验证 光伏装机增速腰斩:2025年全球光伏装机增速从2023年的45%骤降至8%,多晶硅需求同比减少15%。 当然,还有很多问题,写不完。暂时写到这里。
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
07-14
$黄金主连 2508(GCmain)$
黄金不太可能大涨。美元指数上涨的趋势不会变。黄金下跌趋势不会变。但是8月底,黄金会走出一波大的上涨行情。而目前说黄金上涨还为时过早。
$标普500(.SPX)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
$恒生指数(HSI)$
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
07-08
无语得很,学美国学的倒洋不土的,期权居然还要保证金[笑哭] ,所以流动性差,没多少碰。期货也一般。
$标普500(.SPX)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$恒生指数(HSI)$
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
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果子哥家老汉
果子哥家老汉
·
07-01
$黄金主连 2508(GCmain)$
不管黄金最近涨得多好,我都不会建仓。回调趋势没变,估计大概率会跌到3100点以下。那个时候大家建仓买入才有回报。再加上美元指数跌了15%,而且是最近半年在跌。这怎么可能只跌不涨呢?必然会迎来一阶段的反弹上涨啊。
$标普500(.SPX)$
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$恒生指数(HSI)$
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$德国指数2512(FDAX2512)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88304ff6638c97630c66f9ef1d23cfe9","width":"720","height":"1265"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ded30d20c62ca4a4ffe2f480c8c874e5","width":"720","height":"1560"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37c3210a0775aa2918e375b3f0d8e754","width":"720","height":"1560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/487826883600768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":487767986716672,"gmtCreate":1760111512587,"gmtModify":1760452202569,"author":{"id":"38637229394370","authorId":"38637229394370","name":"果子哥家老汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d5c82e54917164a75cf6baa009bf55","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"38637229394370","authorIdStr":"38637229394370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$ </a> 10月-11月。黄金不跌到3700我直播吃翔。黄金和Ai一样的泡沫。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSTECH\">$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$ </a> 10月-11月。黄金不跌到3700我直播吃翔。黄金和Ai一样的泡沫。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSTECH\">$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$ </a> ","text":"$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$ 10月-11月。黄金不跌到3700我直播吃翔。黄金和Ai一样的泡沫。$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f016a8210fb09e36b0280f5bd29f539","width":"720","height":"1367"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/487767986716672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3498016203798034","authorId":"3498016203798034","name":"不做赔本交易","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9532d01c286797f7d36bfcb5ddfdcaf9","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3498016203798034","authorIdStr":"3498016203798034"},"content":"黄金哪来的泡沫 沙雕 今年还有降息预期 黄金只会不断上涨","text":"黄金哪来的泡沫 沙雕 今年还有降息预期 黄金只会不断上涨","html":"黄金哪来的泡沫 沙雕 今年还有降息预期 黄金只会不断上涨"},{"author":{"id":"3472532348212000","authorId":"3472532348212000","name":"chenx32401","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3472532348212000","authorIdStr":"3472532348212000"},"content":"你最好不要删帖","text":"你最好不要删帖","html":"你最好不要删帖"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":479098854953256,"gmtCreate":1757986145268,"gmtModify":1757987441127,"author":{"id":"38637229394370","authorId":"38637229394370","name":"果子哥家老汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d5c82e54917164a75cf6baa009bf55","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"38637229394370","authorIdStr":"38637229394370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$ </a> 9月底黄金就要盘整下跌了,这个盘整会持续到11月中旬,12月初会有一小段时间的涨幅。之后会下跌盘整,直到2月才会有点起色。大概率是这样。现在不宜追高。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$ </a> 9月底黄金就要盘整下跌了,这个盘整会持续到11月中旬,12月初会有一小段时间的涨幅。之后会下跌盘整,直到2月才会有点起色。大概率是这样。现在不宜追高。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$ </a> ","text":"$黄金主连 2512(GCmain)$ 9月底黄金就要盘整下跌了,这个盘整会持续到11月中旬,12月初会有一小段时间的涨幅。之后会下跌盘整,直到2月才会有点起色。大概率是这样。现在不宜追高。$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $恒生指数(HSI)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac737019e1095a7ebab03781cc11f989","width":"720","height":"1367"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479098854953256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477577515889464,"gmtCreate":1757606243712,"gmtModify":1757606387894,"author":{"id":"38637229394370","authorId":"38637229394370","name":"果子哥家老汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d5c82e54917164a75cf6baa009bf55","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"38637229394370","authorIdStr":"38637229394370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> 还是阿里巴巴牛逼,两个月就涨50%,闪购业务和云计算业务增速喜人。牛啊<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> 还是阿里巴巴牛逼,两个月就涨50%,闪购业务和云计算业务增速喜人。牛啊<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a> ","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 还是阿里巴巴牛逼,两个月就涨50%,闪购业务和云计算业务增速喜人。牛啊$恒生指数(HSI)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39358e98c4ea04e3b7d3f675318558a9","width":"720","height":"1367"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477577515889464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":474695738188288,"gmtCreate":1756913543415,"gmtModify":1756963570076,"author":{"id":"38637229394370","authorId":"38637229394370","name":"果子哥家老汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d5c82e54917164a75cf6baa009bf55","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"38637229394370","authorIdStr":"38637229394370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2510(CLmain)$ </a> 最近在看多晶硅。调查了下,发现一些问题。因为最近在忙着看鸡蛋,顺便看了一下多晶硅。 多晶硅结局,将重蹈覆辙 产能过剩的终极形态 2025年全球多晶硅产能达336万吨,而需求仅130万吨,过剩率超60%。中国头部企业(通威、协鑫等)虽通过“反内卷”政策将价格从3.4万元/吨拉至4.8万元/吨,但实际库存仍达33万吨(相当于全球3个月消费量),且8-9月预计再增2万吨。更严峻的是,通威等龙头企业自身库存激增(通威2024年报显示硅料库存13万吨),形成“越收储越积压”的恶性循环。 2. 需求崩塌的量化验证 光伏装机增速腰斩:2025年全球光伏装机增速从2023年的45%骤降至8%,多晶硅需求同比减少15%。 当然,还有很多问题,写不完。暂时写到这里。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2510(CLmain)$ </a> 最近在看多晶硅。调查了下,发现一些问题。因为最近在忙着看鸡蛋,顺便看了一下多晶硅。 多晶硅结局,将重蹈覆辙 产能过剩的终极形态 2025年全球多晶硅产能达336万吨,而需求仅130万吨,过剩率超60%。中国头部企业(通威、协鑫等)虽通过“反内卷”政策将价格从3.4万元/吨拉至4.8万元/吨,但实际库存仍达33万吨(相当于全球3个月消费量),且8-9月预计再增2万吨。更严峻的是,通威等龙头企业自身库存激增(通威2024年报显示硅料库存13万吨),形成“越收储越积压”的恶性循环。 2. 需求崩塌的量化验证 光伏装机增速腰斩:2025年全球光伏装机增速从2023年的45%骤降至8%,多晶硅需求同比减少15%。 当然,还有很多问题,写不完。暂时写到这里。","text":"$WTI原油主连 2510(CLmain)$ 最近在看多晶硅。调查了下,发现一些问题。因为最近在忙着看鸡蛋,顺便看了一下多晶硅。 多晶硅结局,将重蹈覆辙 产能过剩的终极形态 2025年全球多晶硅产能达336万吨,而需求仅130万吨,过剩率超60%。中国头部企业(通威、协鑫等)虽通过“反内卷”政策将价格从3.4万元/吨拉至4.8万元/吨,但实际库存仍达33万吨(相当于全球3个月消费量),且8-9月预计再增2万吨。更严峻的是,通威等龙头企业自身库存激增(通威2024年报显示硅料库存13万吨),形成“越收储越积压”的恶性循环。 2. 需求崩塌的量化验证 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$恒生指数(HSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc953c82b5935988e5c7e4dd35570b10","width":"720","height":"1367"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/456524798767128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3584684664313404","authorId":"3584684664313404","name":"悠悠I","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfcea00909e195236e14b95e83bf8846","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3584684664313404","authorIdStr":"3584684664313404"},"content":"和你反着来 之前你也喜欢高买低卖 明灯侠","text":"和你反着来 之前你也喜欢高买低卖 明灯侠","html":"和你反着来 之前你也喜欢高买低卖 明灯侠"},{"author":{"id":"3548177839588460","authorId":"3548177839588460","name":"王满意","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50768fcbe4496ca6dbcfe248f1763a9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3548177839588460","authorIdStr":"3548177839588460"},"content":"8月底的事儿谁能说的准呢,","text":"8月底的事儿谁能说的准呢,","html":"8月底的事儿谁能说的准呢,"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":454287278588528,"gmtCreate":1751940860826,"gmtModify":1751940862453,"author":{"id":"38637229394370","authorId":"38637229394370","name":"果子哥家老汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d5c82e54917164a75cf6baa009bf55","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"38637229394370","authorIdStr":"38637229394370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"无语得很,学美国学的倒洋不土的,期权居然还要保证金[笑哭] ,所以流动性差,没多少碰。期货也一般。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$ </a> ","listText":"无语得很,学美国学的倒洋不土的,期权居然还要保证金[笑哭] ,所以流动性差,没多少碰。期货也一般。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$ </a> ","text":"无语得很,学美国学的倒洋不土的,期权居然还要保证金[笑哭] ,所以流动性差,没多少碰。期货也一般。$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $恒生指数(HSI)$ $上证指数(000001.SH)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/454287278588528","repostId":"2549559368","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":452011267908288,"gmtCreate":1751380009386,"gmtModify":1751380260183,"author":{"id":"38637229394370","authorId":"38637229394370","name":"果子哥家老汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d5c82e54917164a75cf6baa009bf55","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"38637229394370","authorIdStr":"38637229394370"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2508(GCmain)$ </a> 不管黄金最近涨得多好,我都不会建仓。回调趋势没变,估计大概率会跌到3100点以下。那个时候大家建仓买入才有回报。再加上美元指数跌了15%,而且是最近半年在跌。这怎么可能只跌不涨呢?必然会迎来一阶段的反弹上涨啊。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2508(GCmain)$ </a> 不管黄金最近涨得多好,我都不会建仓。回调趋势没变,估计大概率会跌到3100点以下。那个时候大家建仓买入才有回报。再加上美元指数跌了15%,而且是最近半年在跌。这怎么可能只跌不涨呢?必然会迎来一阶段的反弹上涨啊。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$ </a> ","text":"$黄金主连 2508(GCmain)$ 不管黄金最近涨得多好,我都不会建仓。回调趋势没变,估计大概率会跌到3100点以下。那个时候大家建仓买入才有回报。再加上美元指数跌了15%,而且是最近半年在跌。这怎么可能只跌不涨呢?必然会迎来一阶段的反弹上涨啊。$标普500(.SPX)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $恒生指数(HSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bd344b62d2ac26da9c649c952aeeb19","width":"720","height":"1367"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/452011267908288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4184240728605922","authorId":"4184240728605922","name":"ronghao","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4184240728605922","authorIdStr":"4184240728605922"},"content":"为什么会认为跌到3100元 求解答","text":"为什么会认为跌到3100元 求解答","html":"为什么会认为跌到3100元 求解答"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}